brik tymofii sunbelt presentation
TRANSCRIPT
“Euro-Maidan” Revolution in Ukraine.
Facebook & Social Capital
Sunbelt, Brighton, 2015
Tymofii BrikPhD studentCarlos III
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Euro-Maidan
President Yanukovich does not sign an
agreement with EU, Students’ protests
are severely attacked
Spontaneous protests reacting to the attack
on students
Organized protest with anti-
governmental and pro-EU rhetoric
Violent protests with wounded and killed,
President fled the country
November 2013 December 2013 January 2014 February 2014
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Volunteering organizations:
• Supplies (food, water, clothing, shelter, medicine, weapons)
• Psychological support• Legal advice• Information coverage + international• Analytics• Protection (Maidan guards and the neighborhood
watch)• Traffic
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Online communication and social capital
(1) Online networks are the forms of social capital (structural holes, information asymmetry)
(2) Online networks spread information as public good (trust, commitment, community, predictable behavior)
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Online communication and civil society
(1) Online communication serves as a public sphere
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Data
• Research Project “Revolutions-Actions-Cooperation-Online” (RACOON)
• The data were collected from the EuroMaidan Facebook page
• I used Netvizz application on the weekly basis• Overall, 27,458 posts and 1,123,049 comments
generated on this Facebook page from November 2013 to May 2014 are analyzed by means of social network analysis tools.
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Limitations
• No “real” friendship ties• No private messages• No broad social context
Average posts per week
EuroMaidan Facebook page ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Information posted, %
EuroMaidan Facebook page ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)
Video-links
Own content/text
Photo
Text-links
7
17
22
54
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Descriptives
Descriptive statistics, EuroMaidan Facebook page ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Interactions
Averages per day. EuroMaidan Facebook page, ( 23.11.2013-31.05.2014)
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
First part
• 200 posts are randomly selected for a certain stage of the revolution (4 waves)
• Each post includes comments• The network of comments to posts is the 2-
mode behavioral network• These networks are transformed into 1-mode
behavioral networks • 2-mode networks are simulated in Pajak and
then transformed to 1-mode state
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Density
Pro-European Dignity Violent After EuroMaidan
0.01
0.02 0.02 0.020.02
0.050.05
0.08
at random empirical
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Transitivity
Pro-European Dignity Violent After EuroMaidan
0.390.36
0.390.35
0.66 0.650.67 0.67
at random empirical
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Part 2
• Longitudinal analysis:– 400 people are randomly selected during the 1
week of the communication– The links between them are built – The same 400 people and links between them are
followed in all stages of the revolution
XXXV ISSNA SUNBELT, 2015, Brighton
Conclusions
• Facebook page as public sphere As data suggest the period of revolution itself was not a time of many conversations. • Social capital on individual levelCloseness centrality and betweenness centrality both correlate with likes received. However, their influence was conditioned on the stage of the revolution.