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TRANSCRIPT
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Coal @ China EXEN RESOURCES PTE. LTD.2017 ICCF - Budapest
1 INTRODUCTION TO SINOMET/EXEN
2 REVIEW THE YEAR OF 2017 FOR CHINA MARKET
3 OUTLOOK FOR THE YEAR OF 2018
Contents
01PART
SINOMET/EXEN
INTRODUCTION
01
PART
1
• Headquartered in Beijing, Sinomet is formerly China Metallurgical Import and Export Co. Ltd. (CMIEC) which was founded in 1978.
• We are China’s biggest seaborne metallurgical coal importer and distributor in China.
• We are one of the top metallurgical coal trading companies in the world.
100% subsidiary
• EXEN is the wholly owned Singapore subsidiary of Sinomet founded in 2014, which focuses on metallurgical coal trading in international markets.
• Over 15 mil tons of met coal been supplied to various customers globally to date.
1. WHO WE ARE
ExenResources
SinometInternational
4
Mln tons
4.1
7.26.9
8.59
9.8
9.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3. ANNUAL METALLURGICAL COAL VOLUME SINOMET/EXEN DISTRIBUTED
11(e)
(Year To Date)
01PART
02
PART
REVIEW
YEAR 2017
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
200.00
220.00
240.00
260.00
280.00
300.00
320.00
CFR FOB
Coking Coal “Supply-side Structual Reform”began, 276 working days policy been placed.
Tropical Cyclone Debbie
06
Shanxi Coking Coal Group announced that they are not going to drop the coking coal annual price.
NDRC asked to increase coal supply and stabilize coal price
PLV FOB price peaked at USD 310.0
PLV FOB index peaked at USD 304
01
1. REVIEW OF PLATTS PLV FOB/CFR INDEX – China’s impact to international price
02
03
04
07
“2+26” policy. 35%-50% steel/coke production cut during 15th Nov to 15th Mar05
USD/MT
774.58813.29 800.53 806.68
639.48
60.6491.49
112.41 108.99
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan to Sep
Crude SteelProduction
Steel Export
850(e)
77-80 (e)
2. REVIEW OF CHINA STEEL PRODUCTION AND EXPORT
59.63
Mln tons
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Price of Rebar 2016 2017RMB YUAN
3. REVIEW OF CHINA REBAR PRICE - 2016/2017
WHY…??
• Good domestic demand this year – GDP growth of 6.8% till Q3
• Production cut on “non-standard steel”
Estimation of >70-80mil tons!!
473 477 448 449
332
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
450(e)
4
4. REVIEW OF CHINA COKE ANNUAL PRODUCTION
Mln tons
Jan to Sep
4
Mln tons
1332.291271.89 1244.88
1097.19
817.04
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Jan to Sep
5. REVIEW OF CHINA COKING COAL RAW COAL PRODUCTION
1112.45(e)
75
62
48
59
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Jan to Sep
Coking CoalImport
69(e)
4
6. REVIEW OF CHINA COKING COAL IMPORT
53
Mln tons
4
7. REVIEW OF CHINA COKING COAL IMPORT
25.726.82
23.52
12.72
23.56
19.9
5.71 5.19
3.34
3.23 2.623.57
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2015 2016 2017 Jan to Sep
Australia Mongolia Canada Russia
29 (e)
26.5(e)
4.1(e)5(e)
8. OUR FORECAST FOR YEAR 2018
• Steel production volume maintains at a similar level as this year.
• Steel price remains at a high level.
• Steelmill’s margin keeps high.
• Coke production remains around the same.
• Domestic coal production shall increase slightly.
• Import volume shall be higher than this year – growth from Australia/US/Mongolia.
• Coking Coal price stays at a high level, however, could be be lower than average price level of 2017.
T h a n k Y o u
China HeadquarterSinomet International CorporationTel: +86 10 6530 8787Mobile: +86 133 1125 5097 (Vincent Liu)Address: Level 33, Fortune Plaza A
No.7 Dongsanhuan Zhong RoadBeijing, China 100020
Singapore Office Exen Resources Pte LtdTel: +65 6323 9277Mobile: +65 9721 6470 (Asheesh Bhat)Address: 20 Collyer Quay
#23-01Singapore 049319