casualties at sea: realistic overview st.petersburg 2009

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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

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Page 1: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

St.Petersburg 2009

Page 2: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

• Casualties result not only in significant losses of shipowners, cargo owners, underwriters, not only in human tragedies, but also lead to global consequences of the ecological nature

Page 3: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

• Shipping industry, one of the first, has adopted and extensively implemented the International Safety Standards

• Commencing from mid-19th century a number of International Agreements was developed and implemented, aiming at enhancing of safety of navigation at sea.

• Nevertheless, the reviewed analysis of the dats of incidents allows us to contend that the number of such at sea is growing

Page 4: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

4597547786

4988052235

54616

40000

42000

44000

46000

48000

50000

52000

54000

56000

Y 2005 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009

Number of ships in the world fleet (figures are given for oil tankers, gas carriers, container ships, bulk

carriers, dry-cargo ships and ferries)

Page 5: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

• Number of ships in the world fleet is constantly growing

• from 45 975 ships in 2005 up to to 54 616 by the end of August 2009

• Notwithstanding the crisis during 2008-2009, the growth in the world fleet has not only stopped, and even has not slowed down

Page 6: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

Percentage growth of the world fleet

3.94%

4.38%

4.72%4.56%

3.40%

3.60%

3.80%

4.00%

4.20%

4.40%

4.60%

4.80%

Ships 2005-06 Ships 2006-07 Ships 2007-08 Ships 2008-august 09

Page 7: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

• Constant growth of ships in operation is observed during the indicated, averaging 4.4 per cent per year

• Within the last 5 years the growth of the world fleet amounts to 18 per cent!

• Such growth would lead to intensity of navigation on sea routes

Page 8: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

No ships in casualty

11501283

1609 1623

988

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Y 2005 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009

No ships in casualty

Page 9: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

• Growths of casualties is observed during the whole period in question

• If in 2006 a number of casualty accidents in contrast with 2005 increased by 11 per cent, in 2007 a dramatic rise is observed: the growth of casualties amounted to as much as 25 per cent as compared to that of 2006

Page 10: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

3,94%

11%

4,38%

25%

4,72%0,80%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008

Number of ships in the world fleet/number of casualties ratio

Percentage of CASUALTIES

Percentage of SHIPS

Page 11: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

• When comparing growth indices of the number of ships and the number of casualties one may conclude: no association is observed between the growth of world fleet and that of the casualty number

Page 12: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW

TYPES OF CASUALTIES 2005 2006 2007 2008

Damage to hull or machinery 438 394 534 521

Collisions with ships 237 276 336 375

Drifting (stranding)/grounding 235 308 393 372

Collisions with objects other than ships 133 144 165 188

Fires/explosions 95 100 117 119

Wrecks 4 51 54 38

Casualties as a result of cargo displacement, etc. 5 9 4 2

Missing ships 1 0 2 2

Damage or loss of ship as a result of war or other military actions 2 1 4 6

         

Total quantity of casualties 1150 1283 1609 1623

Page 13: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

25

13

26

6

32

11

31

10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Y 2005 SKN2005

Y 2006 SKN2006

Y 2007 SKN2007

Y 2008 SKN2008

Qty of Casualties per 1000 ships

Y 2005 SKN 2005 Y 2006 SKN 2006 Y 2007 SKN 2007 Y 2008 SKN 2008

Page 14: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

155312

536

730870

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Y 2005 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009

Ships Registered with SKN

Ships Registered with SKN

Page 15: CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION!