bsi base drive_storyline_v1
TRANSCRIPT
1
Draft 5/09/2001
Basedrive has identified a feasible business opportunity in electronic media aggregation, distribution and presentation that will require extensive system integration and project management expertise to bring to market Basedrive interface is designed to be the single interface to the world of available content and desktop applications on a subscription or pay per view basis
• The proprietary GUI will run on multiple platforms• The MHP standard is expected to become de facto
The potential market is global, constrained only by marketing reach, broadband costs and IP protection concerns• Marketing reach• Broadband costs• Digital rights management nd IP protection strategy
Basedrive will concentrate on packaging and distribution elements of the value chain and form strategic alliances for the rest of the system• Production, subscriber management systems (SMS) and billing are scale businesses• Packaging and distribution can utilise “narrow casting” economics• Utilise partners for highly specialised elements in which Basedrive do not yet have expertise or competitive advantage
The Economics of broadband distribution show that feasible business models can be established in both the niche and mass markets• Appropriate head-end and edge-server infrastructure must be in place to achieve acceptable cost structures• Basedrive recognises that it is unable to lower costs substantially because of the relative negotiating power of (1) content owners and (2) broadband network providers
The product has the potential to generate revenues of $93m in the Australian market• Synchronous broadcast for second tier content packages based on Pay TV pricing models• Asynchronous content based on PPV (cost driven pricing) models• Synchronous live content distributed into new geographies and onto new display devices premium priced
The business will be developed in phases to manage uncertainties • Phased approach matches funding risk and rollout uncertainty• Identify leading indicators to guide pace of rollout
Basedrive recognises a number of critical success factors for the execution of the business plan• Formation and management of key strategic alliances• Systems integration and project management• Time to market• Adequate funding
2
Draft 5/09/2001
Summary of business concept
Level of certainty
Level of completeness
Steps to address
What?
Basedrive interface is designed to be the single interface to the world of available content and desktop applications on a subscription or pay per view basis on a range of presentation devices
H L
Incremental approach to business development
Work closely with content and IT companies to refine vision
Where/when?
Global product limited only by marketing reach and broadband availability. M L
Develop project plan Develop market entry strategy
and rollout plan
How?
Concentrate on packaging and distributing second tier content for synchronous and asynchronous content
L L
Build vs buy analysis Strategic analysis of value chain
participation
Who?
Management team not yet in place
Shareholders not yet in place M M
Define skill requirements by phase
Define ideal shareholders, financial structure, etc
How big is the opportunity?
Australian revenues of $100m at maturity
Global revenues not yet estimated
L L
Qualitative market research Quantitative market research Non-commercial trial Commercial trial
3
Draft 5/09/2001
Basedrive interface is designed to be the single interface to the world of available content and desktop applications on a subscription or pay per view basis on a range of presentation devices
Universe of available content - BASE
Drive 1 Drive n
Drive 3Drive 2
Broadband Networks
Broadband Networks
Java
MHP
Desktop applications
TV, movies, news, sports, documentaries,
etc
• Electronic program guide/ navigation
• Hierarchical access control• Presentation for multiple platforms• Conditional access and digital
rights management• Usage and billing measurement
Basedrive provides ….
• Sources (non-exclusively) and aggregates a broad range of content and applications such as Microsoft Office, email, web browsers, public domain audio-visual content and proprietary audio-visual entertainment
• Content and applications are made available over broadband networks (fixed and wireless) to any device that supports DVB-MHP (audio-visual and interactive content) or Java (applications)
• Content is made available for ‘subscribers’ to select channel options and hierarchy of sub-sets of channels• Content is also made available on a usage basis such as pay-per-view or pay-per-hour of usage• Company provides authentication and access control to prevent copyright/IP infringement
4
Draft 5/09/2001
The potential market is global, constrained only by marketing reach, broadband costs and IP protection concerns
Broadband availability and price competitivenessL H
Audience/ market
size
Mass
Niche
Basedrive
Target Markets
• Hollywood vs independent studio• Language• Geographic rights• Stage in release cycle
Content value dimensions
• Edge servers/ ISP infrastructure• Level of telecom competition• Level of telecom regulation• Internet penetration• Broadband penetration• Pay-TV penetration• IP protection legislation
Infrastructure dimensions
Australia/ New ZealandUKUSA/CanadaSingapore
JapanWestern EuropeS. KoreaMalaysiaSpanish Sth America
South AfricaEastern EuropeChina
2nd tier TV content, regional news, 2nd tier apps
Delayed sports, Movie archives, independent studio movies
Premium TV content, live sports, premium apps
Content and application rollout
Geographic rollout
5
Draft 5/09/2001
Basedrive will concentrate on packaging and distribution elements of the value chain and form strategic alliances for the rest of the system
ProductionPackaging,Branding,
& Promotion
Acq
uisit
ion
DistributionSubscriber
ManagementSystems
Billing
Time-WarnerColumbiaSonyDisney…
Commercial broadcast networks (Seven, Nine, etc)Pay TV (Sky, FoxTel)…
Commercial & subscription TVWeb portalsStreaming providersEdge Server providers…
Pay TV operators…
Pay TV operatorsTelcos…
PVR
Value chain participants
Encryption BroadcastNetwork
MngtDisplay
• Production, SMS and billing are scale businesses
• Packaging and distribution can utilise “narrow casting” economics
Basedrive will use alliance partners for highly specialised system components in which Basedrive does not yet have expertise or
competitive advantage
6
Draft 5/09/2001
The Economics of broadband distribution show that feasible business models can be established in both the niche and mass markets …
BaseDrivePPV
BaseDrive
Volume – Number of simultaneous Subscribers
Unit content + distribution costs ($)
Revenue per hour viewed
.05
.1
.5
1.0
5.0
.01
10
1
1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1m
Revenue – mass market
Cost
Profit - mass
Niche Narrow cast Broadcast - PayTV Broadcast - FTA
Cost - niche
Revenue - niche
7
Draft 5/09/2001
… based on the evolution of industry cost structures and revenue potential
Unicasts1 or video on demand of Hollywood movies or popular
sporting events
Unicasts1 of web-originated features
New types of interactive programs
High Value Today High Value in Future?
Inexpensive Uneconomical
Multicasts2 of existing TV shows
Simple interactive TV, for example – offering links text,
data, or both
Unicasts1 of broadcasters’ program archives
High-bandwidth interactive TV, for example, offering alternate
plotlines
Revenue per viewer hour
Higher (>$1 per
hour)
Lower (<$1 per
hour)
Costs per viewer-hour
Higher (>$1 per hour)
Lower (<$1 per hour)
1 Unicasts generat separate data streams for each receiver (many-to-many model)2 Multicasts generate single data stream this is received by many users simultaneously (one-to-many model)
Source: McKinsey Quarterly, 2001, Number 4
8
Draft 5/09/2001
The product has the potential to generate revenues of $93m in the Australian market
Type of deliverySynchronous
Mass
Niche
Target Markets
Asynchronous
Content
Subscription PPV
PPV
Desktop applications
PPV Subs
Volume –Australia(‘000)
36 - 360 60 - 300
Price (A$) 5 – 10 10 – 60
Paul Budde, Aug 2000: 880,000 pay-TV subscribers, excl Austar (410,000)Paul Budde, Aug 2000: Ave price of $50 p.m. equates to 25% penetration (6.2m homes in Australia)PPV take-up rates range from 20% to 200% ie. Number of PPVs per household per month (Europe.eu.net)PPV rates range from US$3 – 4 per event (Europe.eu.net)www.1globalplace.com/CountryResearch/CountryStatistics.asp?country=AU
Low Mid High
RevenuesA$ ‘000 p.a.
PPV 2,000 18,000 43,000
Subs 7,000 75,000 216,000
Total 9,000 93,000 259,000
9
Draft 5/09/2001
The business will be developed in phases to manage uncertainties
Phase 1Design
Phase 2Development
Phase 3System integration (lab environment)
Phase 4Pilot(Non-commercial rollout)
Phase 5Commercial trial
Phase 6Full launch
Phase entry criteria
Corporate structure established
Seed capital received Development
contractors selected
Lab infrastructure available
Three content/ application providers selected
Trial sample selected and signed-up
Usage profile criteria defined
Marketing campaign ready to air
10 content providers signed up
Marketing campaign ready
Billing system capacity ready
SMS capacity ready
Phase exit criteria
Business plan complete
Functional spec – head end
Functional spec – user interface
Build vs buy analysis
Head-end developed (or sourced)
Billing interface developed
User interface developed
PATs complete
Meets functional specification for integrated system (SATs)
Packaging plans finalised
Pricing plans finalised Edge server
functionality & performance validated
CA/DRM validated
Billing accuracy and throughput – subscription and PPV validated
SMS validated Business plan
validated (usage levels, take-up rates, etc)
Channel/agent agreements in place
Phase defining moments
Board selection Build vs buy outcome Alliance partner
selection
Investors Contractor selection
Content partner selection
Packaging/ pricing Advertising rate card
Usage levels Channel selection
10
Draft 5/09/2001
Basedrive recognises a number of critical success factors for the execution of the business plan
Factor Plan to address
Formation and management of key strategic alliances
Danny Schwartz has extensive experience in this area
Systems integration and project management Develop and sign off functional specification to achieve optimal system architecture
Hire appropriate staff Alliance with Sun Microsystems
Time to market Accelerate early offerings in Australian market
Develop alliances with content partners Adequate funding
Adequate funding Robust business plan Shareholders understand business model
11
Draft 5/09/2001
• Sources (non-exclusively) and aggregates a broad range of content and applications such as Microsoft Office, email, web browsers, public domain audio-visual content and proprietary audio-visual entertainment
• Content and applications are made available over broadband networks (fixed and wireless) to any device that supports DVB-MHP (audio-visual and interactive content) or Java (applications)
• Content is made available for ‘subscribers’ to select channel options and hierarchy of sub-sets of channels
• Content is also made available on a usage basis such as pay-per-view or pay-per-hour of usage
• Company provides authentication and access control to prevent copyright/IP infringement
What does the product do?
• Operates on a pay-TV and ASP business model:
• Pay-TV• Content is provided on a
subscription basis, paid in advance
• Premium or event content is provided on a PPV basis, paid in advance
• Access to the service is restricted by a secure conditional access system that can identify subscribers
• Revenue is principally derived from subscriptions, advertising is marginal and only follows once critical mass achieved
• Application Service Provider• Application access is provided
on a subscription basis (often bundled with access)
How does Base Drive make money?
• Marries two established business models: Pay-TV and ASP
• Early part of broadband growth – large upside
• Easy exit through acquisition• Opportunities to develop IP:
• User interface• Condition access• Billing
• Opportunity to redefine distribution business model for proprietary content
Why Invest?
Base Drive is developing a new content distribution business model
Basedrive provides an attractive business opportunity
13
Draft 5/09/2001
Subs
PPV
ASP
Advertising
GUI
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
• Broadband (xDSL, cable, DTH, ..)• Multimedia Home Platform
(MHP)/Java TV technology• Media convergence• Set top box convergence• Java support on multiple platforms
including small footprint devices• VOIP• Personal video recorder (PVR)• Device convergence (PS2, STBs, etc)
Technologic Evolution
Acquisition BillingCust care
Packag-ing
Encryp-tion
Distribe
Augment
• Bandwidth chasing content• Narrow casting commercially and
legally feasible• Thin client capability• Asynchronous media consumption
supported by feasible business models
• Diminishing marginal distribution costs through the Internet
Business Trends
• Access and distribute content on a subscription and PPV basis
• Offer ASP services on a usage or subscription basis
• Develop user interface for content presentation and access management
• Develop business model
Base Drive Concept
Business Model/Revenue Streams
• Time to market• Alliance with Sun• Australian media environment
allows rapid commercialisation of concept
• Exclusive access to content
Competitive Advantages
• Prove technical viability• Demonstrate feasible approach
to IP protection• Conclude alliances with
dominant industry participants
Critical Success Factors
Proof of concept
Technical trial Commercial trial
Launch
Con
cep
tual
Fac
tors
Exe
cuti
onal
Fac
tors
BaseDriveparticipation
BaseDriveSummary
14
Draft 5/09/2001
Proof of concept
Technical trial Commercial trial
Launch
• Validate business model with market research, supplier agreements, technical investigation, etc
• Formalise relationship with Sun
• Secure three pilot content partners (SBS, …)
• Preliminary independent valuation
• Validate technical functionality in lab environment
• Achieve demonstrable offering in Australia
• Complete GUI development
• Complete CA development
• Second round of seed funding
• Validate initial market research with commercial trial (100 users)
• Complete billing system development
• Finalise product (price structures, packaging, distribution, etc)
• Third round of funding (venture capital)
• Revised independent valuation
• Non-exclusive distribution agreement with one major Hollywood studio
• Non-exclusive distribution agreement with two European studios
• Non-exclusive distribution agreement with SBS and ABC
• Adequate funding to meet business plan projections
Ob
jectives