business finance ba303 ♦ fall 2012 michael dimond

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Business Finance BA303 Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

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Page 1: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Business FinanceBA303 ♦ Fall 2012Michael Dimond

Page 2: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

The Time Value of Money (TVM)

Page 3: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Compounding

• Compounding is the growth of value resulting from some sort of return (such as interest payments) being added to the original amount.

• If you put $100 in the bank and receive 10% annual interest• After 1 year: $100 x (1+10%) = $110

• After 2 years: $110 x (1+10%) = $121

• After 3 years: $121 x (1+10%) = $133.10

• The three-year compounding could be rewritten like this:• After 3 years: $100 x (1+10%) x (1+10%) x (1+10%) = $133.10

or

• $100 x (1+10%)3 = $133.10

• The general formula for compounding:

PV x (1+i)n = FVwhere PV = Present Value, FV = Future Value, n = Number of periods, i = Interest rate

Page 4: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Discounting

• Discounting is the opposite of compounding. Instead of growing an amount by a specific rate, we are taking that expected growth out of a future total to find what the starting figure would be.

• Since compounding multiplies by (1+i)n, discounting will do the opposite: divide by (1+i)n.

• If you will need $133.10 at the end of three years, and you can receive 10% annual interest, how much would you need to deposit today?• $133.10 ÷ (1+10%)3 = $100

• The general formula for discounting:

FV ÷ (1+i)n = PVwhere PV = Present Value, FV = Future Value, n = Number of periods, i = Interest rate

Page 5: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Moving parts of compounding & discounting• There are four “moving parts” in a compounding or

discounting computation:• PV (Present Value)

• FV (Future Value)

• n (Number of Periods)

• i (Rate of Return per Period)

• The general formula for compounding:

PV x (1+i)n = FV• The more periods something is compounded, the greater the future value is.

• The general formula for discounting:

FV ÷ (1+i)n = PV• The more periods something is discounted, the smaller the present value is.

Page 6: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

What if compounding happens more frequently?• APR means Annual Percentage Rate

• For example: 12% APR means 12% interest rate for the year.

• If interest compounds more frequently, divide that rate by the periods per year.• 12 % APR compounded…Annually 1 period/yr 12% ÷ 1 = 12.00% interest/period

Quarterly 4 periods/yr 12% ÷ 4 = 3.00% interest/period

Monthly 12 periods/yr 12% ÷ 12 = 1.00% interest/period

Daily 360 periods/yr 12% ÷ 360 = 0.03% interest/period

• Why do financiers use 360 days instead of 365?

• After 1 year, how much will $100 be at 12% APR…• compounded at the end of the year? $100 x (1.1200)1 =

$112.00

• compounded at the end of each quarter? $100 x (1.0300)4 = $112.55

• compounded at the end of each month ? $100 x (1.0100)12 = $112.68

• compounded at the end of each day ? $100 x (1.0003)360 = $112.75

Remember to watch out for

rounding errors:12/360 = 0.03333…

Page 7: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Effective Annual Rate

• The Effective Annual Rate (EAR) is the APR adjusted for the value of compounding.

• EAR = (1+APR ÷ n)n - 1• 12% APR compounded annually = (1.1200)1 -1 = 12.00% EAR

• 12% APR compounded quarterly = (1.0300)4 -1 = 12.55% EAR

• 12% APR compounded monthly = (1.0100)12 -1 = 12.68% EAR

• 12% APR compounded daily = (1.0003)360 -1 = 12.75% EAR

• Sometimes this is called the APY (Annual Percent Yield)

Page 8: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Time vs Return: Basic TVM

• A dollar is worth more now than it will be at any time in the future. The concept is called the Time Value of Money (TVM).

• What makes money lose value over time?• How long an investment takes to pay out will affect the price

you would pay.• If you require a 12% annual return, how much would you pay

for $100 to be given to you in…• 1 year?• 3 years?• 10 years?• The further in the future a cash flow is, the less it is worth.

Page 9: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Understanding TVM problems

• Time Value of Money scenarios are examined with a timeline.• Each tick mark on the timeline represents the end of one period.

• The first tick mark on the left is labeled 0 because zero periods have elapsed. It indicates the present, or the planned beginning of a project.

• The last tick mark indicates the end of the last period being analyzed.

• Payments and compounding happen at the end of each period.

• Consider our basic compounding example:

0 101 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

0 1 2 3

-100 133.10

i = 10%

PV = -100i = 10%n = 3FV = 133.10

You could use this diagram to analyze the future value or the

present value

Page 10: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

• You could use this diagram to analyze the future value or the present value.

• Notice the cash outflow (money you invested) is shown with a minus sign. Financial calculators require this to give you the correct answer. This is called the sign convention.

Understanding TVM problems

100 x (1+0.10)3 = 133.10

:. FV = 133.10

0 1 2 3

-100 ?

i = 10%0 1 2 3

? 133.10

i = 10%

133.1 ÷ (1+0.10)3 = 100

:. PV = -100

Page 11: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

• A TVM problem has one more “moving part” than a simple compounding or discounting problem.• PV (Present Value)

• FV (Future Value)

• n (Number of Periods)

• i (Rate of Return per Period)

• PMT (Payment)

• There may be payments which happen between the beginning and end of the timeline.• Each payment is discounted separately.

• The PV of the stream of cash flows is the sum of the individual PVs.

Moving parts of TVM

Page 12: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

• If you require a 12% annual return, what would you pay for…• …$100 to be delivered in 1 year? ($89.2857)• …$100 to be delivered in 2 years? ($79.7194)• …$100 to be delivered in 3 years? ($71.1780)• …all of the above (i.e. $100 to be paid at the end of each of

the next three years)?

• By adding together the present values, you find the value of allthe cash flows in the stream.

Discounting payments

0 1 2 3

? 100

i = 12%

100 ÷ (1+0.12)3

100

100 ÷ (1+0.12)2

100

100 ÷ (1+0.12)1

89.285779.7194

+ 71.1780240.1831

Page 13: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

• Remember the magic machine?• $100 per month for 5 years. What if you require a 12% annual return?

Discounting a stream of cash flows

0 601 2 3 4 56 57 58 59

? 100

i = 1% monthly (12% APR)

100100 100 100 100 100 100 100

100 ÷ (1+0.01)60

100 ÷ (1+0.01)1

Each payment has its own

present value. Adding up those

PVs gives the total value of the

stream of cash flows.

100 ÷ (1+0.01)2

100 ÷ (1+0.01)3

100 ÷ (1+0.01)4

100 ÷ (1+0.01)56

100 ÷ (1+0.01)57

100 ÷ (1+0.01)58

100 ÷ (1+0.01)59

99.01

57.28

98.03

97.06

96.10...

56.71

56.15

55.60

55.04

Page 14: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Timelines & PMTs

• i and n are always in the same increment. • Monthly periods → monthly rate.

• Annual periods → annual rate.

• What happens to PV as n increases?• As n increases, PV becomes smaller

100 ÷ 1.012 = 98.03 100 ÷ 1.0260 = 55.04

• Value = Sum of PVs

• So if you demand a 12% rate of return, the value of the machine’s monthly payments is:

• There is also an easier way to compute that value…

100 100 100 100 1.01 1.012 1.013 1.0160+ + + = 4,495.50$ + . . .

PMT PMT PMT PMT (1+i) (1+i)2 (1+i)3 (1+i)n Σ PV+ + + . . . + =

Page 15: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Ordinary Annuity: FV & PV

• A stream of cash flows where all payments are equal is called an Annuity.• In an Ordinary Annuity, each payment happens at the end of the period.

• Your financial calculator can solve these easily and quickly.• Find PV given n, i, and PMT

• Find FV given n, i, and PMT

• For the magic machine, the inputs would be:• PV = ? (This is what we’re solving for)• n = 60 (monthly payments)• i = 12/12 (12% ÷ 12 months)• PMT = 100 (per month)• FV = 0 (This has no value once the final payment is delivered)

Notice that these three items must always be in the same timeframe: monthly annually, daily… whatever is in the scenario

Page 16: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Comments about Annuity Due

• An Annuity Due has payments which happen at the beginning of each period instead of the end.

• Typically used in real estate…• Timelines…• Calculator setting…• Always reset your calculator as soon as you are done. Good

habits help avoid mistakes.

Page 17: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Ordinary Annuity with an additional payout• What happens if there is a stream of payments, and also a

lump sum being paid at the end of the timeline?• Timeline…• Find PV given n, i, PMT & FV

Page 18: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

• If you require a 12% annual return, what would you pay for…• …$90 to be delivered in 1 year? ($80.3571)• …$95 to be delivered in 2 years? ($75.7334)• …$99 to be delivered in 3 years? ($70.4662)• …all of the above?

• By adding together the present values, you find the value of allthe cash flows in the stream.

Discounting unequal payments

0 1 2 3

? 99

i = 12%

99 ÷ (1+0.12)3

95

95 ÷ (1+0.12)2

90

90 ÷ (1+0.12)1

80.357175.7334

+ 70.4662226.5567

Page 19: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Using the calculator (NPV function)

Page 20: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Using the calculator (NPV function)

Page 21: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Uneven cash flows

• Covered later in the quarter• “Part 2” of How Do I Use This Financial Calculator explains

how to use the calculator for uneven cash flows

Page 22: Business Finance BA303 ♦ Fall 2012 Michael Dimond

Michael DimondSchool of Business Administration

Exam #1