central arizona · pdf filecentral arizona project water orders and excess supply for 2009...

1

Central Arizona ProjectCentral Arizona Project

Water Orders and Excess Supply Water Orders and Excess Supply for 2009for 2009

2009 CAP Supply2009 CAP Supply

2.8 MAF

On-River1,225,000 af

CAP DeliverySupply

1,575,000 af

Losses50,000 af

M&I478,000 af

Indian206,000 af

Ag9,000 af Long-

Term693,000 af

Colorado River

CAP

Excess Supply832,000 af

2

2009 Excess CAP2009 Excess CAP

Excess Supply832,000 af

Ag SettlementPool

400,000 af

Full Cost61,200 af

IncentiveRecharge

344,700 af

AWBA & CAGRD RR

195,900 af

Supply Orders

FullyProtected

Orders exceed supply by 169,800 af

Subject toReduction

32k

1k

7k

1k

52k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

26k

63k

7k

55k53k

Vidler TDRPTonopah ID

AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCIDGRIIDD

(PHX)

MSIDD

CAIDD; HIDDGRIIDD (PIN)

Kai

LSCRP; AVRPCMID; BKW

CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

63k

GSFs

USFs

Direct

2009 Excess Orders2009 Excess Orders18 Incentive customers

Incentive Recharge, AWBA and CAGRD RROrders

3

32k

1k

7k

1k

52k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

26k

63k

7k

55k53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCIDGRIIDD

(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

63k

GSFs

USFs

Direct

32k

1k

7k

1k

52k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

26k

63k

7k

55k53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCIDGRIIDD

(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

63k

GSFs

USFs

Direct

6k

1k21k

55k

36k

4k

26k

52k

52k53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCIDGRIIDD

(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

54k

GSFs

USFs

Direct

32k

6k1k

1k21k

31k

55k

44k

33k

24k

36k

4k

26k

52k

11k

52k

10k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCIDGRIIDD

(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

54k

9k

GSFs

USFs

Direct

Not Delivered

2009 Excess Orders2009 Excess OrdersIf AWBA & RR are eliminated…

Uneven impacts

Ag Pricing Program

Recovery agreements

Operational & economic impacts

AWBA commitments

Indian Firming

AWBA and CAGRD RROrders setto zero

2009 Orders2009 Orders#1

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

688,400 ------------

= Excess "Deficit" 234,400

* includes recovery

- Other Excess Order

Original Orders

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts

- Ag Settlement Pool*32k

1k

7k

1k

58k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

70k

4 k

11k

147k

2 k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

77k

Show water not deliveredGSFs

USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k

Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson

4

AWBA & RR @ 0%AWBA & RR @ 0%#2

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

492,724 ------------


* includes recovery


AWBA & CAGRD Replenishment Reserve to Zero

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


6k1k

1k

27k

31k

55k

44k

33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

59k

4 k11k

4k

144k

2 k10k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

68k

9k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

AWBA & RR @ 0%AWBA & RR @ 0%#2

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

492,724 ------------


* includes recovery



Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


6k1k

1k

27k

31k

55k

44k

33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

59k

4 k11k

4k

144k

2 k10k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

68k

9k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

Still leaves 39 KAF “deficit”Uneven impactsAg Pricing ProgramRecovery agreementsOperational & economic impactsAWBA commitments

Indian Firming

5

Protect AWBA GSF & IndianProtect AWBA GSF & Indian#1

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

688,400 ------------


* includes recovery


Original Orders

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


1k

7k

1k

58k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

70k

4 k

11k

147k

2 k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

77k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


#2

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

492,724 ------------


* includes recovery



Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


6k1k

1k

27k

31k

55k

44k

33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

59k

4 k11k

4k

144k

2 k10k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

68k

9k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

#8

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

617,500 ------------


* includes recovery


{not defined}

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


6k1k

1k

51k

7k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

59k

4 k11k

4k

144k

2 k10k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

68k

9k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

Full Cost vs. IncentiveFull Cost vs. IncentiveFull Cost Excess

Energy 1 = $45Fixed OM&R = $63Capital Charge = $18

Total = $126/AF

Incentive RechargeEnergy 2 = $7010% Fixed OM&R = $6Lost Federal Rev. = $5

Total = $82/AF

6

Full Cost vs. IncentiveFull Cost vs. IncentiveIncentive Recharge

Get water off CO RiverStore for long-term

Must earn long-term credit

Full CostMore flexible

Annual recharge, replenishment, small direct use, etc.

de facto priority

between Full Cost &

Incentive Recharge

PotentialPotential Reduction StrategiesReduction Strategies

ProrateCap on volumeAuction Preference USF or GSFPrioritize by contract dateBench against historic usePreference subcontractorsPreference non-subcontractorsApportion by AMA or countyEt cetera

7

ProratedProrated#1

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

688,400 ------------


* includes recovery


Original Orders

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


1k

7k

1k

58k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

70k

4 k

11k

147k

2 k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

77k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


#9

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

456,950 ------------


* includes recovery


Prorated

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


5k2k

1k

38k

21k

73k

26k

25k

9k

18k

6k

27k

3k

22k

18k

43k

3 k

27k

3k

106k

1k

49k

39k

14k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

50k

27k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

Preference GSFsPreference GSFs#1

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

688,400 ------------


* includes recovery


Original Orders

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


1k

7k

1k

58k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

70k

4 k

11k

147k

2 k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

77k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


#7

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

440,120 ------------

= Excess "Surplus" 13,880

* includes recovery


Preference GSFs

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


6k1k

1k

37k

22k

99k33k

24k

36k

1k

30k

3k

32k

4 k

38k

4k

48k

2 k

106k

16k

37k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

68k

9k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

8

Historic MeanHistoric Mean#1

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

688,400 ------------


* includes recovery


Original Orders

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


1k

7k

1k

58k

99k33k

24k

36k

4k

30k

70k

4 k

11k

147k

2 k

53k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

77k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


#10

1,525,000

- 480,000

- 191,000 ------------

= 854,000

400,000

368,885 ------------

= Excess "Surplus" 85,115

* includes recovery


Historic Mean

Excess Supply

CAP Delivery Supply

M&I Subcontracts

Indian Contracts


2k5k

1k

42k

16k

64k

35k

33k

24k

24k

3k

30k

13k

39k

4 k

31k

4k17k2 k

137k

30k

23k


AFRP; HMRP

SRP; SWCRWCD

NMIDDQCID

GRIIDD(PHX)

MSIDD


Kai


CAVSRPSAVSRP

PMRRP

49k

27k


USFs

Direct

100k

200k

300k

400k


Not Delivered

central arizona · pdf filecentral arizona project water orders and excess supply for 2009...

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