1. Implications for the NHS:trends in public healthand opinion#cpc14

2. The UK population is growingPopulation (millions)ONS (2014) Population and Health Reference Tables. 3. And ageingONS (2014) Estimates of the very old for the UK. 4. Life expectancy has increasedONS (2011). Statistical Bulletin. Mortality assumptions: national population projections 5. Life expectancy has increased Increased healthcare resources New medical technologies Changes in health behavioursONS (2011). Statistical Bulletin. Mortality assumptions: national population projections 6. But there is huge uncertainty about the sizeand needs of the future populationONS (2011). Statistical Bulletin. Mortality assumptions: national population projections 7. Health behaviours are changing rapidly. 8. Rates of having ever smoked, 11-15 yearolds%Survey of Smoking, Drinking and Drug Use among School Pupils. (2014). 11-15 year olds. 9. Now, most 11-15 year olds have never drunkalcohol%Survey of Smoking, Drinking and Drug Use among School Pupils. (2014). 11-15 year olds. 10. Among 15 year olds - rates of drinking in thelast week have halved in a decade%Survey of Smoking, Drinking and Drug Use among School Pupils. (2014). 15 year olds. 11. Proportion of school pupils who have takendrugsSurvey of Smoking, Drinking and Drug Use among School Pupils. (2014). 11-15 year olds. 12. Obesity and overweight in childrenstabilising?Health Survey for England. (2013). 2-15 year olds. 13. Implications for the NHS of public healthtrends. 14. People agree: its governments responsibilityto provide healthcare for the sickProbably not Definitely notBritish Social Attitudes (BSA), 2012, NatCen. 15. A minority support non-NHS organisationsrunning NHS hospitals%British Social Attitudes (BSA), 2007, 2012, 2013, NatCen. 16. Consistently high support for universal NHSpMarkoe vNHisSi aovnailable only to those on lower incomesBritish Social Attitudes (BSA), 1983-2013, NatCen.Oppose targeting% 17. Half say government should pay for all socialcareWho should pay for social care ...%British Social Attitudes (BSA), 2012, NatCen. 18. Public divided on whether they think theNHS will remain universalIn ten years time, do you think the NHS will still be paid for by taxes and free to all?British Social Attitudes (BSA), 2013, NatCen. 19. Minority expect NHS standards of care toimprove Thinking about the general standard of care on the NHS, over the next five years doyou expect this ...%British Social Attitudes (BSA), NatCen, 2013 20. Satisfaction with the NHS overall is at itsthird highest since the eightiesQuite/very satisfiedQuite/very dissatisfied%British Social Attitudes (BSA), 1983-2013, NatCen. 21. With support for GPs being highest of all% 22. Satisfaction with the NHS is far higher thanthat with LA provided social careQuite or very satisfied with ...%British Social Attitudes (BSA), 2013, NatCen. 23. Health is the publics top priority for extraspendingTop priorities for government spending...British Social Attitudes (BSA), 2013, NatCen. 24. And has remained the priority for decadesTop four priorities for government spending...Health% 25. While support for increased tax and spend hasdeclined, it still outstrips calls for cutsBritish Social Attitudes (BSA), 1983-2013, NatCen. 26. Trends in public opinion:the great majority of people in Britain Highly value the NHS Want it to remain tax-funded Consistently rate it their top spending priority. 27. Thank youFor further informationSally McManusResearch Director, Health Policy Research Teamsally.mcmanus@natcen.ac.uk