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C24-160 Barry Kirkh•m. QC' Duncan J Manson+ Daniel W Oumelt, QC ... Ronald C Pa ton+ Karen S Thompson•
Harley J Huris11
Karl F Richardson 1
Jnm<!S W ZailsoH' )ocely" M Bel lcrud' Sarah M P~loquin"''
Carl j Pines, Associate Counse.1T
Robin C Macfarlane·• Ala n A Frydenlund, QC' ' Harvey S Oefoney+ Paul J Brown+ Gary M Yaffe• Jonathan L WiUfams+ Paul A Orackstune+· Pamela 6 Sh•ppard• K,llharina R Spotzl
SleffiTB<>yce
Ro5e-Mar)' L Basham, QC, Assoc1illC Cow,sel" Jennifer M Williams, AssociateCouusel • Hon Woller S Owen, OC, QC. LLD (1981) John I Bird, QC (200S)
June 6, 2018
Josephine M Nadel, QC+ All ison R Kuchta+ James L Carplck' Pa trick J Haberl' li,::ather E Maconachie Michael F Robsoo,• Scott H Stephens• Ceorgc J Roper• Sanl(!e:r K.!lmbo;
James D Burns• Jeffrey B Lightfoot• 01ristophe-r P Weafer+ Gregory J Tu,·ker, QC' 'rcrcnce W Yu+
James H Mc-Bea th+ Edith A RyM' Daniel Ii Coles• Patrick) O'Neill
Law Corporation Also of the Yukon Bar
.... Also of the Onlario Bar
OWEN•BIR D L AW CORPORAT I ON
PO Box49130 Three BentaU Centre 2900-595 Burrard Sh·eet Vancouver, BC Canada V7X 1J5
Telephone 604 688-0401 Fax 604 688-2827
VIA EMAIL - [email protected] Website www.owenbird.com
Victoria, Electric Vehicle Association
Attention: Mr. James Locke, President
Dear Sirs/Mesdames:
Direct Line: 604 691-7557
Direct Fax: 604 632-4482
E-mail : [email protected]
Our File: 23841 /0179
Re: British Columbia Utilities Commjssion Inquiry into the Regulation of Electric Vehicle Charging Service- Project No. 1598941
We are counsel to the Commercial Energy Consumers Association of British Columbia (the "C C"). Attached please find the CEC's Response to the Victoria Electric Vehicle Association's Information Request with respect to the above-noted proceeding.
If you have any questions regarding the foregoing, please do not hesitate to contact the undersigned.
Yours trnly,
CPW/jj
cc: BCUC - Atten: Patrick Wruck, Commission Secretary cc: Registered lnterveners cc: CBC
{01022333 ;1) 8 JNTERLAW MEM8£K OP INTERLAW. AN I N"fiatHATIONAL ASSOCI A'rl ON
Vi3} ot· INDl::l'li NOEN T I.AW FIRMS TN MAJOR WORLD CF.N TREs
{01022759;1}
COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMERS ASSOCIATION OF BRITISH COLUMBIA (“CEC”)
CEC Response to Victoria Electric Vehicle Association (“VEVA”) Information Request No. 1
British Columbia Utilities Commission - Inquiry into the Regulation of Electric Vehicle Charging Service
Project No. 1598941
June 6, 2018
{01022759;1}
- 2 -
CEC RESPONSE TO VEVA INFORMATION REQUEST #1
British Columbia Utilities Commission - Inquiry into the Regulation of Electric Vehicle Charging
Project No. 1598941
1. What are the underlying source(s) of the values in the data tables in Section 8.19 for the Slow/Base/High Scenarios?
Response:
Slow/Base/High Scenarios for personal EV adoption rates (expressed as % of Light Vehicles (LV) sales) are derived from the NREL’s “Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Analysis”1. The Slow and High Growth Scenarios reflect slight deviations from the NREL’s base case. Slow/Base/High Scenarios for shared Autonomous Vehicles (AV) adoption rates are in keeping with the CEC’s current body of knowledge on autonomous vehicle adoption, including McKinsey & Company’s report “Automotive revolution – perspective towards 2030”.2
2. What assumptions are in the data/graph with respect to any increase in the BC light duty fleet per year due to population growth in BC?
Response:
The CEC model uses population growth statistics derived from BC Stats3 and LV sales statistics derived from StatsCan4 as base parameters when calculating the size of BC’s LV fleet over the period. Basic assumptions include an approximately 1.5% growth in sales, and an approximate LV retirement rate of 6% per year.
1 Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. (2017). National Plug-In Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Analysis. U.S. Department of Energy. 2 McKinsey & Company. (2016). Automotive revolution – perspective towards 2030. 3 BC Stats. (2017, July). Population Projections. Retrieved from https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/data/statistics/people-population-community/population/population-projections 4 Statistics Canada. (2018, June 5). New motor vehicle sales. Retrieved from http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/trade36j-eng.htm