case studies on europe s energy technologies · macroeconomic impacts of sustainable energy sector...

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CASE S TUDIES ON EUROPES S TRATEGIC ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES The SET-Nav project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 691843 (SET-Nav). SET-Nav Case Studies DECENTRALIZED VS. CENTRALIZED DEVELOPMENT OF THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR –IMPACT ON THE TRANSMISSION GRID UNLOCKING UNUSED FLEXIBILITY AND SYNERGY IN ELECTRIC POWER AND GAS SUPPLY SYSTEMS Scenarios for the global fossil fuel markets Capture the interdependence between European low-carbon policy and global fossil fuel prices and renewable energy markets as well as technological progress Energy in buildings and the role for RES market integration How does energy efficiency improvement in buildings, heating system choice, flexibility options (demand response) and on-site RES affect market integration of RES and CHP? Innovative technologies to decarbonize industrial process heat What is the contribution of RES, energy efficiency and CCS technologies in decarbonizing the industrial process heat sector? Ways to a cleaner and smarter transport sector Which measures can accelerate the transition of the transport sector from a fossil fuel based towards an energy efficient and low-carbon system ? Decentralized vs. centralized development of the transmission grid What are the main grid architectures that should be considered? Impacts of solar and wind? Projects of Common Interest (PCI) and gas producers pricing strategy What are the gas infrastructure projects that should be prioritized? How vulnerable will Europe be to the suppliers’ pricing strategy? Role for Carbon Capture and Storage in the Future Energy Mix What will be Europe’s CCS infrastructure needs? What is the impact of CCS on total system costs? Diffusion rate of renewable electricity generation Capability of the system to accommodate RES volatile generation by coupling energy carriers and other innovation measures in the system Unlocking flexibility and synergy in electric power and gas systems Integrate electricity and natural gas supply flexibility options to deal with high levels of predictable short-term load variability and uncertain variability in supply and demand Perspectives for nuclear power a closer look at cost developments Conduct a comprehensive technology assessment of nuclear power with a focus on cost estimates and future developments Macroeconomic impacts of sustainable energy sector innovation Interaction and feedback loops between the broader economy and the energy sector will provide boundary conditions for what can be achieved and how to achieve it Nuclear power Fossil fuel markets Energy in Buildings Industrial Sector Transport Sector Electricity grid Gas sector Flexibility gas - elec. Macro economy RES policy Carbon Capture Pathways definition Policy recomendations SET-Nav reports Issue papers SET-Nav Models Capabilities Enhancing modelling capacities Rooftop PV in the decentralized scenario Offshore wind in the centralized scenario Insights about the interaction between electricity infrastructure needs and the general policy adopted for wind and solar deployment The decentralized case study imposes a ca. 25% share of demand to be served with decentralized renewables (rooftop PV) The centralized case imposes that more than ca. 530 TWh of energy demand are met with offshore wind The results provides a list of PCI projects that arise from these scenarios Pillar Detailed power transmission expansion planning model Overall electricity system expansion and operation model Electricity generation Capacities Region definition Investment options Visit our Website: www.set-nav.eu Email us: [email protected] Twitter: @ SET_Nav Lead partner: Universidad Pontificia Comillas contact: Prof. S. Lumbreras ([email protected] ) Lead partner: Norwegian University of Science and Technology(NTNU) contact: Dr. Christian Skar ( [email protected]) Spatial detail of the EMPIRE/RAMONA models The gas transport network on the Norwegian Continental Shelf Strategic policy analysis EMPIRE illustrative results Pillar Pillar Stakeholder dialogue & dissemination Usage of existing assets for supply side flexibility, such as pumped hydropower and transmission for electricity, and line pack in natural gas pipelines. Investments in new types of balancing services such as energy storage (reservoirs, utility grade batteries, demand response, etc.) Contribution of gas supply flexibility options from the Norwegian offshore pipelines Substitution effects between electricity, gas and heat in light of flexibility provision Assess the system security & reliability indices for electricity-gas operations Preliminary Results Decentralized case has a higher system cost Renewables are more expensive Requires more flexibility in the system Both scenarios require a strong expansion of the transmission grid Stronger expansion for centralized case It is crucial to take transmission needs into account when planning the energy system, as they can have a considerable effects The case study leverages on the use of two different models: Enertile and TEPES Data exchange WP4 Model integration platform Technical data exchange Database

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Page 1: CASE STUDIES ON EUROPE S ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES · Macroeconomic impacts of sustainable energy sector innovation ... The decentralized case study imposes a ca. 25% share of demand to

CASE STUDIES ON EUROPE’S STRATEGIC

ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES

The SET-Nav project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 691843 (SET-Nav).

SET-Nav Case Studies

DECENTRALIZED VS. CENTRALIZED DEVELOPMENT OF THE

ELECTRICITY SECTOR – IMPACT ON THE TRANSMISSION GRID

UNLOCKING UNUSED FLEXIBILITY AND SYNERGY IN ELECTRIC POWER

AND GAS SUPPLY SYSTEMS

Scenarios for the global fossil fuel markets Capture the interdependence between European low-carbon policy and global fossil fuel prices and renewable energy markets as well as technological progress

Energy in buildings and the role for RES market integrationHow does energy efficiency improvement in buildings, heating system choice, flexibility options (demand response) and on-site RES affect market integration of RES and CHP?

Innovative technologies to decarbonize industrial process heatWhat is the contribution of RES, energy efficiency and CCS technologies in decarbonizing the industrial process heat sector?

Ways to a cleaner and smarter transport sector Which measures can accelerate the transition of the transport sector from a fossil fuel based towards an energy efficient and low-carbon system ?

Decentralized vs. centralized development of the transmission gridWhat are the main grid architectures that should be considered? Impacts of solar and wind?

Projects of Common Interest (PCI) and gas producers pricing strategy What are the gas infrastructure projects that should be prioritized? How vulnerable will Europe be to the suppliers’ pricing strategy?

Role for Carbon Capture and Storage in the Future Energy MixWhat will be Europe’s CCS infrastructure needs? What is the impact of CCS on total system costs?

Diffusion rate of renewable electricity generation Capability of the system to accommodate RES volatile generation by coupling energy carriers and other innovation measures in the system

Unlocking flexibility and synergy in electric power and gas systems Integrate electricity and natural gas supply flexibility options to deal with high levels of predictable short-term load variability and uncertain variability in supply and demand

Perspectives for nuclear power – a closer look at cost developments Conduct a comprehensive technology assessment of nuclear power with a focus on cost estimates and future developments

Macroeconomic impacts of sustainable energy sector innovation Interaction and feedback loops between the broader economy and the energy sector will provide boundary conditions for what can be achieved and how to achieve it

Nuclear power

Fossil fuel markets

Energy in Buildings

Industrial Sector

Transport Sector

Electricity grid

Gas sector

Flexibility gas-elec.

Macro economy

RES policy

Carbon Capture

Pathways definition• Policy recomendations• SET-Nav reports• Issue papers

SET-Nav Models Capabilities

Enhancing modelling capacities

Rooftop PV in the decentralized scenario Offshore wind in the centralized scenario

Insights about the interaction between electricity infrastructure needs and thegeneral policy adopted for wind and solar deployment

The decentralized case study imposes a ca. 25% share of demand to be served withdecentralized renewables (rooftop PV)

The centralized case imposes that more than ca. 530 TWh of energy demand are metwith offshore wind

The results provides a list of PCI projects that arise from these scenarios

Pillar

Detailed power transmission expansion planning model

Overall electricity system expansion and operation model

•Electricity generation •Capacities•Region definition• Investment options

Visit our Website: www.set-nav.eu

Email us: [email protected]

Twitter: @SET_Nav

Lead partner: Universidad Pontificia Comillas contact: Prof. S. Lumbreras ([email protected]) Lead partner: Norwegian University of Science and Technology(NTNU) contact: Dr. Christian Skar ([email protected])

Spatial detail of the EMPIRE/RAMONA models

The gas transport network onthe Norwegian Continental Shelf

Strategic policy

analysis

EMPIRE illustrative results

Pillar

Pillar

Stakeholder dialogue &

dissemination

Usage of existing assets for supply side flexibility, such as pumped hydropower and

transmission for electricity, and line pack in natural gas pipelines.

Investments in new types of balancing services such as energy storage (reservoirs, utility

grade batteries, demand response, etc.)

Contribution of gas supply flexibility options from the Norwegian offshore pipelines

Substitution effects between electricity, gas and heat in light of flexibility provision

Assess the system security & reliability indices for electricity-gas operations

Preliminary Results Decentralized case has a higher system cost

Renewables are more expensive Requires more flexibility in the system

Both scenarios require a strong expansion ofthe transmission grid Stronger expansion for centralized case

It is crucial to take transmission needs intoaccount when planning the energy system,as they can have a considerable effects

The case study leverages on the use of two different models: Enertile and TEPES

Data exchange

WP4

Model integration platformTechnical data exchange

Database