caught between imperial manila and the provincial dynases

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Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynas8es: Can federalism bring more fiscal independence to LGUs? R.U.MENDOZA, J.OCAMPO AND R.RODILLAS ATENEO SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT

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Page 1: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

CaughtbetweenimperialManilaandtheprovincialdynas8es:

CanfederalismbringmorefiscalindependencetoLGUs?

R.U.MENDOZA, J.OCAMPO AND R.RODILLAS ATENEO SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT

Page 2: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Ra8onaleforDecentraliza8on

Ø  1991LocalGovernmentCodedevolvedsubstan<alspending,taxing,andborrowingpowerstolocalgovernmentunits.

Ø  Governanceclosertothepeopletoincreaseefficiencyandwelfaregains.

Ø  Challengetomatchresources(i.e.ownsourcerevenuesandtransfers)withexpendituresattheLGUlevel.

Page 3: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Source:Manasan(2004).

ASPIRATION:“Infact,realautonomy(inthesenseofsubna8onalgovernmentsbeingabletolinktheirspendingdecisionswiththeirrevenue/taxdecisions)promotesfiscalresponsibility.

REALITY:“…localautonomyhasbeenequated(byLGUsofficials)withtheindependenceofLGUsfromcentralgovernmentinterference.Assuch,LGUofficialshavefocusedonsecuringevenhigherlevelsofblockgrantsinordertoaddressthewidelyperceivedver<calfiscalimbalance.

Page 4: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

RelatedLiterature

Ø Riseofpoli<caldynas<eswithstronglinkstopoverty.

Ø Mixedresultsfromdecentraliza<on.

Ø Perversecenter-peripherypoli<cal/fiscalrela<onship.

Page 5: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Whatis“imperial”aboutManila?

Page 6: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

PHILIPPINESBECOMINGMOREDYNASTICOVERTIME?

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%MOUNTA

INPRO

VINCE

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NGU

ET

MAR

INDU

QUE

QUIRINO

AURO

RA

KALINGA

IFUGA

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RO

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IDEN

TALMINDO

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NUEV

AVIZCAY

ATA

RLAC

QUEZON

ZAMBO

ANGA

SIBUGA

YPA

LAWAN

BA

TAAN

RO

MBLON

TAWI-T

AWI

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SSU

RCA

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APAY

AO

ABRA

BA

SILAN

ISAB

ELA

LAUNION

CAVITE

LANAO

DELSUR

BATA

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EPA

NGA

SINAN

RIZA

LBU

LACA

N

PAMPA

NGA

BA

TANGA

SSU

LU

MAG

UINDA

NAO

2013DYNASTYSHARE 2016DYNASTYSHARE

Page 7: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Mendoza,Beja,VenidaandYap(2016)examinethelinkbetweenpovertyanddynas<es,usingacomprehensivedatabaseofpoli<caldynas<esinPhilippinelocalgovernmentcovering2000-2013;

Findsempiricalevidencethatmoredynas8escausegreaterpoverty,notablyoutsideofMetroManila.

POLITICALDYNASTIESLEADTODEEPERPOVERTY

Page 8: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Ak<nson,HickenandRavanilla(2015)studylegislators’alloca<onsofreconstruc<onfundstomunicipalmayorsusingdatafrom2001-2010;

Poli<calconnec<ons,especiallyclan8es,increasereconstruc<onfundsallocatedtoagivenmunicipality;

Resultssuggestthatamoreneeds-baseddisasterresponsemayrequireplacingalimitonpoli8caldiscre8oninthedisbursementofpost-disasterfunds.

CLANTIESINFLUENCEDISASTERRECONSTRUCTIONSPENDING

Page 9: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Ø  Capuno(2013)examinedthecorrelatesofthegrowthinthenumberofci<esinthePhilippinesin2001-2010.

Ø  Usingapanelofmunicipal-leveldata,popula<onpressureisfoundtobethemainfactorthatdrivescityhood.

GERRYMANDERINGFAVORSPOLITICALCLANS

LEX LOCALIS - JOURNAL OF LOCAL SELF-GOVERNMENT Vol. 11, No. 3, pp. 409 - 429, July 2013

Fiscal Transfers and Gerrymandering Under Decentralization in the Philippines

JOSEPH J. CAPUNO11

ABSTRACT While gerrymandering in developing countries is often pushed by local authorities to secure political advantages, fiscal grants systems under decentralization may also result in the same. We investigate this issue to identify the correlates of the growth in the number of cities in the Philippines in 2001-2010. Using a panel of municipal-level data, population pressure is found to be the main factor that drives cityhood. Also, the likelihood of the same ruling political family to remain in office in 2010 is found to be higher in new cities. Reforms in the country's fiscal transfer program are suggested.

KEYWORDS: • fiscal transfers • gerrymandering • decentralization • Philippines

CORRESPONDENCE ADDRESS: Joseph J. Capuno, Ph.D., Associate Professor, University of the Philippines, School of Economics, Diliman, Quezon City 1101, Philippines, email: [email protected]. DOI 10.4335/11.3.409-429(2013) ISSN 1581-5374 Print/1855-363X Online © 2013 Lex localis (Maribor, Graz, Trieste, Split) Available online at http://journal.lex-localis.info.

Ø  Also,thelikelihoodofthesamerulingpoli8calfamilytoremaininofficein2010isfoundtobehigherinnewci<es.

Page 10: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

CHASINGAFTERPORK

•  PorkbarrelisnotamerefundintheBudgetbut“aseriesofdynamicprocesses”ofpoli8calinterac8onbetweenthePresidentandlocalpoli8cians(Noda2011).

•  Equallydistributedresourcesforthepetprojectsoflegislators,bothdistrictrepresenta<vesandna<onallyelectedsolons(i.e.,senatorsandparty-listrepresenta<ves).NodaobservedthatwhilethePDAFanditsearlierforms“hadanamplepolicyra<onale,thefundturnedintoamerecashdispenserforthelegislators”.

•  Restedonthepowerandprac<ceofthePresidenttorelease—or

withholdtherelease—ofsuchalloca8onsasawayofsecuringgreaterpoli8calinfluence.

Page 11: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

AnalysisofLocalGovernmentFinance

Ø Evennewproposedstateswillfaceseverechallenges.

Ø Lackofdevelopmenttowardsfiscalautonomy–insteadstrongevidenceoffiscaldependence;

Page 12: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Internal Revenue Allotment • Formula-based block grant from National Government • 40% share in the national internal revenue taxes based on the National

Government’s collection of the third fiscal year preceding the current fiscal year

Inter-Governmental Transfers

Allocated according to type of local government:

Share of Provinces, Cities and Municipalities based on:

• Provinces - 23%;

• Cities - 23%;

• Municipalities - 34%; and

• Barangays - 20%

• Population - 50%;

• Land Area - 25%; and

• Equal sharing - 25%

Barangays: 60% Population + 40% Equal Sharing

Page 13: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

IRADependencyRatesofProvinces

1992(of73)

1995(of77)

2000(of77)

2005(of80)

2010(of81)

2015(of81)

<50% 5 2 1 2 2 1

>50% 68 75 76 78 79 80

>90% 21 22 27 30 20 20

IRADependence,Provinces

Page 14: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

IRADependencyRatesofCi8es

1992(of60)

1995(of65)

2000(of81)

2005(of117)

2010(of121)

2015(of144)

<50% 12 16 21 33 32 41

>50% 48 49 60 84 89 103

>90% 2 5of65 3 11 11 14

IRADependence,Cities

Page 15: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

IRADependencyRatesofMunicipali8es

1992(of1465)

1995(of1546)

2000(of1441)

2005(of1500)

2010(of1491)

2015(of1485)

<50% 147 100 60 80 109 65

>50% 1318 1446 1381 1420 1382 1420

>90% 281 547 615 640 650 620

IRADependence,Municipalities

Page 16: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

TheProposedFederalStates

Page 17: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

BangsamoroCitiesPerformance

Class Province IRADependency Local/Total IFR Performance

3rdClass COTABATOCITY 81.88% 18.12% 22.96% BelowNa<onalAverage

4thClassISABELACITY 94.38% 5.58% 7.04% BelowNa<onal

Average

MARAWICITY 86.05% 0.48% 0.68% BelowNa<onalAverage

6thClass LAMITANCITY 95.01% 4.76% 6.33% BelowNa<onalAverage

Page 18: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

StateofNorthernLuzonCitiesPerformanceIncomeClass City AverageofIRADependency AverageofIFR AverageofLocal/Total Performance

Unclassified ILAGANCITY 84.62% 16.16% 12.09% BelowNa<onalAverage

1st BAGUIOCITY 37.92% 83.63% 48.67% BelowforIFRandLocal/Total;AboveforIRADependency

SANTIAGOCITY 83.74% 29.90% 16.26% BelowNa<onalAverage

2nd DAGUPANCITY 51.19% 73.53% 48.65% AboveNa<onalAverage

URDANETACITY 46.90% 86.37% 53.10% AboveNa<onalAverage

3rd

CAUAYANCITY 69.69% 40.11% 30.31% BelowforIRADependencyandIFR;AboveforLocal/Total

LAOAGCITY 49.16% 55.50% 38.94% AboveNa<onalAverage

SANCARLOSCITY(PANGASINAN) 81.73% 27.64% 17.53% BelowNa<onalAverage

SANFERNANDOCITY(LAUNION) 60.42% 46.56% 37.28% AboveforIRADependencyand

Local/Total;BelowforIFR

TUGUEGARAOCITY 57.20% 79.02% 42.56% AboveNa<onalAverage

4th

ALAMINOSCITY 77.75% 32.50% 22.20% AboveNa<onalAverage

CANDONCITY 59.54% 29.41% 17.88% BelowforIFRandLocal/Total;AboveforIRADependency

VIGANCITY 60.66% 54.42% 34.98% AboveNa<onalAverage

5thBATACCITY 77.52% 65.53% 22.22% AboveNa<onalAverage

TABUKCITY 93.46% 11.22% 6.44% BelowNa<onalAverage

Page 19: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

ReformChallenges

Ø Howtoboosttransferswhilealsostrengtheningincen<vestopursuefiscalautonomy?

Ø Howtoalignautonomywithaccountability?

Page 20: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

MostProvinceshaveoutdatedpropertyvalues(andbecamemoreIRAdependentover8me)

26/09/2016, 7:40 PMOnly 28 provinces have updated basis of real property tax. | DOF – BUREAU OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE

Page 2 of 7http://blgf.gov.ph/only-28-provinces-have-updated-basis-of-real-property-tax/

Page 21: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

ALIGNINGAUTONOMYWITHACCOUNTABILITY•  Alloca<onofintergovernmentalfiscaltransfersmaybeimprovedbyintroducing

matchinggrantstoimproveequaliza8ontransferstolocalgovernments;

•  Performance-basedgrantstomo<vategreaterlocalrevenuemobiliza<on;

•  Consolida<on,beqercoordina<onoflocalgovernmentac<vi<es,andresourcepoolingforbeqerlocalservicedeliveryandproduc<onofregionalpublicgoods.

•  Greatertaxdecentraliza8oncoupledwithawelldesignedfiscalequaliza8onprogram;

•  Clear,predictableandgraduatedfinancingmechanismstobeusedacrossdifferentLGUcondi<ons.

Source:Llanto(2012),Manasan(2004)andauthor’sviews.

Page 22: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Source:Author’selabora<ondrawingonLlanto(2012)andManasan(2004).

PoorGovernance BeberGovernance

BestGovernance

LowerIncome

MiddleIncome

HigherIncome

Gradua<onfromTransferstoOwn-SourceFinancing

Condi8onalTransfers/Grants

Uncondi8onal/MatchingGrants

DebtinstrumentsforLGUs;

MunicipalBondMarkets

Page 23: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

SELECTED REFERENCES •  Atkinson,HickenandRavanilla.2015.PorkandTyphoons:Theinfluenceofpoli<calconnec<ons

ondisasterresponseinthePhilippines.InBuildingInclusiveDemocraciesinASEAN,MendozaetalEds.Manila:AnvilPress.

•  Capuno,JosephJ.andMariaMelodyGarciaSchustereder.2015."TheCorrelatesOfLocalGovernmentResponsivenessUnderDecentraliza<on:DoPerformanceRa<ngsMaqerInThePhilippines?".Interna'onalJournalofPublicAdministra'on38(7):521-532.

•  DelaRosaReyes,Danilo.2016.“IssuesandProblemsinDecentraliza<onandLocalAutonomyinthePhilippines:APreliminaryAssessmentofImpactandChallenges”.

•  LLanto,Gilberto.“TheAssignmentOfFunc<onsAndIntergovernmentalFiscalRela<onsInThePhilippinesTwentyYearsAuerDecentraliza<on".UPSchoolofEconomics.

•  Manasan,Rosario2004.“LocalpublicfinanceinthePhilippines:Balancingautonomyandaccountability.”

•  Mendoza,Beja,VenidaandYap.2016.“Poli<caldynas<esandpoverty:MeasurementandevidenceoflinkagesinthePhilippines.”OxfordDevelopmentStudies44(2):189-201.

•  Solon,FabellaandCapuno.2009.“IsLocalDevelopmentGoodPoli<cs?LocalDevelopmentExpendituresandtheRe-Elec<onofGovernorsinthePhilippinesinthe1990s.”AsianJournalofPoli<calScience17(3):265-284.

Page 24: Caught between imperial Manila and the provincial dynases

Forfurtherdataandresearchvisit:hqp://buildinganinclusivedemocracy.org