Cannabis Science and Policy Summit

New York City

April 2016

Psychopharmacological

Economic-compulsive

Systemic

Domestic market

Exports

Export production areas

•Chihuahua

•Durango

• Sinaloa

International trafficking areas

• Baja California

•Coahuila

•Nuevo León

• Sonora

• Tamaulipas

Source: INEGI

50% of homicides with firearms in marijuana zone = 2075 (10.4% of national

total)

6,599 4150

13,411

7564

HOMICIDES HOMICIDES WITH FIREARMS

MEXICO: HOMICIDES BY TYPE AND REGION, 2014

Marijuana zone Other

81491

73222

63404

55122

42747

27870

8816 7757 8689

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Federal drug cases, 2007-2015

Source: SESNSP

Source: Presidencia de la República (Esfuerzo Nacional contra el

Narcotráfico)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Marijuana erradication and seizures, 2005-2014

Erradicacion Decomisos

He

cta

res Ton

s

Net effect should

include:

• Violations to new

regulatory framework

• Involuntary

possession

Source: INEGI (Censo Nacional de Gobierno, Seguridad Pública y Sistema Penitenciario Estatales 2015)

5%7%

88%

Mexico: Inmates in state penitentiaries by offense,

2014

Drug retail sales Crimes against health Other

• Estimating effect: almost impossible

• No fixed and predetermined number of criminals!

Marijuana-related violence

• Limited

• Geographically concentrated

Redirecting resources

• Little margin at federal level

• Somewhat higher margin at state-level, but still limited

Displacement

• Unknown impact

• One to one displacement: unlikely

Thank YouAlejandro Hope

E-mail: ahope@eldailypost.com

Web: www.eldailypost.com

Twitter: @ahope71

@eldailypost

Facebook: Alejandro Hope

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