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Issue 12008
CEEEconomic
Data
Analysis by the UniCredit Group CEE Research Network
Outlook for 2009–2010
Imprint
Published by UniCredit Group/Bank Austria Creditanstalt Aktiengesellschaft
http://www.unicreditgroup.eu
http://www.bankaustria.at
Edited by CEE Research Department
Bernhard Sinhuber, Phone +43 (0)50505-41964
Produced by Bank Austria Identity & Communications Department,
Editorial Desk ([email protected]), Phone +43 (0)50505-56141
Layout: Miriam Weigel
Front page: Skibar grafik design
Printed by Holzhausen
Closing Date: 24th April 2008
Disclaimer
This document (the “Document”) has been prepared by “UniCredit Group”. The Document is for information purposes only and is not intendedas (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to sell or to buy any financial instrument and/or (ii) a professional advice in relation to any investmentdecision. The Document is being distributed by electronic and ordinary mail to professional investors and may not be redistributed, reprodu-ced, disclosed or published in whole or in part. Information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained herein have been obtained from orare based upon sources believed by the UniCredit Group to be reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made and noresponsibility, liability and/or indemnification obligation shall be borne by the UniCredit Group vis-à-vis any recipient of the present Documentand/or any third party as to the accuracy, completeness and/or correctness of any information contained in the Document. The UniCredit Groupis involved in several businesses and transactions that may relate directly or indirectly to the content of the Document. Accordingly, theUniCredit Group may hold a position or act as market maker in any financial instrument men tioned in the Document. Information, which is notreflected in the Document, may therefore be available to persons connected with the UniCredit Group. The Document has been approved fordistribution in UK by the London branch of UniCredit Banca Mobiliare S.p.A., regulated by the FSA for the conduct of investment business inthe UK. It has not been approved for distribution to or for the use of private customers, as defined by the rules of the FSA. The Document maynot be distributed in USA, Canada, Japan or Australia.
Debora Revoltella
UniCredit CEE Chief Economist
Network Coordinator
UniCredit Group,
CEE Economic Research
Carmelina Carluzzo, Matteo Ferrazzi,
Hans Holzhacker, Fabio Mucci, Lisa Perrin,
Bernhard Sinhuber, Gerd Stiglitz
UniCredit Bulbank,
Economic Research Unit
Kristofor Pavlov, Chief Economist
Elena Georgieva, Milen Kassabov,
Katerina Topalova
Zagrebacka banka,
Macroeconomic Research
Goran Saravanja, Chief Economist
Nenad Golac
UniCredit Bank Czech Republic,
Economic Research
Pavel Sobisek, Chief Economist
Patrik Rozumbersky, Vaclav Verner
UniCredit Bank Hungary
Márta Bíróné-Szegö, Chief Economist
Tibor Nagy
Bank Pekao,
Macroeconomic Research Office
Andrzej Bratkowski, Chief Economist
UniCredit Tiriac Bank,
Economic Research
Rozalia Pal, Senior Economist
Anca Mihaela Stoica
UniCredit Bank Russia,
Treasury
Sergey Kondrashov, Valery Inyushin,
Dmitry Marushkevich, Sergey Borisov
UniCredit Bank Slovakia,
Macroeconomics & Market Analyses
Viliam Patoprsty, Chief Analyst
Lubomir Korsnak
Yapi Kredi Bankasi
Cevdet Akcay, Chief Economist
Ahmet Cimenoglu, Head, Strategic
Planning and Research
Yelda Yucel, Murat Can Aslak,
Eren Ocakverdi
UniCredit Group,
Research and Strategy
Andrea Brasili
UniCredit Group CEE Research Network
CEE Economic Data
Outlook for 2009–2010
2 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
^
Contents
4 Bosnia and Herzegovina
6 Bulgaria
8 Croatia
10 Czech Republic
12 Estonia
14 Hungary
16 Kazakhstan
18 Latvia
20 Lithuania
22 Poland
24 Romania
26 Russia
28 Serbia
30 Slovakia
32 Slovenia
34 Turkey
36 Ukraine
38 Eurozone
40 Austria
42 Germany
44 Italy
3CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
Bosna i Hercegovina
��������
Hrvatska
âeskárepublika
Eesti
Magyarország
���� ��
Latvija
Lietuva
Polska
Romania
������
Srbija
Slovensko
Slovenija
Turkiye
�������
Euroland
Österreich
Deutschland
Italia
9.9
18.9
66.54.7
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosna i Hercegovina
51,197
3.8
Zeljko Komsic
Nikola Spiric
10.6
2,750
38.4
PovrÂina (km2)
StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)
Predsjednik
Premijer
BDP (za 2007. godinu, u milijardama EUR)
BDP po glavi stanovnika (BDP za 2007. godinu, u EUR)
Izvoz u % BDP-a (2007)
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
´ˇ
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruto nacionalni prozvod po privrednim sektorima 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturni pokazatelji
UniCredit Bank
Kardinala Stepinca b.b.BH-88 000 MostarPhone (+387 36) 312 112www.unicreditbank.ba
Nova Banjalucka Banka
Marije Bursac 7BH–78000 Banja LukaPhone (+387 51) 243 200www.novablbanka.com
^
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo
Industrija
Gradevinarstvo
Usluge
4 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : BAM/EUR
ECB REFI rate (end of December)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Bruto domaci proizvod (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
Bruto investicije u osnovna (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
PotroÂaãke cijene (godiÂnji prosjek)
Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)
Izvoz robe (u mil. EUR)
Uvoz robe (u mil. EUR)
Tekuci bilans (u % BDP-a)
Direktne strane investicije (priliv u % BDP-a)
BudÏetska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP-a)
Bruto inostrani dug (u % BDP-a)
BAM/EUR (godiÂnji prosjek)
ECB REFI rate (rate stopa)
Ukupni krediti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
Ukupni depoziti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
´
´
2007 2008 2009 2010
6.7 6.0 5.5 5.0
– – – –
6.9 6.0 6.5 7.0
1.5 6.5 3.8 2.8
44.0 39.5 38.7 38.0
3,092 3,579 4,090 4,464
7,234 8,564 9,715 10,714
–13.3 –13.8 –13.4 –13.1
14.0 5.4 5.9 5.8
2.3 1.9 1.3 0.8
– – – –
1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96
4.00 3.75 3.50 3.50
28.6 22.1 18.7 17.5
37.3 15.4 13.6 13.7
Indicators
Pokazatelji
5CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
7.0
25.2
49.5
18.3
6 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
Bulgaria��������
110,994
7.7
Georgi Parvanov
Sergei Stanishev
28.9
3,780
63.4
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006
���� ������� ������ �� ��� �������� ������� (� %) 2006
Structural Indicators
������ � � ��������
UniCredit Bulbank
Sveta Nedelya Sq. 7BG–1000 SofiaPhone (+359 2) 923 2111www.unicreditbulbank.bg
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Adjustments
Services
������ � ������ � ����� ��
�����������
���������
������
���� (��.��)
��������� � ���.
�������
����� ����������� ��
��� (2007, � ����. ����)
��� �� !���� � ��������� �(2007, � ����)
"��� � % � ��� (2007)
7CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rat: BGN/EUR
1M LEONIA, avg
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
6.2 5.6 4.8 5.3
21.7 11.3 9.0 10.5
9.0 8.0 7.3 6.5
8.4 9.2 5.8 4.8
6.9 6.7 6.7 6.4
13,474 15,592 17,062 18,785
20,831 23,355 24,730 26,097
–21.5 –20.2 –17.5 –14.4
21.1 14.5 11.0 13.5
3.7 3.5 1.7 1.6
97.3 103.0 107.0 113.5
1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96
4.03 5.05 5.50 5.10
63.6 30.9 22.7 17.8
35.0 26.4 22.1 18.9
Indicators
� ��������
������ ��� (��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)
��� � ���� ����#������� (������ ��� ����������x���� � ������, � %)
���������� �������� �� (������ ��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)
"����� �� �� ��#� ����� � $��� (������ �������)
����#� �$� (������ �������)
� ���� ���� (� ��� ����)
� ���� ���� (� ��� ����)
&����� ��� �� (� % � ���)
����� !�'��� ����� ����� �$��(��� ��, � % � ���)
�*�'� �� ��+�$� (–) / ������(+) (� % � ���)
��� �� ������ ���� (� % � ���)
������ ���� �� ����: BGN/EUR
1� 345�"6, ������ � ��������
5#�� ����� � (��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)
5#�� ����� � (��� ������ ����x���� � ������, � %)
6.0
20.5
67.6
6.0
8 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
CroatiaHrvatska
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruto domaci proizvod po djelatnostima 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturni pokazatelji
Zagrebacka banka
Paromlinska 2HR–10000 ZagrebPhone (+385 1) 6104000 www.zaba.hr
^
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo
Industrija
Gradevinarstvo
Usluge
PovrÂina (km2)
StanovniÂtvo u mio
Predsjednik republike
Predsjednik vlade
BDP (2007. u mld EUR)
BDP po glavi stanovnika (2007. u EUR)
Izvoz u % BDP (2007)
56,594
4.4
Stjepan Mesic
Ivo Sanader
37.5
9,420
49.0
´
´
¯
9CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rat : HRK/EUR
1W ZIBOR, avg
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Pokazatelji 2007 2008 2009 2010
5.6 4.3 4.2 4.7
6.5 5.3 5.5 7.0
5.6 4.8 4.5 5.0
2.9 6.2 3.7 2.7
9.4 8.9 8.5 8.2
9,193 9,882 10,603 11,293
18,626 20,117 21,424 22,603
–8.6 –9.0 –8.7 –8.2
9.7 6.2 6.7 7.2
–2.3 –2.6 –2.8 –2.8
87.8 87.3 86.9 86.6
7.34 7.27 7.23 7.20
5.50 5.75 5.00 4.50
13.5 11.4 11.6 11.7
16.5 10.8 9.3 8.5
Realni BDP (godiÂna stopa, u %)
Investicije u osnovna sredstva (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %
Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
PotroÂaãke cijene (godiÂnji prosjek)
Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)
Izvoz robe (u mio EUR)
Uvoz robe (u mio EUR)
Tekuci raãun (u % BDP)
Izravna inozemna ulaganja (neto priljev, u % BDP)
Proraãunska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP)
Bruto inozemni dug (u % BDP)
Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/EUR
1 TJ ZIBOR, prosjeãno
Ukupni krediti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
Ukupni depoziti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
´
2.8
32.0
58.8
6.4
10 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
Czech RepublicCeská republika
78,867
10.3
Václav Klaus
Mirek Topolánek
128.1
12,410
79.1
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Hrub˘ domácí produkt podle hospodáfisk˘ch sektorÛ 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturální ukazatele
UniCredit Bank
Na Prikope 20CZ-11121 Prague 1Phone (+420) 22 111 2111www.unicreditbank.cz
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Zemûdûlství a lesnictví
PrÛmysl
Stavebnictví
SluÏby
Rozloha (km2)
Poãet obyvatel v mil.
Prezident
Pfiedseda vlády
HDP (2007, v mld. EUR)
HDP na jednoho obyvatele (2007, v EUR)
V˘voz v % HDP (2007)
^
11CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: CZK/EUR
2-week repo rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Ukazatele
Reáln˘ HDP (meziroãní rÛst, v %)
Tvorba hrubého fixního kapitálu (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)
PrÛmyslová v˘roba (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)
Spotfiebitelské ceny (roãní prÛmûr)
Nezamûstnanost (roãní prÛmûr)
V˘voz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)
Dovoz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)
BûÏn˘ úãet (v % HDP)
Pfiímé zahraniãní investice (pfiíliv, hrubá vyÂe v % HDP)
Bilance rozpoãtu (v % HDP)
Hrubá zahraniãní zadluÏenost (v % HDP)
PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/EUR
2-t˘denní repo sazba (konec obodobí, v %)
Celkové úvûry (meziroãní rÛst, v %)
Celková depozita (meziroãní rÛst, v %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
6.5 4.0 4.5 4.5
6.1 6.5 5.0 5.5
8.2 5.5 6.5 5.5
2.8 6.7 3.2 2.7
6.6 5.7 5.5 5.5
89,055 103,465 115,469 129,843
84,824 97,953 109,141 123,098
–2.5 –3.4 –3.1 –3.1
5.2 4.9 6.0 4.5
–1.6 –2.3 –2.9 –2.7
37.9 38.2 38.4 38.6
27.8 25.4 25.6 25.5
3.50 3.75 4.00 4.00
24.5 13.1 12.4 11.7
15.2 6.1 6.1 5.8
3.0
20.6
68.5 7.9
12 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
EstoniaEesti
45,227
1.3
Toomas Hendrik Ilves
Andrus Ansip
15.5
11,580
72.5
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Sisemajanduse koguprodukt majandussektorite lõikes (%) 2007
Structural Indicators
Struktuurilised tegurid
UniCredit Bank Estonia Branch
Liivalaia street 13/15EST-10118 TallinnPhone (+372) 668 8300www.unicreditbank.ee
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Põllumajandus ja metsandus
Tööstus
Ehitus
Teenindus
Pindala (km2)
Rahvastik, mln
President
Peaminister
Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (SKP) (2007 a. mlr EUR)
Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (SKP) elaniku kohta (2007 a. EUR)
Eksport % SKP (2007)
13CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: EEK/EUR
3M Talibor (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
7.1 2.6 3.2 6.3
7.8 –0.5 1.5 7.8
6.7 3.0 5.9 6.1
6.6 10.0 6.2 4.9
5.3 5.4 5.3 4.0
8,083 8,411 8,820 9,735
10,721 10,806 11,350 12,417
–17.4 –13.9 –13.9 –13.5
11.7 9.0 9.1 9.4
3.2 –0.5 0.0 1.5
110.3 111.0 112.7 112.0
15.65 15.65 15.65 15.65
7.20 5.70 5.10 4.70
33.3 17.0 15.8 20.7
13.8 14.8 15.5 16.5
Indicators
Tegurid
Reaalne SKP (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Kapitali kogumahutus põhikapital (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Tööstustoodang (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Tarbijahinnaindeks (aasta keskmine)
Töötus (aasta keskmine)
Kauba eksport (mln EUR)
Kauba import (mln EUR)
Jooksevkonto (% SKP)
Välismaised otseinvesteeringud (neto % SKP)
Eelarve tasakaal (% SKP)
Koguvälisvõlg (% SKP)
Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/EUR
3 kuu Talibor (aasta lõpu seisuga)
Laenude kogumaht (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Deposiitide kogumaht (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
4.2
25.3
66.3 4.2
14 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
HungaryMagyarország
93,033
10.1
László Sólyom
Ferenc Gyurcsány
101.0
10,040
81.8
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruttó hazai össztermék hozzáadott értéke 2007
Structural Indicators
Alapadatok
UniCredit Bank
Szabadság Tér 5–6H-1054 BudapestPhone (+36 1) 301 1271www.unicreditbank.hu
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Mezogazdaság és erdogazdálkodás
Ipar
Építoipar
Szolgáltatások
´́ ´́
Terület (km2)
Népesség (millióban)
Köztársasági elnök
Miniszterelnök
Bruttó hazai össztermék (2007-ban, mrd EUR-ban)
Egy fore eso bruttó hazai össztermék(2007-ban, EUR-ban)
Kivitel a GDP %-ában (2007)
´́
´́´́
15CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: HUF/EUR
2-week repo rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
1.3 2.4 2.9 4.0
1.0 6.8 7.3 8.8
8.1 6.9 7.8 8.4
8.0 6.0 3.6 3.1
7.3 7.3 7.2 7.0
68,472 74,813 83,665 92,675
68,781 74,447 82,879 92,138
–5.0 –4.4 –4.2 –3.8
4.0 3.1 3.8 4.1
–5.5 –4.0 –3.2 –2.9
97.3 94.5 93.4 90.8
251.3 257.8 255.0 253.0
7.50 7.50 6.50 5.25
13.5 12.0 12.1 12.4
9.3 5.6 6.1 6.5
Indicators
Gazdasági mutatók
Reál bruttó hazai össztermék (év/év, %-ban)
Bruttó felhalmozás (reál, év/év, %-ban)
Ipari termelés (reál, év/év, %-ban)
Fogyasztói árindex (éves átlag)
Munkanélküliségi ráta (éves átlag)
Áruexport (millió EUR–ben)
Áruimport (millió EUR–ben)
Folyó fizetési mérleg egyenlege (a GDP %-ában)
Külföldi muködotoke (beáramlás, nettó, a GDP %-ában)
Költségvetési egyenleg (a GDP %-ában)
Bruttó külföldi adósság (a GDP %-ában)
Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/EUR
Kéthetes jegybanki betétkamat
Teljes hitelállomány
Teljes betétállomány
´́ ´́ ´́
8.4
26.1
53.6
11.9
16 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
Kazakhstan
��������
2,717,300
15.4
Nursultan Nazarbayev
Karim K. Massimov
75.9
4,870
49.8
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
2007 �. ��� ����� �������ı ����ı �� �����ı !��! " !�
Structural Indicators
KY�#�#��#� �"�����!����
ATFBank
Furmanov street 100 KZ-050000 AlmatyPhone (+7 727) 2583111 www.atfbank.kz
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
6���8ı (��2)
X��8ı� ���8ı ���.
�������
����8��-����� �
;<= (2007'., ��������� 4������)
;�� #��8ı�� ���������8ı ;<= (2007'., 4������)
;<=-��� % Y�>����> ?����� 8ı� �@���> (2007)
A�8ı� ' �� ����� ������8ı�8ı�8ı
=���� �>�
KY�8ı�8ı�
K8ı�� ����� � �����8ı
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17CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: KZT/EUR
3-M-Kaz Prime (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
8.5 4.5 6.3 7.7
18.6 3.2 11.3 10.3
4.5 3.6 4.4 4.9
10.8 16.3 9.4 7.7
7.6 6.7 6.6 6.4
35,210 44,067 52,203 58,847
24,164 25,886 31,585 40,137
–6.9 –1.9 –1.3 –3.6
9.9 6.8 5.8 6.2
4.3 2.0 2.0 3.0
86.3 75.9 63.6 55.9
167.8 173.2 165.5 159.1
12.35 8.50 7.50 7.00
50.5 13.8 24.9 30.4
25.5 17.4 26.5 33.8
Indicators
�"�����!����
;<= ��� 8ı @�>�> (%)
"���� �$����ı� ��� 8ı @�>�> (%)
=���� �>� >� ��� 8ı @�>�> (%)
&Y 8>���8>�8ı� #������ ('8ı��8ı� �� ���)
;Y �8ı��8ı�8ı� �����A> ('8ı��8ı� �� ���)
B����� �@���> (������� 4������)
<���� �@���> (������� 4������)
A �8ı����8ı �����$����� �� 8ı (;<=-�� �� 8ı� 8ı %-#��)
&>����A �� �� ����� �$�����8ı(;<=-�� �� 8ı� 8ı %-#�� ���� ��8ı�8ı)
�*�'� ���8���8ı (;<=-�� �� 8ı� 8ı %-#��)
�8ı� �8ı ���8ı �@���> (;<=-�� �� 8ı� 8ı %-#��)
5� ��� #���� KZT/EUR
3-A Kazprime
Kp��� ��'�8ı� 8ı�8ı, % Y�>����> '8ı��8ı� @�>�>
C���� ��'�8ı� 8ı�8ı, % Y�>����> '8ı��8ı� @�>�>
�
2.9
9.9
79.8
7.4
18 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
LatviaLatvija
64,589
2.3
Valdis Zatlers
Ivars Godmanis
20.0
8,760
43.1
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
IKP pa sektoriem 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturas radıtaji
UniCredit Bank
Elizabetes street 63LV-1050 RigaPhone (+371 6) 708 5500www.unicreditbank.lv
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Lauksaimniecıba un meÏsaimniecıba
Rupniecıba
Celtniecıba
Pakalpojumi
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯
¯ ¯¯ ¯
Platıba (km2)
Iedzıvotaju skaits. milj.
Prezidente
Premjerministrs
IKP (2007, miljardos EUR)
IKP uz vienu iedzıvotaju (2007, EUR)
Eksports % no IKP (2007)
¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
19CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: LVL/EUR
3 M Rigibor (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Radıtaji 2007 2008 2009 2010
10.2 4.7 3.0 5.7
16.7 10.1 7.1 8.1
1.1 2.5 3.0 3.2
10.1 14.5 8.0 5.8
6.0 6.2 6.5 6.3
5,936 6,901 7,826 8,751
10,812 12,521 14,158 15,652
–22.8 –17.0 –14.0 –12.0
7.9 6.7 6.6 5.2
0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5
133.3 127.9 125.3 114.3
0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70
10.75 5.60 5.10 5.05
34.0 21.5 17.5 18.6
17.2 15.0 13.5 14.5
¯¯ ¯
Realais IKP (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)
Kopeja pamatkapitala veidoÂanas(reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)
Rupniecıbas produkcija (reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)
Paterina cenas (gada videjas)
Bezdarbs (gada videjais)
Preãu eksports (milj. EUR)
Preãu imports (milj. EUR)
TekoÂais konts (% no IKP)
Arvalstu tieÂas investıcijas (iepludums, neto % no IKP)
BudÏeta atlikums (% no IKP)
Kopejais arejais parads (% no IKP)
Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /EUR
3-meneÂu Rigibor likme (perioda beigas)
Kopejie aizdevumi (gada laika, %)
Kopejie noguldıjumi (gada laika, %)
¯
¯¯ ¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯ ¯¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯ ¯¸
¯ ¯ ¸
¯ ¯
¯ ¯¯
5.5
23.8
60.9
10.0
20 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
LithuaniaLietuva
65,301
3.4
Valdas Adamkus
Gediminas Kirkilas
28.0
8,330
54.1
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bendras vidaus produktas pagal ekonominius sektorius 2007
Structural Indicators
Bendrieji rodikliai
UniCredit Bank Lithuania Branch
Vilniaus Gatve 35/3LT-01119 VilniusPhone (+370 5) 2745 300www.unicreditbank.lt
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Plotas (km2)
Gyventoju skaiãius, mln
Prezidentas
Ministras pirmininkas
Bendras vidaus produktas (BVP, 2007, bil. Euras)
BVP tenkantis 1 gyventojui (2007, Euras)
Eksportas % nuo BVP (2007)
¸
˚emes ukis ir miÂkininkyste
Pramone
Statyba
Paslaugos
˙ ˙
˙
21CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: LTL/EUR
3M Vilibor (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Rodikliai
BVP (metinis, %)
Bendro pagrindinio kapitalo sudarymas (grynas, metinis, %)
Pramones apimtis (grynas, metinis, %)
Vartojimo prekiu kainos (vidutines metines)
Nedarbo lygis (vidutinis metinis)
Prekiu eksportas (mln. Euras)
Prekiu importas (mln. Euras)
Einamoji saskaita (% lyginant su BVP)
Tiesiogines uÏsienio investicijos (TUI) (grynosiplaukos % nuo BVP)
BiudÏeto balansas (% lyginant su BVP)
Bendra uÏsienio skola (% nuo BVP)
Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ Euras
3 menesiu Vilibor palukanu norma (procentais, laikotarpio pabaiga)
IÂ viso paskolu (palyginti su tuo paciu laikotarpiupries metus, procentais)
IÂ viso depozitu (palyginti su tuo paciu laikotarpiupries metus, procentais)
˙
˙˙¸
˙¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
ˇ
ˇ
2007 2008 2009 2010
8.8 6.5 5.3 5.6
18.3 13.8 8.9 10.8
4.0 – – –
5.7 10.7 7.1 5.3
4.3 4.7 5.1 5.0
12,061 13,014 13,990 14,927
16,161 17,744 19,253 20,870
–13.7 –11.9 –11.2 –9.8
5.0 4.6 4.5 5.2
–1.3 –1.2 –0.9 –0.7
73.3 77.4 81.2 80.5
3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45
7.19 4.22 3.55 3.80
42.9 23.5 20.0 20.5
23.4 17.7 14.3 14.3
4.5
24.9
64.0
6.6
22 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
PolandPolska
312,685
38.1
Lech Kaczynski
Donald Tusk
308.4
8,090
40.9
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006
Produkt Krajowy Brutto z podzialem na sektory gospodarki 2006
Structural Indicators
Wskazniki strukturalne
Bank Pekao
Ul. Grzybowska 53/57 PL-00950 WarsawPhone (+48 42) 6560000www.pekao.com.pl
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Obszar (km2)
Ludnosã w mln
Prezydent
Premier
Produkt Krajowy Brutto (PKB w 2007 roku, w bln EUR)
PKB na jednego mieszkanca (w 2007 roku, w EUR)
Udzial eksportu w PKB (2007)–
´
´
´
Rolnictwo i lesnictwo
Przemysl
Budownictwo
Uslugi–
–
´
ı
23CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: PLN/EUR
Reference rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Wskazniki
PKB realny (rok do roku, w %)
Naklady brutto na srodki trwale(realna, rok do roku, w %)
Produkcja sprzedana przemyslu (realna, rok do roku, w %)
Srednioroczne ceny produktów konsumpcyjnych
Bezrobocie (srednie w ciagu roku)
Eksport towarów (w mln EUR)
Import towarów (w mln EUR)
Saldo rachunku biezacego (udzial w PKB w %)
Bezposrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (wplywy netto w % PKB)
Saldo budzetu (w % PKB)
Dlug zagraniczny (w % PKB)
Sredni kurs: PLN do EUR
Stopa podstawowa NBP, koniec okresu
Kredyty ogólem (rok do roku, w %)
Depozyty ogólem (rok do roku, w %)
–
– –
¸
¯
¸ –
–
–
˙
´
´
´
´
´
2007 2008 2009 2010
6.6 5.2 4.4 4.7
19.3 11.6 8.5 6.4
9.7 7.6 5.8 6.7
2.5 4.6 2.6 2.3
12.7 10.4 9.0 7.9
105,348 114,303 123,447 137,026
116,659 132,408 145,516 159,049
–3.7 –4.5 –5.2 –4.8
4.2 3.5 3.6 4.0
–2.0 –2.6 –2.5 –2.3
48.0 52.0 52.4 52.7
3.78 3.44 3.48 3.52
5.00 6.25 5.00 4.75
29.4 13.8 11.6 13.4
14.4 9.2 6.2 6.4
´
7.5
26.4
55.9
10.3
24 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
RomaniaRomânia
238,391
21.6
Traian Basescu
Calin Popescu Tariceanu
121.4
5,640
30.4
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Produsul Intern Brut pe sectoare 2007
Structural Indicators
Indicatori de structura
UniCredit Tiriac Bank
23–25 Ghetarilor street RO-014106 BucharestPhone (+40 21) 200 2000www.unicredit-tiriac.ro
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
ˇ
Suprafata (km2)
Populatia, ın mil.
Presedinte
Prim Ministru
PIB (2007, ın mrd. EUR)
PIB / cap de locuitor (2007, ın EUR)
Exporturi ın % din PIB (2007)
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
¸
¸
¸
ˇ
Agricultura si silvicultura
Industrie
Constructii
Servicii
˘ ˘¸
¸
˘ ˘
˘
25CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: RON/EUR
Policy rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Indicatori
PIB real (an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Formarea bruta de capital (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Productia industriala (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Preturi de consum (media anuala)
Rata somajului (media anuala)
Exportul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)
Importul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)
Cont curent (ın % din PIB)
Investitiile straine directe (net ın % din PIB)
Soldul bugetar (ın % din PIB)
Datoria externa bruta (ın % din PIB)
Cursul mediu de schimb: RON/EUR
Rata dobanzii de politica monetara, la sfarsitul perioadei
Total Credite (an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Total Depozite (an curent/an precedent, ın %)
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
˘ ˘
˘
˘
˘
˘
˘ ˘
˘ ˘
˘
2007 2008 2009 2010
6.0 5.5 5.0 4.7
28.9 19.6 13.3 9.5
5.4 5.0 4.3 5.3
4.8 7.4 4.6 3.8
4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1
29,380 33,787 39,193 45,464
46,966 54,481 62,108 69,561
–13.9 –14.2 –13.5 –12.8
5.8 4.5 3.9 3.5
–2.3 –3.0 –2.9 –2.7
30.3 32.5 33.0 33.6
3.33 3.60 3.62 3.67
7.50 10.00 9.00 7.75
64.5 35.0 24.5 17.0
33.9 26.0 18.5 14.5
4.1
28.1
62.8
5.1
26 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
Russia$����
16,995,800
142.0
Dmitry Medvedev
Vladimir Putin
942.3
6,640
30.3
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
&������ � ��� �� ������ �� �������� ��� ����� 2007
Structural Indicators
������ #� '���������
UniCredit Bank
Prechistenskaya Emb. 9 RF-119034 MoscowPhone (+7 495) 258 7200 www.unicreditbank.ru
Yapi Kredi Moscow
Goncharnaya Emb. 2 RF-115172 MoscowPhone (+7 495) 234 9889www.ykb.ru
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
������8 (��2)
��������� � ���.
�������
����8��-����� �
��� (2007 ., � ���������x 4���
��� �� ���� ��������� (2007 ., � 4���)
5#��� ?����� � � % � ��� (2007)
s
s
���8���� � ������ x��A� ��
����D������� 8
� ��� ��8� ��
�+��� �����
27CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: RUB/EUR
2-W Mosprime, (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
'���������
����8�DA ��� ��� (%)
����8�DA ��� ����� �$�A (%)
����8�DA ��� �������� �� (%)
�� ��#� ��8���� $��D (������� � ���)
������8 #���#� �$D (������A � ���)
5#��� ?����� � (� ��������x 4���)
5#��� ����� � (� ��������x 4���)
�!� �����x �����$�A (� % � ���)
����D� ���� ����D� ����� �$�� (��� ��, � % � ���)
������ #*�'� � (� % � ���)
5#��� �������� ����� (� % � ���)
������A ���� RUB/EUR
2-W ������u�
���������ı� ����� �ı, ������ � ��� � %
���������ı� ����� �ı, ������ � ��� � %
2007 2008 2009 2010
8.1 7.0 6.2 5.3
21.1 16.0 13.0 10.0
6.3 6.0 5.0 5.0
9.0 13.5 10.8 8.6
6.1 5.6 5.1 4.9
259,388 303,158 369,622 388,108
163,033 208,774 263,182 310,126
6.1 5.2 4.3 1.5
4.1 3.7 3.7 3.9
8.0 7.5 7.2 6.0
35.7 37.0 37.7 38.0
35.0 34.6 33.1 32.7
6.08 6.60 5.80 5.40
52.8 35.5 30.2 23.9
42.3 34.5 31.4 22.6
12.6
20.363.5
3.6
28 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
SerbiaSrbija
88,361
7.5
Boris Tadic
Vojislav Kostunica
29.4
3,970
29.3
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruto nacionalni proizvod po privrednim sektorima 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturalni indikatori
UniCredit Bank
Rajiceva 27–29SRB-11000 Belgrade Phone (+381 11) 3204 500www.unicreditbank.co.yu
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
PovrÂina (km2)
StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)
Predsednik
Premijer
Bruto nacionalni proizvod (za 2007. godinu, u milijardama EUR)
Bruto nacionalni proizvod po glavi stanovnika (za 2007. godinu u EUR)
% izvoza u bruto nacionalnom proizvodu (2007)
Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo
Industrija
Graêevinarstvo
Usluge
29CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: RSD/EUR
Interbank rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Indikatori
Realni bruto nacionalni proizvod (godina za godinu, u %)
Bruto stalna akumulacija kapitala (realna, godina za godinom, u %)
Industrijski proizvod (realan, godina za godinom, u %)
PotroÂaãke cene (godiÂnji prosek)
Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosek)
Izvoz robe (u milionima EUR)
Uvoz robe (u milionima EUR)
Platni bilans (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Direktne strane investicije (priliv, u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Bilans budÏeta (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Bruto inostrani dug (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Proseãni kurs razmene: RSD/EUR
Medubankarska kamatna stopa (u %, dekurzivno)
Ukupno krediti (na godiÂnjem nivou, u %)
Ukupno depoziti (na godiÂnjem nivou, u %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
7.5 5.0 5.5 6.2
– – – –
3.7 3.0 4.0 4.5
6.8 11.1 7.5 6.3
19.0 18.7 18.3 18.0
6,465 6,410 7,051 7,932
12,912 13,368 15,106 17,221
–17.1 –14.8 –13.9 –13.0
5.5 5.2 5.8 5.9
1.3 –0.6 –0.9 –1.2
65.1 66.5 67.6 67.5
80.09 81.50 82.30 82.80
10.00 17.50 13.00 10.00
36.4 16.8 14.7 13.0
46.3 26.8 22.4 18.5
2.6
27.2
64.2
6.0
30 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
SlovakiaSlovensko
49.036
5.4
Ivan GaÂparoviã
Robert Fico
54.8
10.160
86.1
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Hrub˘ domáci produkt a hrubá pridaná hodnota v ekonomick˘ch sektoroch 2007
Structural Indicators
Základné údaje
UniCredit Bank
Âancová 1/ASK-813 33 BratislavaPhone (+42 12) 547 6870www.unicreditbank.sk
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Rozloha (km2)
Obyvatel’stvo (v mil.)
Prezident
Predseda vlády
HDP (2007 v mld. EUR)
HDP (2007 v EUR) na 1 obyvatel’a
V˘voz v % HDP (2007)
Pol’nohospodárstvo a lesnéhospodárstvo
Priemysel
Stavebníctvo
SluÏby
31CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : SKK/EUR
2W repo rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Ukazovatele2007 2008 2009 2010
10.4 6.9 6.0 5.7
7.9 4.8 4.9 4.5
12.8 8.5 6.5 6.0
2.8 4.3 4.4 3.7
8.4 7.4 7.0 6.8
42,057 50.256 55.912 62.772
42.690 49.979 55.057 61.664
–5.3 –3.7 –2.9 –2.5
3.8 4.0 3.7 3.3
–2.2 –2.0 –1.7 –0.8
54.7 53.4 52.3 51.7
33.78 32.52 EUR EUR
4.25 3.50 ECB ECB
23.7 18.6 16.3 14.4
13.7 10.7 9.6 8.9
Reálny HDP (medziroãne, v %)
Tvorba hrubého fixného kapitálu (v stálych cenách,medziroãne, v %)
Priemyselná v˘roba (v stálych cenách, medziroãne, v %)
Spotrebitel’ské ceny (roãn˘ priemer)
Nezamestnanost’ (roãn˘ priemer)
V˘voz tovarov (v mil. EUR)
Dovoz tovarov (v mil. EUR)
BeÏn˘ úãet (v % z HDP)
Priame zahraniãné investície (prílev, netto v % z HDP)
Saldo rozpoãtu (v % z HDP)
Hrubé zahraniãné zadlÏenie (v % z HDP)
Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/EUR)
dvojt˘Ïdnová Repo sadzba NBS (koniec obdobia)
Celkové úvery (medziroãne, v %)
Celkové vklady (medziroãne, v %)
2.6
32.1
60.0
5.9
32 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
SloveniaSlovenija
20,273
2.0
Danilo Türk
Janez JanÂa
33.5
18,470
71.1
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruto domaãi proizvod po gospodarskih panogah 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturni kazalci
UniCredit Bank
Smartinska cesta 140SI-1000 LjubljanaPhone (+386 1) 5876 600www.unicreditbank.si
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
povrÂina (km2)
prebivalstvo v mio
predsednik republike
predsednik vlade
BDP (2007 v mlrd EUR)
BDP na prebivalca (2007 v EUR)
izvoz v % od BDP (2007)
Kmetijstvo in gozdarstvo
Industrija
GradbeniÂtvo
Storitve
^
33CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: SIT/EUR
ECB Refi rate, (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Kazalci
realni BDP (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)
investicije v osnovna sredstva (realno, v primerjavis prejÂnjim letom, v %)
industrijska proizvodnja (realno, v primerjavis prejÂnjim letom, v %)
cene Ïivljenjskih potrebÂãin (letno povpreãje)
nezaposlenost (letno povpreãje)
izvoz blaga (v mio EUR)
uvoz blaga (v % od BDP)
tekoãi raãun (v % od BDP)
neposredne tuje naloÏbe (neto priliv, v mio EUR)
proraãunsko ravnoteÏje (v % od BDP)
bruto zadolÏenost v tujini (v % od BDP)
povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/EUR
Obrestna mera refinanciranja
totalna posojila (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)
totalni depoziti (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
6.1 4.1 4.0 4.4
18.2 9.5 8.0 6.5
7.5 5.9 6.4 6.6
3.6 6.4 3.8 2.7
4.9 5.0 4.8 4.7
19,740 22,700 25,000 27,000
21,364 24,750 26,750 29,000
–4.8 –4.7 –4.8 –4.9
3.0 2.8 2.8 3.9
–0.1 –1.0 –1.2 –1.2
106.0 109.7 112.3 113.0
EUR EUR EUR EUR
4.00 3.75 3.50 3.50
17.2 14.7 12.8 12.8
8.9 5.4 5.1 5.1
7.7
19.6
67.7
5.0
34 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
TurkeyTurkiye
780,580
70.4
Abdullah Gül
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
479.5
6,790
22.0
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
GSYIH, Iktisadi faaliyet kollarina gore (2007, %)
Structural Indicators
Yapisal Gostergeler
Yapi Kredi
Yapi Kredi Plaza D BlokTR-34330 IstanbulPhone (+90 212) 339 7000www.yapikredi.com.tr
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Yuzolcumu (km2)
Nufus (milyon)
Cumhurbaskani
Basbakan
GSYIH (2007, miljar EURO)
Kisi basina GSYIH (2007, EURO)
Ihracat, GSYIH’ye % oran olarak
Tarim
Sanayi
Insaat
Hizmetler
35CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: YTL/EUR
Reference rate (O/N simple), (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Makroekonomik senaryo
GSYIH, sabit fiyatlarla yillik % degisim
Yatirim, yillik % degisim
Sanayi uretimi (sabit fiyatlarla yillik % degisim)
Enflasyon (TUFE) yillik ortalama
Issizlik (%)
Mal Ihracati (milyon EURO)
Mal Ithalati (milyon EURO)
Cari Islemler Dengesi (% GSYIH)
Dogrudan Yatirimlar (% GSYIH)
Butce Dengesi (% GSYIH)
Brut Dis Borclar (% GSYIH)
Doviz kuru: YTL/EURO, ortalama
MB Borclanma Orani (O/N, basit),donem sonu
Toplam Krediler (yillik % degisim)
Toplam Mevduat (yillik % degisim)
2007 2008 2009 2010
4.5 4.2 5.0 5.5
3.3 5.0 6.0 7.5
5.4 – – –
8.8 9.4 6.6 4.9
9.9 9.6 9.3 9.0
84,359 92,442 114,938 139,998
118,588 128,660 157,311 188,297
–5.7 –5.8 –6.0 –6.3
3.4 2.1 1.8 1.9
–1.6 –1.8 –1.4 –1.4
33.6 39.1 40.8 42.4
1.79 1.93 1.99 2.04
15.8 14.8 13.0 11.5
26.4 24.2 25.0 27.0
14.6 21.3 19.0 18.2
8.3
26.6
60.5
4.6
36 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
Ukraine*���+ �
603,700
46.6
Victor Yushchenko
Yulia Tymoshenko
102.6
2,200
45.5
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
&������ � ��!� !� ������ �� ,���- ��� ��!�� ( %) 2007
Structural Indicators
������ i '���� ���
UniCredit Bank
14-A, Yaroslaviv Val UA-01034 KievPhone (+380 44) 230 3300www.unicreditbank.com.ua
Ukrsotsbank
29 Kovpak streetUA-03150 KievPhone (+380 44) 230 3203www.usb.com.ua
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
����� (��2)
��������� � ���.
�������
����’E�-�>�>� �
��� (� 2007 �. � ����. E���)
��� �� ���� ���������(� 2007 �. � E���)
4����� � % �>� ��� (2007 �.)
�>�8�8�� ��������� �� � �>���$ ��
���������>� 8
���>���$ ��
�������
37CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: UAH/EUR
Interest rate (benchmark, end of period in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits, (yoy, in %)
Indicators
'���� ���
����8��A ��� (�>�� � �>�, � %)
����>� ��������� ���> ���(����8��A, �>�� � �>�, � %)
5#��� ������������ ����#��$ �� (����8��A, �>�� � �>�, � %)
���'��!> $>�� (� ������8��� � �>�)
����#> � (� ������8��� � �>�)
4����� ����>� (���. E���)
<���� ����>� (���. E���)
������ �� �!��x ��� �'>� (� % �>� ���)
����> >�����> >���� �$>� (� % �>� ���)
������ #*�'� � (� % �>� ���)
F���>��>A #��� (� % �>� ���)
������>A ���� �#�>��: ������/E���
���� �� � ���� ( �!�� �>��>��, �>��$8 ���>���, � %)
������> �A�� (�>�� � �>�, � %)
������> #���>��8�> ������ (�>�� � �>�, � %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
7.6 5.4 4.6 5.6
24.8 12.6 7.7 8.0
10.2 7.7 7.3 7.6
12.8 22.0 10.0 8.2
6.9 6.2 6.0 6.0
36,366 41,071 49,219 58,292
44,080 53,670 65,624 79,498
–4.2 –6.8 –7.4 –8.2
6.6 5.7 4.8 4.8
–1.3 –1.0 –3.0 –3.0
56.9 53.6 51.9 51.9
6.92 7.22 6.88 6.60
8.0 10.3 6.3 5.5
74.1 36.5 31.5 29.3
51.8 36.4 29.2 25.8
1.9
20.3
71.26.6
38 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
EurozoneEuroland
2,520,000
317.5
8,866
27,800
41.2
Area (km2)
Population in mn
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2007
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Fläche (km2)
Bevölkerung in Mio.
BIP (2007 in Mrd. EUR)
BIP pro Kopf (2007 in EUR)
Exporte in % des BIP (2007)
Land- und Forstwirtschaft
Industrie
Bauwirtschaft
Dienstleistungen
Structural Indicators
Strukturindikatoren
39CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Indikatoren
Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Verbraucherpreisentwicklung(Jahresdurchschnitt)
Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)
Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)
Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)
Ausländische Direktinvestitionen(Zuflüsse, % des BIP)
Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)
Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)
Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR
Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert
Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
2.7 1.4 1.7 2.0
4.3 3.1 2.5 2.9
3.4 2.6 2.4 2.4
2.1 2.5 2.0 2.0
7.0 6.9 6.7 6.2
– – – –
– – – –
– – – –
– – – –
–1.3 –1.5 -1.8 -1.6
– – – –
1.36 1.48 1.36 1.32
4.00 3.75 3.50 3.50
11.4 6.0 6.0 7.0
12.3 7.0 5.0 5.0
1.7
23.0
67.6
7.7
40 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
AustriaÖsterreich
83,871
8.3
Heinz Fischer
Alfred Gusenbauer
272.8
32,800
57.9
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturindikatoren
Bank Austria
Am Hof 2A-1010 ViennaPhone +43 (0) 50505 0www.bankaustria.at
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Fläche (km2)
Bevölkerung in Mio.
Präsident
Bundeskanzler
BIP (2007 in Mrd. EUR)
BIP pro Kopf (2007 in EUR)
Exporte in % des BIP (2007)
Land- und Forstwirtschaft
Industrie
Bauwirtschaft
Dienstleistungen
41CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Indikatoren
Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Verbraucherpreisentwicklung (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)
Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)
Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)
Ausländische Direktinvestitionen(Zuflüsse, in % des BIP)
Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)
Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)
Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR
Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert
Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
3.4 1.9 1.8 2.3
4.8 2.1 2.0 3.1
6.5 3.0 4.0 4.5
2.2 3.0 2.0 2.1
4.3 4.1 4.0 4.1
108,663 113,010 116,513 123,154
102,456 106,964 110,708 117,284
3.4 2.6 2.9 2.7
1.1 1.2 1.3 1.9
–0.5 –0.6 –0.5 –0.2
193.8 198.7 204.9 209.4
1.36 1.48 1.36 1.32
4.00 3.75 3.50 3.50
2.8 4.2 3.4 3.4
7.1 6.9 4.0 3.5
0.9
26.0
69.04.1
42 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
GermanyDeutschland
357,093
82.4
Horst Köhler
Angela Merkel
2,424
29,500
46.7
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2007
Structural Indicators
Strukturindikatoren
HypoVereinsbank
Kardinal-Faulhaber-Str. 1 D-80538 München Phone (+49 89) 378 0 www.hypovereinsbank.de
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Land- und Forstwirtschaft
Industrie
Bauwirtschaft
Dienstleistungen
Fläche (km2)
Bevölkerung in Mio.
Präsident
Bundeskanzler
BIP (2007 in Mrd. EUR)
BIP pro Kopf (2007 in EUR)
Exporte in % des BIP (2007)
43CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Indikatoren
Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderungzum Vorjahr in %)
Verbraucherpreisentwicklung(Jahresdurchschnitt)
Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)
Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)
Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)
Ausländische Direktinvestitionen (Zuflüsse, in % des BIP)
Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)
Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)
Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR
Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert
Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
2007 2008 2009 2010
2,5 1.5 1.7 1.9
8.4 4.3 2.7 4.0
5.9 3.4 2.9 2.8
2.3 2.4 1.8 1.9
9.0 8.1 7.6 6.7
984,670 1,053,167 1,097,269 1,181,087
778,360 846,482 886,597 967,149
5.6 5.2 4.9 4.5
2.5 1.6 2.0 2.2
0.0 –0.8 –0.6 –0.5
– – – –
1.36 1.48 1.36 1.32
4.00 3.75 3.50 3.50
1.0 0.6 -0.2 0.8
7.0 5.3 5.0 5.2
2.0
20.8
70.9 6.3
44 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
ItalyItalia
301,336
58.5
Giorgio Napolitano
Silvio Berlusconi
1,535
25,900
29.2
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2007 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2007 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2007)
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2007
PIL per settori produttivi (in %) 2007
Structural Indicators
Indicatori strutturali
UniCredit Group
Via S. Protaso 3 I-20121 Milan Phone (+39 02) 88621 www.unicreditgroup.eu
Agriculture and forestry
Industry
Construction
Services
Agricoltura
Industria
Construzioni
Servizi
Area (km quadrati)
Popolazione in milioni
Presidente della Repubblica
Presidente del Consiglio
PIL (2007, in mld di euro)
PIL pro capite
Esportazioni (in % del PIL)
45CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Indicators
Scenario macroeconomico
PIL reale (var. % a/a)
Investimenti (reali, var. % a/a)
Produzione industriale (reale, var. %, a/a)
Inflazione, prezzi al consumo (media annua)
Tasso di disoccupazione (media annua)
Esportazione di manufatti (mln EUR)
Importazioni di manufatti (mln EUR)
Saldo di parte corrente/PIL (%)
IDE / PIL (%)
Saldo bilancio pubblico/PIL (%)
Debito estero/PIL (in %)
Tasso di cambio medio: USD/EUR
Tasso di interesse (fine periodo, %)
Totale Impieghi (var. %, a/a)
Totale Depositi (var. %, a/a)
2007 2008 2009 2010
1.5 1.0 1.3 1.5
1.2 0.8 1.6 2.0
0.5 1.2 1.7 2.4
2.0 2.4 2.0 1.9
6.0 5.7 5.5 5.4
365,965 384,870 405,167 434,325
364,824 385,879 404,065 421,361
–2.2 –2.4 –2.3 –2.2
1.9 0.6 0.8 2.3
–1.9 –1.8 –1.5 –1.5
– – – –
1.36 1.48 1.36 1.32
4.00 3.75 3.50 3.50
10.4 5.9 6.3 7.5
2.9 6.5 4.1 3.3
46 I CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008
Notes
47CEE Economic Data – Issue 1, 2008 I
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