c. the worth of degree programs across the state d. college default rate, possible federal...
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C. The Worth of Degree Programs Across the State
D. College Default Rate, Possible Federal Consequences of Default Increases, and Total Loans by Institution
E. The Lumina Foundation Report, “A Stronger Nation Through Higher Education”, and Arkansas’s Progress
F. Amounts Credited Due to the State Scholarship Stacking Policy
C. The Worth of Degree Programs
Arkansas Employment After One Year by Degree Level for All Graduates (resident & non-resident)
Associate Certificate Bachelor Master Professional Doctoral30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
78%75%
74%
67%
51%49%
78%76%
72%
68%
63%
54%
76% 76%
71%
66%
62%
43%
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 2.
Academic Year
Arkansas Employment After Five Years by Degree Level for All Graduates (resident & non-resident)
Associate Certificate Bachelor Master Professional Doctoral30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
73%
63%62% 62%
55%
44%
73%
64%63%
60% 61%
32%
72%
61% 64%
58%57%
44%
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 1.
Academic Year
Arkansas Employment After One Year by Degree Level (AR residents only)
Certificate Master Associate Bachelor Doctoral Professional30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
85%
81%80%
79%
68%
53%
84%84%
80%
77%
72%
66%
81% 81%78%
77%
60%
67%
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 12.
Academic Year
Arkansas Employment After Five Years by Degree Level (AR residents only)
Associate Master Certificate Bachelor Professional Doctoral30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
75%74%
67% 68%
59%
66%
73% 75%74%
69%
63%
53%
74%73% 73%
69%
62%62%
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 12.
Academic Year
Arkansas Employment by Field of Study
After Five Years for All 2003-04
Bachelor Degree Recipients
(resident & non-resident)
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas
Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 5.
TRANSPORTATION
ARCHITECTURE
PHILOSOPHY AND RELIGION
PHYSICAL SCIENCES
BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
VISUAL AND PERFORMING ARTS
RECREATION
ENGINEERING
FOREIGN LANGUAGES
LIBERAL ARTS/GENERAL STUDIES
FAMILY/CONSUMER SCIENCES
NATURAL RESOURCES AND CONSERVATION
COMMUNICATION
ENGLISH/LITERATURE
PSYCHOLOGY
SOCIAL SCIENCES
AGRICULTURE BUS & PRODUCTION
HISTORY
BUSINESS MGMT & ADMIN SERVICES
MATHEMATICS
COMPUTER & INFO SCIENCES
PROTECTIVE SERVICES
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES
HEALTH PROFESSIONS
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
EDUCATION
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
28%45%47%49%50%52%53%56%57%57%57%59%59%60%60%61%62%62%63%64%64%67%67%68%72%
80%
72%55%53%51%50%48%47%44%43%43%43%41%41%40%40%39%38%38%37%36%36%33%33%32%28%
20%
% employed In AR % Not Employed In AR
Arkansas Employment by Field of Study
After Five Years for 2003-04
Bachelor Degree Recipients (AR residents only)
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas
Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 16.
TRANSPORTATION
ARCHITECTURE
PHYSICAL SCIENCES
VISUAL AND PERFORMING ARTS
PHILOSOPHY AND RELIGION
BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
FAMILY/CONSUMER SCIENCES
ENGINEERING
FOREIGN LANGUAGES
ENGLISH/LITERATURE
PSYCHOLOGY
RECREATION
HISTORY
NATURAL RESOURCES AND CONSERVATION
MATHEMATICS
COMMUNICATION
SOCIAL SCIENCES
LIBERAL ARTS/GENERAL STUDIES
AGRICULTURE BUS & PRODUCTION
BUSINESS MGMT & ADMIN SERVICES
PROTECTIVE SERVICES
COMPUTER & INFO SCIENCES
HEALTH PROFESSIONS
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
EDUCATION
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
24%53%54%54%54%55%
60%61%63%63%63%64%64%65%65%65%66%66%66%69%71%71%72%74%77%
84%
76%47%46%46%46%45%
40%39%37%37%37%36%36%35%35%35%34%34%34%31%29%29%28%26%23%
16%
% Employed In AR % Not Employed In AR
Arkansas Employment by Field of Study
After Five Years for 2003-04
Bachelor Degree Recipients (non- residents only)
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas
Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 19.
FOREIGN LANGUAGES
LIBERAL ARTS/GENERAL STUDIES
RECREATION
PHYSICAL SCIENCES
PSYCHOLOGY
BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
ARCHITECTURE
PUBLIC AFFAIRS
ENGLISH/LITERATURE
BUSINESS MGMT & ADMIN SERVICES
ENGINEERING
SOCIAL SCIENCES
HEALTH PROFESSIONS
COMMUNICATION
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES
EDUCATION
AGRICULTURE BUS & PRODUCTION
HISTORY
COMPUTER & INFO SCIENCES
PROTECTIVE SERVICES
FAMILY/CONSUMER SCIENCES
VISUAL AND PERFORMING ARTS
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
8%
15%
17%
17%
17%
17%
20%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
26%
27%
28%
28%
29%
30%
34%
35%
38%
41%
92%
85%
83%
83%
83%
83%
80%
79%
77%
77%
76%
74%
74%
73%
72%
72%
71%
70%
66%
65%
62%
59%
% Employed in AR % Not Employed in AR
Arkansas Employment by Residency Status After One Year for All Graduates (resident & non-resident)
Certificate Associate Bachelor Master Doctoral Professional0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
80.7%78.4%
76.7% 80.8%
59.8% 66.5%
40.4%40.1%
34.9%
24.4%22.4%
36.8%
AR Residents Non-Residents
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 7.
AY 2007-08
Arkansas Employment by Residency Status After Five Years for All Graduates (resident & non-resident)
Certificate Associate Bachelor Master Doctoral Professional0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
AR Residents Non-Residents
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 6.
AY 2003-04
Average Annual Arkansas Salaries by Degree Level for All Graduates (resident & non-resident)
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 8.
Certificate Associate Bachelor Master Doctoral Professional
$24,317 $29,835
$37,227
$47,888
$66,059
$79,324
$18,639 $19,244 $26,116
$42,305
$54,153
$46,888
After Five Years (2003-04)
After One Year (2007-08)
Average Annual Arkansas Salaries by Degree Level (AR residents only)
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, based on Table 9.
Certificate Associate Bachelor Master Doctoral Professional
$24,286 $29,717
$37,058
$48,060
$67,618
$77,986
$18,602 $19,112 $26,371
$42,580
$58,454
$46,888
After Five Years (2003-04)
After One Year (2007-08)
Average Annual Arkansas Salaries by Field of Study After Five Years
for All Graduates (resident & non-
resident)AY 2003-04
Source: Arkansas Departments of Information Systems, Workforce Services, & Higher Education, 2010 Arkansas Employment Outcomes Report, Figure 11.
PHILOSOPHY AND RELIGIOUS STUDIES
HISTORY
LIBERAL ARTS AND SCIENCES, GENER
VISUAL AND PERFORMING ARTS
FAMILY AND CONSUMER SCIENCES/HUM
PSYCHOLOGY
ENGLISH LANGUAGE AND LITERATURE
SOCIAL SCIENCES
SECURITY AND PROTECTIVE SERVICES
COMMUNICATION, JOURNALISM, AND R
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND SOCIAL
FOREIGN LANGUAGES, LITERATURES,
BIOLOGICAL AND BIOMEDICAL SCIENC
EDUCATION
TRANSPORTATION AND MATERIALS MOV
PARKS, RECREATION, LEISURE, AND
NATURAL RESOURCES AND CONSERVATI
AGRICULTURE, AGRICULTURE OPERATI
MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT, MARKETING,
ARCHITECTURE AND RELATED SERVICE
PHYSICAL SCIENCES
HEALTH PROFESSIONS AND RELATED C
COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES/TECHNIC
ENGINEERING
$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000
$22,601
$27,997
$29,246
$29,783
$30,436
$30,554
$30,568
$30,907
$31,901
$32,143
$32,275
$34,407
$35,083
$36,218
$37,086
$37,489
$38,980
$39,092
$39,795
$40,969
$43,710
$44,528
$47,581
$48,050
$54,022
$64,871
D. College Default Rate, Possible Federal Consequences of Default Increases, and Total Loans by Institution
• In 1970’s: 80% of the cost of attendance could be covered by a Pell grant
• Today, less than 40%
How college is paid for has changed
5.5% - 7.2%
4.5% - 5.4%
3.1% - 4.4%
2.0% - 3.0%
2005 Loan Default Rates
Source: U.S. Department of Education
6.8%
(5th)
6.9%
7.1%
7.2%
2.0%
2.6%
6.9%
2.2% (DC)
2.3% (VT)
6.8% - 9.7%
5.0% - 6.7%
3.6% - 4.9%
2.3% - 3.5%
2006 Loan Default Rates
Source: U.S. Department of Education
8.8%
9.3%
9.7%
7.4%
2.3%
2.4%
2.4% (VT)
2.4%
7.6%
(4th)
7.6% - 9.9%
6.3% - 7.5%
4.5% - 6.2%
2.3% - 4.4%
2007 Loan Default Rates
Source: U.S. Department of Education
9.3%
9.3%
9.9%
8.8%
2.8%
2.3% 3.1%
9.0%
(4th)
7.2% - 10.9%
6.0% - 7.1%
4.4% - 5.9%
1.8% - 4.3%
2008 Loan Default Rates
Source: U.S. Department of Education
9.23%
9.9%
10.9%
9.6%
3.4%
1.8% 2.9%
10.15%
(2nd)
U.S. Department of Education Official Student Loan Default Rates
Default Rate Number of Loans In
Repay Number of Loans in
Default
Fiscal year Fiscal year Fiscal year 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008ASUJ* 7.7% 8.2% 10.1% 4,371 3,862 3,787 338 317 408ATU 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 1,662 1,491 1,560 149 139 154HSU 6.2% 6.8% 9.8% 1,065 961 857 67 66 84SAUM 10.4% 11.5% 11.6% 749 691 723 78 80 84UAF 2.3% 3.4% 4.3% 3,606 2,570 2,459 85 87 106UAFS 9.6% 11.2% 10.8% 1,126 1,091 1,083 109 123 118UALR 6.9% 8.9% 9.1% 3,649 3,032 2,967 255 270 272UAM 11.5% 13.4% 14.7% 987 872 825 114 117 122UAMS 0.2% 1.2% 1.6% 922 543 594 2 7 10UAPB 15.4% 15.9% 17.3% 1,115 1,057 915 172 169 159UCA 6.9% 6.4% 9.4% 2,650 2,455 2,483 184 162 234Total 7.1% 8.3% 9.6% 21,902 18,625 18,253 1,553 1,537 1,751
US Average = 7.0%*Includes ASUN, ASUMH.
U.S. Department of Education Official Student Loan Default RatesDefault Rate Number of Loans In Repay Number of Loans in DefaultFiscal year Fiscal year Fiscal year
2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008ANC 10.8% 9.7% 12.8% 166 133 132 18 13 17ASUB 9.2% 8.9% 11.8% 477 589 633 44 53 75ASUMH Included in ASUJASUN Included in ASUJBRTC 12.7% 14.4% 12.1% 376 381 328 48 55 40CCCUA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%EACC 10.2% 11.7% 21.4% 68 94 121 7 11 26MSCC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%NAC 11.1% 16.0% 9.2% 322 350 324 36 56 30NPCC 13.0% 18.5% 16.1% 169 253 267 22 47 43NWACC 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 580 532 594 40 42 53OTC 15.4% 11.2% 9.9% 71 107 101 11 12 10OZC 16.5% 7.5% 13.9% 218 186 201 36 14 25PCCUA 9.8% 8.6% 21.2% 152 115 94 15 10 20PTC 10.3% 12.3% 14.9% 2,362 2,719 2,684 245 336 400RMCC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%SACC 10.5% 9.8% 9.0% 276 243 221 29 24 20SAUT 13.2% 15.8% 10.7% 128 107 112 17 17 12SEAC 20.8% 13.6% 12.3% 254 279 291 53 38 36UACCB 13.8% 19.1% 18.5% 304 355 356 42 68 66UACCH 12.9% 12.5% 11.7% 77 72 68 10 9 8UACCM 11.1% 11.5% 7.5% 179 242 237 20 28 18
Total 11.2% 12.4% 13.3% 6,179 6,757 6,764 693 833 899http://www.nslds.ed.gov/nslds_SA/defaultmanagement/search_cohort.cfmUpdated September 13, 2010 by USDOE
Schools subject to loss of FFEL/FDSLP/Pell eligibility, 3 years of rates >=25.0%A school subject to loss of eligibility to participate in the Federal Family Education Loan (FFEL) Program, William D. Ford Federal Direct Loan (Direct Loan) Program, and/or Federal Pell Grant Program has FY 2008, FY 2007, and FY 2006 official cohort ` rates that are 25.0% or greater. If a school fails to successfully appeal this sanction, it will lose eligibility to participate in the FFEL, Direct Loan, and/or Federal Pell Grant Program until September 30, 2012. For more information on this sanction and specific exceptions, please refer to the Cohort Default Rate Guide.
25
Financial Aid Funding Trend
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
$(10,000,000)
$-
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000
General Revenue FA Expense FA Balance
Fund Balance peaked in 2009 at 53m
GR peaked at 48m in 2008Expense (Student Awards) has increased since 2005
$24m
26
Arkansas Department of Higher EducationFinancial Aid
2011-2013 Biennial Forecast
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 $-
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000 Second Effort ScholarshipsPodiatryChiropracticWashington Center ScholarshipsOptometry LoansOsteopathySingle Parent ScholarshipDependents of Law Enf. Officers, etcJr/Sr Minority Teacher ScholarsSREB Minority Doctoral ScholarsAR Geographical Critical NeedsMinority Masters FellowsSURF ProgramTuition AdjustmentDependents of POWS, MIAS, KIASOptometry GrantsTargeted Teacher DevelopmentDental LoansDental AidVeterinary AidNational Guard Tuition AssistanceSTEPTeacher Opportunity ProgramWorkforce Improvement GrantsHigher Education Opportunities GrantsGovernor's ScholarsAcademic Challenge Scholarships
E. The Lumina Foundation Report, “A Stronger Nation Through Higher Education”, and Arkansas’s Progress
The Lumina Foundation Report:
A Stronger Nation Through Higher Education and Arkansas’s Progress
Dr. Karen WheelerAssociate Director
Department of Higher Education
Lumina’s Big Goal
Increase the percentage of Americans with high-quality degrees and credentials from
39% to 60% by the year 2025.
Why Degrees/Credentials Are Critical
• For generations the American economy has created large numbers of middle-class jobs that required no college-level knowledge or skills.
• Due to global competition, these jobs are rapidly disappearing.
• Lower-skills jobs are not producing middle-class wages (or tax revenues).
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
68.7%
68.6%
Arkansas U.S.
College Going RatesArkansas vs. National
Source: ADHE SIS; NCES, Digest of Education Statistics 2009; Table 191.
AY1997 AY1998 AY1999 AY2000 AY2001 AY2002 AY2003 AY2004 AY2005 AY2006 AY2007 AY2008 AY2009 AY2010
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
123,139
133,620
154,125
185,678
Annual Unduplicated Enrollment for Public Institutions
Academic Year
En
roll
me
nt
50.8 percent increase in enrollment
Source: ADHE SIS, 2010.
AY1997 AY1998 AY1999 AY2000 AY2001 AY2002 AY2003 AY2004 AY2005 AY2006 AY2007 AY2008 AY2009 AY2010
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
15,244 15,054 15,412 16,157 16,365
17,526
19,147 19,449
20,749 21,578
22,468 23,575
25,553
28,183
Credentials Awarded, Public Institutions Only
Academic Year
Cre
de
nti
als
Aw
ard
ed
84% - Total Credentials Awarded283% - Certificates of Proficiency243% - Technical Certificates135% - Associate Degrees35% - Baccalaureate Degrees67% - Master Degrees87% - Doctoral Degrees
Source: ADHE SIS, 2010.
% In
crea
se
Top/Lowest Five CountiesPercentage of Young Adults (25-34)
with an Associate’s or Bachelor’s Degree
Lincoln
Stone
Chicot
Scott
Lee
Craighead
Benton
Washington
Faulkner
Pulaski
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
8.0%
9.5%
9.7%
10.8%
11.2%
27.5%
27.8%
31.2%
33.0%
37.4%
0.263
0.299
0.337
0.334
0.355
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SF3, 2000. American Community Survey SF3, R15002. Note: Sample Size must be 2,000 housing units or more.
2009 Top 5 Counties2000 Top 5 Counties2000 Bottom 5 Counties
Arkansas Democrat-GazetteMore in State Graduating, But Rate Still Low
Wednesday, Dec. 15, 2010
“Yes, we made strides. That’s wonderful, but everybody knows that we have a long way to go.”
Kathy Deck University of Arkansas
Economist
High School Attainment
• 81.3% of Arkansans hold a high school diploma or equivalent. (National=84.6%)
• High school diploma/GEDs have increased in all but one Arkansas county (Bradley).
• Arkansas still is 45th in nation.
Higher Education Attainment
• Second to last with 18.9% of adults with a bachelor’s. (Nationally=27.5%)
• West Virginia is last in terms of bachelor’s at 17.1%.
• 60 counties saw increases in the percentage of adults with bachelor’s degrees.
• SREB report that 37% of FT-FT four-year students in 2002 graduated in 6 years. (Lowest of the 16 SREB states) (Nationally=55%)
Non-Traditional No More: Policy Solutions for Adult Learners
WICHE Project Goals
• To increase access and success for the adult learner population in postsecondary education.
• To stimulate and guide policy and practice changes that will make it easier for “ready adults”—those who are just shy of having enough credits to obtain a degree but haven’t yet returned to college-to earn their diplomas.
Major Project Accomplishments
• Adults included in Lottery Scholarship awards.
• Identified state- and institutional-level barriers.
• Generated and shared detailed data on adult student success.
Arkansas Public Colleges and Universities 2008 Fall Term, Undergraduate Students Only
Age less than 20 31.5%
Age 20-24 36.1%
Age 25-34 18.5%
Age 35-44 8.4%
Age 45-54 3.9%
Age 55 or higher 1.6%
Traditional Students 67.6%
Non-Traditional Students 32.4%
Average Age 25.0
Arkansas Public Colleges and Universities2008 Fall Term, Undergraduate Students Only
Age Range 4-Year Universities
2-Year Colleges
Difference
Age less than 20 35.7% 25.2% 10.5%
Age 20-24 42.8% 26.5% 16.3%
Age 25-34 13.6% 25.6% -12.0%
Age 35-44 5.0% 13.3% -8.3%
Age 45-54 2.2% 6.5% -4.3%
Age 55 or higher 0.7% 2.9% -2.2%
Traditional 78.5% 51.7% 26.8%
Non-Traditional 21.5% 48.3% -26.8%
Average Age 23.0 27.9 -4.9%
Arkansas Public Colleges and Universities Graduates
Academic Year2008 (2007-08) Number Percent
Traditional 11,535 51.6%
Non-Traditional 10,812 48.4%
Total 22,347 100.0%
Summary• Two-year public colleges serve substantially higher
rates of non-traditional students than do four-year universities.
• Traditional students make up about two-thirds of public higher education enrollment.
• Traditional students make up about one-half of public higher education graduates, only slightly higher than Non-Traditional students.
F. Amounts Credited Due to the State Scholarship Stacking Policy
• One state stacking policy• Each institution has variations in FA packaging policies
Stacking Policies of the State’s Institutions
A postsecondary institution shall not award state aid in a student aid package in excess of the cost of attendance. When a student receives a student aid package that includes state aid and the student’s aid package exceeds the cost of attendance, the institution shall repay state aid in the amount exceeding cost of attendance, starting with state aid received under the Academic Challenge Scholarship.
Stacking Definitions• Cost of Attendance - An estimate of a student’s educational
expenses that is designed to provide an accurate projection of the reasonable costs for the period of enrollment.
• State Aid – scholarships or grants awarded to a student from public funds, including without limitation the Academic Challenge Scholarship, DHE scholarship and grant programs, state general revenue, tuition, and local tax revenue.
• Student aid package – federal aid, state aid, and other aid a student receives for postsecondary education expenses– “Federal Aid” – scholarships or grants awarded to a student
as a result of the FAFSA, excluding the Pell Grant– “Other Aid” – scholarships, grants, tuition waivers, or
housing waivers awarded to a student from a postsecondary institution or private sources.
Reductions due to stackingFall 2010
Program# of
students AmountAcademic Challenge Scholarship 220 $ 229,453.66 Governor's Scholars Program 4 $ 2,767.00 Go! Grant 69 $ 24,428.00 National Guard Tuition Incentive Program 1 $ 2,500.00
294 $ 259,148.66