centro de estudos e sistemas avançados do recife pmbok - chapter 11 project risk management
TRANSCRIPT
Centro de Estudos e Sistemas Avançados do Recife
PMBOK - Chapter 11
Project Risk Management
Project Risk Management
What is it about?
What are the major processes?– What do they mean (general vision)?
– When should they occur ?
Process Groups x Knowledge Areas (Figure 3.9)Process GroupsKnowledge Areas
Iniciação Planejamento Execução Controle Finalização
4. Project Integration Management
4.1 Project Plan Development 4.2 Project Plan Execution
4.3 Integrated Change Control
5.Project Scope Management
5.1 Initiation 5.2 Scope Planning5.3 Scope Definition
5.4 Scope Verification5.5 Scope Change Control
6. Project Time Management
6.1 Activity Definition6.2 Activity Sequencing6.3 Activity Duration Estimationg6.4 Schedule Development
6.5 Schedule Control
7. Project Cost Management
7.1 Resource Planning7.2 Cost Estimation7.3 Cost Budgeting
7.4 Cost Control
8. Project Quality Management
8.1 Quality Planning 8.2 Quality Assurance 8.3 Quality Control
9. Project Human Resource Management
9.1 Organizational Planning9.2 Staff Acquisition
9.3 Team Development
10. Project Communications Management
10.1 Communications Planning 10.2 Information Distribution
10.3 Perform Reporting 10.4 Administrative Closure
11. Risk Project Management
11.1 Risk Management Planning11.2 Risk Identification11.3 Qualitative Risk Analysis11.4 Quantitative Risk Analysis11.5 Risk Response Planning
11.6 Risk Monitoring Control
12. Project Procurement Management
12.1 Procurement Planning12.2 Solicitation Planning
12.3 Solicitation12.4 Source Selection12.5 Contract Administration
12.6 Contract Closeout
Risk Management Planning
What does it mean? What is it for?
What do you need for doing it?– Inputs
– Tools and techniques
What do you generate with it?
Risk Management Planning
What does it mean? What is it for?– Deciding how to approach and plan the risk
management activities for a project Risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it
occurs, has a positive or negative consequence. Know risks have been identified and analyzed, and
it may be possible to plan them. Unknown risks cannot be managed, project
manager may address them by applying a general contingency .
Risk Management Planning
Risk Identification
What does it mean? What is it for?
What do you need for doing it?– Inputs
– Tools and techniques
What do you generate with it?
Risk Identification
What does it mean? What is it for?– Determining which risks might affect the project and
documenting their characteristics.
Participants in risk identification include the following as possible: project team, risk management team, subject matter experts from other parts of the company, customers, end users, ...
Risk identification is an iterative process.
Risk Identification
Qualitative Risk Analysis
What does it mean? What is it for?
What do you need for doing it?– Inputs
– Tools and techniques
What do you generate with it?
Qualitative Risk Analysis
What does it mean? What is it for?– Assessing the impact and likelihood of identified
risks.
Determine the importance of addressing specific risks and guiding risk responses.
Trends in the results when qualitative is repeated can indicate the need for more or less risk-management action.
Qualitative Risk Analysis
Qualitative Risk Analysis (Rating impacts for a risk)
Qualitative Risk Analysis (Probability-impact matrix)
Quantitative Risk Analysis
What does it mean? What is it for?
What do you need for doing it?– Inputs
– Tools and techniques
What do you generate with it?
Quantitative Risk Analysis
What does it mean? What is it for?– Analyze numerically the probability of each risk and
its consequence on project objectives, as well ass the extent of overall project risk.
Qualitative and quantitative risk analysis process can be used separately or together. Generally quantitaive risks analysis follows qualitative risks analysis.
Quantitative Risk Analysis
Risk Response Planning
What does it mean? What is it for?
What do you need for doing it?– Inputs
– Tools and techniques
What do you generate with it?
Risk Response Planning
What does it mean? What is it for?– Developing options and determinig actions to
enhance opportunities and reduce threats to the project´s objectives.
Includes the identification and assignment of individuals or parties to take responsability for each agreed risk response.
Risk Response Planning
Risk Response Planning (Decision Tree Analysis)
Risk Response Planning (Cost risk simulation)
Risk Monitoring and Control
What does it mean? What is it for?
What do you need for doing it?– Inputs
– Tools and techniques
What do you generate with it?
Risk Monitoring and Control
What does it mean? What is it for?– Keeping track of the identified risks, monitoring
residual risks and identifying new risks.
– Records risk metrics that are associated with implementing contigency plans.
– Ongoing process for the life of the project.
Risk Monitoring and Control
Glossary
SWOT analysis Decision tree analysis PDM - Precedence Diagramming Method Fallback plan Contingency allowance Residual risks Secondary risks