bureau of foreign trade, moea mar.16, 2010 challenge vs opportunity -- tasks and prospects in...
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經濟部
Bureau of Foreign Trade, MOEA Mar.16, 2010
Challenge vs Opportunity -- Tasks and Challenge vs Opportunity -- Tasks and
Prospects in Signing ECFAProspects in Signing ECFA
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I. Preface
II. Possible Effects of Signing ECFA
III. Most Recent Progress in Promoting ECFA
IV. Early Harvest Program and Government
Measures for Vulnerable Industries
Outline
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1. Change of Cross-Strait Relations before &
after May 20, 2008
2. Challenges to Taiwan’s Trade Development
3. What We Confronted / will Confront
I. Preface
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1. Change of Cross-Strait Relations before &
after May 20, 2008
From divergence to convergence
From confrontation to negotiation
From antagonism to cooperation
I. Preface
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1. Change of Cross-Strait Relations before &
after May 20, 2008
Look squarely at reality,
Build mutual trust,
Put aside disputes,
Create a win-win situation
I. Preface
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The talks between Chiang Pin-kung, Chairman of Taiwan’s Straits Exchange Fo
undation (SEF), and Chen Yunlin, Chairman of mainland China’s Association fo
r Relations Across the Taiwan Strait (ARATS)
Results of the Chiang-Chen talks
The first round of talks :June13 , 2008
Signed the “Minutes of Talks on Cross-Strait Charter Flights” and “Cross-Strait Agreement on Travel by Mainland
Residents to Taiwan”(1)
The fourth round of talks :December 22, 2009
Three agreements on agricultural product inspection and quarantine(10); cross-strait cooperation on industrial product standards(11), inspection and certification; as well as on fishing crew collaboration(12).
The third round of talks :April 26 , 2009
The two sides completed and signed agreements on joint crime-fighting(6) and mutual judicial assistance, cross-strait financial cooperation(7), and regular cross-strait flights(8). They also reached a consensus on matters pertaining to promoting mainland investment in Taiwan(9).
The second round of talks :NOV. 4 , 2008
Confirmed the content of the four agreements on
cross-strait air transport(2), sea transport(3),
postal services(4), and food safety(5)
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2. Challenges to Taiwan’s Trade Development
I. Preface
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0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Trade Milestones in Taiwan: Taiwan’s foreign trade turned a surplus for the first time in 1971; Taiwan’s foreign trade value exceeded US$100 billion in 1988 and exceeded US$200 billion in 1995. Total trade value has continued to grow rapidly since 2003, exceeding US$300 billion in 2004, exceeding US$400 billion in 2006 and exceeding US$496 billion in 2008, which was more than 120 times greater than in 1971, thus becoming the 18th leading exporter in the world.
Rapid Growth in Trade
Data Source : DGBAS, R.O.C. ;WTO
TAIWAN TOTAL TRADE VALUE TAIWAN TOTAL TRADE VALUE
19713.9
2. Challenges to Taiwan’s Trade Development Taiwan’s trade performance over the years
2008496.1
1988 110.2
1995 217.3
2004 351.1
2006 426.7
2007 465.9
2009378.4
(Unit: US$ billion)
Ranking Country
1 Germany
2 China
3 US
4 Japan
5 Netherlands
6 France
12 South Korea
13 Hong Kong
14 Singapore
15 Saudi Arabia
16 Mexico
17 Spain
18 Taiwan
2008 Ranking of GlobalExporters in Merchandise
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Due to the rapid slowdown in the international economy caused by the global financial tsunami, Taiwan’s exports have declined for eleven consecutive months since Sep. 2008. According to the latest export performance, the worst situation ended in the 4th quarter of 2009 with exports amounting to US$59.8 billion, an increase of 8% compared with the previous 3 quarters of consecutive growth; though it hasn’t fallen back to the 2008 level .
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Export value Growth rate
Export value 22.1 17.6 24.2 22.6 23.6 24.3 22.9 25.3 21.9 20.8 16.8 13.6 12.4 12.6 15.6 14.8 16.2 17 17.3 19 19.1 19.8 20 20 21.8
Growth rate 11.8 18.3 22.7 13.9 20.5 21.2 7.9 18.2 -1.6 -8.3 -23.3 -41.9 -44.1 -28.6 -35.8 -34.3 -31.5 -30.4 -24.4 -24.6 -12.7 -4.7 19.3 46.9 75.8
2008Jan.
Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul.Aug
.Sep
.Oct. Nov. Dec.
2009Jan.
Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul.Aug
.Sep
.Oct. Nov. Dec.
2010Jan.
Severe plunge in Taiwan’s exports since Sep. 2008
Unit: US$ billion; %
Data source: Taiwan Directorate General of Customs
2. Challenges to Taiwan’s Trade Development
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US48.1%
Japan11.3%
Others16.6%
ASEAN-66.0% Hong Kong
8.3%
Europe9.7%
1985US$30.8 billion
Data source: Taiwan Directorate General of Customs; Compiled by the BOFT
US11.6%
Japan7.1%
Others14.3%
ASEAN-614.8%
MainlandChina & Hong
Kong41.1%
Europe11.1%
Europe17.8%
MainlandChina & Hong
Kong23.2%
ASEAN-616.4%
Others7.6%
Japan8.4%
US26.6%
1998US$110.6 billion
Taiwan’s major export destinations have shifted to China Taiwan’s major export destinations have shifted to China
2009US$203.7 billion
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Taiwan's Share of Trade in GDP from 1998 to 2009
TOTAL TRADE 77.9 77.7 89.8 80.3 83.5 91.2 106.1 107.4 117.1 121.6 126.6 99.7
EXPORT 40 40.7 46.2 43.3 45.5 49.3 55.1 55.9 61.5 64.4 65.2 53.7
IMPORT 37.9 37 43.6 37 38.0 41.9 51.0 51.5 55.6 57.2 61.4 46
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Data Source: DGBAS, R.O.C.
2. Challenges to Taiwan’s Trade Development
Unit :%
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Taiwan is an export-oriented economy and foreign trade has played a vital role in Taiwan's economic development over the past years. Taiwan’s trade contribution has accounted for around 60-70% in recent years, showing the importance of trade in Taiwan's economic development.
Trade contribution to Taiwan's economic growth
Data source : Directorate General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan
Note: The economic growth rate in 2001 and 2009 are negative, hence the contribution can not be calculated.
1999 5.97 2.70 3.27 -0.67 0.57 -0.46 3.27 5.70 2.43 54.77
2000 5.80 5.65 3.03 0.19 2.07 0.36 0.15 9.01 8.86 2.59
2001 -1.65 -6.21 0.62 0.27 -5.18 -1.93 4.56 -4.73 -9.29 -----Note
2002 5.26 2.84 2.12 0.24 0.27 0.22 2.42 5.81 3.39 46.01
2003 3.67 2.37 1.85 -0.18 -0.02 0.72 1.30 5.53 4.23 35.42
2004 6.19 7.34 3.27 0.08 3.12 0.88 -1.15 8.86 10.01 -18.58
2005 4.70 1.85 1.81 0.03 0.64 -0.63 2.86 4.86 2.00 60.85
2006 5.44 0.95 0.92 -0.09 0.02 0.10 4.49 7.34 2.85 82.54
2007 5.98 1.34 1.23 0.25 0.12 -0.27 4.65 6.49 1.85 77.76
2008 0.73 -1.54 -0.33 0.08 -2.36 1.07 2.27 0.40 -1.88 310.96
2009 -1.87 -3.34 0.83 0.42 -2.20 -2.39 1.48 -6.47 -7.94 -----Note
Sub-totalExports ofGoods andServices
Less:Imports ofGoods andServices
Demand of Rest of The World
Tradecontributionto Taiwan'seconomic
growth
Private FinalConsumption
GovernmentFinal
Consumption
Item
Period
EconomicGrow th
Rate(yoy)
Sub-total
Domestic Demand
Gross FixedCapital
Formation
Increase inStocks
2. Challenges to Taiwan’s Trade Development
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3. What We Confronted / will Confront
I. Preface
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3. What We Confronted / will Confront
Taiwan acceded to WTO as a formal & full
member on Jan. 1, 2002
WTO Rules:
Standstill
MFN
National Treatment
Transparency
I. Preface
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3. What We Confronted / will Confront
Turbulence
FTAs/RTAs Exceptions to MFN Rules
266 FTAs/RTAs are currently in effect, of
which 41 are signed by Asian countries.
Taiwan has signed 4 FTAs with 5 countri
es, which account for only 0.187% of our
global exports.
I. Preface
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Southern Common Market
(MERCOSUR)
North American Free Trade Area( NAFTA)
Establishing Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA)
EU-Mexico Free Trade Area
European Union (EU)
ASEAN-JapanComprehensive Economic
Partnership Agreement(set to lower tariffs on most
goods to 0% in 2018)
ASEAN-South Korea Free Trade Area(set to lower tariffs on most goods to
0% in 2010)
Japan-SingaporeNew Age Economic
Partnership Agreement
ASEAN-India
ASEAN-Australia + New Zealand Free Trade Area
Signed Feb. 27, 2009Entered into force July 1, 2009
China-Hong Kong-MacaoCloser Economic
Partnership Arrangement (CEPA)ASEAN Free
Trade Area (AFTA)
US-South Korea FTA
CAFTA- DR
Delay in concluding WTO Doha Round has caused the spread of international bilateral FTAs and accelerated the deepening of regional economic integration in the world.
EU-South Korea
ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (set to lower tariffs on most
goods to 0% in 2010)
The Trend and Present State of Acceleration of Economic Integration
The Trend and Present State of Acceleration of Economic Integration
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Taiwan’s world ranking and share of exports and imports over this past decade
Amount Ranking Share Amount Ranking Share Amount Ranking
1999 121.6 14 2.2 110.7 15 1.9 232.3 15
2000 148.3 14 2.3 140.0 15 2.1 288.3 14
2001 126.3 14 2.0 108.0 16 1.7 234.3 16
2002 135.3 14 2.0 113.2 16 1.7 248.6 15
2003 150.6 15 2.0 128.0 16 1.6 278.6 15
2004 182.4 17 2.0 168.8 16 1.8 351.1 16
2005 198.4 16 1.9 182.6 16 1.7 381.0 16
2006 224.0 16 1.9 202.7 16 1.6 426.7 17
2007 246.7 16 1.8 219.2 17 1.5 465.9 17
2008 256.0 18 1.6 240.0 18 1.5 496.0 17
Total Trade Amount ImportsExports
Data source:WTO International trade statistics annually
Unit: US$ billion;%
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ASEAN + China FTA1 Jan. 2005, began implanting tariff reductions on
goods.
1 Jan. 2010, zero tariff on most goods.
ASEAN + South Korea FTA1 July 2007, began implementing tariff reductions
on goods.
1 July 2010, zero tariff on 90% of goods.
Impact in 2010
I. Preface
3. What We Confronted / will Confront
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3. What We Confronted / will Confront
I. Preface
Countries Dates Terms
ASEAN + India FTA
Will enter into force Mar. 2010
Between 2013 and 2016, mutual reduction of import tariffs on 80% of goods.
ASEAN + Japan EPA Dec. 2008 By 2018, zero tariff on
91% of goods
Japan + Vietnam EPA Oct. 2009
By 2019, zero tariff on 92% of total bilateral trade goods.
ASEAN + Australia & New Zealand FTA
Jan. 2010 By 2020, zero tariff on 96% of goods.
Impact in the next 10 years
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Countries Dates Terms
South Korea + USA FTA
Signed Jun. 2007.
Pending approval of respective National Assemblies.
95% of S. Korean and USA industrial and consumer goods will be exempt from tariffs within 3 years of FTA implementation.
South Korea + EU FTA
To be signed in Q1 2010.
(Initialed 15 Oct. 2009)
South Korea + India FTA
Entered into force
1 Jan. 2010.
India commits to tariff cuts/exemptions for 85% of S. Korean goods.
S. Korea commits to tariff cuts/exemptions for 93% of Indian goods.
Impact in the next 10 years
I. Preface
3. What We Confronted / will Confront
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Potential effects of future East Asia FTAs/RTAs
FTAs/RTAs currently under study
ASEAN+3 (mainland China+Japan+Korea)
ASEAN+6 (mainland China+Japan+Korea+ Indi
a+Australia+New Zealand)
Mainland China+Japan+Korea
Korea+China FTA (5 joint studies completed as
of June, 2008)
Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific (FTAAP)
I. Preface
3. What We Confronted / will Confront
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3. What We Confronted / will Confront
The future options
For political reasons, we haven’t yet had an
y positive response from “target trading par
tners” to our endeavor in promoting bilatera
l FTAs.
Work on the Cross-strait ECFA?
I. Preface
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II. Possible Effects of Signing ECFA
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Improve Macroeconomic Scale (1/2)
Effects of signing ECFA: Macroeconomy (dynamic analysis)
Scenario
Item
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
GDP (%) 1.65 1.72
Exports (%) 4.87 4.99
Imports (%) 6.95 7.07
Trade condition (%) 1.42 1.41
Social welfare(US$ million)
7,710.90 7,771.00
Trade balance(US$ million)
1,757.90 1,779.40
Total production(US$ million)
28,004.73 28,884.20
Resource: GTAP 7.0 database, “Evaluation on the Impact of ECFA,” CIER, 2009.06Scenario 1: Maintain current restrictions on agriculture and industry sectors, liberalize items now open to import, and have zero tariff for all Chinese goods. Scenario 2: Maintain import restrictions and do not reduce tariffs only in the agriculture sector; eliminate tariffs and fully liberalize import of industrial items.
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Simulated Scenario
Employment
(default)
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Percent change
Persons Percent change
Persons
10,100,720 2.6 257,286 2.6 263,100
Agriculture
(1-32)716,218 1.7 12,288 1.7 11,951
Manufactg.
(33-112)1,890,890 1.4 25,961 1.5 28,105
Services
(113-161)7,493,612 2.9 219,037 3.0 223,044
Effects of signing ECFA: employment (dynamic analysis)
Note: The employment numbers in each industry are estimates based on employment table 2006 published by the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics.
Resource: “Evaluation on the Impact of ECFA,” CIER, 2009.06
Note: The employment numbers in each industry are estimates based on employment table 2006 published by the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics.
Resource: “Evaluation on the Impact of ECFA,” CIER, 2009.06
Improve Total Employment (2/2)
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Gain Larger Savings Margin on Tariffs than China(1/2)
Possible effects of tariffs (based on 2008 performance) (1/2)
Currently:China sets no special limitation on Taiwan products; its average tari
ff on industrial goods is 9%. – Taiwan’s exports to China (including Hong Kong) have reached US$
100 billion (tariffs amount to US$9 billion)
Taiwan maintains restrictions on 1,300 industrial and 834 agricultural goods with the average tariff on industrial goods at 4%.
– China’s exports to Taiwan are valued at US$35 billion (tariffs amount to US$1.4 billion)
We ran a US$65 billion trade surplus; Taiwan’s tariff burden exceeded China’s by US$7.6 billion.
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Gain Larger Savings Margin on Tariffs than China (2/2)
Possible effects of tariffs (based on 2008) (2/2)
If both sides eliminate tariffs after signing ECFA and exports for both sides grow by 20%, then:
Export growth Tariff elimination
Taiwan:Exports to China will increase US$120 billion China:Exports to Taiwan will increase US$42 billion
Taiwan’s trade surplus will expand US$78 billion
Taiwan:Will save US$10.8 billion in tariff expenditure China:Will save US$10.8 billion in tariff expenditure
Taiwan gains more!
We will benefit more from the export expansion since China has larger market scale than we do.
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Deepen Relations b/w Taiwan and Major Trade Partners Expected
FTAAP
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Create Taiwan’s Advantages in Services Trade
In addition to trade in goods, ECFA can also provide numerous benefits to Taiwan’s services trade by helping foreign businesses invest in Taiwan as well as Taiwan businesses investing in China.
In the Early Harvest List, Taiwan would like to request “market access” commitments from China in the financial and banking sectors for example, by reducing regulations on Taiwan banks setting up branches in China, restrictions on asset thresholds, and requirements for 3 consecutive years of profits. This will not only provide financial services to Taiwan businesses in China, but also help them resolve financial problems. Financially related domestic peripheral industries will also benefit while creating more employment opportunities.
The securities industry: Taiwan requests China to reduce restrictions on investments and investment advisory services by allowing Taiwan trusts to invest in China. This will enable China to raise capital for investing in Taiwan’s stock markets, increase business revenues, and enhance professional capabilities, which will benefit normal cross-strait financial business.
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Strengthen Taiwan’s Advantages in Terms of International Position (1/5)
Taiwan will enter the mainland Chinese market ahead of its main competitors.
ECFA will help convert the mainland from a production base to a core market for businesses in Taiwan.
Taiwan will become a priority cooperation partner and gateway for foreign businesses seeking to enter the mainland Chinese market.
ECFA will accelerate Taiwan’s development into a regional industrial operations center.
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Taiwan will enter the mainland Chinese market ahead of its main competitors. Tariffs on most industrial products exported from Taiwan to
China will be reduced to zero.
By getting in ahead of competitors like South Korea and Japan, Taiwan will replace their positions in that market.
Take petrochemical raw materials as an example. In 2007, China imported approximately US$76.3 billion, of which Taiwan accounted for 15%, South Korea 20%, and Japan 18%. If China’s average import tariff ( 6.17%) were reduced to zero, that would help Taiwan to win over Japan and South Korean’s combined market share (38%), worth approximately US$38 billion.
Strengthen Taiwan’s Advantages in Terms of International Position(2/5)
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ECFA will help convert the mainland from a production base to a core market for businesses in Taiwan.
Once the mainland reduces tariffs on most industrial goods to zero, it will help businesses to keep Taiwan on their supply chains and continue supplying their customers through the three links.
For instance, when the mainland reduces tariffs on scooter parts from approximately 10% to zero, the various satellite factories may choose to ship from Taiwan, since then they will benefit from the zero tariffs as well as the better quality of production in Taiwan.
Strengthen Taiwan’s Advantages in Terms of International Position(3/5)
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Taiwan will become a priority cooperation partner and gateway for foreign businesses seeking to enter the mainland Chinese market.
Taiwan provides: Ripple effects:
Help foreign companies
choose Taiwan as gateway
into China’s market Set up regional R&D,
production, or operation
centers Taiwan will be a first-choice
“global innovation center” and
“Asia-Pacific trading hub” for
multinationals.
Preferential tariffs for goods exported to China
Better IPR protections
The three links
Incentives for building R&D centers in Taiwan
Strengthen Taiwan’s Advantages in Terms of International Position(4/5)
Taiwan provides: Ripple effects:
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ECFA will accelerate Taiwan’s development into a regional industrial operations center.Effects of trade liberalization (three links, personnel
flows, lowered tariffs, removal of non-tariff barriers, etc.) will remake Taiwan into a multifunctional operations center with capabilities in transshipment, logistics, distribution, end-processing, etc.
Coupled with the relaxation of restrictions on China-bound investment, measures to encourage the return of Taiwan businesses to the domestic market will make Taiwan their “operational HQ.”
Strengthen Taiwan’s Advantages in Terms of International Position(5/5)
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International Views on ECFA (1/2)
American Chamber of Commerce 2009 Taiwan White Paper (May 2009)
We would also hope that the conclusion of this trade agreement with China would pave the way for Taiwan to participate in regional trade blocs and enter into bilateral FTAs with additional trading partners.
Japanese Chamber of Commerce & Industry, Taipei 2009 Taiwan White Paper Issue (October 2009)
If the ECFA comes into being, it should form a great opportunity for Taiwan and Japan to discuss signing an FTA. Therefore, this Chamber sincerely looks forward to progress being made in the ECFA negotiations.
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International Views on ECFA (2/2)
European Chamber of Commerce Taipei 2009-2010 Position Pap
er Overview (October 2009)
The sooner Taiwan signs the ECFA with China, the quicker political impediments to other countries (including the EU) signing economic agreements with Taiwan will be removed.
In order to revitalize Taiwan’s economy and increase trade, the ECCT recommends that the government seeks to sign an Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) with China and commit to Trade Enhancement measures with Europe as soon as possible. This will help to secure Taiwan’s position as an important link between China and Europe and reintegrate Taiwan into the global and regional economy.
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Make Taiwan a global center of innovation, an Asia-Pacific hub of economy and trade, and the headquarters for Taiwanese businesses.
Establish a stable cross-strait economic and trade cooperation framework; open a favorable cross-strait interaction mechanism.
Improve the basis of promoting Taiwan’s opportunities to enter into bilateral FTAs with other countries and participate in regional economic and trade cooperation.
Prospects for Cross-Strait Economic
and Trade Cooperation
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Cross-strait links will ease the bottleneck of participating in regional cooperation
Promote dynamic modifications in cross-strait economic and trade relations
Integration of business opportunities in global and mainland markets
• Facilitate cross-strait projects and cross-strait industry exchanges
• Expand cross-strait direct flights• Open Taiwan’s production enterprises to
Chinese investments• Loosen the 40% ceiling on investments in
China and other industry restrictions
Shanghai
Silicon Valley
Taipei
Dual Golden
Triangles of High-
Tech Industries
Tokyo Shanghai
Taipei
• Promote the ECFA• Sign FTAs• Join ASEAN + N
Possible Effects of Signing ECFA
Promoting Internationalization of Taiwan’s Economy, Trade and Investments
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III. Most Recent Progress in Promoting ECFA
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1.Steps Toward Signing the Agreement
Individual studies conducted by each side
Joint studies Negotiation Signin
g Send to legislatures for approval
Take effect
Latest Development: Joint study period is
completed, and the first formal negotiation was
held in Beijing on 26 January 2010.
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2.Achievements of the first round of formal negotiation (1/3)
Name of agreement
Basic structure of ECFA’s clauses
Rules and positions of “Early Harvest List
s” on goods and services
Arrangements for the next round of
formal negotiation
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2. Achievements of the first round of formal negotiation (2/3)
Name of agreement Each side agreed that the tentative Chinese title is「海峽兩岸經濟合作架構 (框架 )協議」
The English title “Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement” (ECFA) may be used temporarily.
Basic structure of ECFA’s clauses Include market access on trade in goods, trade in services, r
ules of origin, early harvest lists, trade relief, dispute settlement, investment and economic cooperation
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2. Achievements of the first round of formal negotiation (3/3)
Early Harvest Lists
The two sides further discussed rules and positions on the early harvest lists on trade in goods and services; agreement not yet reached.
Arrangements for the next round
The two sides agreed in principle to hold the next round in Taiwan.
The Taiwan side aims to have ECFA signed at the 5th Chiang-Chen meeting in late May or early June.
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IV. Early Harvest Program and Government Measures for Vulnerable Industries
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Industries likely to benefit more:Both production and export increases for the plasti
cs, machinery, textiles, petroleum and coal products, and steel industries
Industries likely to be more adversely affected:Electrical machinery and electronic products: the n
egative outcome is due to the low cross-strait tariff rates (0.71% and 0.58% respectively) for those sectors, but assumptions in the model do not necessarily reflect the reality
Other transportation tools, and wooden products
1. ECFA’s Effects on Taiwan Industries
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2. Early Harvest Program (provisional) (1/2)
For trade in goods: Selection process:
The Ministry of Economic Affairs (MOEA) entrusted CIER to compile a preliminary detailed list by analyzing and screening trade statistical data and collecting industry opinion through questionnaires. Then, to reconfirm the opinions and demands from industrial sectors, the MOEA commissioned the Chinese National Federation of Industries (CNFI) to hold a public hearing on 8 January 2010 that was attended by its 152 member associations on the design of the early harvest list.
Selection principles: (1) Agricultural goods would not be included; (2) items for which
opening would be difficult would be excluded; (3) include items for which tariff reduction is urgent and apply tariff deductions that correspond to those in the Chinese market, e.g. ASEAN+1.
Plan:Provisionally, we will propose several hundred important product
items in the petrochemical, textile, machinery and components, automotive, and other industrial sectors.
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2. Early Harvest Program (provisional) (2/2)
For trade in services: Four principles:
Sectors that match our commercial interests (opportunities) and those in which Taiwanese companies have expressed demand (urgency)
Sectors that are unrestricted in FTAs between China and other WTO members (including the CEPAs) and sectors included in the service opening commitment list that China submitted to the WTO Doha round.
Sectors that are on the first stage open list (late June 2009) permitting mainland Chinese funds to enter Taiwan.
Sectors for which Taiwan’s degree of opening as pledged in the WTO is greater than China’s.
After several cross-sector discussions among services authorities, approximately ten service items are planned for proposal.
On 6 January 2010, a public hearing on “ECFA’s Effects on Service Sector Development,” was held by the MOEA and CNFI, during which MOEA further explained the above principles and solicited opinions, which were consulted and used to make revisions.
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3. Possible effects of early harvest on Taiwan
Trade in goodsThose listed in the early harvest program (e.g.
petro-chemicals, textiles) enjoy tariff exemption costs down profits rise However, some less competitive industries will
suffer, so that various government measures will be implemented.
Trade in servicesStrive for better-than-WTO treatment to gain
the advantage of market access in China
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Items not yet permitted for import from mainland China and those that primarily meet domestic demand will not be included on the Early Harvest list, or they will be included on the list of sensitive sectors, or the government will try in negotiation to exclude them from lower tariff or to get a longer period of adjustment for them. During the negotiation process, they would not be included on the “Early Harvest” list, or the government would try to get a more prolonged period of adjustment for them.
Include anti-dumping and safeguard measures in the negotiations, so that when domestic industries are affected by imports of large amounts of inexpensive products, relevant relief measures can be taken to reduce the impact.
Include a termination clause. If China does not abide by the agreement or special situations occur, we may notify China of termination of the agreement.
Strive for better terms during negotiation
4. Government Response Measures (1/3)
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To deal with the possible effects on industries and laborers, three supportive strategies will be adopted; total budget for the next ten years will be NT$95 billion.
Guidance on industrial upgradingProvision of SME loan guaranteesSupport for SME cluster developmentAssistance in export promotion
Guidance on industrial upgradingLow-interest loans for upgrading plants and equipmentEmployment assistance
Stimulus, guidance
Assistance for industrial transformation and new product line developmentAssistance for career changes
Adjustment
Damage relief
Implement a project to support industries’ adjustment to trade liberalization
4. Government response measures (2/3)
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Implement a project to strengthen guidance for industries adjusting to trade liberalization
4. Government response measures (3/3)
MOEA has already launched this project for industries that are domestic demand-oriented, less competitive, and easily affected by impact of trade liberalization. It includes:
1. Industry surveys, 1. Industry surveys,
strategic planningstrategic planning 1. Industry surveys, 1. Industry surveys,
strategic planningstrategic planning
2. Assistance for 2. Assistance for market expansion and market expansion and
promotionpromotion
2. Assistance for 2. Assistance for market expansion and market expansion and
promotionpromotion
3. Technical and 3. Technical and management management guidanceguidance
3. Technical and 3. Technical and management management guidanceguidance
4. Improved 4. Improved
occupational trainingoccupational training 4. Improved 4. Improved
occupational trainingoccupational training
Surveys to keep tabs on development status and problems facedSurveys to keep tabs on development status and problems faced Strategic planning on future development based on survey resultsStrategic planning on future development based on survey results
Surveys to keep tabs on development status and problems facedSurveys to keep tabs on development status and problems faced Strategic planning on future development based on survey resultsStrategic planning on future development based on survey results
Set up MIT quality mark certification systemSet up MIT quality mark certification system Assist businesses on domestic and foreign market expansionAssist businesses on domestic and foreign market expansion Organize joint MIT product fair activitiesOrganize joint MIT product fair activities
Set up MIT quality mark certification systemSet up MIT quality mark certification system Assist businesses on domestic and foreign market expansionAssist businesses on domestic and foreign market expansion Organize joint MIT product fair activitiesOrganize joint MIT product fair activities
Help businesses improve added-value by introduction of design estheticsHelp businesses improve added-value by introduction of design esthetics Use existing tech capabilities to provide timely tech assistance on Use existing tech capabilities to provide timely tech assistance on
upgrades to individual businesses to make them competitive more quicklyupgrades to individual businesses to make them competitive more quickly
Help businesses improve added-value by introduction of design estheticsHelp businesses improve added-value by introduction of design esthetics Use existing tech capabilities to provide timely tech assistance on Use existing tech capabilities to provide timely tech assistance on
upgrades to individual businesses to make them competitive more quicklyupgrades to individual businesses to make them competitive more quickly
Provide training for technical personnel in line with industry needs and Provide training for technical personnel in line with industry needs and improve quality of personnelimprove quality of personnel
Based on needs of industrial clusters or systems, provide training for Based on needs of industrial clusters or systems, provide training for cross-industry, multifunctional capabilities, to help resolve overall issuescross-industry, multifunctional capabilities, to help resolve overall issues
Provide training for technical personnel in line with industry needs and Provide training for technical personnel in line with industry needs and improve quality of personnelimprove quality of personnel
Based on needs of industrial clusters or systems, provide training for Based on needs of industrial clusters or systems, provide training for cross-industry, multifunctional capabilities, to help resolve overall issuescross-industry, multifunctional capabilities, to help resolve overall issues
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