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CEE Economic DataOutlook for 2005Issue 1

X P L I C I T

A Member of HVB Group

Business Information http://economicresearch-e.ba-ca.com

Banking for success.

Economics Department

Renngasse 2A-1010 ViennaAustria

Tel. +43 (0) 50505-41952Fax +43 (0) 50505-41050e-mail: [email protected]

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CONTENTS

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bulgaria

Croatia

Czech Republic

Estonia

Hungary

Latvia

Lithuania

Poland

Romania

Russia

Serbia and Montenegro

Slovakia

Slovenia

Ukraine

Bosna i Hercegovina

��

Hrvatska

âeská republika

Eesti

Magyarország

Latvija

Lietuva

Polska

Romania

��

Srbija i Crna Gora

Slovensko

Slovenija

� ��

ˇ

^

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji

51,129

3.9

Suleman Tihic

Adnan Terzic

6.2

1,580

28.1

HVB BANK FRA ANDELA ZVIZDOVICA 1/18BA-71000 SARAJEVOBOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2002Bruto nacionalni prozvod po privrednim sektorima

TEL. (+387 33) 250 900FAX (+387 33) 250 921

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsjednik

Premijer

BDP (za 2003. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (BDP za 2003. godinu, u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP-a (2003)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister

GDP (2003 in EUR bn)

Per capita GDP (2003 in EUR)

Exports in % of GDP (2003)

4

Agriculture and forestry Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo 12.5

Industry Industrija 31.4

Construction Gradevinarstvo 7.7

Services Usluge 48.4

´

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4.4 5.5 3.3 5.0 5.5

12.2 9.2 4.8 – –

–12.9 –2.5 5.8 – –

1.7 -0.2 -0.5 0.8 1.8

7.0 1.7 1.9 1.4 2.2

–3.3 –2.2 0.4 –0,1 –

1,267 1,140 1,310 1,300 1,440

4,571 4,578 4,750 4,270 4,390

–24.3 –30.3 –29.6 –24.3 –21.8

133 275 340 290 300

50.9 44.4 34.3 33.0 33.8

1.96 1.96 1.96 – –

2.19 2.08 1.74 – –

89.3 8.6 9.5 – –

IndicatorsPokazatelji

BOSNA I HERCEGOVINA

Realni BDP (realni bruto nacionalni proizvod)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realna) Federacija

Industrijska proizvodnja (realna) Republika Srpska

PotroÂaãke cijene Federacija (godiÂnji prosjek)

PotroÂaãke cijene Republika Srpska (godiÂnji prosjek)

BudÏetska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP-a)

Izvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mil. EUR)

Platni bilans (u % BDP-a)

Direktne strane investicije (neto priliv u mil. EUR)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % BDP-a)

BAM/EUR (godiÂnji prosjek)

BAM/USD (godiÂnji prosjek)

Monetarni agregat M2 (u odnosu naprethodnu godinu, u %)

GDP real (yoy, in %)

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %) Federation

Industrial output (real, yoy, in %) RS

Consumer prices (yearly average) Federation

Consumer prices (yearly average) RS

Budget balance (in % of GDP)

Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)

Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)

Current account (in % of GDP)

FDI (inflow, net in EUR mn)

Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)

Average exchange rate : BAM/EUR

Average exchange rate : BAM/USD

Monetary aggregate M2 (yoy, in %)

5

CENTRAL PROFIT BANKA ZELENIH BERETKI 24BA-71000 SARAJEVOBOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

TEL. (+387 33)533 688FAX (+387 33)238 340

BANK BIOCHIM1, IVAN VAZOV STR.BG-1026 SOFIABULGARIA

BULGARIA

TEL. (+359 2) 9269 210FAX (+359 2) 9269 440

Agriculture and forestry �� 11.4

Industry �� 30.0

Services �� 58.6

6

Structural Indicators��

110,994

7.8

Georgi Parwanow

Simeon Sakskoburggotski

17.6

2,260

53.2

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003��

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




�� ( �. �)

�� .

��

��-��

�� (2003, � ��. �.�.)

�� !�� (2003, � ��)

"�� % � �� (2003)

��

7

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4.1 4.9 4.3 4.4 4.9

0.7 3.9 15.3 13.0 12.7

23.3 8.5 13.8 14.1 13.2

7.4 5.8 2.3 6.2 4.4

17.5 17.4 14.3 13.5 12.8

–0.9 –0.7 0.0 –0.2 –0.7

5,706 6,012 6,570 6,740 8,100

7,470 7,695 8,750 9,110 10,900

–7.2 –5.3 –8.4 –7.8 –6.8

896 930 1,230 1,300 1,210

77.8 72.1 66.2 61.2 56.5

1.96 1.96 1.96 – –

2.18 2.08 1.73 – –

25.8 11.7 18.8 – –

4.7 3.3 3.5 – –

Indicators��


Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)

Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, in %)

Consumer prices (yearly average)

Unemployment (yearly average)







Average exchange rate: BGN/EUR

Average exchange rate: BGN/USD


3-month yield on government bonds (end of period, in %)

�� (�� x�� , � %)

�� (�� x�� , � %)

�� #�� (�� x�� , � %)

"�� $�� #�� (�� )

��$��#� (�� )

�&�'�� *�#�� (� % � ��)

�� (� �� .�.)

�� (� �� .�.)

+� �� (� % � ��)

/�'�� #��(�� , �� .�.)

�� (� % � ��)

�� : BGN/EUR

�� : BGN/USD

��!�� 2 (�� x�� , � %)

1x�� 3-��!�� $�� (� �� , � %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji

56,542

4.4

Stjepan Mesic

Ivo Sanader

25.1

5,710

52.6

CROATIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Bruto domaci proizvod po djelatnostima



Construction Gradevinarstvo 6.3


Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




8

HVB SPLITSKA BANKA R. BOSKOVICA 16HR-21000 SPLITCROATIA

TEL. (+385-21) 304 300FAX (+385-21) 304 034

¯

PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo u mio

Predsjednik republike

Predsjednik vlade

BDP (2003. u mld EUR)

BDP po glavi stanovnika (2003. u EUR)

Izvoz u % BDP (2003)

´

´

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3.8 5.2 4.3 3.2 3.5

6.0 5.4 4.1 4.6 4.1

9.7 10.1 16.8 7.3 4.5

4.9 2.3 1.8 2.1 2.5

22.3 22.5 19.5 19.0 19.0

–6.5 –5.2 –5.5 –5.5 –4.5

5,311 5,288 5,549 5,800 6,200

9,888 11,259 12,543 13,100 13,600

–3.7 –8.5 –7.2 –5.7 -4.2

1,570 625 1,457 1,030 1,060

57.9 68.8 83.3 89.6 84.4

7.47 7.41 7.56 – –

8.34 7.86 6.70 – –

31.1 33.2 8.6 – –

4,9 – – – –

IndicatorsPokazatelji

HRVATSKA

9












Average exchange rate: HRK/EUR

Average exchange rate: HRK/USD



Realni BDP (u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Investicije u osnovna sredstva (realno, u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

TroÂkovi Ïivota (godiÂnji prosjek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)

Proraãunska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP)

Izvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Uvoz robe (u mio EUR)

Tekuci raãun (u % BDP)

Izravna inozemna ulaganja (neto priljev, u mio EUR)

Bruto inozemni dug (u % BDP)

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/EUR

Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/USD

Monetarni agregat M2 (u odnosu na prethodnu godinu, u %)

Tromjeseãna dobit od drÏavnih obveznica (kraj razdoblja, u %)

´

Structural IndicatorsStrukturální ukazatele

78,866

10.3

Václav Klaus

Vladimir Spidla

75.8

7,390

65.3

CZECH REPUBLIC

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Hrub˘ domácí produkt podle hospodáfisk˘ch sektorÛ

Agriculture and forestry Zemûdûlství a lesnictví 3.5

Industry PrÛmysl 32.3

Construction Stavebnictví 7.0

Services SluÏby 57.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister


Per capita GDP (2003 in

EUR)Exports in % of GDP (2003)

10

HVB BANK NAM. REPUBLIKY 3ACZ-110 00 PRAHA 1CZECH REPUBLIC

TEL. (+420) 221 112 111 FAX (+420) 221 112 132

Rozloha (km2)

Poãet obyvatel v mil.

Prezident

Pfiedseda vlády

HDP (2003, v mld. EUR)

HDP na jednoho obyvatele (2003, v EUR)

V˘voz v % HDP (2003)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3.1 2.0 2.9 3.0 3.2

6.8 4.8 5.8 5.5 5.0

5.5 0.6 3.7 4.8 5.0

4.7 1.8 0.1 3.0 2.8

8.5 9.2 9.9 10.5 10.7

–6.4 –6.4 –12.9 –5.9 –5.1

37,267 40,700 43,100 46,700 52,300

40,690 43,010 45,300 48,500 53,800

–5.8 –6.3 –6.5 –6.2 -6.1

6,114 9,591 2,290 4,980 5,190

40.1 33.9 36.4 31.8 29.8

34.1 30.8 31.8 – –

38.0 32.6 28.1 – –

11.1 3.7 6.0 – –

4.6 2.6 2.1 – –

IndicatorsUkazatele

CESKÁ REPUBLIKA












Average exchange rate: CZK/EUR

Average exchange rate: CZK/USD



11

Reáln˘ HDP (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

PrÛmyslová v˘roba (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Tvorba hrubého fixního kapitálu (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)

Spotfiebitelské ceny (roãní prÛmûr)

Nezamûstnanost (roãní prÛmûr)

Bilance rozpoãtu (v % HDP)

V˘voz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

Dovoz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)

BûÏn˘ úãet (v % HDP)

Pfiímé zahraniãní investice (vstupy, ãistá vyÂe v mil. EUR)

Hrubá zahraniãní zadluÏenost (v % HDP)

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/EUR

PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/USD

PenûÏní agregát M2 (meziroãní rÛst, v %)

3-mûsíãní v˘nos z vládních dluhopisÛ(konec lhÛty, v %)

ˇ

Structural IndicatorsStruktuurilised tegurid

45,227

1.4

Arnold Rüütel

Juhan Parts

7.4

5,470

81.2

ESTONIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003RKP majandussektorite lõikes

Agriculture and forestry Põllumajandus ja metsandus 5.9

Industry Majandusharu 22.2

Construction Ehitus 6.7

Services Teenindus 65.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




12

VEREINS- UND WESTBANKREPRESENTATIVE OFFICE FOR ESTONIAPÄRNU MNT. 15/TATARI 2EST-10141 TALLINN, ESTONIA

TEL. (+372) 668 4660FAX (+372) 668 4661

Pindala (km2)

Rahvastik, mln

President

Peaminister

Rahvuslik koguprodukt (RKP) (2003 a. mlr EUR)

Rahvuslik koguprodukt (RKP) elaniku kohta (2003 a. EUR-es)

Eksport % RKP (2003)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

6.5 6.0 4.7 5.3 5.9

9.0 8.3 9.9 8.5 9.0

12.2 16.1 11.5 10.4 9.8

5.8 3.6 1.3 3.3 3.0

12.6 10.3 10.0 9.5 9.1

0.4 1.1 2.0 0.3 –0.2

3,750 3,713 4,050 4,280 4,470

4,630 4,878 5,440 5,690 5,940

–6.0 –12.2 –13.7 –11.1 –9.8

383 167 620 450 420

58.9 65.0 74.8 76.0 76.9

15.65 15.65 15.65 – –

17.48 16.60 13.81 – –

23.8 11.2 10.9 – –

4.7 3.9 2.8 – –

IndicatorsTegurid

EESTI












Average exchange rate: EEK/EUR

Average exchange rate: EEK/USD



13

Reaalne RKP (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Majandustoodang (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Bruto põhikapital (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Tarbija hinnad (aasta keskmine)

Töötus (aasta keskmine)

Eelarve bilanss (% RKP)

Kauba eksport (EUR mln)

Kauba import (EUR mln)

Jooksev maksebilanss (% RKP)

Välismaised otseinvesteeringud (neto mln EUR)

Brutto välisvõlg (% RKP)

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/EUR

Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/USD

Raha ringlus (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)

Riigi obligatsioonide kolme kuu tootlus(perioodi lõpp, %)

Structural IndicatorsAlapadatok

93,033

10.1

Ferenc Mádl

Péter Medgyessy

73.1

7,320

64.4

HUNGARY

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Bruttó hazai össztermék hozzáadott értéke

Agriculture and forestry Mezogazdaság és erdogazdálkodás 3.4

Industry Ipar 22.9

Construction Építoipar 4.9

Services Szolgáltatások 68.9

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




14

HVB BANK HUNGARY RT.AKADÉMIA UTCA 17.H-1054 BUDAPESTHUNGARY

TEL. (+36 1) 269 0812FAX (+36 1) 353 4959

´́

´́´́

´́ ´́

Terület (km2)

Népesség (millióban)

Köztársasági elnök

Miniszterelnök

Bruttó hazai össztermék (2003-ben, mrd EUR-ben)

Egy fore eso bruttó hazai össztermék(2003-ben, EUR-ben)

Kivitel a GDP %-ában (2003)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3.8 3.5 2.9 3.2 3.8

3.6 2.8 6.4 10.0 7.0

5.0 8.0 3.0 5.4 6.0

9.2 5.3 4.7 6.7 4.4

5.7 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.7

–4.7 –9.2 –5.9 –4.9 –4.2

31,346 36,821 38,060 42,200 46,000

33,611 39,024 41,020 44,500 48,000

–6.2 –7.0 –8.9 –7.5 –7.0

810 891 2,320 2,500 2,800

64.9 55.8 62.3 60.3 63.9

256.7 243.0 253.5 – –

286.5 258.0 224.4 – –

16.8 13.8 13.6 – –

9.8 7.9 – – –

IndicatorsGazdasági mutatók

MAGYARORSZÁG












Average exchange rate: HUF/EUR

Average exchange rate: HUF/USD



15

Reál bruttó hazai össztermék (év/év, %-ban)

Ipari termelés (reál, év/év, %-ban)

Bruttó felhalmozás (reál, év/év, %-ban)

Fogyasztói árindex (éves átlag)

Munkanélküliségi ráta (éves átlag)

Költségvetési egyenleg (a GDP %-ában)

Áruexport (millió EUR–ben)

Áruimport (millió EUR–ben)

Folyó fizetési mérleg egyenlege (a GDP %-ában)

Külföldi muködotoke (beáramlás, nettó, millió EUR–ben)

Bruttó külföldi adósság (a GDP %-ában)

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/EUR

Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/USD

M2 monetáris aggregátum változása (év/év, %-ban)

3 hónapos államkötvény hozama (a periódus végén %-ban)

´́ ´́ ´́

Structural IndicatorsStrukturas radıtaji

64,589

2.3

Vaira Vike–Freiberga

Indulis Emsis

9.1

3,930

45.6

LATVIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003IKP pa sektoriem

Agriculture and forestry Lauksaimniecıba un meÏsaimniecıba 4.7

Industry Rupniecıba 18.3

Construction Celtniecıba 6.1

Services Pakalpojumi 70.9

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




16

A/S VEREINSBANK RIGAELIZABETES STR. 63LV-1050 RIGALATVIA

TEL. (+371) 708 5500FAX (+371) 708 5507

¯Platıba (km2)

Iedzıvotaju skaits, milj.

Prezidente

Premjerministrs

IKP (2003, miljardos EUR)

IKP uz vienu iedzıvotaju (2003, EUR)

Eksports % no IKP (2003)

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯¯ ¯

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

7.9 6.1 7.5 6.5 6.0

6.9 5.8 6.5 6.9 6.6

17.0 10.4 11.5 12.5 11.4

2.5 1.9 2.9 4.3 3.6

13.1 12.0 10.6 9.8 9.5

–2.1 –2.5 –1.8 –2.3 –2.1

2,480 2,715 2,810 3,100 3,420

3,980 4,250 4,570 5,070 5,450

–9.6 –7.6 –9.2 –8.7 -8.4

182 399 291 378 400

72.8 79.6 84.2 82.8 81.0

0.56 0.58 0.64 – –

0.63 0.62 0.57 – –

23.2 21.0 21.1 – –

6.5 3.8 4.2 – –

IndicatorsRadıtaji

LATVIJA












Average exchange rate: LVL/EUR

Average exchange rate: LVL/USD



17

Realais IKP (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Rupniecıbas produkcija (reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Kopeja pamatkapitala veidoÂanas(reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

Paterina cenas (gada videjas)

Bezdarbs (gada videjais)

BudÏeta atlikums (% no IKP)

Preãu eksports (milj. EUR)

Preãu imports (milj. EUR)

TekoÂais konts (% no IKP)

Arvalstu tieÂas investıcijas (iepludums, neto milj. EUR)

Kopejais arejais parads (% no IKP)

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /EUR

Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /USD

Naudas lıdzeklu kopums M2 (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)

3 meneÂu valsts paradzımju ienesıgums (perioda beigas, %)

¯

¯¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯ ¯

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯

¯

¯ ¯ ¯¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯ ¸

¯ ¯ ¯ ¯¯

¯¯

¯¸

¯ ¯ ¯

Structural IndicatorsBendrieji rodikliai

65,200

3.5

Arturas Paulauskas

Algirdas Brazauskas

16.2

4,690

51.8

LITHUANIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Bendras vidaus produktas pagal ekonominius sektorius

Agriculture and forestry ˚emes ukis ir miÂkininkyste 6.8

Industry Pramone 24.4

Construction Statyba 6.9

Services Paslaugos 61.9

Area (km2)

Population in mn

Interim President

Prime Minister




18

VEREINS- UND WESTBANK AGVILNIUS BRANCHVILNIAUS STR. 35/3LT-01119 VILNIUSLITHUANIA

TEL. (+370 5) 2745 300FAX (+370 5) 2745 307

Plotas (km2)

Gyventoju skaiãius, mln

Laikinasis Prezidentas

Ministras pirmininkas

Bendras vidaus produktas (BVP, 2003, bil. Euras)

BVP tenkantis 1 gyventojui (2003, Euras)

Eksportas % nuo BVP (2003)

¸

˙ ˙

˙

IndicatorsRodikliai

LIETUVA












Average exchange rate: LTL/EUR

Average exchange rate: LTL/USD



19

BVP (metinis, %)

Pramones apimtis (grynas, metinis, %)

Bendro pagrindinio kapitalo sudarymas (grynas, metinis, %)

Vartojimo prekiu kainos (vidutines metines)

Nedarbo lygis (vidutinis metinis)

BiudÏeto balansas (% lyginant su BVP)

Prekiu eksportas (mln. Euras)

Prekiu importas (mln. Euras)

Einamoji saskaita (% lyginant su BVP)

Tiesiogines uÏsienio investicijos (TUI) (grynos iplaukos mln. Euras)

Bendra uÏsienio skola (% nuo BVP)

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ Euras

Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ JAV dol.

Gautos iplaukos M2 (metines, %)

Vyriausybes 3–ju metu obligaciju iÂleidimas (laikotarpio pabaigoje, %)

˙

˙˙¸

¸

¸

¸

˙

¸ ˙

¸ ¸ ¸˙

˜

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

6.4 6.8 9.0 7.0 6.5

16.0 3.1 14.7 8.7 9.0

15.0 12.4 11.4 12.0 10.9

1.3 0.3 –1.2 0.8 1.7

17.4 13.8 12.4 11.5 10.5

–2.1 –1.4 –1.7 –2.9 –2.8

5,456 6,375 6,760 7,390 7,960

6,693 7,785 8,180 8,720 9,350

–4.7 –5.2 –6.6 –6.3 –6.0

498 772 160 610 700

43.6 39.8 42.8 44.7 45.2

3.58 3.45 3.45 – –

4.00 3.65 3.05 – –

21.4 16.9 18.2 – –

5.3 3.5 2.7 – –

Structural IndicatorsWskazniki strukturalne

312,685

38.6

Aleksander Kwasniewski

Marek Belka

182.9

4,730

22.7

POLAND

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Produkt Krajowy Brutto z podzialem na sektory gospodarki

Agriculture and forestry Rolnictwo i lesnictwo 3.1

Industry Przemysl 24.7

Construction Budownictwo 5.7

Services Uslugi 66.5

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




20

Obszar (km2)

Ludnosã w mln

Prezydent

Premier

Produkt Krajowy Brutto (PKB za rok 2003, w bln EUR)

PKB na jednego mieszkanca (za rok 2003, w EUR)

Udzial eksportu w PKB (2003)–

´

–

–

–

BANK BPHAL. POKOJU 1PL-31-548 KRAKÓWPOLAND

TEL. (+48 12) 618 68 88FAX (+48 12) 618 68 63

´

–

´

ı

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1.0 1.4 3.7 4.9 4.0

–0.1 1.4 8.7 8.9 7.8

–8.8 –6.8 –0.9 7.3 8.7

5.5 1.9 0.8 2.6 3.2

16.1 19.9 19.5 19.2 19.0

–5.1 –5.7 –6.0 –7.0 –5.8

46,542 49,338 53,840 61,370 68,900

55,100 57,039 58,910 66,330 74,400

–2.9 –2.7 –2.0 –2.2 –2.4

6,373 4,371 3,760 4,470 4,900

39.8 40.6 45.0 46.6 45.9

3.67 3.85 4.40 – –

4.09 4.08 3.89 – –

9.2 –2.0 5.6 – –

10.8 6.2 5.5 – –

IndicatorsWskazniki

POLSKA

21












Average exchange rate: PLN/EUR

Average exchange rate: PLN/USD



PKB realny (rok po roku, w %)

Produkcja sprzedana przemyslu (realna, rok po roku, w %)

Naklady brutto na srodki trwale (realna, rok po roku, w %)

Srednioroczne ceny produktów konsumpcyjnych

Bezrobocie (srednie w ciagu roku)

Bilans budzetu (w % PKB)

Eksport towarów (w mln EUR)

Import towarów (w mln EUR)

Saldo rachunku biezacego (udzial w PKB w %)

Bezposrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (wplywy netto w mln EUR)

Dlug zagraniczny (w % PKB)

Sredni kurs: PLN do EUR

Sredni kurs: PLN do USD

Agregat pieniezny M2, rok do roku

3-miesieczny dochód z obligacji rzadowych (na koniec okresu, w %)

–

–

– ––

¸

–

¯

–

––

¸

¸

¸

¸

˙

–

–

˙

˙

´

BANK BPHTOWAROWA 25 APL-00958 WARSZAWAPOLAND

TEL. (+48 22) 531 800FAX (+48 22) 531 9286

Structural IndicatorsIndicatori de structura

237,500

21.6

Ion Iliescu

Adrian Nastase

48.4

2,320

36.3

ROMANIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2003Produsul Intern Brut si Valoarea Bruta Adaugata pe sectoare

Agriculture and forestry Agricultura si silvicultura 12.9

Industry Industrie 31.4

Construction Constructii 6.3

Services Servicii 49.3

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




22

HVB BANK 37 DR. GRIGORE MORA STR. RO-71278, BUCHARESTROMANIA

TEL. (+40 21) 203 2222FAX (+40 21) 230 8485

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˇ ˇ

Suprafata (km2)

Populatia, ın mil.

Presedinte

Prim Ministru

PIB (2003, ın mrd. EUR)

PIB / cap de locuitor (2003, ın EUR)

Exporturi ın % din PIB (2003)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

5.7 4.9 4.9 5.1 4.8

8.4 6.0 3.4 4.5 5.0

9.1 8.3 9.2 9.6 12.0

34.5 22.5 15.4 12.1 9.2

9.0 10.2 7.4 7.5 8.2

–3.3 –2.6 –2.3 –2.5 –2.4

12,707 14,659 15,590 16,850 18,200

16,020 17,403 19,540 21,440 23,100

–5.5 –3.3 –5.8 –5.8 -5.4

1,310 1,192 1,340 1,910 1,500

30.7 34.4 33.9 33.1 35.0

26,059 31,255 37,613 – –

29,061 33,055 33,200 – –

46.2 38.2 23.3 – –

36.6 20.5 22.3 – –

IndicatorsIndicatori

ROMANIA












Average exchange rate: ROL/EUR

Average exchange rate: ROL/USD



23

PIB real (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Productia industriala (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Formarea bruta de capital (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Preturi de consum (media anuala)

Rata somajului (media anuala)

Soldul balantei (ın % din PIB)

Exportul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Importul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)

Cont curent (ın % din PIB)

Investitiile straine directe (net ın mil. EUR)

Datoria externa bruta (ın % din PIB)

Cursul mediu de schimb: ROL/EUR

Cursul mediu de schimb: ROL/USD

Masa Monetara M2 (an curent/an precedent, ın %)

Randamentul titlurilor de stat cu maturitate 3 luni (sfarsitul perioadei, ın %)

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˇ

ˇ

ˇ ˆ¸

¸

¸

¸

¸

ˇ

¸

Structural Indicators��

17,075,400

144.8

Wladimir Putin

Michail Fradkov

382.2

2,640

35.1

RUSSIA


Agriculture and forestry ��4� � � �� x��5�� 5.8

Industry ��6��4 26.5

Construction ��4�� 7.3

Services �*�� 60.4

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




24

INTERNATIONAL MOSCOW BANKPRECHISTENSKAYA EMB. 9 RF-119034 MOSCOWRUSSIAN FEDERATION

TEL. (+7 095) 258 7200 FAX (+7 095) 258 7272

��4 ( �2)

�� .

��

��4��-��

�� (2003 ., � ��x ��

�� (2003 .,� ��)

7$�� 8 �� % � �� (2003)

s

s

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

5.1 4.7 7.3 6.4 5.2

4.9 3.7 7.0 6.5 5.8

11.6 3.0 12.9 9.6 7.2

21.5 15.8 13.6 9.4 9.1

9.0 8.0 8.5 8.4 8.5

3.9 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.3

113,410 113,413 120,010 121,580 131,400

60,005 64,439 66,600 69,260 80,200

11.3 8.4 8.3 6.5 5.5

2,756 3,658 1,010 2,000 2,600

48.7 44.3 42.1 39.3 35.0

26.2 29.7 34.8 – –

29.2 31.4 30.7 – –

36.7 21.1 50.5 – –

14.7 12.7 4.6 – –

Indicators��

��

25












Average exchange rate: RUB/EUR

Average exchange rate: RUB/USD



��4�65 �� (�� # ��, � %)

7$�� (��4�65, � %)

"��#�� 5 �� (��4�65, � %)

��$��4� �� #��6 (�� )

��4 $��$��#6 (��5 �� )

�&�'��65 $�� (� % ��)

7$�� 8 �� (� ��x ��)

7$�� (� ��x ��)

�!�� x ��#�5 (� % ��)

��6� ��6� ��#�� (�� , !��6� � ��x ��)

7$�� (� % ��)

��5 �� RUB/EUR

��5 �� RUB/USD

1��'�65 �� 2 (�� # ��, � %)

1x��4 �� 3 ��#� � ��6� $��#�� (�� , � %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturalni indikatori

102,713

10.6

Svetozar Marovic

Voijslav Kostunica (Serbia)Milo Djukanovic (Montenegro)

17.6

1,660

17.5

HVB BANKRAJICEVA 27–29SCG-11000 BEOGRADSERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2001Bruto nacionalni proizvod po privrednim sektorima

TEL. (+381 11) 3204 500 FAX (+381 11) 3342 200



Construction Graêevinarstvo 5.7


PovrÂina (km2)

StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)

Predsednik

Premijer

Bruto nacionalni proizvod (za 2003. godinu, u milijardama EUR)

Bruto nacionalni proizvod po glavi stanovnika (za 2003. godinu u EUR)

% izvoza u bruto nacionalnom proizvodu(2003)

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




26

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

5.7 3.3 1.5 1.5 2.0

0.0 1.7 –2.7 4.0 2.5

– – – – –

93.3 16.6 9.4 8.5 7.5

27.9 31.2 32.0 32.5 32.0

–1.4 –4.5 –4.5 –3.0 –3.0

2,235 2,193 2,187 2,200 2,300

5,398 5,934 6,466 6,300 6,400

–9.6 –12.7 –11.5 –10.1 –9.0

184 502 1,201 300 400

103.2 75.2 71.9 67.4 70.8

59.4 60.5 65.3 – –

66.7 63.9 57.4 – –

106.7 62.9 14.8 – –

– – – – –

IndicatorsIndikatori

SRBIJA I CRNA GORA

Realni bruto nacionalni proizvod (godina za godinu, u %)

Industrijski proizvod (realan, godina za godinom, u %)

Bruto stalna akumulacija kapitala (realna, godina za godinom, u %)

PotroÂaãke cene (godiÂnji prosek)

Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosek)

Bilans budÏeta (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Izvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Uvoz robe (u milionima EUR)

Platni bilans (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Direktne strane investicije (priliv, neto u milionima EUR)

Bruto inostrani dug (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)

Proseãni kurs razmene: YUM/EUR

Proseãni kurs razmene: YUM/USD

Novãana masa M2 (u %)

Tromeseãni prihod od vladinih obveznica (kraj perioda, u procentima)



Gross fixed capital formation









Average exchange rate : YUM/EUR

Average exchange rate : YUM/USD



27

Structural IndicatorsZákladné údaje

48,845

5.4

Ivan GaÂparoviã

MikuláÂ Dzurinda

28.9

5,320

67.8

SLOVAKIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2002Hrub˘ domáci produkt a hrubá pridaná hodnota v ekonomick˘ch sektoroch

Agriculture and forestryPol’nohospodárstvo a lesné hospodárstvo 4.7

Industry Priemysel 26.9

Construction Stavebníctvo 5.4

Services SluÏby 63.0

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




28

HVB BANK MOSTOVÁ 6SK-814 16 BRATISLAVA 1SLOVAKIA

TEL. (+42 12) 5969 1111FAX (+42 12) 5969 9406

Rozloha (km2)

Obyvatel’stvo (v mil.)

Prezident

Predseda vlády

HDP (2003 v mld. EUR)

HDP (2003 v EUR) na 1 obyvatel’a

V˘voz v % HDP (2003)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3.3 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.0

7.6 6.7 5.3 9.3 6.9

13.9 –0.9 –1.2 3.6 8.6

7.1 3.8 8.5 8.2 3.8

18.3 17.8 15.2 15.1 14.4

–4.8 –7.2 –4.9 –3.8 –4.0

14,102 15,184 19,281 21,510 24,600

16,486 17,437 19,847 22,700 26,400

–8.6 –8.2 –0.8 –1.7 –3.6

1,674 4,069 520 1,910 1,600

55.2 55.7 53.6 51.4 51.3

43.2 42.7 41.5 – –

48.3 45.3 36.8 – –

13.1 4.9 6.0 – –

7.5 5.2 5.7 – –

IndicatorsUkazovatele

SLOVENSKO












Average exchange rate: SKK/EUR

Average exchange rate: SKK/USD



29

Reálny HDP (medziroãne, v %), HDP v stálych cenách

Priemyselná v˘roba (v stálych cenách, medziroãne, v %)

Hrubé hmotné investície (v stálych cenách,medziroãne, v %)

Spotrebitel’ské ceny (roãn˘ priemer)

Nezamestnanost’ (roãn˘ priemer)

Saldo rozpoãtu (v % z HDP)

Export tovarov (v mil. EUR)

Import tovarov (v mil. EUR)

BeÏn˘ úãet platobnej bilancie (v % z HDP)

Priame zahraniãné investície (prílev, netto v mil. EUR)

Celkové zahraniãné zadlÏenie (v % z HDP)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/EUR)

Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/USD)

Menov˘ agregát M2 (medziroãne, v %)

3–mesaãn˘ v˘nos zo Âtátnych dlhopisov (koniec obdobia v %)

Structural IndicatorsStrukturni kazalci

20,273

1.9

Janez DrnovÂek

Anton Rop

24.4

12,290

56.9

SLOVENIA

Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2002Bruto domaãi proizvod po gospodarskih panogah

Agriculture and forestry Kmetijstvo in gozdarstvo 3.3


Construction GradbeniÂtvo 5.8

Services Storitve 60.2

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




30

BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALTD.D. LJUBLJANASMARTINSKA 140SI-1000 LJUBLJANASLOVENIA

TEL. (+386 1) 5876 600FAX (+386 1) 5876 684

povrÂina (km2)

prebivalstvo v mio

predsednik republike

predsednik vlade

BDP (2003 v mlrd EUR)

BDP na prebivalca (2003 v EUR)

izvoz v % od BDP (2003)

ˇ

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2.7 3.4 2.3 3.0 3.2

2.9 2.4 1.4 4.0 3.5

–0.4 1.3 5.5 6.0 5.2

8.4 7.5 5.6 3.5 3.3

6.5 6.3 6.6 6.4 6.3

–2.7 –1.9 –1.8 –1.7 –1.5

10,454 11,081 11,427 11,900 12,600

11,139 11,347 11,971 12,350 13,150

0.2 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.0

251 1,608 –109 400 300

47.5 48.9 53.0 52.7 51.2

217.2 226.2 233.7 – –

243.3 242.7 207.1 – –

27.4 25.1 5.2 – –

8.0 – – – –

IndicatorsKazalci

SLOVENIJA












Average exchange rate: SIT/EUR

Average exchange rate: SIT/USD



31

realni BDP (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

industrijska proizvodnja (realno, v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

investicije v osnovna sredstva (realno, v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)

cene Ïivljenjskih potrebÂãin (letno povpreãje)

nezaposlenost (letno povpreãje)

proraãunsko ravnoteÏje (v % od BDP)

izvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

uvoz blaga (v mio EUR)

tekoãi raãun (v % od BDP)

neposredne tuje naloÏbe (neto priliv, v mio EUR)

bruto zadolÏenost v tujini (v % od BDP)

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/EUR

povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/USD

denarni agregat M2 (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %

trimeseãna donosnost drÏavnih obveznic (konec obdobja, v %)

Structural Indicators��i ��

603,700

47.7

Leonid D. Kuchma

Victor Janukovych

43.6

910

60.4

UKRAINE


Agriculture and forestry�9�4�4 � �� 9��#�� 15.3

Industry ��9��4 34.3

Construction ��9��#�� 3.9

Services �� 46.5

Area (km2)

Population in mn

President

Prime Minister




32

�� ( �2)

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��

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�� (� 2003 �. � ��. <��)

�� (� 2003 �. � <��)

� �� % �9� �� (2003)

HVB UKRAINE14-A, YAROSLAVIV VALUA-01034 KYIVUKRAINE

TEL. (+380 44) 230 3300FAX (+380 44) 230 3391

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

9.2 5.2 9.4 9.0 6.0

14.2 7.0 15.7 15.0 8.0

13.2 6.0 16.0 13.0 5.0

12.3 0.8 5.2 7.0 7.0

11.1 10.1 8.7 7.0 6.5

–1.5 0.2 0.1 –0.8 –1.0

19,075 19,732 20,960 20,180 21,600

18,854 18,982 21,200 20,590 22,400

3.7 7.7 5.9 4.6 3.3

858 732 1,260 1,070 1,100

53.7 52.4 46.1 41.4 40.4

4.8 5.0 6.0 – –

5.4 5.3 5.3 – –

43.4 42.2 46.9 – –

22.0 9.0 9.0 – –

Indicators��

� ��












Average exchange rate: UAH/EUR

Average exchange rate: UAH/USD



33

�� 5 (��9�� 9 , � %)

7$�� #9� (��5, ��9�� 9 , � %)

=�� *9 �� 9��(��5, ��9�� 9 , � %)

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ImpressumPublished by Bank Austria Creditanstalt AG, Vienna,A-1030 Vienna, Vordere Zollamtsstrasse 13A-1010 Vienna, Am Hof 2

Edited by Bernhard Sinhuber (Economics Department)Telephone: +43 (0) 50505 41964,e-mail: [email protected]

Production: Department Public Relations, Patrizia Reidl

Graphic design and front page image: Miriam Weigel Front page: Christian HorvathPrinted by Uhl

Sources: National statistics, Bank Austria Creditanstalt Economics Department

Closing date: May 10th, 2004

Public RelationsMedia

Vordere Zollamtsstrasse 13A-1030 ViennaAustria

Tel. +43 (0) 50505-56137Fax +43 (0) 50505-56945e-mail: [email protected]

We invite you to visitBank Austria Creditanstalt’s website:www.ba-ca.com

The economic analyses can also be directly accessed viahttp://economicresearch-e.ba-ca.com

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