budget and population

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BUDGET & POPULATION

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This analysis takes a look at Nigeria and State governments’ budgets viz-a-viz its practical benefits to each resident of the state or Nation. Hopefully, it will be empirically established how and what each State allocates per resident.

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Page 1: Budget and Population

BUDGET &

POPULATION

Page 2: Budget and Population

Government plan often manifest in how they

budget. Ultimately, because governance is

about the people, the whole essence of budget

therefore is to itemize in detail how

government hope to execute governance

financially.

This analysis takes a look at Nigeria and State

governments’ budgets viz-a-viz its practical

benefits to each resident of the state or

Nation.

Hopefully, it will be empirically established how

and what each State allocates per resident.

Page 3: Budget and Population

This analysis is about POPULATION & BUDGET

POPULATION AND BUDGET

POPULATION BUDGET

The data for Budget is quite reliable since they are released

yearly, however that of Population is estimated from the

2006 general elections with an assumed constant

population growth rate of 2.8% from 2006 till date.

Page 4: Budget and Population

NIGERIA POPULATION

140,420,142NIGERIA POPULATION IN 2006

2.8% Growth Rate

175,135,556 NIGERIA POPULATION IN 2014

Page 5: Budget and Population

NIGERIA POPULATION & BUDGET

YEAR POPULATION BUDGET (N)BUDGET

GROWTH RATE

2006 140,420,142 1,876,302,363,351

2007 144,351,906 2,266,394,423,477 20.79%

2008 148,393,759 2,492,076,718,937 9.96%

2009 152,548,785 2,870,510,042,679 15.19%

2010 156,820,151 4,608,616,278,213 60.55%

2011 161,211,115 4,226,191,559,259 -8.30%

2012 165,725,026 4,749,100,821,170 12.37%

2013 170,365,327 4,987,220,425,601 5.01%

2014 175,135,556 4,642,960,000,000 -6.90%

With an assumed steady population growth rate of 2.8%,

Nigeria Budget oscillate every year with the most growth rate

between 2009 and 2010 and a reduction between 2010 and

2011.

Page 6: Budget and Population

NIGERIA POPULATION & BUDGET

YEAR POPULATION BUDGET (N)BUDGET

GROWTH RATE

2006 140,420,142 1,876,302,363,351

2007 144,351,906 2,266,394,423,477 20.79%

2008 148,393,759 2,492,076,718,937 9.96%

2009 152,548,785 2,870,510,042,679 15.19%

2010 156,820,151 4,608,616,278,213 60.55%

2011 161,211,115 4,226,191,559,259 -8.30%

2012 165,725,026 4,749,100,821,170 12.37%

2013 170,365,327 4,987,220,425,601 5.01%

2014 175,135,556 4,642,960,000,000 -6.90%

With an assumed steady population growth rate of 2.8%,

Nigeria Budget oscillate every year with the most growth rate

between 2009 and 2010 and a reduction between 2010 and

2011.

Page 7: Budget and Population

BUDGET PER RESIDENTYEAR POPULATION BUDGET (N) PER RESIDENT (N)

2006 140,420,142 1,876,302,363,351 13,362.06

2007 144,351,906 2,266,394,423,477 15,700.48

2008 148,393,759 2,492,076,718,937 16,793.68

2009 152,548,785 2,870,510,042,679 18,817.00

2010 156,820,151 4,608,616,278,213 29,387.91

2011 161,211,115 4,226,191,559,259 26,215.26

2012 165,725,026 4,749,100,821,170 28,656.51

2013 170,365,327 4,987,220,425,601 29,273.68

2014 175,135,556 4,642,960,000,000 26,510.66

As at year 2014; N29,273.68 is the average budget per

resident. In year 2014, it dropped to N26,510.66, which

is N2,763.02 (9.44%) drop from that of year 2013.

Page 8: Budget and Population

STATE POPULATIONSTATE ZONE 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

ABIA SE 2,845,370 2,925,040 3,006,941 3,091,136 3,177,688 3,266,663 3,358,129 3,452,157 3,548,817

ADAMAWA NE 3,178,950 3,267,961 3,359,463 3,453,528 3,550,227 3,649,634 3,751,823 3,856,874 3,964,867

AKWA IBOM SS 3,902,051 4,011,308 4,123,625 4,239,087 4,357,781 4,479,799 4,605,233 4,734,180 4,866,737

ANAMBRA SE 4,177,828 4,294,807 4,415,062 4,538,684 4,665,767 4,796,408 4,930,708 5,068,767 5,210,693

BAUCHI NE 4,653,066 4,783,352 4,917,286 5,054,970 5,196,509 5,342,011 5,491,587 5,645,352 5,803,422

BAYELSA SS 1,704,515 1,752,241 1,801,304 1,851,741 1,903,589 1,956,890 2,011,683 2,068,010 2,125,914

BENUE NC 4,253,641 4,372,743 4,495,180 4,621,045 4,750,434 4,883,446 5,020,183 5,160,748 5,305,249

BORNO NE 4,171,104 4,287,895 4,407,956 4,531,379 4,658,257 4,788,689 4,922,772 5,060,609 5,202,307

CROSS RIVER SS 2,882,988 2,963,712 3,046,696 3,132,003 3,219,699 3,309,851 3,402,527 3,497,797 3,595,736

DELTA SS 4,112,445 4,227,593 4,345,966 4,467,653 4,592,747 4,721,344 4,853,542 4,989,441 5,129,146

EBONYI SE 2,176,947 2,237,902 2,300,563 2,364,979 2,431,198 2,499,271 2,569,251 2,641,190 2,715,143

EDO SS 3,233,366 3,323,900 3,416,969 3,512,645 3,610,999 3,712,107 3,816,046 3,922,895 4,032,736

EKITI SW 2,398,357 2,465,511 2,534,545 2,605,513 2,678,467 2,753,464 2,830,561 2,909,817 2,991,292

ENUGU SE 3,267,837 3,359,336 3,453,398 3,550,093 3,649,496 3,751,681 3,856,729 3,964,717 4,075,729

GOMBE NE 2,365,040 2,431,261 2,499,336 2,569,318 2,641,259 2,715,214 2,791,240 2,869,395 2,949,738

IMO SE 3,927,563 4,037,535 4,150,586 4,266,802 4,386,273 4,509,088 4,635,343 4,765,132 4,898,556

JIGAWA NW 4,361,002 4,483,110 4,608,637 4,737,679 4,870,334 5,006,703 5,146,891 5,291,004 5,439,152

KADUNA NW 6,113,503 6,284,681 6,460,652 6,641,550 6,827,514 7,018,684 7,215,207 7,417,233 7,624,916

KANO NW 9,401,288 9,664,524 9,935,131 10,213,314 10,499,287 10,793,267 11,095,479 11,406,152 11,725,524

KATSINA NC 5,801,584 5,964,028 6,131,021 6,302,690 6,479,165 6,660,582 6,847,078 7,038,796 7,235,882

KEBBI NW 3,256,541 3,347,724 3,441,460 3,537,821 3,636,880 3,738,713 3,843,397 3,951,012 4,061,640

KOGI NC 3,314,043 3,406,836 3,502,228 3,600,290 3,701,098 3,804,729 3,911,261 4,020,777 4,133,358

KWARA NC 2,365,353 2,431,583 2,499,667 2,569,658 2,641,608 2,715,573 2,791,609 2,869,774 2,950,128

LAGOS SW 9,113,605 9,368,786 9,631,112 9,900,783 10,178,005 10,462,989 10,755,953 11,057,120 11,366,719

NASARAWA NC 1,869,377 1,921,720 1,975,528 2,030,842 2,087,706 2,146,162 2,206,254 2,268,029 2,331,534

NIGER NC 3,954,772 4,065,506 4,179,340 4,296,361 4,416,659 4,540,326 4,667,455 4,798,144 4,932,492

OGUN SW 3,751,140 3,856,172 3,964,145 4,075,141 4,189,245 4,306,544 4,427,127 4,551,086 4,678,517

ONDO SW 3,460,877 3,557,782 3,657,399 3,759,807 3,865,081 3,973,303 4,084,556 4,198,924 4,316,493

OSUN SW 3,416,959 3,512,634 3,610,988 3,712,095 3,816,034 3,922,883 4,032,724 4,145,640 4,261,718

OYO SW 5,580,894 5,737,159 5,897,799 6,062,938 6,232,700 6,407,216 6,586,618 6,771,043 6,960,632

PLATEAU NC 3,206,531 3,296,314 3,388,611 3,483,492 3,581,030 3,681,298 3,784,375 3,890,337 3,999,267

RIVERS SS 5,198,716 5,344,280 5,493,920 5,647,750 5,805,887 5,968,451 6,135,568 6,307,364 6,483,970

SOKOTO NW 3,702,676 3,806,351 3,912,929 4,022,491 4,135,121 4,250,904 4,369,929 4,492,287 4,618,071

TARABA NE 2,294,800 2,359,054 2,425,108 2,493,011 2,562,815 2,634,574 2,708,342 2,784,176 2,862,133

YOBE NE 2,321,339 2,386,336 2,453,154 2,521,842 2,592,454 2,665,043 2,739,664 2,816,374 2,895,233

ZAMFARA NW 3,278,873 3,370,681 3,465,061 3,562,082 3,661,821 3,764,351 3,869,753 3,978,106 4,089,493

Page 9: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGETSTATES ZONE 2006 (N) 2007 (N) 2008 (N) 2009 (N) 2010 (N) 2011 (N) 2012 (N) 2013 (N) 2014 (N)

ABIA SE 34.6 46.7 57.989 55.536 75.3 105.106 129.959 137.2 149.6

ADAMAWA NE 36.3 40 43.55 53.9 67.463 70.6 87.9 95 97.9

AKWA IBOM SS 118.68 184.03 265.15 283.813 288.834 419.785 533.113 470.08 469.37

ANAMBRA SE 35.87 54.25 60.58 75.53 67 66.9 103.2 110.89 140

BAUCHI NE 59.93 60 120 78.89 87.7 111.957 132.547 137.3 133.7

BAYELSA SS 176.6 148.2 186 164.13 178.52 214.59 238.158 285.93 299.2

BENUE NC 46.3 44.84 64.65 63.29 89.49 71.6 159.78 130.992 105.2

BORNO NE 48.5 56.1 78.87 75 85 99.8 149 184.3 178

CROSS RIVER SS 44.78 39.85 106.654 85.226 111.774 119 144.627 151.37 176.3

DELTA SS 150 189 232.8 256.64 235.7 361.9 437.2 398 391.51

EBONYI SE 28.67 31.2 57.74 73.05 76.205 73.5 86.869 104.374 99.8

EDO SS 51.2 46.98 60.66 80.59 99.25 163.86 150.045 150.97 159.213

EKITI SW 26.2 31 80.91 65.8 69.93 92.5 95.5 97.6 103

ENUGU SE 31.1 38.38 60.71 60.46 67.86 89.6 74.997 82.9 93.3

GOMBE NE 26.41 50 65.29 51.64 55.6 79.4 93.535 107.893 107.4

IMO SE 37 43.4 112.9 134 127 124.475 178.638 197.744 137

JIGAWA NW 48.8 55 67.1 76.7 70.9 77.293 109.525 115.4 114.7

KADUNA NW 59.77 77.05 94.08 153.17 196.7 136.5 154.3 176.4 198.6

KANO NW 49.99 60 71.48 108.7 110.3 157.69 221.7 235.3 219.2

KATSINA NW 37.36 55 83 69.18 81.2 100 113 114 113.6

KEBBI NW 40 50 61.46 61.4 67.8 91.5 97.9 119.9 131.7

KOGI NC 33.89 45 52.37 78.669 78 80 126.411 132.6 128.7

KWARA NC 35.66 60 66.5 72.2 67 60.61 85.1 94.4 124.5

LAGOS SW 224.23 277.77 403.4 405 429.5 445.18 485.3 499 489.69

NASARAWA NC 29.05 35.46 55.7 58.3 87.5 81.506 104 108 114.5

NIGER NC 42.08 50 55.45 69.09 111 129 94.05 83.7 98

OGUN SW 48.58 54.8 77.34 100.02 100.73 98 200.55 211.86 210.2

ONDO SW 48.48 51.5 82.33 84.975 124.3 143 156 151 162

OSUN SW 29.05 34.77 38 98.01 113 88.143 150.125 234 216

OYO SW 60.7 66.23 115.88 128.4 138.851 147 196.072 152.12 188

PLATEAU NC 31.9 45 63.02 79.5 74.864 86.562 115 133.5 228

RIVERS SS 168 183.38 377 432.28 429 415.9 438 490.32 485.52

SOKOTO NW 41 48 53 54.8 75 76.78 100.7 115.83 126

TARABA NE 26.2 33 37.5 48.87 64.144 58.7 73.8 73 79.6

YOBE NE 38.47 44 73 46.47 62.42 69.22 78.5 86.6 102.99

ZAMFARA NW 38.68 66.5 76.5 59.4 73.06 59 120.81 125 114.8

Page 10: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENTSTATE ZONE 2006 (N) 2007 (N) 2008 (N) 2009 (N) 2010 (N) 2011 (N) 2012 (N) 2013 (N) 2014 (N)

ABIA SE 12,160 15,966 19,285 17,966 23,696 32,175 38,700 39,743 42,155

ADAMAWA NE 11,419 12,240 12,963 15,607 19,002 19,344 23,429 24,631 24,692

AKWA IBOM SS 30,415 45,878 64,300 66,951 66,280 93,706 115,762 99,295 96,445

ANAMBRA SE 8,586 12,632 13,721 16,641 14,360 13,948 20,930 21,877 26,868

BAUCHI NE 12,880 12,544 24,404 15,606 16,877 20,958 24,136 24,321 23,038

BAYELSA SS 103,607 84,577 103,259 88,636 93,781 109,659 118,387 138,263 140,739

BENUE NC 10,885 10,254 14,382 13,696 18,838 14,662 31,828 25,382 19,829

BORNO NE 11,628 13,083 17,893 16,551 18,247 20,841 30,268 36,419 34,216

CROSS RIVER SS 15,532 13,446 35,006 27,211 34,716 35,953 42,506 43,276 49,030

DELTA SS 36,475 44,706 53,567 57,444 51,320 76,652 90,079 79,768 76,330

EBONYI SE 13,170 13,942 25,098 30,888 31,345 29,409 33,811 39,518 36,757

EDO SS 15,835 14,134 17,753 22,943 27,485 44,142 39,319 38,484 39,480

EKITI SW 10,924 12,573 31,923 25,254 26,108 33,594 33,739 33,542 34,433

ENUGU SE 9,517 11,425 17,580 17,031 18,594 23,883 19,446 20,909 22,892

GOMBE NE 11,167 20,565 26,123 20,099 21,051 29,243 33,510 37,601 36,410

IMO SE 9,421 10,749 27,201 31,405 28,954 27,605 38,538 41,498 27,967

JIGAWA NW 11,190 12,268 14,560 16,189 14,558 15,438 21,280 21,811 21,088

KADUNA NW 9,777 12,260 14,562 23,062 28,810 19,448 21,385 23,782 26,046

KANO NW 5,317 6,208 7,195 10,643 10,505 14,610 19,981 20,629 18,694

KATSINA NC 6,440 9,222 13,538 10,976 12,532 15,014 16,503 16,196 15,700

KEBBI NW 12,283 14,936 17,859 17,355 18,642 24,474 25,472 30,347 32,425

KOGI NC 10,226 13,209 14,953 21,851 21,075 21,026 32,320 32,979 31,137

KWARA NC 15,076 24,675 26,604 28,097 25,363 22,319 30,484 32,895 42,202

LAGOS SW 24,604 29,648 41,885 40,906 42,199 42,548 45,119 45,129 43,081

NASARAWA NC 15,540 18,452 28,195 28,707 41,912 37,978 47,139 47,618 49,109

NIGER NC 10,640 12,299 13,268 16,081 25,132 28,412 20,150 17,444 19,868

OGUN SW 12,951 14,211 19,510 24,544 24,045 22,756 45,300 46,552 44,929

ONDO SW 14,008 14,475 22,511 22,601 32,160 35,990 38,193 35,962 37,530

OSUN SW 8,502 9,899 10,523 26,403 29,612 22,469 37,227 56,445 50,684

OYO SW 10,876 11,544 19,648 21,178 22,278 22,943 29,768 22,466 27,009

PLATEAU NC 9,948 13,652 18,598 22,822 20,906 23,514 30,388 34,316 57,010

RIVERS SS 32,316 34,313 68,621 76,540 73,891 69,683 71,387 77,738 74,880

SOKOTO NW 11,073 12,611 13,545 13,623 18,137 18,062 23,044 25,784 27,284

TARABA NE 11,417 13,989 15,463 19,603 25,029 22,281 27,249 26,220 27,811

YOBE NE 16,572 18,438 29,758 18,427 24,078 25,973 28,653 30,749 35,572

ZAMFARA NW 11,797 19,729 22,078 16,676 19,952 15,673 31,219 31,422 28,072

Page 11: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENT - CATEGORIZED

N140,739

N15,700

BAYELSA

KATSINA

N125,040RANGE

STANDARD OF LIVING BOARD

HIGH 99,060 < = 140,740

MEDIUM 57,380 < 99,060

LOW 15,700 < 57,380

BASED ON 2014

BUDGET

Page 12: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENT - 2014STATE ZONE 2014

BAYELSA SS 140,739

AKWA IBOM SS 96,445

DELTA SS 76,330

RIVERS SS 74,880

PLATEAU NC 57,010

OSUN SW 50,684

NASARAWA NC 49,109

CROSS RIVER SS 49,030

OGUN SW 44,929

LAGOS SW 43,081

KWARA NC 42,202

ABIA SE 42,155

EDO SS 39,480

ONDO SW 37,530

EBONYI SE 36,757

GOMBE NE 36,410

YOBE NE 35,572

EKITI SW 34,433

BORNO NE 34,216

KEBBI NW 32,425

KOGI NC 31,137

ZAMFARA NW 28,072

IMO SE 27,967

TARABA NE 27,811

SOKOTO NW 27,284

OYO SW 27,009

ANAMBRA SE 26,868

KADUNA NW 26,046

ADAMAWA NE 24,692

BAUCHI NE 23,038

ENUGU SE 22,892

JIGAWA NW 21,088

NIGER NC 19,868

BENUE NC 19,829

KANO NW 18,694

KATSINA NC 15,700

About 89% “State

Budget per Resident”

are categorized as LOW

Coincidental (or there is

more to this), the States

of the present (Bayelsa)

and the former

(Katsina) presidents are

each at the top and the

bottom of the scale

Page 13: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENT (’13, ‘12, ‘11, ‘10)

Page 14: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENT (’09, ‘08, ‘07, ‘06)

Page 15: Budget and Population

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENT - CATEGORIZED

N5,317

N140,739

KANO

BAYELSA

N135,423RANGE

STANDARD OF LIVING BOARD

HIGH 95,599 < = 140,740

MEDIUM 50,458 < 95,599

LOW 5,317 < 50,458

BASED ON 2006 -

2014 BUDGET@2006 Budget

@2014 Budget

Page 16: Budget and Population

STATE ZONE 2006 (N) 2007 (N) 2008 (N) 2009 (N) 2010 (N) 2011 (N) 2012 (N) 2013 (N) 2014 (N)

ABIA SE 12,160 15,966 19,285 17,966 23,696 32,175 38,700 39,743 42,155

ADAMAWA NE 11,419 12,240 12,963 15,607 19,002 19,344 23,429 24,631 24,692

AKWA IBOM SS 30,415 45,878 64,300 66,951 66,280 93,706 115,762 99,295 96,445

ANAMBRA SE 8,586 12,632 13,721 16,641 14,360 13,948 20,930 21,877 26,868

BAUCHI NE 12,880 12,544 24,404 15,606 16,877 20,958 24,136 24,321 23,038

BAYELSA SS 103,607 84,577 103,259 88,636 93,781 109,659 118,387 138,263 140,739

BENUE NC 10,885 10,254 14,382 13,696 18,838 14,662 31,828 25,382 19,829

BORNO NE 11,628 13,083 17,893 16,551 18,247 20,841 30,268 36,419 34,216

CROSS RIVER SS 15,532 13,446 35,006 27,211 34,716 35,953 42,506 43,276 49,030

DELTA SS 36,475 44,706 53,567 57,444 51,320 76,652 90,079 79,768 76,330

EBONYI SE 13,170 13,942 25,098 30,888 31,345 29,409 33,811 39,518 36,757

EDO SS 15,835 14,134 17,753 22,943 27,485 44,142 39,319 38,484 39,480

EKITI SW 10,924 12,573 31,923 25,254 26,108 33,594 33,739 33,542 34,433

ENUGU SE 9,517 11,425 17,580 17,031 18,594 23,883 19,446 20,909 22,892

GOMBE NE 11,167 20,565 26,123 20,099 21,051 29,243 33,510 37,601 36,410

IMO SE 9,421 10,749 27,201 31,405 28,954 27,605 38,538 41,498 27,967

JIGAWA NW 11,190 12,268 14,560 16,189 14,558 15,438 21,280 21,811 21,088

KADUNA NW 9,777 12,260 14,562 23,062 28,810 19,448 21,385 23,782 26,046

KANO NW 5,317 6,208 7,195 10,643 10,505 14,610 19,981 20,629 18,694

KATSINA NC 6,440 9,222 13,538 10,976 12,532 15,014 16,503 16,196 15,700

KEBBI NW 12,283 14,936 17,859 17,355 18,642 24,474 25,472 30,347 32,425

KOGI NC 10,226 13,209 14,953 21,851 21,075 21,026 32,320 32,979 31,137

KWARA NC 15,076 24,675 26,604 28,097 25,363 22,319 30,484 32,895 42,202

LAGOS SW 24,604 29,648 41,885 40,906 42,199 42,548 45,119 45,129 43,081

NASARAWA NC 15,540 18,452 28,195 28,707 41,912 37,978 47,139 47,618 49,109

NIGER NC 10,640 12,299 13,268 16,081 25,132 28,412 20,150 17,444 19,868

OGUN SW 12,951 14,211 19,510 24,544 24,045 22,756 45,300 46,552 44,929

ONDO SW 14,008 14,475 22,511 22,601 32,160 35,990 38,193 35,962 37,530

OSUN SW 8,502 9,899 10,523 26,403 29,612 22,469 37,227 56,445 50,684

OYO SW 10,876 11,544 19,648 21,178 22,278 22,943 29,768 22,466 27,009

PLATEAU NC 9,948 13,652 18,598 22,822 20,906 23,514 30,388 34,316 57,010

RIVERS SS 32,316 34,313 68,621 76,540 73,891 69,683 71,387 77,738 74,880

SOKOTO NW 11,073 12,611 13,545 13,623 18,137 18,062 23,044 25,784 27,284

TARABA NE 11,417 13,989 15,463 19,603 25,029 22,281 27,249 26,220 27,811

YOBE NE 16,572 18,438 29,758 18,427 24,078 25,973 28,653 30,749 35,572

ZAMFARA NW 11,797 19,729 22,078 16,676 19,952 15,673 31,219 31,422 28,072

STATE BUDGET PER RESIDENT (2006 – 2014)

Page 17: Budget and Population

SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONBased on this analysis; Bayelsa, Akwa-Ibom, Delta,

Rivers and Osun States have more ‘State Budget

per Resident’. However, these does not translate

into better standard of living for the residents of

these States.

IT DOES NOT MATTER

WHAT YOU HAVE, IT IS

THE USE OF IT THAT

COUNTS!

Page 18: Budget and Population

Freely share, freely use and freely acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah

Data source:

- http://www.nigerianmuse.com/

- National Population Commission (NPC)

- Wikipedia

Analysis by: Wale Micaiah

e: [email protected]

m: 08078001800

w: www.walemicaiah.com

w: www.statisense.com