capabilities 1. discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive...

36
Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine whether or not a new project should be accepted or rejected using the payback period, the net present value, the profitability index, and the internal rate of return. 3. Explain how the capital-budgeting decision process changes when a dollar limit is placed on the dollar size of the capital budget. 4. Discuss the problems encountered in project ranking. 5. Explain the importance of ethical considerations in capital-budgeting decisions. 6. Discuss the trends in the use of different capital- budgeting criteria.

Upload: angie-wiman

Post on 31-Mar-2015

222 views

Category:

Documents


5 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Capabilities

• 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search.

• 2. Determine whether or not a new project should be accepted or rejected using the payback period, the net present value, the profitability index, and the internal rate of return.

• 3. Explain how the capital-budgeting decision process changes when a dollar limit is placed on the dollar size of the capital budget.

• 4. Discuss the problems encountered in project ranking.

• 5. Explain the importance of ethical considerations in capital-budgeting decisions.

• 6. Discuss the trends in the use of different capital-budgeting criteria.

Page 2: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

●    Finding Profitable Projects

●    Capital-Budgeting Decision Criteria

●    Capital Rationing

●    Problems in Project Ranking—Capital Rationing, Mutually Exclusive Projects, and Problems with the IRR

●    Ethics in Capital Budgeting

A Glance at Actual Capital-Budgeting Practices

Page 3: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

• Objective 1 FINDING PROFITABLE PROJECTS

• to evaluate profitable projects or investments in fixed assets, a process referred to as capital budgeting,

•  • Axiom 5: The Curse of Competitive Markets—

Why It’s Hard to Find Exceptionally Profitable Projects.

Page 4: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

• The payback period is the number of years needed to recover the initial cash outlay.

Page 5: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Objective 2 CAPITAL-BUDGETING

DECISION CRITERIA A B • Initial cash outlay - $10,000 - $10,000• Annual net cash inflows • Year 1 $ 6,000 $ 5,000• 2 4,000 5,000• 3 3,000 0• 4 2,000 0• 5 1,000 0•

Page 6: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Net Present Value

• The net present value (NPV) of an investment proposal is equal to the present value of its annual net cash flows after taxes less the investment’s initial outlay.

Page 7: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

n

t 1t

t

k)(1

ACF

NPV = - IO

Page 8: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

NPV

• ACFt = the annual after-tax cash flow in tim

e period t .

• k = the appropriate discount rate; that is, the required rate of return or cost of capital

• IO = the initial cash outlay

• n = the project’s expected life

Page 9: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Principal

• NPV ≥ 0.0 : accept

• NPV < 0.0 : reject

Page 10: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

NPV Illustration of Investment in New Machinery

AFTER-TAX CASH FLOW Inflow year 1 15,000 2 14,000 3 13,000 4 12,000 5 11,000

Initial outlay - $40,000

Page 11: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Calculation for NPV Illustration of Investment in New Machinery PRESENT VALUE AFTER-TAX FACTOR AT PRESENT CASH FLOW 12 PERCENT VALUE 2 14,000 .797 11,158 3 13,000 .712 9,256 4 12,000 .636 7,632 5 11,000 .567 6,237Initial outlay - 40,000

Inflow year 1 15,000 .893 $13,395

Present value of cash flows $ 47,678

Net present value $ 7,678

Page 12: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Profitability Index (Benefit-Cost Ratio)

• The profitability index (PI), or benefit-cost ratio, is the ratio of the present value of the future net cash flows to the initial outlay.

Page 13: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

IO

k

ACFn

tt

t 1 )1(PI =

Page 14: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

• ACFt = the annual after-tax cash flow in time

period t (this can take on either positive or negative values )

• k = the appropriate discount rate; that is, the required rate of return or cost of capital

• IO = the initial cash outlay • n = the project’s expected life

Page 15: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Principale

• PI ≥ 1.0 : accept

• PI < 1.0 : reject

Page 16: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

PRESENT VALUE AFTER-TAX FACTOR AT PRESENT CASH FLOW 10 PERCENT VALUE Inflow year 1 15,000 0.909 13,635 2 8,000 0.826 6,608 3 10,000 0.751 7,510 4 12,000 0.683 8,196 5 14,000 0.621 8,694 6 16,000 0.564 9,024

Initial outlay - $50,000 1.000 - $50,000

Page 17: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

IO

k

ACFn

tt

t 1 )1(

000,50$

024,9$694,8196,8$510,7$608,6$635,13$

000,50$

667,53$

= 1.0733

Page 18: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Internal Rate of Return

• The internal rate of return (IRR) the discount rate that equates the present value of the project’s future net cash flows with the project’s initial cash outlay.

Page 19: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

n

t 1t

t

IRR)(1

ACF IO =

Page 20: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

IRR

• ACFt = the annual after-tax cash flow in tim

e period t (this can take on either positive or negative values )

• IO = the initial cash outlay

• n = the project’s expected life

• IRR = the project’s internal rate of return

Page 21: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

1)1(

000,15$

IRR 2)1(

000,15$

IRR 3)1(

000,15$

IRR 4)1(

000,15$

IRR$45,555 =

4

1 )1(

1

ttIRR

$45,555 = 15,000

Page 22: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

$45,555 = $15,000 (PVIFA i , 4yr )

Dividing both sides by $15,000, this becomes

3.037 = PVIFA i, 4yr

Page 23: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

IRR for Uneven Cash Flows

Present Value

Net Cash Flows Factor at 15 Percent Present Value

Inflow year 1 $1,000 .870 $ 870

Inflow year 2 2,000 .756 1,512

Inflow year 3 3,000 .658 1,974

Present value of inflows $ 4,356

Initial outlay - $ 3,817

2. TRY i = 20 PERCENT:

Page 24: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine
Page 25: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Present Value

• Net Cash Flows Factor at 20 Percent Present

Value

• Inflow year 1 $1,000 .833 $ 833

• Inflow year 2 2,000 .694 1,388

• Inflow year 3 3,000 .579 1,737

• Present value of inflows $ 3,958

• Initial outlay - $ 3,817

• 3. TRY i = 22 PERCENT:

Page 26: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Present Value

Net Cash Flows Factor at 22 Percent Present

Value

Inflow year 1 $1,000 .820 $ 820

Inflow year 2 2,000 .672 1,344

Inflow year 3 3,000 .551 1,653

Present value of inflows $ 3,817

Initial outlay - $ 3,817

Page 27: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Three IRR Investment

A B C Initial outlay - $10,000 - $10,000 - $10,000

Inflow year 1 3,362 0 1,000

Inflow year 2 3,362 0 3,000

Inflow year 3 3,362 0 6,000

Inflow year 4 3,362 13,605 7,000

Page 28: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

15%

Present Value

Net Cash Flows Factor at 15 Percent Present

Value Inflow year 1 $1,000 .870 $ 870

Inflow year 2 3,000 .756 2,268

Inflow year 3 6,000 .658 3,948

Inflow year 4 7,000 .572 4,004

Present value of inflows $11,090

Initial outlay - $ 10,000

Page 29: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Present Value

• Net Cash Flows Factor at 19 Percent Present Value • Inflow year 1 $1,000 .840 $ 840

• Inflow year 2 3,000 .706 2,118

• Inflow year 3 6,000 .593 3,558

• Inflow year 4 7,000 .499 3,493

• Present value of inflows $10,009

• Initial outlay - $ 10,000

Page 30: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

-2, 000

-1, 500

-1, 000

-500

0

500

1, 000

1, 500

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Di scount rates(%)

Net

pres

ent

valu

e($)

Page 31: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Objective 4

• PROBLEMS IN PROJECT RANKING-CAPITAL RATIONING, MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS,

AND PROBLEMS WITH THE IRR.

• 1 Size disparity

• 2 Time disparity

• 3 Unequal live

Page 32: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Capital-Rationing Example of Five Indivisible Projects

Project Initial Outlay Profitability Index Net Present Value

A $200,000 2.4 $280,000

B 200,000 2.3 260,000

C 800,000 1.7 560,000

D 300,000 1.3 90,000

E 300,000 1.2 60,000

Page 33: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Investment Evaluation A Primary A Secondary Total Using

Methods Used: Method Method This Method

 

Payback period 24% 59% 83%

Internal rate of return 88% 11% 99%

Net present value 63% 22% 85%

Profitability index 15% 18% 33%

 

Page 34: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

Project Size and Decision-Making Authority

Project Size Typical Boundaries Primary Decision Site

 Very small Up to $100,000 Plant

Small $100,000 to $1 million Division

Medium $1 million to $10 million Corporate investment

committee

Large Over $10 million CEO & board

Page 35: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine

KEY TERMS

Benefit-Cost Ratio (see Profitability Index)Capital Budgeting Capital Rationing Equivalent Annual Annuity (EAA)Internal Rate of Return (IRR)Mutually Exclusive Projects Net Present Value (NPV)Payback period Profitability Index (PI or Benefit-Cost Ratio)

Page 36: Capabilities 1. Discuss the difficulty encountered in finding profitable projects in competitive markets and the importance of the search. 2. Determine