cecere insights

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Metrics that Matter

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Cecere Insights

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Page 1: Cecere Insights

Metrics that Matter

Page 2: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 2

Get Prepared

Page 3: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 3

Books for Your Bookshelf

Self-published

September 2014

Wiley

December 2014

Wiley

December 2012

Page 4: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 4

Today’s Supply Chain is Stuck

Page 5: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 5

Industry Overview

Page 6: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 6

Why?

Page 7: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 7

Demand

Signal

Accurate Weekly

Forecasting is ...

Delay from

Purchase to

Signal

What is Demand?

* Represents emerging markets

Page 8: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 8

Fallacy #1: Functional Excellence

#sciwebinar

Page 9: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 9

Fallacy #2: A Project-based Focus

#sciwebinar

Page 10: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 10

Companies Get More Serious

With A Recession: But Cannot Sustain It

#sciwebinar

Page 11: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 11

What We Expected

Page 12: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 12

A Supply Chain

is a Complex System

with Complex

Processes

with Increasing

Complexity

What we Learned….

#sciwebinar

Page 13: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 13

The Supply Chain Effective Frontier

#sciwebinar

Page 14: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 14

Correlations to Market Capitalization

#sciwebinar

Page 15: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 15

Orbit Chart: Wal-Mart

(Inventory Turns and Operating Margin)

#sciwebinar

Page 16: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 16

Orbit Chart: Apple

(Inventory Turns and Operating Margin)

#sciwebinar

Page 17: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 17

Orbit Charts: Dow Chemical Company

#sciwebinar

Page 18: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 18

Orbit Charts: Mattel, Inc.

(Inventory Turns versus Operating Margin)

#sciwebinar

Page 19: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 19

Orbit Chart: Procter & Gamble

(Inventory Turns and Operating Margin)

#sciwebinar

Page 20: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 20

Overall Network: Inventory Turns versus

Operating Margin 2006-2012

#sciwebinar

Page 21: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 21

Measuring Supply Chain Improvement

Overall Ranking per Company

• Balance: Return on Invested Capital & Revenue Growth Vector Trajectory (30%)

• Strength: Inventory Turns & Operating Margin Vector Trajectory (30% of score)

• Resiliency: Inventory Turns & Operating Margin Mean Distance (30%)

Page 22: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 22

Supply Chains to Admire Methodology

PerformanceBeats the industry

average for operating

margin, inventory turns

and ROIC for 2006-

2014 and 2009-2014

ImprovementRanks above peer

group average on

The Supply Chain

Index for 2006-

2014 or 2009-2014

+

Page 23: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 23

An Example: Food

#sciwebinar

Page 24: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 24

Annual Study: Supply Chains To Admire

Supply Chains to Admire 2015 to be Announced at the Supply

Chain Insights Global Summit on September 9th and 10th

Page 25: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 25

Comparing Companies

Strong in turns

… but

unbalanced

Both 1 and 3 have balance … but

company 1 knows how to

rebound after the financial crisis

resilience

Page 26: Cecere Insights

Driving Results

Page 27: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 27

• Leadership

• Building of talent

• Outside-in processes

• Horizontal process focus

• Active and intentional design

• Supply chain planning

What Makes a Difference

Page 28: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 28

Right Stuff?

Page 29: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 29

Growing Talent Gap

Page 30: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 30

Losing Ground

Page 31: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 31

What does this Say to You?

Page 32: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 32

State of IT Systems

Page 33: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 33

The Role of ERP

Page 34: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 34

IT Systems: Importance & Satisfaction by Role & Supply Chain

Page 35: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 35

State of Planning

Page 36: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 36

Get Prepared

Page 37: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 37

Page 38: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 38

• It is not an evolution

• We are defining new

practices

• Learn, to unlearn, to relearn

Get Prepared

Page 39: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 39

Questions?

Page 40: Cecere Insights
Page 41: Cecere Insights
Page 42: Cecere Insights

Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2015, p. 42

Founder: Lora Cecere

• Founder of Supply Chain Insights

• “LinkedIn Influencer”

• Guest blog for Forbes

• Author of 3 books: Bricks Matter (2012), Shaman’s Journal (2014)

and Supply Chain Metrics That Matter (December 2014)

• Partner at Altimeter Group (leader in open research)

• 7 years of Management Experience leading Analyst Teams at Gartner

and AMR Research

• 8 years Experience in Marketing and Selling Supply Chain Software at

Descartes Systems Group and Manugistics (now JDA)

• 15 Years Leading teams in Manufacturing and Distribution operations for

Clorox, Kraft/General Foods, Nestle/Dreyers Grand Ice Cream and

Procter & Gamble.

Contact Information: • Email: [email protected]

• Blog: www.supplychainshaman.com (6000 pageviews/month)

• Forbes: http://www.forbes.com/search/?q=lora+cecere

• Twitter: lcecere (5750 followers)

• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/pub/lora-cecere/0/196/573 (35,000 followers)