business and sustainable development: the global contextwbcsdcement.org/pdf/csiforum2011/02 - 20...
TRANSCRIPT
Björn Stigson, President WBCSD
Cement Sustainability Initiative Symposium, Bangkok
20 September, 2011
Business and Sustainable
Development:
The Global Context
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 2
A World in Transition to Sustainability
SocietyEconomy
Environment
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 3
The Future Society: A growth story
0
1
2
3
4
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6
7
8
9
10
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Source: United Nations Population
Division, World Population
Prospects: The 2006 Revision.
World population (in Billions): 1950-2050
85%
15%
Population in less developed countries
Population in more developed countries
2010= 6.9 billion
2050= 9.2 billion
+33%
85%
15%
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 4
Development: The Poverty Challenge
Income poverty:• Over 2 billion people live on less than $2/day
Energy poverty:
• 1.6 billion people today without access to electricity
Mobility poverty:
• 900 million people without access to transport
Water poverty:
• 1.8 million deaths per year due to lack of sanitation,
poor hygiene and unsafe drinking water.
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 5
Urbanization
50% urban in 2010: 3 billion
70% urban in 2050: 6 billion
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 6
Shifting Fortunes
Emerging economies > 50% of global GDP and trend will continue
So
urc
e: A
ng
us M
ad
dis
on
, OE
CD
; IMF
Fro
m T
he
Eco
no
mis
t prin
t ed
ition
.
“Wre
stlin
g fo
r influ
en
ce
.” Ju
ly 3
rd 2
00
8.
% Share of GDP
0
20
40
60
80
1913 1950 2005 2025
Emerging economies Developed economies
* At purchasing-power parity
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 7
Shifting demographics
Source: UN population prospects, 2008
A largely aging world The cost of growing old
Age-related spending (as % of GDP in selected
countries) Source: Standard and Poors 2010
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 8
A World in Transition to Sustainability
SocietyEconomy
Environment
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 9
The Search for Green Growth Solutions Globally
• OECD “Towards Green Growth”
• EU Green Plan 2020
• UNEP “ Towards a Green Economy: Pathways to
Sustainable Development and Poverty Eradication”
• Rio + 20, 2011: Key agenda items
o Green Growth
o Global Governance of sustainable development
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 10
The Green Race is on
• “The Green Race is on” between countries to
become the leading supplier of resource
efficient and low polluting technologies &
solutions
• If you want to win:
o Transform your home market to build
domestic demand, competences and scale
for exports
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 11
The Green Race is On
China
• About to become the leader in the Green Race
• Key component of 12th 5-Year Plan (2011-2015)
• Renewable energy investment:
o No. 1 rank globally
o 49 BUSD invested globally in 2010
o Taking the lead on solar & wind
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 12
The Green Race is On
Korea
• Largest share of economic stimulus devoted to “green”
sector (80%)
• “1 of 5 Green Powerhouses globally”
• GGGI – Global Green Growth Institute
Japan
• Most energy efficient economy
• Has a good technology platform for green solutions
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 13
The Green Race is On
India
• Supplier of low cost solutions based on
domestic demand from a large, poor population
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 14
The Green Race is On
EU
• Market leader today on green technology exports
(40% market share)
• 300% increase in R&D for green technologies in
2009
• Transformation of the internal market?
US
• Mobilizing the US innovation capability?
• Transformation of the home market?
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 15
Consequences for Business
• Availability of resources will be more limited and more
expensive
• Pollution will carry a price
o CO2,
o SOx
o NOx
o Discharge to water
• Resource efficient, low-polluting solutions are strategic
priorities for companies
o A condition for staying in business
• Measurement, reporting and verification of company
sustainability performance will be required by
governments, financial markets and consumers
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 16
WBCSD Vision 2050
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 17
Vision 2050: 9 Billion people, living well, within limits
of the planet
Human Development Index (HDI)
Eco
logic
al F
oo
tprin
t (G
lob
al H
ecta
res p
er
Pe
rson
)
So
urce: G
FN
/ UN
DP
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 18
The path we know
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 19
Reaching Vision 2050: Two mega changes for success, two
innovation challenges for the world
Human Development Index (HDI)
Eco
logic
al F
oo
tprin
t (G
lob
al H
ecta
res p
er
Pe
rson
)
So
urce: G
FN
/ UN
DP
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 20
Vision 2050 Pathway: 9 elements
TODAY
The pathway to Vision 2050
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 21
Business Opportunities in Vision 2050
Building & transforming…
a. Cities
b. Infrastructure
c. Livelihoods & lifestyles
Helping change happen
Improving biocapacity &
managing ecosystems
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 22
WBCSD Work Program
Focus Areas
- Water
- Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity
Utilities
- Tires
-Mobility
- Mining
Sector
Projects
Energy and
Climate
The Business Role
Capacity
Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption
& Value Chains
•Food, water & land-use
Systems Solutions
Johannesburg, July 2011
-SDMI
-GHG
Protocol
-Eco Patent
Commons
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 23
Energy & Climate today I
• The future energy system post Fukushima?
o Nuclear?
o More renewables and gas
o Focus on energy efficiency
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 24
The Growing Importance of Energy Efficiency
SOURCE: IEA WEO 2009
Total(2030) = 13840 MT
Efficiency= 57%
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 25
Energy and Climate today II
• Many critical systems solutions/trade offs remain to be
solved
• Energy access for all/ reduced energy poverty
1.6 billion people lack access to electricity
o Energy & Partnership
Energy
Food
Land use
Water
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 26
Work since 12 years
• New standards for Value Chains and Product
Life Cycles launched 2011
• Future Focus
Sector-specific protocols
o Chemicals
o Aluminum
WBCSD/WRI Green House Gases Protocol
* GHG: Green House Gas
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 27
WBCSD work program
Focus Areas
- Water
- Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity
Utilities
- Tires
- Mobility
- Mining
Sector
Projects
Energy and
Climate
The Business Role
Capacity
Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
Systems Solutions
- SDMI
- GHG
Protocol
- Eco Patent
Commons
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption
& Value Chains
• Food, water & land-use
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 28
Convention on Biological Diversity
COP 10, Nagoya, Japan, Oct 2010
Strategic Plan approved by 193 countries
1. National biodiversity action plans
2. “Aichi” targets for biodiversity by 2020 e.g.
• Increase land Protected Area by 17%;
marine to 10%
• Halve rate of habitat lost including forests
3. Nagoya Protocol on Access & Benefit Sharing
* COP: Conference of the Parties
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 29
WBCSD and Ecosystems
• Ecosystem Services Review (ESR)
o Method to develop strategies to manage risks and
opportunities arising from dependence and impact
on ecosystems
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 30
• Corporate Ecosystem Valuation (CEV)
o Value impacts and dependencies
o Complementary to other business tools
WBCSD and Ecosystems
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 31
WBCSD work program
Focus Areas
- Water
- Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity
Utilities
- Tires
- Mobility
- Mining
Sector
Projects
Energy and
Climate
The Business Role
Capacity
Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
Systems Solutions
- SDMI
- GHG
Protocol
- Eco Patent
Commons
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption
& Value Chains
• Food, water & land-use
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 32
Sector approaches
• Focus on sectors as platforms for effective
national implementation of actions (NAMAs)
• Engagement along the entire value chain in
sectors
• Technology Roadmaps
o IEA technology road map work
• GHG Protocols
o Consistent measurement and reporting for
the sector
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 33
Cement Sustainability Initiative (CSI) • 23 member companies - 10 years of successful collaboration
• Achievements:
oGlobal database on energy and CO2
o Industry guidelines & company commitments (emissions, fuels, raw materials, safety management)
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 34
CSI/ IEA Technology Roadmap
• Outlines existing and potential technologies,
and how they may help the industry support a
halving of global CO₂ emissions (Dec. 2009)
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 35
Energy Efficiency in Buildings (EEB)
• Buildings represent 40 - 50 % of world energy
use
• Report: “Transforming the Market”
• Key Message: Cutting building emissions by
50% globally by 2050 is possible at an average
abatement cost of 25USD/tCO2 (PIIE, 2009)
• A new Global Building Sector Project in
collaboration with IEA (International Energy Agency)
* PIIE: Peterson Institute of International Economics
* IEA: International Energy Agency
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 36
WBCSD work program
Focus Areas
- Water
- Buildings
- Forest Products
- Cement
- Electricity
Utilities
- Tires
- Mobility
- Mining
Sector
Projects
Energy and
Climate
The Business Role
Capacity
Building
• Urban Infrastructure• Sustainable Value Chains
Systems Solutions
- SDMI
- GHG
Protocol
- Eco Patent
Commons
• Urban Infrastructure
• Sustainable Consumption
& Value Chains
• Food, water & land-use
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 37
Urban Infrastructure InitiativeI (UII)
Overall objective:
Involving business early in the urban planning process will help
create a cross-cutting strategy and provide competitive and
effective solutions
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 38
Water limits
33% of the
world’s population
could be affected
by water scarcity
by 2025
Source: OECD Towards Green Growth
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 39
Water stewardship
Measuring water use and assessing impacts
• WBCSD Global Water Tool
o Sector customizations
– Electricity Utilities
– Oil & Gas
o Country tools
– Indian Water Tool
• Water Footprint Network
• Development of ISO standard
on water footprint
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 40
Short term Global Context I
• Fukushima nuclear disaster
• Political unrest in the Arab world
• Continued economic and financial
challenges in OECD countries
• Political ramifications from US mid-term
election
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 41
Short Term Global Context II
• More political tensions in intergovernmental
processes and negotiations
o Climate Change
o Trade (WTO)
• Stronger national regulations and enforcement
of company performance
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 42
A World in Transition to Sustainability
SocietyEconomy
Environment
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 43
New partnerships needed
• Between governments and business
o Both globally and nationally
o Business has a major role to play as a solutions
provider
• Business to business
o Cooperation within industry sectors across country
borders will grow in importance
– Eg. Cement Sustainability Initiative
CSI Bangkok, September 2011 44