cc-portfolio management

Upload: aspanwz-spanwz

Post on 04-Jun-2018

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    1/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Crash Course forPortfolio Management

    CFA Level-I Exam

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    2/30

    www.edupristine.com Neev Knowledge ManagementPristine

    Portfolio Management and Wealth Planning

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    3/30

    www.edupristine.com Neev Knowledge ManagementPristine

    Portfolio Management

    Investment PolicyStatement

    Introduction to Portfolio Management Introduction to Asset Pricing Models

    Importance:

    imposes investmentdiscipline & providesguidance for investmentadvisorsInvestment objectives:

    Return objectivesCapacity to take riskWillingness to take riskConstraints:

    Liquidity needsInvestment time horizonTax concernsLegal & regulatory factorsUnique needsPreferences

    The difference betweenability and willingness to take

    on risks.

    Strategic Asset AllocationRisk BudgetingTactical Asset AllocationSecurity AnalysisDriftPerformance Review

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    4/30

    www.edupristine.com Neev Knowledge ManagementPristine

    Risk and returns

    Portfolio Management

    Investment PolicyStatement

    Introduction to Portfolio Management Introduction to Asset Pricing Models

    E(Rp) = wAE(RA) + wBE(RB)

    Var (A) =

    Var(Rp)=w2A2(RA)+ w2B2(RB)+2wA*wB*(RA)*(RB)*(RA,RB)

    P = B)Cov(A,w)-2w(1w)-(1w 2B22

    A

    2

    N

    N

    t

    2

    1

    __

    2

    R-R

    Q. 2return of stock P=100.0 2return of stock Q=225.0 Cov(P, Q) =53.2Current Holding $1 Mn in P.New Holding: $1 million in Q and $3 million in stock P. What percentage of portfoliorisk (P) is reduced?Ans.P=w= 0.75P2= 100*(0.75)2+ 225*(0.25)2+2*0.25*0.75*53.2P= 9.5 old = 100 = 10Reduction = 5%

    B)Cov(A,w)-2w(1w)-(1w 2B

    22

    A

    2

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    5/30

    www.edupristine.com Neev Knowledge ManagementPristine

    Assumptions of Capital Market theory

    All investors use mean variance framework and selectonly those securities which lie on the eff icient frontierUnlimited lending & borrowing possible at the risk freerateAll investors are rational & have identical expectationsThere is one period horizonAll assets are infinitely divisibleThere are no taxes or transaction costsThere is no inflation

    Interest rates will remain constant throughout theholding periodCapital markets are in equilibrium

    Optimal portfolio for each investor is the point whereher indifference curve is tangent to the efficient frontier.

    Systematic Risk: Non diversifiable

    Investors get compensation for taking systematicrisk

    Non-Systematic Risk: Company specific risk Investors are not compensated for taking non-

    systematic risk

    M2

    Uses total risk Produces the same portfolio ranking as that of Sharpe ratio

    JensensAlpha

    Uses systematic risk (b) Measures the percentage return over that of a portfolio with

    the same beta.

    p

    pf R-RRatioSharpe

    p

    fp R-RRatioTreynor

    b

    )()(2 fmp

    mfp RRRRM

    )]([ fmfpp RRRR b

    Portfolio Management

    Investment PolicyStatement

    Introduction to Portfolio Management Introduction to Asset Pricing Models

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    6/30

    www.edupristine.com Neev Knowledge ManagementPristine

    Capital Market Line

    E(Ri)

    Systematic Risk (i)

    RFR

    mkt=1

    E(Rmkt)

    Security Market Line

    Market portfolio with =1

    SML: E(Ri) = Rf+ *(Rmkt- Rf)

    E(Rp)

    Risk (p)

    I2 I1

    I2 I1Efficient

    frontier

    Efficientfrontier

    RFRX

    Y

    CML: E (Rp) = RFR + wM[E(RM) RFR]

    m

    imi

    m

    mimi

    m

    mii

    RRCov

    b

    ,

    2

    ,

    2

    ),(

    Portfolio Management

    Investment PolicyStatement

    Introduction to Portfolio Management Introduction to Asset Pricing Models

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    7/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 1

    Which of the following statements about CML and SML are least likely true?

    A. The CML graphs the risk premiums of efficient portfolios and the SML graphs mainlythe Individual asset risk premium that are a part of a diversified portfolio

    B.The risk premium on an efficiently diversified portfolio as a function of the portfoliostandard deviation is represented by the CML.

    C.The SML is valid only for individual assets

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    8/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 1

    C.

    The SML can be plotted not only for individual assets but also efficient portfolioscomprising of only the market and risk free assets.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    9/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 2

    Which of the following is most likely correct about a minimum variance portfolio?

    A. A minimum variance portfolio has a standard deviation which is lower than thestandard deviation of each of the individual component assets.

    B. With an increase in the correlation coefficient between two asset classes, thestandard deviation of the portfolio reduces.

    C. The minimum variance of a perfectly correlated portfolio between the stocks andbonds is lower than the standard deviation of the bond.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    10/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 2

    A. Minimum Variance Portfolio is defined as the portfolio that has lowest standard

    deviation of all portfolios with a given expected return

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    11/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 3

    A well diversified portfolio is least likely to be which of the following:

    A. A portfolio comprising of stocks with a high percentage of unsystematic risk and lessof systematic risk

    B. A portfolio comprising of stocks with a low correlation coefficient

    C. A portfolio comprising of stocks with high beta values

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    12/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 3

    C.

    A portfolio that consists of stocks all with high betas would be more reactive to changesin the market but nothing can be said about the firm specific risk from the value of beta.Therefore such a portfolio may or may not be well diversified. From the given options Cis most likely not to be well diversified.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    13/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 4

    Which of the following about portfolio theory is least likely correct?

    A. A high standardised covariance of a stock means the stock has a high contribution tothe portfolio variance.

    B. The sharpe ratio of the portfolio increases when an investor is able to borrow at ahigher rate and invest at the risk free rate.

    C. The sharpe ratio grows with the length of the holding period at the rate of square rootof time.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    14/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 4

    B.

    The sharpe ratio reduces when the investor is able to borrow at a higher rate than therisk free rate but invests at the risk free rate. There is a kink in the CAL when such ascenario arises.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    15/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 5

    A 26 year old investor wants to discuss his investment plan with his portfolio

    management advisor. The investor wants to satisfy his long term investment needs.Which of the following parameters should not be of concern for the client?

    A. Capital preservation

    B. Tax concerns

    C. Legal and regulatory factors

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    16/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 5

    A.

    Capital preservation is a concern when the funds are needed in the near future. Sincethe investor wants to plan for long term, capital preservation is not a concern.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    17/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 6

    Mr X purchases 100 shares of a company that has an expected return of 24%. If the

    expected market return is 14% and the risk free rate is 8%. Find the beta of the stock.A. 2.67

    B. 0.7

    C. 1.25

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    18/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 6

    A.

    Using the CAPM equation: E(R)= Rf+ *(Rm-Rf),24 = 8 + * ( 14 - 8)

    we get =2.67

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    19/30

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    20/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 7

    A.

    Percentage investment in risky asset is 620000/420000 = 1.48. Using the expectedreturns formula E(rc)= Rf+ y*(Rp- Rf), E(Rc)= 7+ 1.48 * (12-7) = 14.38%.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    21/30www.edupristine.com

    Question 8

    The following information regarding two stocks is available

    Expected returns Standard deviationStock A 12% 5%

    Stock B 22% 13.8%

    The risk free rate is 5%

    Which of the following about the stocks is true?

    A. Stock A is better than Stock B since it rewards the investors better for the riskinvolved

    B. Stock B has a higher return than Stock A. Hence it is a better investment than A

    C. Stock A and B reward the investor equally after adjusting for risk

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    22/30www.edupristine.com

    Answer 8

    A.

    Stock A has a higher sharpe ratio than B .Hence it is a better investment option.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    23/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Question 9

    An insurance company offers a 1 year insurance policy on a residential property valued

    at $100000. The probability of a loss to the insurer is 0.4% and that of no loss is99.6%. The risk free interest rate is 5%. What is the minimum profit that the insurancecompany would make should it invest in T bills?

    A. $13

    B. $20

    C. $34

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    24/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Answer 9

    B.

    The insurance company should charge minimum premium of 0.04*100000=400 whichwhen invested at the risk free rate gives $420. Therefore profit to the company is $20.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    25/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Question 10

    An analyst prepares the following report about 2 stock returns for different scenarios:

    Good market Normal market Bad market

    Probability 34% 29% 37%

    Stock returns

    Stock A 12% 17% 5%Stock B 22% 25% -20%

    If the portfolio comprises of these two stocks weighted in the ratio of 3:2, find theexpected return on this portfolio.

    A. 9.45%

    B. 10.02%

    C. 21.56%

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    26/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Answer 10

    A.

    Individual stock expected return is R= 0.34*R1+0.29*R2+0.37*R3. Portfolio expectedreturn is E(Rp)= 3/5*Ra + 2/5*Rb

    R1 = 3/5*12 + 2/5*22 = 16%

    R2 = 3/5*17 + 2/5*25 = 20.2%

    R3 = 3/5*5 + 2/5* (-20) = -5%

    Total return = 0.34* 16%+0.29* 20.2%+0.37* -5%

    = 9.44%

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    27/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Question 11

    The portfolio standard deviation is calculated using the formula p= w1*1 - w2*2.

    Which of the following about the portfolio is least correct?A. The portfolio is perfectly hedged

    B. The expected returns on this portfolio is always higher than the expected returns on aportfolio that has a standard deviation that equals w1*1 + w2*2

    C. This portfolio will have a standard deviation of 0 despite the standard deviation of 2being very high.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    28/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Answer 11

    B.

    The expected return is not dependent on the standard deviation but the weights of w1and w2. Therefore for a given set of weights the expected return would be the same forboth the portfolios.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    29/30

    www.edupristine.com

    Question 12

    Which of the following investment objective is least likely to be a concern for a 65 year

    old?A. Investment in fixed income securities

    B. Current income

    C. Tax deferred investment

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13

  • 8/13/2019 CC-Portfolio Management

    30/30

    Answer 12

    C.

    The need for tax deferred investments decrease for older retirees.

    This files has expired at 30-Jun-13