c hapter 6 control charts for variables. 6-1. i ntroduction variable - a single quality...
TRANSCRIPT
CHAPTER 6
Control Charts for Variables
6-1. INTRODUCTION
Variable - a single quality characteristic that can be measured on a numerical scale.
We monitor both the mean value of the characteristic and the variability associated with the characteristic.
VARIABLES DATA
Examples Length, width, height Weight Temperature Volume
BOTH MEAN AND VARIABILITY MUST BE CONTROLLED
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Notation for variables control charts n - size of the sample (sometimes called a
subgroup) chosen at a point in time m - number of samples selected = average of the observations in the ith
sample (where i = 1, 2, ..., m) = grand average or “average of the
averages (this value is used as the center line of the control chart)
x
ix
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Notation and values Ri = range of the values in the ith sample
Ri = xmax - xmin
= average range for all m samples is the true process mean is the true process standard deviation
x
R
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Statistical Basis of the Charts Assume the quality characteristic of interest
is normally distributed with mean , and standard deviation, .
If x1, x2, …, xn is a sample of size n, then the average of this sample is
= (X1 + X2 + … + Xn)/n
is normally distributed with mean, , and standard deviation,
x
n/x x
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Statistical Basis of the Charts If n samples are taken and their average is
computed, the probability is 1- α that any sample mean will fall between:
The above can be used as upper and lower control limits on a control chart for sample means, if the process parameters are known.
x
nZZ
andn
ZZ
2/x2/
2/x2/
CONTROL CHARTS FOR When the parameters are not known
Compute Compute R(bar)
Now UCL =
LCL =
x
x
nX
3
nX
3
CONTROL CHARTS FOR But, est =
So, can be written as:
Let A2 =
Then,
x
RAnd
R2
2
3
2/ dR
n/3nd
R
2
3
nd2
3
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Control Limits for the chart
A2 is found in Appendix VI for various values of n.
x
x
RAxLCL
xLineCenter
RAxUCL
2
2
CONTROL CHART FOR R
We need an estimate of R
We will use relative range W = R/R = WLet d3 be the standard deviation of W
StdDev [R] = StdDev [WRd
Use R to estimate R
CONTROL CHART FOR R
est,R = d3(R(bar)/d2)
UCL = R(bar) + 3 est,R = R(bar) + 3d3(R(bar)/d2)
CL = R(bar)LCL = R(bar) - 3 est,R = R(bar) - 3d3(R(bar)/d2)
Let D3 = 1 – 3(d3/d2)
And, D4 = 1 + 3(d3/d2)
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Control Limits for the R chart
D3 and D4 are found in Appendix VI for various values of n.
x
UCL D R
Center Line R
LCL D R
4
3
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Trial Control Limits The control limits obtained from equations (6-4) and
(6-5) should be treated as trial control limits. If this process is in control for the m samples
collected, then the system was in control in the past. If all points plot inside the control limits and no
systematic behavior is identified, then the process was in control in the past, and the trial control limits are suitable for controlling current or future production.
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Trial control limits and the out-of-control process
Eqns 6.4 and 6.5 are trial control limits Determined from m initial samples
Typically 20-25 subgroups of size n between 3 and 5 Any out-of-control points should be examined for
assignable causes If assignable causes are found, discard points from
calculations and revise the trial control limits Continue examination until all points plot in control If no assignable cause is found, there are two options
1. Eliminate point as if an assignable cause were found and revise limits
2. Retain point and consider limits appropriate for control If there are many out-of-control points they should
be examined for patterns that may identify underlying process problems
x
EXAMPLE 6.1 THE HARD BAKE PROCESS
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R Estimating Process Capability
The x-bar and R charts give information about the performance or Process Capability of the process.
Assumes a stable process. We can estimate the fraction of nonconforming
items for any process where specification limits are involved.
Assume the process is normally distributed, and x is normally distributed, the fraction nonconforming can be found by solving:
P(x < LSL) + P(x > USL)
x
EXAMPLE 6-1: ESTIMATING PROCESS CAPABILITY
Determine est = R(bar)/d2 = .32521/2.326=0.1398 Where d2 values are given in App. Table VI
Specification limits are 1.5 + .5 microns. (1.00, 2.00)
Assuming N(1.5056, 0.13982) Compute p = P(x < 1.00) + P(x > 2.00)
EXAMPLE 6-1: ESTIMATING PROCESS CAPABILITY
P = ([1.00–1.5056]/0.1398) +1 – ([2.00-1.5056]/.1398) = (-3.6166) + 1 – (3.53648) = .00035
These values from the APPENDIX 2 / 693 So, about 350 ppm will be out of specification
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Process-Capability Ratios (Cp) Used to express process capability. For processes with both upper and lower
control limits, Use an estimate of if it is unknown.
Cest,p = (2.0 – 1.0)/[6(.1398)] = 1.192
x
6
LSLUSLCp
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
If Cp > 1, then a low # of nonconforming items will be produced.
If Cp = 1, (assume norm. dist) then we are producing about 0.27% nonconforming.
If Cp < 1, then a large number of nonconforming items are being produced.
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Process-Capability Ratios (Cp) The percentage of the specification band that
the process uses up is denoted by
**The CThe Cpp statistic assumes that the process statistic assumes that the process mean is centered at the midpoint of the mean is centered at the midpoint of the specification band – it measures potential specification band – it measures potential capability.capability.
x
%100C
1P̂
p
EXAMPLE 6-1: ESTIMATING BANDWIDTH USED
Pest = (1/1.192)100% = 83.89% The process uses about 84% of the specification
band.
PHASE II OPERATION OF CHARTS
Use of control chart for monitoring future production, once a set of reliable limits are established, is called phase II of control chart usage (Figure 6.4)
A run chart showing individuals observations in each sample, called a tolerance chart or tier diagram (Figure 6.5), may reveal patterns or unusual observations in the data
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Control Limits, Specification Limits, and Natural Tolerance Limits (See Fig 6.6)
Control limits are functions of the natural variability of the process (LCL, UCL)
Natural tolerance limits represent the natural variability of the process (usually set at 3-sigma from the mean) (LNTL, UNTL)
Specification limits are determined by developers/designers. (LSL, USL)
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Control Limits, Specification Limits, and Natural Tolerance Limits
There is no mathematical relationship between control limits and specification limits.
x
RATIONAL SUBGROUPS
charts monitor between-sample variability (variability in the process over time)
R charts measure within-sample variability (the instantaneous process variability at a
given time) Standard deviation estimate of used to
construct control limits is calculated from within-sample variability
It is not correct to estimate using
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Guidelines for the Design of the Control Chart
Specify sample size, control limit width, and frequency of sampling
If the main purpose of the x-bar chart is to detect moderate to large process shifts, then small sample sizes are sufficient (n = 4, 5, or 6)
If the main purpose of the x-bar chart is to detect small process shifts, larger sample sizes are needed (as much as 15 to 25).
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Guidelines for the Design of the Control Chart
R chart is insensitive to shifts in process standard deviation when n is small The range method becomes less effective as the
sample size increases May want to use S or S2 chart for larger values of n
> 10
x
6-2. CONTROL CHARTS FOR AND R
Guidelines for the Design of the Control Chart
Allocating Sampling Effort Choose a larger sample size and sample less
frequently? Or, choose a smaller sample size and sample more frequently?
The method to use will depend on the situation. In general, small frequent samples In general, small frequent samples are more desirableare more desirable.
x
CHANGING SAMPLE SIZE OF X-BAR AND R CHARTS
1- variable sample sizevariable sample size: the center line changes continuously and the chart is difficult to interpret. (X-bar and s is more appropriate)
2- Permanent or semi-permanent change: Permanent or semi-permanent change:
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Edition
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6-2.3 CHARTS BASED ON STANDARD VALUES
If the process mean and variance are known or can be specified, then control limits can be developed using these values:
Constants are tabulated in Appendix VI
ALCL
CL
AUCL
chartX
1
2
2
DLCL
dCL
DUCL
chartR
6-2.4 INTERPRETATION OF AND R CHARTS
Patterns of the plotted points will provide useful diagnostic information on the process, and this information can be used to make process modifications that reduce variability. Cyclic Patterns ( systematic environmental changes ) Mixture ( tend to fall near or slightly outside the control
limits – over control and adjustment too often) Shift in process level ( new workers, raw material,…) Trend ( continuous movement in one direction- wear out
) Stratification ( a tendency for the point to cluster
artificially around the center line- e.g. Error in control limits computations )
x
6-2.6 THE OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION
How well the and R charts can detect process shifts is described by operating characteristic (OC) curves.
Consider a process whose mean has shifted from an in-control value by k standard deviations. If the next sample after the shift plots in-control, then you will not detect the shift in the mean. The probability of this occurring is called the -risk.
x
6-2.6 THE OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION
The probability of not detecting a shift in the process mean on the first sample is = P{LCL < Xbar < UCL = 1 = 0 + k}
L= multiple of standard error in the control limits
k = shift in process mean (# of standard deviations).
)nkL()nkL(
EXAMPLE We are using a 3 limit Xbar chart with
sample size equal to 5 L = 3 n = 5
Determine the probability of detecting a shift to 1 = 0 + 2 on the first sample following the shift k = 2
EXAMPLE, CONTINUED
So, =[3–2 SQRT(5)]-[-3–2 SQRT(5)]= (-1.47) – (-7.37) = .0708
P(not detecting on first sample) = .0708P(detecting on first sample) =1- .0708=.9292
6-2.6 THE OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC FUNCTION
The operating characteristic curves are plots of the value against k for various sample sizes
If the shift is 1.0σ and the sample size is n = 5, then
β = 0.75.
USE OF FIGURE 6-13 Let k = 1.5
When n = 5, = .35 P(detection on 2nd sample) = .35(.65) P(detection on 3rd sample) = .352(.65)
P(detection on rth sample) = r-1(1-) ARL = 1/(1-)
1/(1-.35) = 1/.65 = 1.54
OC CURVE FOR THE R CHART
Use the ratio of new to old process standard deviation )in Fig. 6.14
R chart is insensitive when n is small But, when n is large, W = R/ loses efficiency, and S chart is better
53
6-3.1 CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF AND S CHARTS
S is an estimator of c4
where c4 is a constant depends on sample size n.
The standard deviation of S is
x
24c1
6-3.1 CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF AND S CHARTS
If a standard is given the control limits for the S chart are:
B5, B6, and c4 are found in the Appendix VI for various values of n.
x
5
4
6
BLCL
cCL
BUCL
6-3.1 CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF AND S CHARTS
No Standard Given If is unknown, we can use an average sample
standard deviation
x
m
1iiS
m
1S
SBLCL
SCL
SBUCL
3
4
6-3.1 CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF AND S CHARTS
Chart when Using SThe upper and lower control limits for the chart
are given as
where A3 is found in the Appendix VI
x
x
UCL x A S
CL x
LCL x A S
3
3
x
6-3.2 THE AND S CONTROL CHARTS WITH VARIABLE SAMPLE SIZE
The and S charts can be adjusted to account for samples of various sizes.
A “weighted” average is used in the calculations of the statistics.
m = the number of samples selected. ni = size of the ith sample
x
x
6-3.2 THE AND S CONTROL CHARTS WITH VARIABLE SAMPLE SIZE
The grand average can be estimated as:
The average sample standard deviation is:
x
m
1ii
m
1iii
n
xnx
m
1ii
m
1i
2ii
mn
S)1n(S
6-3.2 THE AND S CONTROL CHARTS WITH VARIABLE SAMPLE SIZE
Control Limits
x
SAxLCL
xCL
SAxUCL
3
3
SBLCL
SCL
SBUCL
3
4
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
What if you could not get a sample size greater than 1 (n =1)? Examples include Automated inspection and measurement
technology is used, and every unit manufactured is analyzed.
The production rate is very slow, and it is inconvenient to allow samples sizes of n > 1 to accumulate before analysis
The X and MR charts are useful for samples of sizes n = 1.
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
Moving Range Control Chart The moving range (MR) is defined as the
absolute difference between two successive observations:
MRi = |xi - xi-1| which will indicate possible shifts or changes
in the process from one observation to the next.
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
X and Moving Range Charts The X chart is the plot of the individual
observations. The control limits are
where 2
2
d
MR3xLCL
xCL
d
MR3xUCL
m
MRMR
m
1ii
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
X and Moving Range Charts The control limits on the moving range chart
are:
0LCL
MRCL
MRDUCL 4
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
Example Ten successive heats of a steel alloy are tested
for hardness. The resulting data areHeat Hardness Heat Hardness 1 52 6 52 2 51 7 50 3 54 8 51 4 55 9 58 5 50 10 51
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
Example
109876543210
62
52
42
Observation
Indi
vid
uals
X=52.40
3.0SL=60.97
-3.0SL=43.83
10
5
0Mov
ing
Ran
ge
R=3.222
3.0SL=10.53
-3.0SL=0.000
I and MR Chart for hardness
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
Interpretation of the Charts MR charts cannot be interpreted the same as
R or charts. Since the MR chart plots data that are
“correlated” with one another, then looking for patterns on the chart does not make sense.
MR chart cannot really supply useful information about process variability.
x
6-4. THE SHEWHART CONTROL CHART FOR INDIVIDUAL MEASUREMENTS
The normality assumption is often taken for granted.
When using the individuals chart, the normality assumption is very important to chart performance.
P-Value: 0.063A-Squared: 0.648
Anderson-Darling Normality Test
N: 10StDev: 2.54733Average: 52.4
585756555453525150
.999
.99
.95
.80
.50
.20
.05
.01
.001P
roba
bilit
y
hardness
Normal Probability Plot
END