business research session 11 data analysis

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  • 8/14/2019 Business Research Session 11 Data Analysis

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    Session 11

    Data Analysis and Presentation

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    Prior to analysis

    Field and in house editing for consistency

    and completeness

    Coding of free response questions

    Behavioural and segmenting data (SPSS)

    Method of entry into computer

    Descriptive and cross tabulation data Analysis by difference / Quadrant analysis

    / Perceptual mapping / Bakers box

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    Forms of Analysis

    Normally analysis is question drivenwhat information is required to answer aspecific question

    Two broad main types of analysis:

    Analysis of difference

    Analysis of relationships / causation

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    Hypothesis testing

    The null and alternative hypothesis

    Significance level is crucial. Could thedifference observed be due to chance, orcan we be at least 95% sure that it is dueto the phenomenon being tested.

    Sample size is also critical in assuring thelevel of confidence and error which mightbe anticipated.

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    Exercise: Are IIS students more

    satisfied than those at Ram?

    The hypothesis is that IIS students are

    more satisfied than students at RAMoverall.

    Average rating for students overall at Ramis 3.6 For IIS it is 3.9, based on a sampleof 100, with an SD of 1.5

    Two tailed test (0.025% either end, Z =1.96)

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    Chi Squared Test

    A test for significance in the analysis of

    frequency distributions

    Based on the difference betweenobserved and expected results if therewas no difference

    Can be used for both ordinal and nominaldata sets

    Easiest and most widely used test!

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    Exercise: Boys are better than girls!

    Out of the 99 students who took the MBA

    Interim examination in Business ResearchMethods, 14 of the 33 men present scored

    less than 30 marks, and overall 33 peoplescored below 30.

    Is there a significant difference in

    performance between the men andwomen?

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    Other methods of testing between

    groups

    t-test, used to calculate differences

    between means

    Z test for comparing proportions

    Analysis of variance (ANOVA)

    F test / F ratio

    (See Zikmund: Pages 521 534)

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    Measures of Association

    Association: Where one variable correlates withanother

    Co-variance: Where two variables are

    associated together, but both are associatedwith a third (undefined) variable

    Coefficient of determination: A measure of theexplanation of one variable by another. It is thesquare of the correlation coefficient and is thebasis of factor analysis

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    Regression

    Linked to association, but regression seeks tocreate a formula to explain the association.

    Two forms; straight line (y = mx + c) or non

    linear of several forms Regression line plotted by least squares and is

    the line of best fit

    Used extensively in sales forecasting, butignores the point of inflexion problem seen alsoin extrapolation

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    Bakers Box: An example of best

    fit regression line

    I Dont

    Believe

    IT

    Value

    Added

    The GoldenTriangle

    Avis

    Country

    Cheap AndNasty

    Cheap AndCheerful

    ITS A

    Rip Off

    You MustBe Joking

    Low Quality

    High QualityLine Of

    Expectation

    High

    Price

    Low

    Price

    Gullibility

    Credibility

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    Exercise: Expansion at Rotiboy!

    Rotiboy have established that the sales for anoutlet of their business (y) can be defined by thenumber of people living within one mile of the

    outlet (x) by the line y = 20 + 0.55x, where boththe constant is denominated in 000 baht, and x

    as 000 population.

    On the basis of this data what is the likely

    weekly revenue (in baht 000) for an outletestablished where there is a local population of10,000

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    Multivariate Analysis

    Multivariate regression analysis ( TheFishbein model of attitude measurement)

    Multivariate Analysis of Variance

    (MANOVA) Factor analysis: Reduction of complex

    variables into smaller number of factors

    Cluster analysis CHAID (Chi squared automatic interaction

    detection)

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    Tesco and the use of AID

    Based on customer data collected at POS

    Analysed by AID to establish levels ofproduct penetration and specific customercharacteristics

    Can isolate groups as small as 5,000 froma population of 26 million!

    Visit www.dunnhumby.co.uk

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    Communicating Research

    The communicator

    The message

    The medium The Audience

    Feedback

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    Oral communication

    Stand up, speak up, and shut up. There isa limit to peoples concentration

    Graphics need to be simple (not more than

    12 figures on a slide). More than thishighlight

    Be aware of your personal body language

    If you use technology, make sure it works! Have clear objectives as to what to put

    over

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    Some tips on oral presentations

    Variety; in voice, tone, movement, bodylanguage, all elements of posture, etc. Suit yourbody language to the message

    Be sure you can get away with humour. Be verycareful if you use it with an internationalaudience as it is very cultural!

    Look at your audience, good eye contact

    Do not distribute report beforehand if you wantto be selective in how you take from it.

    Leave time at the end for questions

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    Presenting statistical results

    Never assume the audience knows as muchabout statistics as you do!

    Dont try and blind them with statistics

    Remember there are lies, dam lies, andstatistics Many are very cynical of them!

    Use statistics to demonstrate data in terms of its

    use in making a decision. Applied statisticsrather than statistics for their own sake!

    Explain what they mean!

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    Written reports

    Length and level of reading are inversely related Always provide an annotated executive

    summary with guideposts to deeperexplanations as required.

    Make sure the report provides the informationrequired in order to come to the decisionrequired

    Use tables, graphs and charts as appropriate to

    illustrate data and make points. Remember a multicoloured pie chart loses a lot

    in black and white!

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    Specialist AnalyticalTechniques

    CHAID (Chi Squared Automatic Interaction

    Detection)

    ACORN / TGI Retail Location

    Market Penetration Analysis

    Sensitivity Analysis

    Resource Allocation