campuses as living laboratories for a greener future
DESCRIPTION
Presentation made on July 20th by Jerry Sheehan to ACUTA conference in San Fran.TRANSCRIPT
Campuses as Living Laboratoriesfor a Greener Future
Jerry Sheehan, Chief of StaffCalifornia Institute for Telecommunications and
Information Technology (Calit2)
July 20th, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
I. The Warming World
II. Carbon Regulations and Universities
III. The UCSD Green Campus Testbed
Topics to Be Discussed
Thursday, July 22, 2010
The Warming World
Topic
Thursday, July 22, 2010
CO2 Rises Suddenly Since Industrial Era
Medieval Warm Period
Little Ice Age
388 PPM in 2010
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Global Average Temperature over Last 160 Years
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Climate Models Match Past Temperature VariationsCombining Natural and Anthropogenic Effects
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Atmospheric CO2 LevelsLast 800,00 Years and 21st Century
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: US Global Change Research Program Report, 2009
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: EPA Analysis of American Power Act, June 14, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: EPA Analysis of American Power Act, June 14, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
CO2 Emissions Persist for Millennium
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: PNAS, February 10, 2009, Vol 206
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Planet Already Committed to Dangerous Warming
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: V. Ramanthan and Y. Feng, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, PNAS, September 2008
Planet Has Only Realized 1/3 of the
Committed Warming
Future Emissions Move Peak to the Right
Thursday, July 22, 2010
SOURCE: Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, National Research Council, July 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
What Would it Take to Limit CO2 to 450PPM
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: Shell Oil, Energy Forecast, 2009
Limiting GHG concentrations to 450 ppm CO2-equivalent is expected to limit temperature rises to no more than 2°C above pre-industrial levels. This would be extremely challenging to achieve, requiring an explosive pace of industrial transformation going beyond even the aggressive developments outlined in the Blueprints scenario.
It would require global GHG emissions to peak before 2015, a zero-emission power sector by 2050 and a near zero-emission transport sector in the same time period…
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Reducing Emissions 50% by 2050 Requires Radical Change
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgraduate School, AAAS Talk, January 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
The Challenge“The Biggest Single Peacetime Project Humankind
Have Ever Undertaken”
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Thinking About the Future is Hard
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Climate Regulation and Universities
Topic
Thursday, July 22, 2010
US EPA Mandatory Reporting of GHG
SOURCE: US Environmental Protection Agency, http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/ghgrulemaking.html
Thursday, July 22, 2010
US EPA Mandatory Reporting of GHG
Institution Gross Emissions Scope 1 & 2 (CO2e) Year
US EPA GHG Rule Requires Reporting in 2011?
University of Illinois 491,258 2008 YES!
University of Louisville 52,2709 2008 YES!
Syracuse University 80,498 2007 YES!
University of Tennessee 234,000 2008 YES!
Penn State University 309, 117 2008 YES!
University of California San Diego 192,862 2008 YES!
SOURCE: American College and University Presidents Climate Commitment, http://acupcc.aashe.org/
Thursday, July 22, 2010
American Power Act
SOURCE: http://wonkroom.thinkprogress.org/2010/05/12/kerry-lieberman/
Thursday, July 22, 2010
How a Bill Becomes a Law
SOURCE: Mike Wirth and Dr. Suzanne Cooper Guasco, Queens University of Charlotte, SunLight Labs Award Winner
Thursday, July 22, 2010
When This
SOURCE: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/horizon-oil-spill.html
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Leading to This
SOURCE: National Geographic, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
And These
Obama Oval Office Gulf Coast Address June 15, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Only Get You This..
SOURCE: CNN, June 15, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Individual American CO2 Emissions
=1 Ton CO2
20 Tons
=AB 32 Required Decrease
14 Tons
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Subnational GHG Goals in the U.S.
STATES 2009•72% Climate Action Plans•42% GHG Reduction Targets•66% Cap & Trade
SOURCE: Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Climate101-State Actions, January 2009
Thursday, July 22, 2010
• Executive Order S-3-05 Green House Gas targets.
• 2010 GHG emissions set to 2000 levels.• 2020 GHG emissions set to 1990 levels.• 2050 GHG emissions set to 80% of 1990
levels.
• AB 32 (Signed Into Law 2006)• Identify statewide GHG emissions for 1990 to
serve as emissions limit to be achieved by 2020.• 427 million metric tons of CO2e goal,
roughly 30% reduction.• Mandatory reporting and verification of GHG
emissions by major emitters on or before Jan 1, 2008.
• If you emit over 25,000 metric tons of CO2e reporting is required.
• Identify and adopt regulations for discrete early actions enforceable by or before January 2010.
California and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Thursday, July 22, 2010
• California State law currently requires 20% of power to be renewable by 2010.
• California is likely to only achieve about ½ of this by the deadline.
• Executive Order S-14-08 [October 2008] set a goal of 33% renewable in the portfolio .
• Executive Order S-21-09 [September 2009] directs California Air Resources Board to adopt regulations to support 33% renewable by 2020.
• Regulations to be in place and adopted by stakeholder by July 2010.
• More strict then any other state but Hawaii which has a 40% requirement by 4030.
• Including hydro-power by 2020, California expects to exceed this and hit 45% renewables.
California and Renewable Energy
Thursday, July 22, 2010
GHG Regulation in British Columbia
• Bill 44-2007 (Greenhouse Gas Reductions Target Act) became law in 2008
• Act Establishes GHG Targets• 2020 33% less than 2007• 2050 80% less then 2007
• Public Sector Organizations CARBON NEUTRAL by 2010.
• If not neutral, must buy oversets at cost of $24/Ton.
Thursday, July 22, 2010
University of British Columbia and Carbon Costs
Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012
2010 2011 2012
Carbon Offset $1,602,750 $1,602,750 $1,602,750
Carbon Tax $1,179,940 $1,474,925 $1,769,910
Total $2,782,690 $3,077,675 $3,372,660
SOURCE: UBC Sustainability Office, August 2009
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Universities Pledging to Address Climate
Thursday, July 22, 2010
The ICT Challenge and Opportunity
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Breakdown of ICT’s GHG Emissions by Area
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: SMART2020 Report, 2008
6% Growth
Rate
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Clouds May Not Have Silver Linings
Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)
SOURCE: GreenPeace, MakeIT Green, March 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
PREZITATION
https://prezi.com/mt2zmpyvljz0/acuta-green/
For Campus Lab Details See Interactive Prezi
Thursday, July 22, 2010