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www.JohnMauldin.com Code Red Central Banks Go All In A Presentation by John Mauldin Author of ENDGAME and Editor of www.JohnMauldin.com

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Page 1: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

www.JohnMauldin.com

Code Red Central Banks Go All In

A Presentation by John Mauldin

Author of ENDGAME and Editor of

www.JohnMauldin.com

Page 2: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

www.JohnMauldin.com

A New Clear Disclosure Standard

Page 3: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Quantitative Easing For Dummies

Page 4: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Thomas Paine

What we obtain too cheap,

we esteem too lightly: it is

dearness only that gives

everything its value.”

Page 5: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Unsustainability

If something cannot be sustained, it will change.

Page 6: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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What is Unsustainable?

A world in which expenses rise

faster than income

Page 7: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Debt

The End of the Developed World Debt Supercycle

1

Page 8: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Unbalanced Entitlement Promises,

Primarily Pension and Health Care

(Think Demographics!)

2

Page 9: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Unlimited Quantitative

Easing!

3

Page 10: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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The World and Especially Progress is

NOT Linear

What is NOT Unsustainable Food, Energy, Technological Change, Human

Adaptation and

Most Importantly Growth

Page 11: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Where are the

Current Sources of Unsustainability?

1. Japan

2. Europe

3. The US

4. China

Page 12: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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A Thought About Austerity

Of Course it Doesn’t “Work”

Page 13: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Enter the New Economic Paradigm The World of Schumpeter and Minsky

Stability, Instability and Creative Destruction

Joseph Schumpeter

and Hyman Minsky

Page 14: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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What is The Characteristics

of Sustainable? 1. It Serves Basic Human Needs

-Food, Clothing, Housing, Social Networks!?!?

2. It is Adaptable and Antifragile

-Technology, Communications

3. It Creates Ever Increasing Abundance at Lower Costs

- Biotechnology, Robotics, Nanotechnology, Etc.

Page 15: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Into Uncharted Territory

Page 16: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Living in Reality

Page 17: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Page 18: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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The Major Central Banks Issued a

Code Red

Page 19: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Page 20: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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Page 21: Central Banks Go All In - Altegris/media/Files/SIC2013/D2_5_JohnMauldin... · 2013-05-30 · Quantitative Easing For Dummies . Thomas Paine What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too

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For more information visit JohnMauldin.com