can machine learning improve human learning?
TRANSCRIPT
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Masters can be developed as research indicates training beats raw talent2
Source: Anders Ericsson
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Masters train to improve brain plasticity*2Retrieval practice Spacing Interleaving
* Research from Brown, Roediger and McDaniel “Make it Stick: The Science of Successful Learning”
Read
From
To
Quiz
Identify weak spots
Selectively re-read
Read Re-read Read
Read session
1
Read session
2
Read session n
Read topic 1 Read topic 2
Read topic 1
Read topic 2
Read topic 1
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Masters are mindful and focus on problems3
70%
30%
42%
58%
You Masters
Illustrative % practice time
Whole piece
Problem areas
Mic
ro G
oal:
5X in
row
no
erro
rs
Total hours
Illustrative hours to optimal
Masters
You
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Masters use “representation” to learn4
Top gun pilots learn from top pilots using “power projection”
methods and simulating dog
fights
Writers learn in workshops from
published authors by sharing and critiquing work
Musicians attend master classes with virtuosos and hear
each other play, stop, and evaluate
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Masters focus on changing micro decisions over broad macro goals5
Macro goal
1
Choice 1.1
Choice 1.2
Choice 1.1.1
Choice 1.1.2Micro decision 1.x
Micro decision 1.1.x
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Hours, adjustment and repetition matter6M
acro
goa
l
EXPERIENCE CURVE
Hours of experienceP
roba
bilit
y of
adh
eren
ce
MAKE A HABIT
Number of times
20-30
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We apply a rigorous automated method11
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What data do we need to evaluate our goal?
2
25%
45%
17%
100%
39%
What are the odds
we’ll meet our goal?
3
+
What scenarios
may change our odds?
4
Are the right people
reacting to our nudges?
5
How may we adapt based
on the response?
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We can analyze data to measure where to focus2
30%
70%
20%
Hours devoted
Focus on problems and adjust?
90%
40%
> x
< x
Yes
No
Adhered to nudges set by masters?
100%
40%
Yes
No
Overall odds of
achieving mastery
• This is an illustrative decision tree used by OnCorps
• Each circle is the conditional probability of achieving mastery if they follow the decision path
• The system automatically structures the tree on the factors that matter most
• The tree updates in real-time as users learn on mobile apps
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We rapidly integrate machine learning with apps3Decision Nudge now
< Messages
Will you spend more time finding leads with active projects?
Yes
Great. I’ll check-in next month to see how it’s going.
Console tracks engagement, adherence and outcomes
Create and edit tools
Set new nudgesData feeds console
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