c = 200 + 2/3 y and y = c + i c = 200 + 2/3 ( c + i ) = 200 + 2/3 c + 2/3 i

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Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I
Page 2: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I
Page 3: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I
Page 4: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I
Page 5: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I
Page 6: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I
Page 7: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

The intersection of the consumption equation and the 45-degree line represents an income-expenditure equilibrium only if investment spending is zero.

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 8: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 9: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 10: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 11: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 12: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 13: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 14: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 15: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 16: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 17: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 18: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 19: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 20: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s let investment spending be zero initially and then increase it in increments 200, keeping track of the relationship between consumption and investment.

Page 21: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

C = 200 + 2/3 Y and Y = C + I

C = 200 + 2/3 (C + I) = 200 + 2/3 C + 2/3 I

1/3 C = 200 + 2/3 I, and hence C = 600 + 2I

Page 22: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

C = 200 + 2/3 Y and Y = C + I

C = 200 + 2/3 (C + I) = 200 + 2/3 C + 2/3 I

1/3 C = 200 + 2/3 I, and hence C = 600 + 2I

Page 23: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

C = 200 + 2/3 Y and Y = C + I

C = 200 + 2/3 (C + I) = 200 + 2/3 C + 2/3 I

1/3 C = 200 + 2/3 I, and hence C = 600 + 2I

Page 24: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

For simplicity, let a = 0 and b = 0.90. Then C = a + bY becomes C = 0.90Y. And we get: C = a/(1-b) + b/(1-b) I = 9I.

If, for example, the public are in the habit of spending nine-tenths of their income on consumption goods, it follows that if entrepreneurs were to produce consumption goods at a cost more than nine times the cost of the investment goods they are producing, some part of their output could not be sold at a price which covered it cost of production.

Page 25: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

For simplicity, let a = 0 and b = 0.90. Then C = a + bY becomes C = 0.90Y. And we get: C = a/(1-b) + b/(1-b) I = 9I.The formula is not, of course, quite so simple as in this illustration…. But there is always a formula, more or less of this kind, relating the output of consumption goods which it pays to produce to the output of investment goods…. This conclusion appears to me to be quite beyond dispute. Yet the consequences which follow from it are at the same time unfamiliar and of the greatest possible importance.

Page 26: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

So, C and I are positively related. There’s no trading off one against the other.

Is this last point (I=1000;C=2600) below, at, or above full employment?

Page 27: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

So, C and I are positively related. There’s no trading off one against the other.

Is this last point (I=1000;C=2600) below, at, or above full employment?

Page 28: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

The Keynesians would show full-employment as a labor market that clears at the “going” wage rate.

Page 29: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

The Keynesians would show full-employment as a labor market that clears at the “going” wage rate.

Page 30: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

We can also show the supply and demand for loanable funds and market-clearing rate on interest.

The loanable-funds market is the financial equivalent of the market for “investable resources.”

Page 31: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 32: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 33: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 34: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 35: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 36: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 37: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 38: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 39: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Let investment fall because of a waning of animal spirits.

Page 40: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Let investment fall because of a waning of animal spirits.

What happens?

Page 41: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

The economy crashes.

Let investment fall because of a waning of animal spirits.

What happens?

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 42: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 43: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Watch the waning and the crash again—this time with an eye on the PPF diagram.

Page 44: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Watch the waning and the crash again—this time with an eye on the PPF diagram.

Page 45: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Watch the waning and the crash again—this time with an eye on the PPF diagram.

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 46: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Now let’s do it again, keeping track this time with the help of the loanable-funds market.

Keynesian theory focuses on the balance between income and expenditures.

Page 47: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

With the loanable-funds market in play, a decrease in investment shows up it two ways.

Page 48: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Now watch the crash, which entails a decrease in income and hence a decrease in saving.

Page 49: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Now watch the crash, which entails a decrease in income and hence a decrease in saving.

Page 50: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynes’s paradox of thrift can be illustrated by allowing saving to increase.

Page 51: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Note that the “a” in C=a+bY has decreased, which means that the demand constraint will shift down.

Page 52: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Income falls and, with it, saving—undoing the initial increase in saving. Hence the paradox.

Page 53: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Keynes’s Paradox of Thrift

“Every ... attempt to save more by reducing consumption will so affect incomes that the attempt necessarily defeats itself.”

--from The General Theory, 1936.

Page 54: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

To resolve the paradox, let’s outfit the model with a Hayekian triangle and corresponding labor markets.

Page 55: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

To resolve the paradox, let’s outfit the model with a Hayekian triangle and corresponding labor markets.

Page 56: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

To resolve the paradox, let’s outfit the model with a Hayekian triangle and corresponding labor markets.

Page 57: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s show the paradox again—this time keeping track of it with the capital-based graphics.

Page 58: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Let’s show the paradox again—this time keeping track of it with the capital-based graphics.

Page 59: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Notice that the triangle changes in size but not in shape. There’s no interest-rate effect here.

Page 60: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Finally, let’s do it again, allowing for an interest-rate effect and resolving the paradox.

Page 61: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Finally, let’s do it again, allowing for an interest-rate effect and resolving the paradox.

Page 62: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I

Finally, let’s do it again, allowing for an interest-rate effect and resolving the paradox.

Page 63: C  = 200 + 2/3  Y   and   Y  =  C  +  I C  = 200 + 2/3 ( C  +  I ) = 200 + 2/3  C  + 2/3  I