cbc lecture 2013 march final bare
TRANSCRIPT
Electric Vehicle: Three good reasons why you want to consider buying one
MICHAEL KINTNER-MEYER Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Richland, WA
Community Science & Technology Lecture Series
March, 2013 PNNL-SA-94275
Definition of Electric Vehicles
2
Electric Motor
EV: Electric Vehicle
BEV: Battery-only Electric Vehicle
Batteries Battery
Combustion
Engine
Electric Motor Generator
Gasoline
Batteries Batteries
PHEV: Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle
EREV: Extended Range Electric Vehicle
PEV: Plug-in Electric Vehicle
How Does a PHEV or EREV Work?
How Does a PHEV or EREV Work?
Combustion
Engine
Electric Motor Generator
Gasoline
HEV
Battery
1 kWh
PHEV
Battery
5-15 kWh
Batteries Additional Batteries
PHEVs overcome the range problem of BEVs
Electric-only range vary with battery size
PHEV20 = 20 miles range
PHEV40 = 40 miles range
PHEVs well suited for our daily driving patterns
50% of all daily drives <25 miles
80% of all daily drives <50 miles
Average daily driving=33 miles
History of Electric Vehicles
1891 William Morrison of Des Moines the first successful electric automotive
1907-1939 Detroit Electric successful electric car co.
Thomas Edison - 1912 1974 Vanguard Sebring CitiCar
1990 Cal. Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate. 2% by 1998, 10% by 2003
1990-2000 few thousand electric vehicles
2002 GM and DaimlerChrysler sued CARB and ZEV mandate was weakened
2006 PHEVs, retrofits: Prius, Escape
2010 GM Volt, other manufacturers
Volt
EREV
Leaf
BEV
• Lowest total cost of ownership today
6
Three Reasons (Plus Three More) for Considering Buying an Electric Vehicle
Total Cost of Ownership
7
Available at: http://media.oregonlive.com/environment_impact/other/PIkes%20exec%20summ%20alt%20fuel%20vehicles%208.27.12.pdf
BEV: lowest in Total Cost of Ownership after Tax Credit
• Lowest total cost of ownership today
• Excellent performance
8
Three Reasons (Plus Three More) for Considering Buying an Electric Vehicle
Performance: Electric motor generates maximum torque at lowest speeds
9
Electric motor Internal combustion engine
Tesla Roadster
• Lowest total cost of ownership today
• Excellent performance
• Good for the environment
10
Three Reasons (Plus Three More) for Considering Buying an Electric Vehicle
How Does Transportation Contribute to Climate Change?
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
mil
lio
n t
on
s o
f C
02
Transportation
Industrial
Residential
Commercial
EIA: 2007 Annual Energy Outlook, Reference Case
Regional Emissions Impacts (Well-to-Wheel*)
with Today’s Generation Mix
Moving emissions from tailpipes to smokestacks:
solves an intractable problem for CO2 capture
improves cost effectiveness for other emissions
ECAR ERCOT MACC MAIN MAPP NPCC FRCC SERC SPP PNWAZN&
RMPCNV
US
total
Natural Gas 32% 94% 74% 42% 1% 91% 69% 57% 78% 43% 63% 93%
Coal 68% 6% 26% 58% 99% 9% 31% 43% 22% 57% 37% 7%
Emissions
GHGs 0.87 0.60 0.69 0.83 1.01 0.61 0.71 0.76 0.66 0.84 0.73 0.61 0.73
VOC: Total 0.11 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.14 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.10 0.07 0.04 0.07
CO: Total 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
NOx: Total 1.02 0.38 0.59 0.93 1.35 0.41 0.64 0.76 0.54 0.93 0.71 0.39 0.69
PM10: Total 1.55 0.81 1.06 1.45 1.94 0.86 1.13 1.26 0.99 1.46 1.19 0.84 1.18
SOx: Total 3.94 0.42 1.68 3.59 5.96 0.64 2.05 2.67 1.34 3.77 2.35 0.53 2.25
VOC: Urban 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
CO: Urban 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
NOx: Urban 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.10
PM10: Urban 0.60 0.62 0.62 0.60 0.58 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.61
SOx: Urban 0.35 0.04 0.14 0.30 0.51 0.05 0.17 0.22 0.12 0.31 0.20 0.04 0.19
Power Generation Composition
Emissions Ratio (Electric Vehicle/Gasoline Vehicle)Greenhouse gases
Plant mix for valley fill
Nationally, greenhouse
gases reduced 27% despite
increased reliance on coal
Urban air quality emissions
greatly reduced:
VOCs/CO/NOx > 90%
SOx = 80%
Particulates = 40%
Urban: VOCs
CO
NOx
Particulates
SOx
* Argonne National Laboratory’s
GREET well-to-wheel model
US Regions
• Lowest total cost of ownership today
• Excellent performance
• Good for the environment
• Good for national security
13
Three Reasons (Plus Three More) for Considering Buying an Electric Vehicle
U.S. Energy Landscape
Source: EIA, 2006
about 30% of total
consumption
about 40% of
total supply
about 80% of energy in
transportation is LOST
0
5
10
15
20
25
Mill
ions B
arr
els
Per
Day
Total
20.6
US
Production
8.2
Net
Imports
12.5
Trans-
portation
13.8
Industry
5.0
Res, Com,
Electricity
1.8
Gasoline
9.1
potential
PHEV
displacement
6.5
Significant Potential to Reduce Dependence of Fossil Fuel
The idle capacity of the U.S. grid could supply
73% of the energy needs of today’s cars, SUVs,
pickup trucks, and vans…
without adding generation or T&D capacity 73% electric
(158 mill.
Vehicles)
52%
Source: EIA, Annual Energy Review 2005
Potential to displace 6.7 MMbpd (equiv. to 52% of net imports)
Reduces CO2 emissions by 27%
Emissions move from tailpipes to smokestacks (and base load plants) … cheaper to clean up
Reduce the imports of petroleum worth $900 per day
• Lowest total cost of ownership today
• Excellent performance
• Good for the environment
• Good for national security
• Good for the electricity grid
16
Three Reasons (Plus Three More) for Considering Buying an Electric Vehicle
ECAR, Summer
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour
MW
Renewable
Conventional Hydro
Pumped Storage
Combustion
Turbine/Diesel
Combined Cycle
Other Fossil Steam
Coal Steam
Nuclear
Summer Average
ECAR, Summer
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour
MW
Renewable
Conventional Hydro
Pumped Storage
Combustion
Turbine/Diesel
Combined Cycle
Other Fossil Steam
Coal Steam
Nuclear
Summer Peak Day
Summer Average
ECAR, Summer
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour
MW
Additional
Combined Cycle
Additional Other
Fossil Steam
Additional Coal
Steam
Renewable
Conventional Hydro
Pumped Storage
Combustion
Turbine/Diesel
Combined Cycle
Other Fossil Steam
Coal Steam
Nuclear
Summer Peak Day
Summer Average
additional generation
for 28 mill. PHEVs
peak
EVs Improve the Utilization of the Grid to Achieve higher Economic Efficiency
Electric Vehicles Can Provide Balancing Services for Integration of Wind Energy
Single day of additional
balancing requirements
for 10 GW of additional
wind in NWPP.
18
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
Max. charging (3.6 kW)
dis
cha
rgin
g c
ha
rgin
g
Never discharge !
Smart Charging
(V2GHalf)
New Balancing
Requirements
Solution Options
Resource Available
13% of NWPP vehicle stock (2 mill) could provide all of
the additional balancing requires if they were EVs with
smart charging capabilities and ability to charge at work
• Lowest total cost of ownership today
• Excellent performance
• Good for the environment
• Good for national security
• Good for the electricity grid
• It offers “cool” technology and it will be part of our future
19
Three Reasons (Plus Three More) for Considering Buying an Electric Vehicle
“Cool” Technology…. An essential part of tomorrow’s transportation technology
20
MP3 engine sound
generator
• Ferrari engine
• Mustang
• 396 Chevelle
• Cobra
How are we doing in WA and Benton County?
21
Benton County: 133 electric vehicles as of December 2012
WA-State : 4429
Benton County: 10th rank base on (electr. Vehicle/capita)
22
Ben Franklin Transit: e-Bus
100 miles range
Delivery end of March, 2013
Solid Growth in Electric Vehicle Sales in the US
23
Total number of Electric Vehicles on the Road
How to Charge the Vehicle at Home?
24
Charging inside: 240V (Level 2)
With 240V: 1-3 hours charging
Charging outside: 120V (Level 1)
With 120V: 8-12 hours charging
Public Charging Stations
25
Public Charging Stations
26
Public Charging Stations
27
Public Charging Stations with Solar Roofs at Google, Mountain View,
28
Fast Charging in 15 Minutes using DC electricity
29
DC plug
DC connection
(Level 3)
240V (AC)
(Level 2)
DC connection
(Level 3)
240V (AC)
(Level 2)
Traveling cross-country
30
To Prosser: 29 mi
To Ellensburg: 85 mi
To North Bend: 79 mi
To Seattle 30 mi
What if you are stranded with an empty battery?
31
Final thoughts
32
Education: high school, college,
university
industry
National and state leadership
Don’t judge each day by the harvest you reap,
but by the seeds that you plant
Robert Louis Stevenson