casualties at sea: realistic overview st.petersburg 2009
TRANSCRIPT
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
St.Petersburg 2009
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
• Casualties result not only in significant losses of shipowners, cargo owners, underwriters, not only in human tragedies, but also lead to global consequences of the ecological nature
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
• Shipping industry, one of the first, has adopted and extensively implemented the International Safety Standards
• Commencing from mid-19th century a number of International Agreements was developed and implemented, aiming at enhancing of safety of navigation at sea.
• Nevertheless, the reviewed analysis of the dats of incidents allows us to contend that the number of such at sea is growing
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4597547786
4988052235
54616
40000
42000
44000
46000
48000
50000
52000
54000
56000
Y 2005 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009
Number of ships in the world fleet (figures are given for oil tankers, gas carriers, container ships, bulk
carriers, dry-cargo ships and ferries)
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
• Number of ships in the world fleet is constantly growing
• from 45 975 ships in 2005 up to to 54 616 by the end of August 2009
• Notwithstanding the crisis during 2008-2009, the growth in the world fleet has not only stopped, and even has not slowed down
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Percentage growth of the world fleet
3.94%
4.38%
4.72%4.56%
3.40%
3.60%
3.80%
4.00%
4.20%
4.40%
4.60%
4.80%
Ships 2005-06 Ships 2006-07 Ships 2007-08 Ships 2008-august 09
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
• Constant growth of ships in operation is observed during the indicated, averaging 4.4 per cent per year
• Within the last 5 years the growth of the world fleet amounts to 18 per cent!
• Such growth would lead to intensity of navigation on sea routes
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No ships in casualty
11501283
1609 1623
988
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Y 2005 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009
No ships in casualty
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
• Growths of casualties is observed during the whole period in question
• If in 2006 a number of casualty accidents in contrast with 2005 increased by 11 per cent, in 2007 a dramatic rise is observed: the growth of casualties amounted to as much as 25 per cent as compared to that of 2006
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3,94%
11%
4,38%
25%
4,72%0,80%
0,00%
5,00%
10,00%
15,00%
20,00%
25,00%
30,00%
2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008
Number of ships in the world fleet/number of casualties ratio
Percentage of CASUALTIES
Percentage of SHIPS
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
• When comparing growth indices of the number of ships and the number of casualties one may conclude: no association is observed between the growth of world fleet and that of the casualty number
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CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW
TYPES OF CASUALTIES 2005 2006 2007 2008
Damage to hull or machinery 438 394 534 521
Collisions with ships 237 276 336 375
Drifting (stranding)/grounding 235 308 393 372
Collisions with objects other than ships 133 144 165 188
Fires/explosions 95 100 117 119
Wrecks 4 51 54 38
Casualties as a result of cargo displacement, etc. 5 9 4 2
Missing ships 1 0 2 2
Damage or loss of ship as a result of war or other military actions 2 1 4 6
Total quantity of casualties 1150 1283 1609 1623
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25
13
26
6
32
11
31
10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Y 2005 SKN2005
Y 2006 SKN2006
Y 2007 SKN2007
Y 2008 SKN2008
Qty of Casualties per 1000 ships
Y 2005 SKN 2005 Y 2006 SKN 2006 Y 2007 SKN 2007 Y 2008 SKN 2008
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155312
536
730870
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Y 2005 Y 2006 Y 2007 Y 2008 Y 2009
Ships Registered with SKN
Ships Registered with SKN
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THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION!