cattolica assicurazioni group · non-insurance companies-1-2-2 ias/ifrs consolidated result 100 106...
TRANSCRIPT
Results as at September 30th, 2016Results as at September 30th, 2016Cattolica Assicurazioni Group
Verona, November 11th, 2016
Agenda
Results as at September 30th, 2016Results as at September 30th, 2016
P&C Business PerformanceP&C Business Performance
2
InvestmentsInvestments
Life Business PerformanceLife Business Performance
P&C Business PerformanceP&C Business Performance
Results as at September 30th, 2016
€ mln
9M2015 9M2016 Δ %
Total Direct Premiums 4,219 3,482 -17.5%
P&C Direct Premiums 1,423 1,382 -2.9%
Life Direct Premiums 2,796 2,100 -24.9%
IAS/IFRS Results
1
3(1) Including Investments contracts. (2) On retained business. (3) As at December 31st 2015. (4) As at June 30th 2016.
Combined Ratio 92.5% 93.2% 0.7 pps
Consolidated Shareholders'’ Equity 2,159 2,100 -2.7%
Solvency II Ratio 1.88x 1.75x -13 pps
Consolidated Net Result 100 56 -44.0%
Group’s Net Result 84 45 -46.4%
2
3
4
Consolidated Income Statement
€ mln
Group Companies’ contribution to the consolidated result
9M20159M2016
NormalisedImpairments 9M2016
P&C insurance companies 83 84 -15 69
4
Life insurance companies 18 24 -35 -11
Non-insurance companies -1 -2 -2
IAS/IFRS Consolidated Result 100 106 -50 56
IAS/IFRS Group’s Result 84 95 -50 45
2,1592,100
56
-80-24 -11
Shareholders’ Equity
€ mln
1,912
1,861
Group’s
Shareholders
Equity
Group’s
Shareholders
Equity
Cattolica holds approximately 3.2% of its share capital
5
Shareholder’s Equity
FY2015 9M2016 Result Cattolica &
minorities’
dividends
Change in AFS
reserve
Own shares
Shareholders’Equity
9M20161
(1) It includes the changes in shadow accounting (net of tax).
Group’s Solvency II Ratio
€ mln
Solvency II Ratio
1.75x
Standard Formula Solvency II Ratio as at 9M2016
2,035
Tier 2 e Tier 31
8%
6(1) Tier 3 eligible own funds (net prepaid income taxes) equal to about 2% of total own eligible funds(2) Tier 1 “unrestricted” eligible own funds (share capital and capital buffers ) equal to about 88% of total eligible own funds.
Tier 1 2
92%
869
1,166
Eligible own funds Solvency Capital Requirement Excess capital
Agenda
Results as at September 30th, 2016Results as at September 30th, 2016
P&C Business PerformanceP&C Business Performance
7
InvestmentsInvestments
Life Business PerformanceLife Business Performance
P&C Business PerformanceP&C Business Performance
P&C Premiums
€ mln
∆ %
9M2016/
9M2015
∆ % Market
1H2016/
1H20151
-1.4%-2.9%
-3.3%-3.3%
Group’s P&C Premiums
-4.4%-4.4%
P&C Premiums Breakdown by Class
812 785
1,4231,382
Motor
Motor TPL
49.9%
Land vehicles hulls
6.9%Accident and Injury
9.2%
Other damage
11.5%
General TPL
8.2%
Fire and natural forces
5.8%Health
2.7%Other
5.8%
to assets
8
P&C Premiums Breakdown by Channel
-3.3%-3.3%
-2.4%-2.4% +2.1%+2.1%
-4.4%-4.4%
(1) Source: ANIA Trends newsletter. Anno XII n.7 (September 2016).
611 597
785
9M2015 9M2016
Motor
Non
Motor
2.7%5.8%
Other channels
1.5%
Agencies
92.6%
Banks
3.1%Brokers
2.8%
P&C: Technical Ratios
Claims Ratio1Combined Ratio1
92.5% 93.2%
65.7% 65.8%
9M2015 9M2016
9(1) On retained business.
Expense Ratio1
9M2015 9M2016
18.7% 18.9%
6.7% 6.8%
25.4% 25.7%
9M2015 9M2016
G&A
Commissions
P&C: Motor T.P.L. Technical Ratios
Motor T.P.L. policies
AS AT SEPTEMBER
2015 2016 ∆ 2016/2015
Claims Settlement
Rate
Average Cost(€)
Claims Settlement
Rate
Average Cost(€)
Claims Settlement
Rate
Average Cost(€)
Card G* 79.2% 1,418 78.8% 1,414 -0.4 -0.3%
No Card* 48.6% 2,157 47.7% 2,061 -0.9 -4.5%
Card G & No Card 71.7% 1,548 71.5% 1,527 -0.2 -1.4%
∆ compared with FY2015
Motor Premiums and Policies
+2.0%+2.0% Motor T.P.L. Frequency Trend1
Average Cost of Motor T.P.L. Paid Claims
(*) Claims directly managed by the network . Card G claims show a lower causality or incident seriousness compared to No Card claims.
10
+63,189 units
-3.7%-3.7%
Average Motor Premium
+2.0%+2.0%
As at October 2016
Motor T.P.L. Frequency Trend1
2
(1) FATA excluded.(2) Source: “ANIA Relazione Mercato Assicurativo” until 2015. 2016 is a projection based on “statistica rapida ANIA” at June 2016.
8.2%7.7%
7.1%6.7%
5.7%
5.0% 4.9%4.7% 4.7% 4.7%
7.6% 7.7%
7.8%
7.4%
6.5%
5.9%5.7% 5.5% 5.6% 5.6%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9M2016
Cattolica Group (excluding IBNR)
Market(excluding IBNR)
Agenda
Results as at September 30th, 2016Results as at September 30th, 2016
P&C Business PerformanceP&C Business Performance
11
InvestmentsInvestments
Life Business PerformanceLife Business Performance
P&C Business PerformanceP&C Business Performance
Life Premiums
Life Premiums Life Premiums by Class
- %-24.9% -8.9%
€ mln € mln
Traditional products Linked products Pension funds
-23.7%-23.7%
-35.5%-35.5%+6.0%+6.0%
∆ %
9M2016/
9M2015
∆ % Market
1H2016/
1H20151
2,796
2,100
9M2015 9M2016
2,152
1,641
537 346
107 113
9M2015 9M2016 9M2015 9M2016 9M2015 9M2016
12
307 317
2,092
1,567
20042
197 174
9M2015 9M2016 9M2015 9M2016 9M2015 9M2016 9M2015 9M2016
(1) Source: ANIA Trends newsletter. Anno XII n.7 (September 2016). (2) Agents and Pension Advisors. (3) Including Financial advisors. (4) Including Cattolica Life.
Life Premiums by Class Life Premiums by Channel
Own channels2 OtherBrokers 4Banks 3
+3.3%+3.3%
-25.1%-25.1%
-79.0%-79.0% -11.8%-11.8%
€ mln
9M2015 9M2016
Traditional products Linked products Pension funds9M2015 9M2016
Class I,
IV and V
77.0%
Class III
and VI
23.0%
Class I,
IV and V
78.1%
Class III
and VI
21.9%
639
589
2,533
1,850
Additional
payments
Life New Business
Life New Business by Channel
∆ %
9M2016/
9M2015
-27.0%
€ mln
Life New Business
-11.7%
∆ % Mercato
Sept.2016/
Sept.2015 1 Agents
11.8% Brokers
0.5%
Other channels
2.7%
13
1,894
1,261
589
9M2015 9M2016
New
business
-7.8%-7.8%
-33.4%-33.4%
(1) Source: ANIA Trends life new business. Anno XII n.9 (October 2016).
Banks
85.0%
Class I91%
-1,592
560
Class V 9%
66%
2,152
6%
28%
Gross Premiums Total costs Net inflow
Life Net Premiums
Net Inflows Classes I & V
9M2015 9M2016€ mln
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
Class I91%
-1,357
285
Class V 9%
52%
1,642
11%
37%
Gross Premiums Total costs Net inflow
14
Gross Premiums Total costs Net inflow
9M2015 9M2016€ mln
Net Inflows Class III
Gross Premiums Total costs Net inflow
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
537
-192
34531%
7%
62%
Gross Premiums Total costs Net inflow
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
347
-286
612%
5%
93%
Gross Premiums Total costs Net inflows
Life net bancassurance premiums with BPVi
Berica Vita1
9M2015 9M2016€ mln
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
-285 -17
77%
268
6%
17%
Gross premiums Total costs Net inflow
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
-156
46%
111
17%
37%
-267
Gross premiums Total costs Net inflow
15
9M2015 9M2016€ mln
Cattolica Life1
Gross premiums Total costs Net inflow Gross premiums Total costs Net inflow
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
Redemptions
Claims
Maturities
26
-187
97%
1%2%
-213
Gross premiums Total costs Net inflow
178
-131
4741%
4%
55%
Gross premiums Total costs Net inflow
(1) Figures are only related to the distribution channels of Banca Popolare di Vicenza and Banca Nuova.
Agenda
Results as at September 30th, 2016Results as at September 30th, 2016
P&C Business Performance P&C Business Performance
16
InvestmentsInvestments
Life Business PerformanceLife Business Performance
P&C Business Performance P&C Business Performance
387
411
356
38
-14
-55
Investments Result
Property6.9%
Equity2.6%
CreditRisk
€ mln
17
Net interests and
coupons
Gains & losses Investment
costs
Result before
impairments
Impairments &
write-downs
IFRS Result as at
9M2016
1
(1) Including realised gains and mark-to-market profits on investments, different from impairments and depreciation on property.
Risk24.1%
Gov. Bonds and
Liquidity 66.4%
59
83
67
29
-5
-16
Investments Result – P&C
€ mln
Equity
18
Net interests and
coupons
Gains & losses Investment
costs
Result before
impairments
Impairments &
write-downs
IFRS Result as at
9M2016
(1) Including realised gains/losses.
Property12.2%
Equity4.6%
Credit risk26.1%
Gov. Bonds and
Liquidity 57.1%
1
328
289
9328
-9
-39
Investments Result – Life
€ mln
Property 5.9%
Equity2.2%
Credit risk23.7%
19
Net interests and
coupons
Gains & losses Investment
costs
Result before
impairments
Impairments &
write-downs
IFRS Result as at
9M2016
Gov. Bonds and
Liquidity 68.2%
1
2
(1) Including realised gains/losses and depreciation on property. (2) Including other expenses on investments not attributable directly to the life business for about € 1 mln.
Group’s Asset Allocation Trend
Investments Breakdown1
Property
3.4%
Short term Gov. Bonds
7.8%
Liquidity
0.5%
Equity
2,4%
9M2015
Property
4.6%
Short term Gov. Bonds
8.1%
Liquidity
0.2%
Equity
2.5%
9M2016
20(1) Class C assets (excluding subsidiaries) as at September 30th. IAS Financials. (2) Sustainable yield: weighted average of the historical value of the sustainable yields of the positions. Bonds: actual coupon + pro rata trading discount ; Equity: expected dividend yield.
Sustainable yield2: 2.84%Sustainable yield2: 2.84%
Long term Gov. Bonds
67.7%
Credit risk18.2%
9M2015
€ 17,253 mln
Long term Gov. Bonds
66.7%
Credit risk17.9%
9M2016
€ 18,625 mln
Investment – Real estate fund ″Mercury″
• Subscription of 51% of the Italian reserved closed-end Real Estate Fund – MercuryProperty
• Real Estate Fund value: € 300 million
• 66 buildings – for retail use (mostly supermarkets)
• 18 and 24-year lease contracts (Fund duration: 20 years)
• Net financial debt: € 165 million (leverage 55%)
Characteristics
• Three regional CONAD consortia (Tirreno, Adriatico, Centronord). They hold 49% of the Fund equity. Fund Contributors
• Savills Investment Management SGRFund Manager
Renters
Investment • About € 69 million (divided for the three sectors)
• Regional consortia subleasing to the store managers
21
Renters
Fund profitability • 8.25% 1
Strategy • The investment is diversified both by asset and by location (in 9 Italian regions). The assets have been selected among the
most performing ones. Important (bank and corporate) guarantees make the Fund stable on the side of profitability. The
plan for disposal includes a call on portfolio properties in favor of contributors.
• Regional consortia subleasing to the store managers
Governance • Cattolica: 2 on 3 members in advisory committees and general meetings (of each sector).
(1) Shareholder's annual distribution equivalent.
Performance and Minimum Guaranteed
Technical Reserve Breakdown for
Minimum Guaranteed (Segregated
Funds)
+221pps
Yield v.s. Minimum Guaranteed (2016)
3.45%
29.9%
34.3%
37.5%
41.0%
65.1%
60.8%
57.8%
54.3%
1.8%
1.7%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
3.2%
3.3%
3.2%
3.1%
3.1%
12,156
12,268
12,444
12,660
FY2015
1Q2016
1H2016
9M2016
22
≤ 1% 2,5% < < 4%1% < ≤ 2,5% ≥ 4%1% < ≤ 2,5%
1.24%
Average Yield
(Segregated Funds)
Average guaranteed rate
(Liablilities)
7.2%
9.5%
12.3%
17.0%
21.8%
26.0%
86.5%
84.8%
82.0%
77.6%
72.9%
69.1%
2.2%
2.0%
2.0%
1.9%
1.9%
1.8%
4.1%
3.7%
3.7%
3.5%
3.4%
3.2%
10,835
11,167
11,394
11,686
11,948
12,093
1H2014
9M2014
FY2014
1Q2015
1H2015
9M2015
Available for Sale Reserve Trend
€ mln
1,260 1,2691,348
1,086
Gross of shadow and taxes
Net of shadow and taxes
23
-888
180
458
-237
86 98162 131 108 83
FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 9M2016 Nov- 3rd 2016
24
APPENDIX
Glossary
Ratio Formula
Net claims costs / Net premiums (retained business)Claims Ratio
Operating expenses / Net premiums (retained business)Expense Ratio (P&C)
25
(1-(Technical result / Net premiums )) (retained business)Combined Ratio
This document has been prepared by Cattolica Assicurazioni – based on data from internal
sources (year-end financial statements, consolidated Group financial statements, internal
reporting and other company documentation, etc.) – for the sole purpose of providing
information on the Group’s results and future operating strategies. Given this, it can in no
way be used as a basis for possible investment decisions. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell
shares. No part of the document can be taken to be the cause of or reason for agreements
or commitments of any type or kind whatsoever, nor can it be relied upon for agreements
and commitments. Information contained in the document concerning forecasts has been
prepared according to various assumptions and/or elements that might ultimately
materialise differently to present expectations. Results might therefore change. Cattolica
DISCLAIMER
26
materialise differently to present expectations. Results might therefore change. Cattolica
therefore in no way provides any guarantee, either explicit or tacit, as regards the integrity
or accuracy of the information or opinions contained in the document, nor can any degree
of reliability be attributed to the same, inasmuch as it has not been subjected to
independent verification. Responsibility for use of the information and opinions contained in
the document lies solely with the user. In any case Cattolica, within legally admissible limits,
will not consider itself liable for any damages, direct or indirect, that third parties might claim
due to utilisation of incomplete or inaccurate information. For any further information
concerning Cattolica Assicurazioni and its related Group, reference must be made
exclusively to the information given in the annual, quarterly, and interim reports and financial
statements. The full versions of these documents, which constitute the factual basis and
proof for all legal purposes, are lodged at the company’s registered offices and are
available to anyone requesting them. Reproduction or full or partial publication and
distribution of the information contained herein to third parties is prohibited. Acceptance of
the present document automatically signifies recognition of the aforesaid constraints.