CapeCod

CapeHatteras

NJ

MACT

VA

DE

NY

NC

RI

MD

PA10 States

111 Congressional Districts

MIDDLE ATLANTICREGIONAL ASSOCIATION COASTAL OCEAN OBSERVING SYSTEM

1000 km Cape to Cape

MARACOOS Coastal Ocean Modeling Workshop Coastal Ocean Prediction System Development

July 22-23, 2013Dr. Carolyn Thoroughgood,

Chair MARACOOS Board of DirectorsProfessor, College of Earth, Ocean, and Environment

University of Delaware

To seek, discover and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean

To seek, discover and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean

To seek, discover and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean

To seek, discover and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean

Called for: Improved partnerships between ocean scientists, federal agencies, and the oceanographic institutions as the key to understanding the oceans and their effects on our lives.

Background

1993 OceanStudies Report

To seek, discover and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean

To seek, discover and apply new knowledge & understanding of our coastal ocean

Today

Plan

ORGANIZATION

Workshop Context

ContextIn the present funding

environment, it is IMPOSSIBLE for an

organization to evolve and function alone.

A key way of moving forward is with collaborative and

practical PARTNERSHIPS.

Workshop Context

Functioning Partnerships Require:1. Common vision, purpose, and commitment to

excellence.2. Shared investment in sustaining effective partnership:

a. Understanding of respective roles, responsibilities, and mutual benefits.

b. Understanding of major coupling issues (scales, software architectures, etc.)

c. Formalized mechanisms to leverage each other’s strengths and activities (w/o turf concerns).

3. Agreement on stakeholders and customers.4. Diversified funding base.

Stakeholder Liaison Service serves as a vital link between ocean data generators, data product developers, and end users.

From Observation to Prediction and End Use

Marine

Safety

Coastal Inundation

Offshore Wind Energy

Water Quality

Ecosystem Decision Support

Stakeholder Engagement

Ocean Observation

Stakeholder Needs

COASTAL INUNDATION/STORMS (NCEP, State officials, Emergency Mgrs, Navy)

Ocean models for hurricane forecast ensemble (White Board exercise)

Inundation/sea level rise preparedness post-Sandy Storm Surge Warning System to street level

WATER QUALITY (State officials, FDA, NCCOS) Water Quality monitoring and forecasting product

ECOLOGICAL DECISION SUPPORT (Commercial and Rec fishermen, NMFS)

Bottom temperature maps at various resolutions and frequencies

MARITIME SAFETY (Pilots, Boating community) Hurricane early warning forecasting and preparedness Smart Phone App for tide and current models

OFFSHORE WIND ENERGY (BOEM, NMFS) Pelagic water column assessments in WEA lease areas

Workshop Goal

GoalTo foster broad-based partnership and

collaboration in developing and executing the

IMPLEMENTATION PLAN for the MARACOOS Modeling,

Prediction, and Analysis Subsystem

Workshop Objectives

1. Communicate existing operational modeling and analysis capabilities and needs.

2. Develop a workable approach to connection between operational and R & D modeling and

analysis activities that link federal operational facilities with MARACOOS modelers.

3. Outline “next step” coastal ocean (also linking to global/basin, estuarine, and tidal riverine scales) modeling projects based on stakeholder needs.

4. Develop budgets associated with each “next step” project.

Modeling Implementation

Workshop Task

Important Questions to Answer1. Who are the stakeholders/customers for our models? Who

receives priority attention?2. What are the most immediate problems, that if solved, would

improve/enhance our model accuracy and end use?3. Are there additional data required to improved our models? 4. What are the common metrics that allow modeling across the

region and among partners? 5. How do we advance ensemble modeling that includes ocean

data?6. What are the intersections of previous and ongoing work?7. What are the major gaps in our capabilities?8. How do we optimally leverage each other’s activities?9. What formal infrastructures need to be put into place to ensure

collaboration.10. What processes/mechanisms does MARACOOS put into place

facilitate moving from research to operations?

Modeling Implementation

Funding

What is the level of support required for MARACOOS to undertake a

productive modeling effort?

Where do we obtain these dollars?

Working Together

GOV: 23% NGO: 14% B/I: 35% ACAD: 23%

Members