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Sport Obermeyer Case Analysis

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Page 1: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

Sport Obermeyer

Case Analysis

Page 2: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Background Information

Sport Obermeyer is a high-end skiwear design and merchandising company headquartered in Aspen, Colorado.

It sells its products through U.S. department stores and ski shops.

Although the company has a global supply network, most of its critical products are sourced through Hong Kong-based company, Obersport.

– Obersport is a joint venture between Sport Obermeyer and a Hong Kong partner.

– Obersport manages supply and production operations in Hong Kong and China.

Page 3: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Time Line

Page 4: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production Planning

Obermeyer produces about 200,000 units a year.

The maximum capacity available to the company for cutting and sewing is 30,000 units a month. This includes production capacities at all factories.

The minimum production quantity for a style is 1,200 units in China and 600 units in Hong Kong.

Wally estimates that Obermeyer earned 24% of wholesale price for each unit sold; units left unsold were sold at a loss that averaged 8% of wholesale price.

Page 5: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production Planning

10 Styles of Women’s Parkas

How should Wally think about how much of each style he should order in November?

Page 6: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production Planning10 Styles of Women’s Parkas

If Obermeyer had to commit all production prior to observing the Las Vegas show, this problem would be a variant of the news vendor problem.– Minimum order quantity for each style.– Shared capacity constraints across styles.

Limited production capacity (about 50% of total capacity) available after the information from Las Vegas becomes available.

Thus, in the sample problem, only 10,000 units can be produced after observing demand in the Las Vegas show. At least 10,000 units must be ordered immediately.

Page 7: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production Planning

Use a risk-based production sequencing strategy:– Produce the least risky items during the first production

period using speculative production capacity. That is capacity employed prior to observing additional indicators of market demand.

– After observing retailer demand in Las Vegas, Wally should update demand forecasts for the remaining units and produce those with the greatest expected return during the second production period using reactive production capacity.

Page 8: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

How Should We Measure Risk?

In the first production period, we are primarily concerned with markdown risk:– If we under-produce during the initial production

period, we have a second production opportunity.

What is the relationship between risk and– Product price– Demand uncertainty– Expected demand

Page 9: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production PlanningNo Minimum Order Quantities

If all styles have the same wholesale price, an effective strategy is to produce up to the same demand percentile for each style.– Why?

That is, for style i make In this case, the strategy takes into account

demand uncertainty and expected demand. Find the best k so that total production is

no more than 10,000 units.

ii k

Page 10: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production Planning

No Minimum Order Quantities

Page 11: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production PlanningWith Minimum Order Quantities

Ranking products by risk is complicated significantly when imposing minimum order size constraints. Why?

Ideally, we would like to make a specific quantity of a style and then “finely tune” the supply of that style by making a few or many units during the second period when market information is available.

However, in each production period, large production minimums force us to make either many units of a given style or none.

Thus, our ability to finely tune the supply of each product is diminished by imposing large minimum order quantities.

Page 12: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Production PlanningWith Minimum Order Quantities

Consider the following styles:– Anita (Avg= 3296, Std Dev=2094, CV= 0.65)– Gail (Avg= 1017, Std Dev= 388, CV= 0.38)

If only one production run is allowed, which should Sport Obermeyer produce first?– Without minimum order quantity, Sport Obermeyer

should produce Gail before Anita– With minimum order quantity of 1200 units, Sport

Obermeyer should produce Anita before Gail

Page 13: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Operational Changes to Improve Performance

Reducing Minimum Production Lot-Sizing Constraints:– Large minimum requirements often constrain companies

to producing one single large batch.– Without these constraints, the company could produce

two or more small batches with all or part of the production taking place after additional market information has been collected.

– How can we reduce minimum lot-sizing constraints?

Page 14: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Effect of Minimum Order Quantity on Stockout and Markdown Costs

Page 15: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer
Page 16: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Operational Changes to Improve Performance (continued)

Increasing Reactive Production Capacity:– What is the relationship between stockout and

markdown costs and the amount of available reactive capacity?

Page 17: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Stockout and Markdown Costs as a Function of Reactive Capacity

Page 18: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Increasing Reactive Production Capacity

– How can we increase reactive capacity? Increase total capacity.

• How? What can be done with the excess? Increase the number of working hours.

• What are the dangers of this approach? Use more subcontractor capacity during the peak season.

– How does this impact in-house capacity? Decrease manufacturing lead time. Decrease raw material lead time.

• How? Obtain market information earlier.

• How?

Page 19: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer
Page 20: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Operational Changes:Discussion Questions

We have identified a number of constraints that make the problem difficult. Which of these would you address?

Would you want to make all production after the Las Vegas show?

Observe: Decreasing production minimum or increasing reactive capacity have diminishing marginal returns.

Page 21: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Accurate Response

Develop a probabilistic forecast Assess markdown and stockout costs Determine appropriate production quantities

– Produce lower risk items early Evaluate early demand indicators Update forecast demand Determine final production quantities

Page 22: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Strategies for Accurate Response

Reduce minimum order sizes Increase reactive capacity

– Lead time reduction– Early market intelligence

Page 23: Ch 03 Case Sport Obermeyer

© 2003 Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky, Simchi-Levi

Coordination Issues

What business is Sport Obermeyer in?– What must management be good at?

What business is Obersport in? – What must management be good at? – What services does it provide Sport

Obermeyer?– Could Sport Obermeyer deal directly with the

factories in Lo Village?