capitalistic constraints on sustainable development maharajh an alternative @ rio+20: peoples’...
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Rasigan Maharajh An Alternative @ Rio+20: Peoples’ Sustainability Treaties & the Manifesto
18th October 2012, Ramapo College.
Capitalistic Constraints on Sustainable
Development
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Outline of Presentation
1. Introduction 2. Contemporary Crises 3. Developmental Impacts 4. Emergent Challenges
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Introduction q “the issue is not what
will magically solve the immediate dilemmas of our world-system but the basis on which we shall create the successor world-system”
q Wallerstein (2005)
q Concurrent crises all emanate from the current mode of production and consumption, waste, and environmental degradation
q Accelerated distribution through neo-liberal globalisation
q Hegemonic World System, Unilateralism & State violence
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Longer history q Long geological
timescales q Evolutionary change
punctuated by revolutionary transformations:
q Palaeolithic – Neolithic – Urban- Industrial – GREEN …
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Long history
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21st Century CE Challenges
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Contemporary Global Dynamics
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Planetary Thresholds
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Planetary Boundaries
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Kon
drat
ieff
Wav
es &
Tec
hno-
econ
omic
Par
adig
ms
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Techno-Economic
Paradigms
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Expected growth estimates of world MVA at constant 2000 US$
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GDP per Capita: Annual Growth Rates (%)
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Ecological Footprints and Human Development Source: UNEP (2011)
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Source: UNEP (2012)
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Global Division of Labour (2011)
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Global Equity [2008]
0.1
1.0
10.0
100.0
1,000.0
10,000.0
32
64
128
256
512
1,02
4 2,
048
4,09
6 8,
192
16,3
84
32,7
68
65,5
36
131,
072
262,
144
524,
288
1,04
8,57
6 per capita annual income (PPP$ 2000)
peop
le (m
llion
s)
Japan Western Europe Eastern Europe South America Eastern Asia Middle East Asia Pacific Southern Asia Northern Africa Southeastern Africa Central Africa
Source: Dorling (2009)
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Global Inequality (2011)
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Contemporary Capital Flight
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Larg
est “
Econ
omie
s”
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Ecological Catastrophe [2008]
q US$ 6.6 trillion
q US$ 2.15 trillion
q >50%
q The estimated annual environmental costs from global human activity equating to 11% of global GDP
q The cost of environmental damage caused by the world’s 3,000 largest publicly-listed companies (7% of Revenue)
q The proportion of company earnings that could be at risk from environmental costs in an equity portfolio weighted according to the MSCI All Country World Index
Source: Trucost, PRI & UNEP (2011)
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Energy in Flux
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Alternative futures
Source: RMI (2011)
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China and the ‘Green Economy’ q China has the highest public market financing in the clean energy sector q The United States ranks 3rd in total clean energy investment in 2010, behind China and Germany. In 2008, the United States ranked
first q China has secured $47.3 billion of asset financing in 2010 for clean energy projects. The U.S. attracted $21 billion in 2010 q 60% of all clean energy technology IPOs in the world in 2010 were from Chinese companies q According to Ernst and Young, for the first time, China beat the U.S. in terms of its attractiveness for renewable energy investment q China received 20% of total global clean energy investment in 2010, while the U.S. saw 19%. In 2004, China only had 3% of the total,
while the U.S. received 20% of investment.7 q China attracted $54.4 billion clean energy financing in 2010, a 39% increase over 2009 and equal to the entire amount of clean energy
investment worldwide in 2004. Similar financing in the U.S. stagnated last year at $34.4 billion, approximately equal to 2007 levels q China is expected to lead the world in overall number of patents filed in 2011, surpassing the United States and Japan for the first
time q China ranks 2nd in estimated number of people engaged in scientific and engineering research and development q China has seen the largest increase of any nation in its innovation score over the last decade, up 19.5 points (compared to a 2.7 point
increase in U.S. score) q China is creating 16 national energy research and development centres intended specifically to drive innovation in the clean energy
sector q By the end of 2011, national Chinese R&D expenditures are targeted to rise 11% over levels earlier in the year q Eight of ten companies with the largest R&D budgets have established R&D facilities in China, India, or both q There has been a 600% increase in the number of college graduates in science fields in China between 1995 and 2005
q Third Way (2011)
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Systemic Obstacles
q Inequality, Unemployment & Poverty q Neo-liberalism, Corruption & the ‘hollowed-out’ State
q Monopolies, Oligopolies and Cartels q Financialisation & Commodification of Life/Nature …
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Systemic Challenges
q Rebuilding, Reskilling and Retooling
q Employment & Production q Localisation & Global
Governance
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Concluding Notes « Inflexion Point
« Persistence of Inequality, Material Deprivation, & Violence
« Geopolitical Hegemon Treats
« Neo-liberalism, Corruption and the ‘hollow’ state
« Monopolies, Oligopolies and Cartels
« Financialisation
I Emergent yet Unclear Alternative Paradigm
I Evolutionary Political Economics I Creative Destruction I Learning I Cooperation
I Systems of Innovation I Local & Productive I Global Public Goods (Knowledge Commons)
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Conclusions q Participatory Planning, Regulation, Monitoring,
Evaluating and Learning q Facilitate Equality, Redress & Sustainable
Developmental Outcomes q Support, consolidate & expand public goods q Advance anti-Hegemonic Geo-political coalitions
and alliances for Cooperation & Solidarity
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Post-script
Source: NASA/JPL-Caltech
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Thank you, …r [email protected]
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References q Bourguignon, François (2011) A Turning Point in Global Inequality … and Beyond, OECD, Paris. q Dorling, Danny (2009) World Inequality and Resources: Thinking outside the Goldfish Bowl, University of Sheffield. q Engels, Friedrich (1877) Anti-Dühring: Herr Eugen Dühring's Revolution in Science, Progress Publishers, Moscow. q Kharas, Homi (2011) The Emerging Middle Class In Developing Countries, Working Paper No. 285, OECD, Paris. q Kleinknecht, Alfred, Ernest Mandel, and Immanual Wallerstein (1992) New Findings in Long Wave Research, St. Martin’s Press,
New York. q Maharajh, Rasigan (2011) The Green Economy, Poverty and the Global Inequality, Working Paper of the International Workshop on
Biocivilization for the Sustainability of Life and the Planet, FNWG & iBase, Rio de Janeiro. q Mandel, Ernest (1980) The Long Waves of Capitalist Development, University Press, Cambridge. q O’Hara, Phillip Anthony (2006) Growth and Development in the Global Political Economy: Social structures of accumulation and
modes of regulation, Routledge, Oxon. q Pagano, Ugo (2008) Anticrisis Policies in Knowledge Intensive Economies. q Perez, Carlota (2002) Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages, Edward Elgar,
Cheltenham. q RMI (2011) Reinventing Fire: Blueprint for a new Energy Future, Rocky Mountain Institute, Boulder. q Third Way (2011) By the Numbers: China, the U.S. And Clean Energy q UNIDO (2011) Report on world manufacturing production, Quarter II, 2011and expected annual growth rates of MVA for 2011,
Geneva. q Wallerstein, Immanuel (2005) After Developmentalism and Globalization, What? In Social Forces 83:3, (March).