cambios y tendencias económicas y del mercado automotor: perú automotive client... ·...
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Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Cambios y tendencias económicas y
del mercado automotor: PerúGuido Vildozo, Senior Manager, Americas Light Vehicle Sales Forecasting
17 de Diciembre 2018
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
AUTOMOTRIZ
El sector automotriz es una de las industrias mas grandes y competitivas en el mundo y demanda un análisis pormenorizado para atender las demandas de hoy.
Nuestro equipo global con oficinas en los 13 mercados mas grandes provee una extensiva cobertura informática a nivel global.
La cobertura de IHS Markit comienza en el área de planeamiento de producto a su incepción de ventas en el mercado, marketing y reposición/repuestos.
2
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Riesgos a la economía global…
• EUA: Make America Great Again
• BREXIT
• Excesiva deuda corporativa
• Estrés financiero en China
• Extensiva crisis en mercados emergentes
• Deterioro político Europeo
• Perdida de política monetaria
• Shock geopolítico y repercusiones en producción petrolera
• Conflictos regionales
2018 – Lima, Peru
3
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Tendencia positiva en manufactura y producción industrial
IHS Markit Índice de Compra Gerencial
2018 – Lima, Peru
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Ind
ex
, o
ve
r 5
0 s
ign
als
ex
pa
ns
ion
United States Eurozone China Japan
4
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Crecimiento económico y comercio global
PIB real, producción industrial y exportaciones
2018 – Lima, Peru
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
0
1
2
3
4
5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Pe
rce
nt
ch
an
ge
Real GDP Industrial production Real goods & services trade
5
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
North America17.1%
Other Americas5.2%
Western Europe11.3%
Emerging Europe5.7%
Asia-Pacific53.2%
Middle East & North Africa4.9%
Sub-Saharan Africa2.6%
El Asia representara mitad del crecimiento económico
entre 2017 a 2027
Crecimiento PIB Real, 2017–27
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
Notable contributions:
China 29.7%
United States 14.3%
India 9.2%
6
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Chile Peru
An
nu
al
pe
rce
nt
ch
an
ge
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021–25
Crecimiento PIB en Latino América
7
PIB Real
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
NAFTA OtherAmericas
WesternEurope
EmergingEurope
Mideast-N.Africa
Sub-SaharanAfrica
Japan Other Asia-Pacific
Pe
rce
nt o
f G
DP
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Déficit en entidades gubernamentales
8
Balanza presupuestaria
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Cuenta Corriente
9
-1,000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
500
750
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Bil
lio
ns
of
US
do
lla
rs
United States Western Europe Japan Asia exc. Japan Middle East Africa Latin America
Cuenta Corriente
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Bonos corporativos
10
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
United States
Other developed markets
Western Europe
World
Other emerging markets
China
Bonos corporativos
Source: McKinsey Global Institute © 2018 IHS Markit
Compound annual growth rate 2007–17, percent
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Deuda – PIB economias avanzadas
11
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
Public Private***
2000 2007 2017**
Deuda-PIB economias avanzadas
Source: Bank for International Settlements
* Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Luxumbourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal,
Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, and United States
**First half of 2017
***Includes household and nonfinancial corporate-sector debt
© 2018 IHS Markit
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
NAFTA OtherAmericas
WesternEurope
EmergingEurope
Mideast-N.Africa
Sub-SaharanAfrica
Japan Other Asia-Pacific
An
nu
al
pe
rce
nt
ch
an
ge
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021–25
Inflación
12
Inflacion
Note: Venezuela is excluded from Other Americas.
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Politica Monetaria
13
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Perc
en
t, e
nd
of
qu
art
er
United States Eurozone Japan United Kingdom
Tasas Referenciales
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
El Dolar Estadounidense continuara apreciándose
Indice Cambiario Dolar Estadounidense
2018 – Lima, Peru
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
14
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028
Ind
ex
, 2
00
9 =
1.0
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Varias monedas en economías emergentes se han devaluado
contra el Dólar
Indice de Cambio Semanal
2018 – Lima, Peru
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
15
0
25
50
75
100
125
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
US
D/l
oc
al c
urr
en
cy,
20
13
:1=
10
0
China India Brazil Russia South Africa Argentina Turkey
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Comparación del precio de Barril de Petróleo Brent
Precio Barril Brent
2018 – Lima, Peru
Source: IHS Markit © 2018 IHS Markit
25
50
75
100
125
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Do
lla
rs/b
arr
el
Current forecast March forecast
16
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Ventas globales automotrices
Source: IHS Markit
Crecimiento vira nuevamente a mercados emergentes
© 2018 IHS Markit
Mill
ions
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025
ASEAN
South America
CC/EE Europe
Middle East/Africa
Indian Subcontinent
Greater China
Oceania
Japan/Korea
North America
West Europe
• Tendencia
> Estable a corto plazo
> Riesgo geopolítico y comercial
> EUA/China y BREXIT generan
incertidumbre
• 2018‒20
> EUA continua estabilizándose
> Crecimiento limitado en China ($$)
> Europa ve crecimiento al este y centro
> Resultados mixtos para mercados
emergentes
• Largo plazo
> Incertidumbre ante los cambios en
carro autónomo y eléctrico
95m
+0.7%
2018 – Lima, Peru
17
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Ventas Globales: 2017 vs Incremento 2025
18
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Greater China
North America
Europe
South Asia
Japan/Korea
Middle East/Africa
South America
Millones
Region
2017 2025
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
SUV
Sedan
Hatchback
MPV
Van
Pickup
Others
Millones
Bodytype
2017 2025
-5 0 5 10 15
VW
Toyota
R/N
GM
Hyundai
Ford
Honda
FCA
Suzuki
PSA
Daimler
BMW
Millones
Compania
2017 2025
36%
32%
68%
13%
10%
10%
8%
14%
13%
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Ventas globales: 90% de las ventas de vehículos están expuestas a
regulaciones de consumo de combustible en la próxima década
19
Source: IHS Markit
Proceso se intensifica hacia el 2020
Countries with currently enacted fuel economy targets
Countries with fuel economy initiatives under discussion
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Source: IHS Markit
Cambio de start-stop a hibridos se intensifica
© 2018 IHS Markit
Tendencia de Electrificación Global
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
FCV BEV (+REEV) PHEV HEV MHV S/S ICE
20
• Mercado global de 117 millón de vehículos el 2030
• 53% de la flota global será electrificada hacia el 2030
(PHEV/HEV/MHEV/EV)
• MHEV ~ 31%
• PHEV & HEV ~ 12%
• BEV (+REEV) ~ 10%
• MHEV predomínate en Europa y China
• Motor a combustión interna y start-stop será remplazado
por sistemas mild hybrid
2018 – Lima, Peru
20
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159
124
160139 135
182156 152
197
10983
38 2916 12 7
9
11
9
178
17
21 25
58
71
68
5052
3426 44
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Lanzamiento de Motores Nuevos
ICE Hybrid Electric
21
Desarrollo de motores a combustión interna
2018 – Lima, Peru
21
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Ventas de Vehículos Ligeros en América LatinaMargen de error 2016 y perspectivas de crecimiento
Pais CY 2016 CY 2017 P'17 CY 2018 P'18 CY 2019 P'18
CY 2018
Dic17 MOE '18
Argentina 676,375 859,548 27.1% 778,754 -9.4% 510,604 -34.4% 850,923 -8.5%
Brazil 1,988,099 2,181,580 9.7% 2,464,990 13.0% 2,710,500 10.0% 2,455,054 0.4%
Chile 304,626 350,912 15.2% 418,059 19.1% 421,750 0.9% 365,930 14.2%
Colombia 243,469 239,366 -1.7% 237,975 -0.6% 245,689 3.2% 250,011 -4.8%
Ecuador 68,969 100,969 46.4% 132,475 31.2% 130,455 -1.5% 96,955 36.6%
Mexico 1,601,208 1,550,959 -3.1% 1,437,115 -7.3% 1,465,987 2.0% 1,575,090 -8.8%
Peru 154,335 171,350 11.0% 154,795 -9.7% 161,952 4.6% 183,824 -15.8%
2018 – Lima, Peru
22
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Perspectivas económicas - Peru
23
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Real GDP growth
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Consumer price inflation
0
1
2
3
4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Exchange rate per USD*
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Current Account Balance as a % of GDP
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved. 24
0
50
100
150
200
250
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Mile
s
Ventas de Vehiculos Ligeros (SAAR) - Peru
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru LV Sales
25
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Sales Change
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Top-10 Brand Share
26
Hyundai Toyota Kia Chevrolet Suzuki Nissan Mazda Volkswagen Renault Mitsubishi Others
2011 15.1% 28.0% 8.6% 7.5% 5.6% 9.1% 1.3% 5.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.3%
2016 16.7% 18.8% 13.4% 4.8% 6.0% 7.6% 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4% 22.5%
2017 15.6% 15.5% 10.5% 6.6% 6.2% 5.5% 3.5% 3.2% 2.5% 2.3% 28.5%
2018 15.5% 13.4% 11.3% 2.8% 7.0% 4.5% 3.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.0% 32.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Bodytype
27
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
SUV Sedan Hatchback Van Pickup MPV Chassis-Cab Coupe Wagon Roadster Convertible
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Hyundai
28Source: IHS Automotive
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Hyundai 2017
Hyundai 2025
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Hyundai Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Accent Grand i10 i20 Tucson Elantra Others
2018 – Lima, Peru
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Peru Ventas Ligeros
Toyota
29Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Toyota 2017
Toyota 2025
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Hilux Yaris Avanza RAV4 Fortuner Others
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Toyota Brand YOY Industry YOY
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Kia
30Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Kia 2017
Kia 2025
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Kia Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Rio Picanto Cerato Sportage Bongo Others
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Chevrolet
31Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Chevrolet 2017
Chevrolet 2025
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Chevrolet Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
N300 Sail Prisma Spark Onix Others
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Suzuki
32Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Suzuki 2017
Suzuki 2025
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
APV Swift Grand Nomade Alto Ertiga Others
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Suzuki Brand YOY Industry YOY
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Nissan
33Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Nissan 2017
Nissan 2025
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Nissan Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Versa Frontier Sentra Kicks X-Trail Others
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Mazda
34Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Mazda 2017
Mazda 2025
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Mazda Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
3 CX-5 CX-3 CX-9 2 Others
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Volkswagen
35Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Volkswagen 2017
Volkswagen 2025
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Gol Tiguan Fox Amarok Jetta Others
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Volkswagen Brand YOY Industry YOY
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Renault
36Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Renault 2017
Renault 2025
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Duster Logan Duster Oroch Master Captur Others
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Renault Brand YOY Industry YOY
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Audi
37Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Audi Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Q5 Q3 A3 A4 Q7 Others
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Audi 2017
Audi 2025
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
BMW
38Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
BMW Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
X3 X1 1-Series 3-Series 5-Series Others
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
BMW 2017
BMW 2025
2018 – Lima, Peru
Confidential. © 2018 IHS MarkitTM. All Rights Reserved.
Peru Ventas Ligeros
Mercedes-Benz
39Source: IHS Automotive
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Portfolio Age
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Mercedes-Benz Brand YOY Industry YOY
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Sprinter GLC C-Class GLA CLA Others
Chassis-Cab
Convertible
Coupe
Hatchback
MPV
PickupRoadster
Sedan
SUV
Van
Wagon
Industry 2017
Industry 2025
Mercedes 2017
Mercedes 2025
2018 – Lima, Peru
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2018 Fall Automotive Client Briefing - CITY
Thank You! Muito Obrigado! Muchas Gracias!Guido Vildozo
Senior Manager, Americas Light Vehicle Sales Forecasting
Chris Hopson
Manager, North America Light Vehicle Sales Forecasting
Roberto Barros
Senior Analyst, South America Light Vehicle Sales Forecasting
Joao Reboucas
Analyst, South America Light Vehicle Sales Forecasting
Danny Blodgett
Analyst, North America Light Vehicle Sales Forecasting