can investors do well by doing good? sébastien pouget toulouse school of economics
TRANSCRIPT
Co-director of the research center on Sustainable Finance and Responsible Invesments
Chaire « Finance Durable et Investissement Responsable »
Can investors do well by doing good?
Sébastien POUGET
Toulouse School of Economics
“The Washing Machine”: Investment Strategies and Corporate Behavior
with Socially Responsible Investors
Christian Gollierand
Sébastien POUGET
Socially Responsible Investments
Complements financial analysis by taking into account Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors
ESG factors (externalities): pollution, working conditions, employee relations, product safety, transparency of decisions…
SRI represents today between 5% and 15% of assets under management in Europe and the USA
Several trillions of euros (3.7 trillion$ in the US according to US SIF and 0.4 trillion€ in France according to Novethic)
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Sébastien Pouget
What is SRI?
Pension funds (CALPERS, TIAA-CREF, APG, FRR…)
Sovereign funds (Norway GPF, CDC…)
Institutional investors are major promoters of SRI (see e.g., the UN-backed Principles for Responsible Investment)
Numerous asset management companies are also proposing SRI funds (for example, Calvert in the US, and all the sponsors of the Chaire FDIR in France)
More than 250 funds in France
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Sébastien Pouget
Players in SRI
There are 3 main types of strategies
Exclusion
Boycott sectors that are jugged as irresponsible
Best in Class
Invest more in companies with best ESG performance
Engagement
Change corporate behavior by exerting voice
Other strategies: microcredit, thematic funds…9
Sébastien Pouget
SRI strategies
Why could it be important to foster Corporate Social Responsibility?
Milton Friedman (1970): corporate social responsibility is to maximize firm value
According to Benabou and Tirole (2010):
Quid if there are missing markets and thus externalities? Delegated Philanthropy
Quid if firm value does not reflect long term items? Bonus culture (Benabou and Tirole, 2014) may be dampened by using ESG performance to evaluate firms (extra-financial rating agencies)
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Sébastien Pouget
Why SRI?
Necessary conditions : market failures (due to externalities) and government failures (due to territorial limits in juridical influence or to transaction costs)
SRI motivations:
Creating economic value in the long run
Being ethical
Institutional investors and asset managers often cite both due to:
Fiduciary responsibility that imposes financial objectives
Reputational risks that call for acceptable behaviors12
Sébastien Pouget
Why SRI?
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Sébastien Pouget
Pourquoi capitalisme devient solidaire?
Norwegian GPF has more than 800 billion $ of AUM
The Fund launches enquiries regarding the behavior of companies on the field
The list of excluded companies is made publicly available online
Its choices are followed by a lot of asset owners and managers
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63 companies are currently excluded by the Norwegian Fund
Excluded sectors: non-conventional weapons, tobacco, severe violations to human rights, severe degradation of environment
In France, Safran and Airbus Group are excluded due to their implication in nuclear weapon production
Sébastien Pouget
Why SRI?
Provide some theoretical underpinnings for SRI industryFinancial performance?
Change within companies?
Analyze the practical implications for SRI industryWhat type of funds?
With which strategy?
Can investors do well by doing good?
Our approach
Set up an asset pricing model for socially responsible assets
Study the link between financial markets and corporate decisions via shareholders’ voting decisions
Propose a business model for SRI funds that associates financial performance and changes in corporate behavior
Within the SRI industry, engagement strategies and private equity funds can display abnormal returns at equilibrium
The “washing machine” investment strategy
Profitable SRI?
Proposing a model in which SRI investors outperform traditional ones is challenging
Consider that CSR pays at the company level, i.e., virtuous firms display higher (long term) earnings than vicious firms
If one considers that financial markets are informationally efficient
Both SRI and traditional investors overweight virtuous firms
These investors display identical performances
If one considers that financial markets are inefficientBoth SRI and traditional investors try and collect information to spot the firms that are mispriced
Again, these investors display identical performances
Profitable SRI
There are at least three reasons why SRI might outperform traditional investment funds
SRI may be better at spotting the most promising companies because of expertise in extra-financial analysis
SRI may be better at anticipating new trends in corporate social responsibility and benefit from the subsequent enthusiasm
SRI may implement the “washing machine” strategy we characterize in this paper
Related literature
Other pricing models for socially responsible assets include Heinkel, Kraus, and Zechner (2001), Barnea, Heinkel, and Kraus (2005), and Barnea, Heinkel, and Kraus (2009)
These models feature investors with private benefits from firms’ responsible policies but there is no voting issues
Existing models of voting in firms include Gromb (1993), Burkart, Gromb, and Panunzi (1997, 2000), At, Burkart, and Lee (2011)
Gromb and ABL study the optimal design of security-voting structure and optimal allocation of control rights
Closest paper is BGP (2000) that features conflict of interest among shareholders but no voting on strategic decisions
ModelD
ate
3 Firm’s results
• Standard strategy: – financial return r = N(Er,σ2)
– no externalities
• Responsible strategy:
– financial return r - c
– positive externality e > c
l
ModelD
ate
2 Shareholders’ meeting
• Strategy choice: standard vs. responsible
• Vote: simple majority
• One share = One vote
ModelD
ate
1 Financial market
• An initial owner sells his shares• Socially responsible investors: – value
r, c and e• – proportion π
ModelD
ate
1 Financial market
• An initial owner sells his shares• Socially responsible investors: – value
r, c and e• – proportion π• Traditional investors:
– value r, and c only
ModelD
ate
1 Financial market
• An initial owner sells his shares• Socially responsible investors: – value
r, c and e• – proportion π• Traditional investors:
– value r, and c only• Trading at price P
Rational expectations equilibrium
Corporate strategy?
Investors’ demand?
Share price?Investors’ holdings?
Shareholders’ vote?
Corporate strategy
Investors’ demand
Share priceInvestors’ holdings
Shareholders’ vote
Standard strategy
Corporate strategy
Investors’ demand
Share priceInvestors’ holdings
Shareholders’ vote
Responsible strategy
Corporate strategy
Investors’ demand
Share priceInvestors’ holdings
Shareholders’ vote
Responsible strategy
Corporate strategy
Investors’ demand
Share priceInvestors’ holdings
Shareholders’ vote
Responsible strategy
Corporate strategy
Investors’ demand
Share priceInvestors’ holdings
Shareholders’ vote
Responsible strategy
Corporate strategy
Investors’ demand
Share priceInvestors’ holdings
Shareholders’ vote
Responsible strategy
Results so far
The responsible strategy is adopted when π > (1/2)/(1+x)
Responsible company offers a lower risk-adjusted return than the standard company
In line with Hong and Kacperczyk (2009)
Responsible companies market cap is higher than the one of standard companies when πe > c
Helps explaining why event studies on CSR are unclear – see, for example, Krüger (2014)
Value creation thanks to engagement
When π < (1/2)/(1+x) and πe > c, …
… responsible investors do not hold a majority of shares (the standard strategy is adopted)…
… and the firm is undervalued (with respect to the situation in which the responsible strategy would be chosen)
Potential for value creation (both financial and social)
Intervention of a raiderD
ate
0
Takeover
Dat
e 1
Financial market
Dat
e 2
Share-holders’ meeting
Dat
e 3
Firm’s results
Intervention of a raiderD
ate
0 Takeover
• Raider makes a take-it or leave-it offer to the initial owner
Dat
e 1 Financial market
• Raider sells back its shares to investors
Raider’s strategy
At date 0, raider offers a low price Er-Aσ2 at which the initial owner accepts to sell his shares
At date 1, raider could be tempted to sell back all its shares at high a price of Er+πe-c-Aσ2 (greater than Er-Aσ2)
This strategy is not feasible because, if it sells back all its shares, responsible investors do not have a majority
The raider has to keep a part α of the shares such that the responsible strategy is adopted
Raider’s behavior
We assume that the raider is risk-neutral and internalizes a part θ of the externality
Its expected utility is: (1-α)P1*+α(μ+θe-c)-P0*
Raider sells back 1-α shares if c/e<θ<πIts expected utility is: Aσ2+θe-c+(π-θ) 2e2/(4Aσ2)
Last term: the raider reaps the responsibility premium
Pure financial returns can be higher than for a traditional raider
Raider prefers to keep all the sharesIf θ<c/e: votes against responsible strategy and it is less risk averse than other investors (expected utility is Aσ2)
If θ>π: votes for the responsible strategy and it finds that the price is not high enough despite the responsibility premium (Aσ2+θe-c)
Raider’s commitment for CSR
This strategy is not credible unless the raider votes, at the shareholders’ meeting, in favor of the responsible strategy
If it focuses on financial returns only, it will always favor the standard strategy
Hence, a traditional raider cannot intervene and restructure the firm
Only a socially responsible raider can at the same time change the strategy of the firm and benefit financially from this change
Relation with empirical evidence
There is a responsibility premium:Hong and Kacperczyk (2009) on sin stocks
Bauer and Hann (2010) on green companies and credit spreads
Bauer, Derwall, Hann (2009) on employee relationships and spreads
Chava (2011) on green companies and bank loans
Dimson, Karakas and Li (2012) show that investment strategies based on engagement on environmental and social issues can generate positive abnormal return
Activism profitable on governance issues: Brav et al. (2006), Becht et al. (2009)
An emerging strategy
The “Washing Machine” strategy has not yet been implemented
However, a fund, Tau Investment Management, is currently being set up in New York that follows the same principles
Objective (“NY firm sees investment opportunity in garment factories”, Reuters, 9/27/2013):
Invest in garment factories in emerging countries (i.e., Bengladesh, Vietnam…)
Be a very active minority shareholder
Transform companies mainly by improving labor conditions (compensation, security, training…) and supply chain organization
Resell shares on stock markets
Conclusion
To benefit from the “washing machine” strategy, SRI should:
Invest in non responsible firms and turn them into responsible
Have a long-term orientation
Have a credible orientation towards social responsibility
Strategy can be implementedAlone by SRI private equity or hedge funds
In group by SRI mutual funds or pension funds
Two remarks:Investing in non responsible firms raises a reputation issue for SRI
Traditional raiders can profit from targeting some CSR-oriented firms