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  • 7/30/2019 Business Risk Management Policy

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    R ISK AND ITS MANAGEMENT

    The term Risk in simple

    words means The

    difference between an

    expected return and the

    realized return of the

    business, of an investment

    etc. Risk is always

    attached with the business

    or of an investment where

    there is a chance of high

    return for the principal

    party

    High Risk

    High Return

    Low Risk

    Low Return

    Businesses or individualsface variety of Risk or

    Uncertainty during

    decision making e.g. a

    person want to invest his

    two million rupees he can

    deposit in National

    Savings to earn fixed

    monthly income and have

    option to invest foreign

    exchange like dollar to

    earn more money. In later

    case there is a chance of

    more profit as well as

    change of loss. The losses

    can also be categories into

    Direct losses Vs Indirect

    losses

    Direct losses are those

    losses which cannot be

    minimized or unavoidable

    e.g. due to failure of

    Electricity Company will

    bear direct loss in the

    form of direct labor cost,

    wasted motions and

    production of product but

    on the other hand indirect

    losses are those losses

    which can be minimized

    or avoidable. For abusiness concern indirect

    losses

    are extremely important

    major types of indirect

    losses arise from risks

    faced by business

    concerns are

    1. Loss of normal

    profit the

    major

    examples are

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    sudden

    decrease in

    earning

    available for

    common

    stockholders

    2. Extra

    Operating

    Expenses also

    bear by the

    organization in

    the shape of

    Repairs and

    maintances,

    expenses using

    other

    alternatives

    e.g. generator

    oil or diesel

    expenses etc.

    3. Higher cost of

    funds and

    foregone

    investment

    4. Bankruptcy

    costs best

    example in my

    point of view

    legal cases

    against

    company and

    expenses in the

    form of

    lawyers fee

    and legal

    proceeding

    fees etc

    Risks facing Business &

    individuals

    Business risks are those

    risks facing by a business

    organization day to day

    these risks are short term

    and long term and

    required effective

    planning, decision making

    to survive in the market.

    Major types of business

    risks are

    Price risk: Relates to

    prices i.e. input price and

    output price that directly

    affect the cash flows of

    the business. Price risk is

    a long term risks of the

    business concern.

    Input price risk: Price risk

    that directly relates to the

    Raw material, Labour and

    Factory overhead e.g.

    Manufacturing concern

    facing day to day

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    variations in Input price

    risk due to which

    organizations faces price

    competitions to survive in

    the market.

    Output price risk: output

    price risk directly relates

    to selling price that an

    organization demands for

    it goods and services like

    Commodity price risk:

    includes coal, copper,

    electricity, oil & gas that

    are inputs for some firms

    and outputs for others.

    Exchange price risk:

    changes in price risk due

    to the factor of foreign

    exchange rates. Interest

    Rate Risk: another factor

    of change in output price

    risk is changes in bank

    interest rate due to which

    cost of borrowing funds

    increases that affects the

    cash inflows and outflows

    of the business.

    Credit Risk: Credit risk

    relates to the credit policy

    of the organizations for

    their customers and

    suppliers e.g. mostly

    business firms face some

    credit risk in the shape of

    bad debts on account

    receivables accounts that

    directly impact or reduce

    the business cash inflows

    as well as reduced the

    business working capital.

    Pure risk: pure risk

    directly relates to the

    business management and

    affects business activity in

    some cases e.g. Damage

    of assets e.g. risk relates

    to physical damage, theft

    etc. Worker Injury: e.g.

    risk related to injury and

    disability of workers that

    results in compensations.

    Employ Benefit: e.g. those

    obligations associated

    with organization on

    death, illness and

    disability of employees.

    Legal Liability: e.g. risk

    associated with

    organization due to non

    compliances of country

    laws and regulations.

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    Personal Risk: risk

    associated with

    individuals and families

    are personal risk major

    personal risks are: Earning

    Risk: e.g. Potentional

    fluctuation in the families

    earnings due to disability,

    aging, unemployment and

    death of income earners.

    Medical Risk: e.g. risk

    that relate to health or life

    of individual in case of

    critical diseases like

    AIDS. Physical Assets

    and Liability: e.g. risk

    faces by families incase of

    loss or liability suits for

    non payments of physical

    assets that it owns like

    home automobiles,

    jewellery etc.

    Financial Assets: e.g. risk

    associated with

    individuals in the form of

    gain or loss on financial

    assets like shareholders,

    investments/bonds etc.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    Risk management process

    consists of identification,

    evaluation and

    measurement,

    implementation and

    monitoring of

    management process

    performance. This

    management process is

    general framework and is

    applicable to business as

    well as individual risks.

    METHODS OF

    MANAGEMENT

    Loss Control:- loss

    control consist two

    general approaches to loss

    control i-e. Reducing the

    level of risky activities

    e.g. business agreements

    legally bound or shifting

    attentions to less risk

    product line from risk

    product.

    Loss Financing:-

    management of business

    potential risks through e.g.

    insurance, hedging and

    other contractual

    agreements for risk

    transfers like involvement

    of banking sector.

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    Internal Risk

    Reduction:- Management

    of business risk associated

    with internal processes

    e.g. diversification their

    activities like job

    specialization concept or

    putting right person for

    the right job &

    investment in information

    to obtain superior forecast

    of expected losses e.g.

    MIS or Planning and

    Budgeting forecasting

    department are the best

    examples of Investment in

    information.

    UNDERSTANDING

    THE COST OF RISK

    Cost risk of a business

    reflects the upcoming

    losses faces by the

    organization during the

    fiscal year because of

    fluctuation of cost e.g. per

    unit cost increase will

    reduce earnings of the

    business.

    COMPONENTS

    OFCOST RISK

    Major cost of risk has five

    main components

    Expected cost of losses:

    includes both direct &

    indirect losses in direct

    losses we consider e.g.

    repairing, replacing,

    damaged asset, and cost of

    paying workers

    compensation claims to

    injured workers. Indirect

    losses we considered e.g.

    reduction in net profits

    due to consequences of

    direct losses.

    Cost of loss control:

    includes those cost that an

    organization bears to

    reduce the frequency and

    severity of accidents e.g.

    cost of testing the product

    for safety prior to its

    introduction/ marketing

    Cost of loss financing:

    cost of loss financing

    reflects that cost that bear

    on loss financing e.g.

    insurance premium is the

    best example of cost of

    loss financing.

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    Cost of internal risk

    management methods:

    cost that an organization

    utilize to reduce business

    uncertainty internally e.g.

    fee / charges of risk

    manager appointed by

    management for particular

    project of business to

    reduce uncertainty

    Cost of residual

    uncertainty: cost of

    residual uncertainty is the

    combination of loss

    control cost, loss

    financing cost, and

    internal risk reduction cost

    is collectively called cost

    of residual uncertainty.

    RISK FRAMEWORK

    Obvious risk are no real

    threat, given a reasonable

    alert management

    however it is unintended

    consequences that

    challenge our common

    sense and experience

    The risk framework is

    composed of three major

    domains of business risks.

    Ownership risks: the risk

    associated with acquiring,

    maintaining and disposing

    off assets considered other

    number of group risks i-e.

    external threats e.g.

    competitors, govt

    regulations, product

    markets etc. custodial

    risks e.g. obsolescence,

    theft form store etc. and

    other hazard/ disasters and

    accidental losses & other

    opportunity cost .

    Process risk: the risk

    associated with putting

    assets to work to achieve

    objectives considering

    those groups of risks

    hazard / accidental loss,

    errors / omission, frauds

    etc.

    Behavioral risks: the risk

    associated with both

    acquiring, maintaining

    and disposing of human

    assets considering these

    risks e.g. productivity

    loss, dysfunctional

    workplace and

    opportunity cost etc.

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    MANAGING RISK

    There are variety of ways

    to manage the

    organization risk which

    includes

    Diversity : the best

    example of diversity is

    Job specialization or

    putting right person for

    the right job.

    Transfer : through

    different businesses or

    transactions insurances we

    are able to transfer loss to

    other party.

    Control : through proper

    internal control we can

    also business risk of the

    organizations internally.

    Avoid : through avoid

    policy we shifting our

    product line from risky

    product to less risky

    product line.

    Share : In share policy we

    share our loss with

    another party to reduce

    risks.

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    CHAPTER 2

    BUSINESS R ISK ANALYSIS

    Business risk analysis is

    an effective, efficient tool

    for decision making that

    also considering the

    consequences of

    alternatives. Today all

    business decisions

    considered after risk

    analysis because everybusiness decision have

    short term as well as long

    term impact on the

    business life. Business

    risk analysis includes risk

    assessment e.g.

    identification and

    measuring business risks

    and risk management e.g.

    includes how to

    minimized the business

    risk or how to managed or

    tackle the business risks.

    Risk Assessment:

    Business risk assessment

    includes quantitative and

    qualitative evaluation of

    exposures arising due to

    some risky business

    activity. In risk

    assessment we considered

    these groups of elements.

    1. Risk identification:

    In risk identification

    we identify and

    classify business risk

    and the most

    important their chart

    eristic e.g. Externalrisk: includes

    competitors risk,govt

    policy for the industry

    etc. and in Internal

    risk: business strategy

    of the business

    regarding business

    risks etc.

    2. Risk measurement &

    evaluations: we

    considered what types

    of losses faces by

    organization in the

    form of direct losses

    and indirect losses and

    trying to forecast the

    possible

    consequences.

    3. Risk prioritization:

    in risk prioritization

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    we prioritize the

    business risks in direct

    and indirect losses

    form and find how the

    risks are related to

    each other e.g. failure

    of electricity results

    cuts of product

    production which is

    direct impact and must

    be top priority how to

    tackle this issue to

    finish further other

    indirect losses.

    Risk Management

    There is variety of ways to

    manage the organization

    risk which includes

    Diversity : The best

    example of diversity is

    Job specialization or

    putting right person for

    the right job.

    Share : In share policy we

    share our loss with

    another party to reduce

    risks e.g. business

    insurance policy is the

    best example of share risk.

    Transfer : Through

    different businesses or

    transactions insurances we

    are able to transfer loss to

    other party.

    Control : Through proper

    internal control we can

    also business risk of the

    organizations internally

    e.g. organization

    hierarchy/ Organization

    structured.

    STRATEGIC RISK

    Strategic risk is defined as

    the risk associated with

    future business plans and

    strategies, including e.g.

    plans for entering new

    business lines, expanding

    existing services through

    mergers and acquisitions,

    enhancing infrastructure,

    etc.

    To mitigate strategic risk,

    management should have

    a strategic planning

    process that addresses its

    business goals and

    objectives. Because

    businesses often rely on

    third-party service

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    providers the strategic

    plan should also include a

    comprehensive vendor

    management program.

    Different units in the

    organization puts assets to

    work through

    management process and

    internal control system

    and unit objectives linked

    to the organizations

    overall goals. Risk in the

    form of uncertain changes

    in the environment, can

    affect the assets and or the

    management process. The

    effects of risks depend

    also in part on the nature

    of the assets and the types

    of management processes

    and controls. Management

    by its strategic risks

    policy or through typically

    monitors the organizations

    through internal control or

    auditor can tackle these

    business risks.

    Risk Terms: an

    expression of the

    probability that an event

    or action may adversely

    affect the organization

    Risk may involve positive

    or negative consequences

    although most positive

    consequences are know as

    opportunities and most

    negative consequences are

    called threats or risks.

    Consequences are tangible

    outcomes/results

    consequences of risk can

    vary in severity depending

    on a number of factors

    e.g. the assets at risk, the

    type of threat, the duration

    of the consequences and

    the effectiveness of

    controls in place etc. the

    risk of the business

    particular activity may

    high, medium or low

    reflects infact probability

    of occurrence which may

    be great, average or

    remote.

    Risk and Opportunity:

    Opportunity = What is

    Possible? Opportunity is

    the positive view of a

    particular business

    transaction / activity

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    where as Risk The

    possibility of suffering

    harm or loss; danger or A

    factor, thing, element, or

    course involving uncertain

    danger; a hazard or The

    danger or probability of

    loss to an insurer etc.

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    CHAPTER 3

    THE ROLE OF INTERNAL

    CONTROL

    Business controls are the

    process to mitigate

    business risk or in simple

    words controls are set of

    processes or procedures to

    accomplish or achieving

    our business goals and

    objectives and prevent

    from risky consequences

    and alert management to

    take corrective actions.

    Internal controls are

    categories into negative

    controls and positive

    controls. Negative

    controls create obstacles

    that slow the business

    process from reaching its

    objectives e.g.

    unnecessary verification

    of business transactions

    by multiple authorities

    such as govt. controls in

    Pakistan where as positive

    controls assist to

    achieving the business

    goals e.g. appointment of

    internal auditors assist

    stakeholders to show the

    true and fair view of the

    businesss financial

    statements.

    Models of internal

    control

    Committee of

    sponsoring organization

    (COSO)

    Criteria of control

    committee (COCO)

    Committee of

    sponsoring organization

    (COSO): COSO was the

    first general model of

    internal control to be

    accepted by a wide

    professional audience

    COSO published internal

    control framework in

    1992 COSO is based on

    the principle of universal

    applicability the internal

    control process should

    same from bottom to top

    level e.g. job

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    specialization concept

    policy putting right person

    to the right jobs use this

    concept in professional

    organization today from

    bottom to top level

    management to increase

    efficiency and

    effectiveness and to

    reduce wasted motions.

    COSO report evaluates

    internal control as a

    process, affected by an

    entitys board of directors,

    management and other

    personnel which is

    designed to provide

    reasonable assurance

    regarding the achievement

    of objectives in one or

    more categories: e.g.

    effectiveness and

    efficiency of operations,

    reliability of financial

    reporting, compliance

    with applicable laws and

    regulations to the

    company stakeholders

    regarding safeguarding

    assets from loss or

    unauthorized use.

    According to COSO

    report internal control

    having five components i-

    e. monitoring, information

    and communication,

    control activities, risk

    assessment e.g. SWOT

    analysis of business, and

    control environment e.g.

    discipline and structure,

    management s

    philosophy, competence

    of the entitys people etc.

    COSO Sequence:

    Establish Objectives

    Assess Risk

    Determine Control

    Required

    Explanation of

    Establish Objectives

    According to COSO

    approach to effective &

    efficient control required

    to establish the business

    objectives because the

    main objective of internal

    control is to ensure that

    establish objectives are

    achieved.

    Explanation of Assess

    Risk

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    Assess risk is the second

    step in the COSO

    sequence assess risk

    consist of identification,

    measurement and

    prioritization of risky

    events.

    Explanation of

    Determine Control

    Required

    Determine control

    required is the third step

    of the COSO sequence to

    mitigate risks identified

    and to reaching the goals

    required.

    Criteria of Control

    Committee (COCO)

    COCO model of internal

    control developed by The

    Canadian Institute of

    Chartered Accountants

    COCO focuses on four

    important parts i-e. Do we

    have the right objectives?

    e.g. Companys Vision,

    mission Statements. Do

    we have appropriate

    control activities? e.g.

    SMART goals of the

    business etc. Do we have

    capability, commitment

    and right environment in

    place? e.g. job

    specialization / putting

    right person to the right

    job, shared ethical values,

    an atmosphere of mutual

    trust etc. Do we monitor,

    learn and adapt? e.g. 360O

    performance evaluation

    system etc.

    Cadbury and Other

    National Models

    The Cadbury commission

    in the Uk has focused

    their effort on defining

    internal financial control

    nevertheless, they have

    developed a control model

    that is very close to the

    general model used by

    COSO. The Cadbury

    model includes

    safeguarding assets as part

    of the effective and

    efficient operations unlike

    the original version of

    COSO. The main point

    covered by Cadbury

    model

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    Monitoring and

    corrective action

    Control Activities

    Identification of risks,

    Control Priorities, and

    objectives as defined in

    COSO as well as in

    COCO model.

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    CHAPTER 4

    THE BUSINESS R ISK

    ASSESSMENT

    Business risk

    assessment includes

    quantitative and

    qualitative evaluation of

    exposures arising due to

    some risky business

    activity. In risk

    assessment we assessed

    the risk at three levels

    Strategic Level

    Project/ Program /

    Process Level

    Operational Level

    Strategic Risk Assessment

    Strategic risk is the

    current and

    prospective impact on

    earnings or capital

    arising from adverse

    business decisions,

    improper

    implementation of

    decisions, or lack of

    responsiveness to

    industry changes.

    This risk is a function

    of the compatibility

    of an organizations

    strategic goals, the

    business strategies

    developed to achieve

    those goals, the

    resources deployed

    against these goals,

    and the quality of

    implementation. The

    resources needed to

    carry out business

    strategies are both

    tangible and

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    intangible. They

    include

    communication

    channels, operating

    systems, delivery

    networks, and

    managerial capacities

    and capabilities. The

    organizations

    internal

    characteristics must

    be evaluated against

    the impact of

    economic,

    technological,

    competitive,

    regulatory, and other

    environmental

    changes.

    Here are the seven steps

    for conducting a Strategic

    Risk Assessment:

    1. Achieve a deep

    understanding of the

    strategy of the

    organization,

    2. Gather views and data

    on strategic risks,

    3. Prepare a preliminary

    Strategic Risk Profile,

    4. Validate and finalize

    the Strategic Risk Profile,

    5. Develop a Strategic

    Risk Management Action

    Plan,

    6. Communicate the

    Strategic Risk Profile and

    Strategic Risk

    Management Action Plan,

    and

    7. Implement the Strategic

    Risk Management Action

    Plan.

    These steps define a basic,

    high-level process and

    allow for a significant

    amount of tailoring and

    customization in their

    execution to reflect the

    maturity and capabilities

    of the organization.

    PROJECT RISK

    ASSESSMENT

    The benefits of risk

    management in projects

    are huge. You can gain a

    lot of money if you deal

    with uncertain project

    events in a proactive

    manner. The result will be

    that you minimize the

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    impact of project threats

    and seize the opportunities

    that occur. This allows

    you to deliver your project

    on time, on budget and

    with the quality results.

    The 10 golden rules to

    apply risk management

    successfully in your

    project

    Make Risk

    Management Part

    of Your Project

    Identify Risks Early inYour Project

    Communicate About

    Risks

    Consider Both Threats

    and Opportunities

    Prioritise Risks

    Analyse Risks

    Plan and Implement

    Risk Responses

    Register Project Risks Track Risks and

    Associated Tasks

    OPERATIONAL RISK

    MANAGEMENT:

    An operational riskis, as

    the name suggests, a risk

    arising from execution of

    a company's business

    functions. It is a very

    broad concept which

    focuses on the risks

    arising from the people,

    systems and processes

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    through which a company

    operates. It also includes

    other categories such

    as fraud risks, legal risks,

    physical or environmental

    risks. One of the best

    method to risk assessment

    done by a specialist

    involved in workplace

    risks.

    Health risk: including

    exposure to toxins,

    radiation and infectious

    organisms. Safety risks:

    including exposure to

    equipment, machinery and

    work processes.

    Environmental /Physical

    risk: including exposure

    to climate and terrain etc.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraudhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legal_riskhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraudhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legal_risk