campbell achieving coherence_10_june_2011
TRANSCRIPT
Bonn, 10th June 2011
Achieving coherence across foodAchieving coherence across food security, adaptation and mitigation
Bruce CampbellProgram Director
www.ccafs.cgiar.org
Rwanda coffee productionRwanda coffee production
•• c. 20% national c. 20% national exportsexports
•• From 1500 m to From 1500 m to 1800 m1800 mpp
•• Mostly Mostly arabicaarabica •• Reduced area and Reduced area and massivemassivemassive massive “transformational “transformational adaptation”adaptation”
•• 55--10% decline in10% decline in55 10% decline in 10% decline in total national total national exportsexportsexports exports
Reduction in coffee area in Nicuaragua
2 degrees warmer world ‐ is likely to be just "a nice Utopia”
Length of growing season will decline drasticallydrastically..
Length of growing period
>20% l
(%)
To 2090, taking 18 GCMs
>20% loss5-20% lossNo change5-20% gain>20% gain
Thornton et al. (2010) ILRI/ CCAFS( )Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B
Agriculture gcontributes
nearly anearly a third of GHGsGHGs
Food Security
Adaptation
Mitigation
Message 1:Agriculture is unique in its THREE KEY rolesAgriculture is unique in its THREE KEY roles – need a forum/process to rapidly advance our understanding and implementation of a
“new” agriculture
AlternateAlternate WettingWettingAlternateAlternate‐‐WettingWetting‐‐andand‐‐Drying Drying ((AWDAWD))
30% water
25‐50% GHG
Yield not compromised
What are the incentives to change irrigation practice?
Message 2:Message 2:Many technologies and practices are
il bl k t t i t id thavailable – key next step is to provide the appropriate incentives to farmers
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