change the world!
TRANSCRIPT
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British ColumbiaJoin us! www.bcsea.org
BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
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BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
Our vision is a sustainable future in which
all of BC’s energy
is green and renewable.
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
When you think about the future of our world, what do you feel?
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
HOPE
WORRY
or
?
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
We’ve come a long way from this….
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
To this …
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
but…
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Smithore Dreamstime.com
We have also come to this…
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
GDP =GrossDepletion of the
Planet
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Climate Change
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
1. Earth has a very thin atmosphere, which protects us from being roasted by day and frozen by night.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
2. Two important “greenhouse gases” trap heat in the atmosphere
and keep us warm: water vapor and
carbon dioxide
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
3. When there is too little water vapor and carbon dioxide, Earth goes into an Ice Age.
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
3. When there is too much, Earth warms, ice melts, and sea levels rise.
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
ICE AGES
4. Carbon dioxide (blue) and temperature (red) have tracked each other very closely over the last 700,000 years.
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
6. The coal that generates much of the world’s electricity comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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As we burn the fossil fuels…
Guy Dauncey 2007Guy Dauncey 2007www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
7. When we burn fossil fuels, their ancient carbon escapes into the atmosphere
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Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
8. When we burn forests, their carbon escapes, entering the atmosphere.
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Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
When we destroy forests, their carbon also escapes, entering the atmosphere.
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9. All this extra carbon is trapping too much heat, and causing
global warming.
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Burning fossil fuels anddestroying Earth’s forests
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
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If global warming exceeds 1.6°C up to
31% of Earth’s species
will be committed to extinction,
having nowhere to go to escape the rising heat
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
HOPE
WORRY
or
?
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BCSEA 2014 BCSEA 2014 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
10.
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“The two scientists cited a major study which stated that people using cell phones doubled their risk of developing brain cancer and acoustic neuromas, a tumor that damages the hearing nerve… and that people who started using cell phone before the age of 20 years are five times more likely to develop brain cancer.
The European Parliament voted 522 to 16 to urge ministers to impose stricter limits, because children are particularly vulnerable to the risk.” Mercola.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Toronto’s Department of Public Health:
“Children under 8 should only use
mobiles in emergencies.
Teenagers should limit calls
to 10 minutes or less.”
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Was that text message that important?
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Was that text message that important?
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
10.
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A New Green Economy
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The power of our vision
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The power of our vision
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than the power of our fears
The power of our vision
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The Race to Zero CarbonThe Race to Zero Carbon
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is the Race to a Clean Green
Economy
is the Race to a Clean Green
Economy
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BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
William KakwambaMalawi, Africa
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Two Possible Futures
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One Rational Choice
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We don’t need to vilify fossil fuels. We can praise them, and
then say “Enough!”
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For 300,000 years, we harvested the Sun’s energy through firewood
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For 300 years, we have harvestedit from fossil fuels
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It was fossil fuelsthat launched the Industrial Age
and the modern world.
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It is fossil fuels that have made advanced engineering, solar PV and electric vehicles possible.
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The Age of Fossil Fuels is the necessary
LAUNCH RAMPfor the Solar Age
300,000 yearsFirewood
300 yearsFossil Fuels
A billion yearsSolar Energy
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The Age of Firewood
The Age of Fossil Fuels
The Solar Age
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Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years
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Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com
The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.
And with every passing year, solar technology will improve
and fall in price.
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More solar energy reaches Earth in an hour than humans use in a year.
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Sunmine, Kimberley, BC. 1.05 MW, 4,000 solar modules www.sunmine.ca
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1977: $77
1997: $7
2013: $0.7
Price of Solar PVper Watt
A hundredfold fall in the price of solar PV
since 1977
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Mass production = falling prices
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100 GW in 2012
Solar PV 140-fold increase since 2000
200 GWin 2014
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By 2020, every south-facing roof without 4 kW solar could lose its owner up to $1,000 a year
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
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By 2020, every commercial roof that is not solar could lose its owner $10,000 a year
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Vauban, Freiburg, Germany
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Solar railwayParis to
Amsterdam
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Solar Stadium, Taiwan
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70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A
SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION
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T-Sou’ke First NationVancouver Island
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T’Sou-ke Nation Solar Project
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T-Sou’ke Chief Gordon Planes:
“First Nations have lived for thousands of years
on this continent without fossil fuels.
It is appropriate that First Nations
lead the way out of dependency and
addiction to fossil fuels and rely on the power
of the elements, the sun, the wind
and the sea once again.”
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
The Challenge Tree
T’Sou-ke First Nation
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
The Challenge Tree
T’Sou-ke First Nation
“I will have only a three-minute shower.”
“I will turn the lights off when I leave my room”
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Siemens AG
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Bear Mountain Wind Farm, Tumbler Ridge, BC.
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Transportation without Oil
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Make walking fun and joyful
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Istanbul,Turkey
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Seoul, South Korea
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In Holland, cycling is the main mode of transport for 31% of the people
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
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San Francisco Bike Lane
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Granville Street BridgeVancouver’s Imagined Future
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Electric Bikes
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
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The Copenhagen Wheel
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Solar electric bike, top speed 48 km/hr
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Solar Bike Lane, Holland
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Cycling on the Solar Bike Lane
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Better Local Transit
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OLEVOn-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org
Fast, dangerous streets being slowed
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org
Fast, dangerous streets being slowed
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Electric Vehicles
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range
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Tesla 300-400 km range
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
Honda solar electric car charging
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The Falling Price of EV Lithium Batteries
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Top
Hiroko EV
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Top
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Siemens ZeroCat all-electric car ferry, Norway 120 cars +360 passengers
10 minutes recharge, 30-minute trip800 kw, 400 kw battery bank. 10 knots
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Japan’s Magnetic Levitation Train
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
World Train Speed Record603 km/hour
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Kelsey Juliana
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
HOPE
WORRY
or
?
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Green Schools
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Grow a School Food Garden
The Edible Schoolyard, San Francisco
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Martin Luther King Jr. Middle School School, Berkeley
www.edibleschoolyard.org
TheEdible
Schoolyard
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Brooklyn Public School
In New York, they turned THIS…
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
into THIS
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
“A valuable tool for creating rich
learning experiences and helping children
reconnect to the natural world.”
- Richard Louv,
author of Last Child in the Woods
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
The Nanaimo Food Forest Team
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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SALT SPRING’S SOLAR PRIDEGULF ISLANDS SECONDARY SCHOOL
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Build a Solar Electric Car
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
School Solar Car Challenge, Texas
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Use your Wheels
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Woodlands Clean Air Commuter Challenge, June 2008
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Calculate your school’s Carbon Footprint
and work to reduce it.
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
www.greenteacher.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Become a Zero Waste School
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
School garbage audit
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Garbage-Free Lunch
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become a green engineer
Some of you could go on to…
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become a solar installer
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… design solar cookers
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… make solar cars
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… build wind turbines
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become an electric car engineer
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… sell electric bikes
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become a green architect
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become an ecologist
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
…become a greenengineer
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become a green architect
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… build solar-cob houses
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become a green investor
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
v… become an organic farmer
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become a chef for real food
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com … become a green politician
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… study for a Green Business Degree
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB
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WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB
A Stable, Long-Lasting Club:
•Students from Grade 8•Students from Grade 9•Students from Grade 10•Students from Grade 11•Students from Grade 12
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WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB
8
12
1110
9
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Keep in warm and watered inside until the soil is warm outside, at the end of May
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
This is an amazing opportunity
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
to build a Green, Solar World
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Smithore Dreamstime.com
… or give up, and tell yourself you can’t make a difference
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
By Nattanicha Kongsathitporn, age 14, Thailand
We need to roll up the past.
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com By Iskren Rumenov Petrov, age 14, from Bulgaria
We need to sail away from our old, polluting waysand build a green, sustainable world.
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
This is about our future.
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
Dream itWish itDo it
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
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If you want to make a difference, now would be a great time to do so.
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www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
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The visions we offer our
children shape the future.
It matters what those visions
are. Carl Sagan
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Wikimedia
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Wikimedia
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com Wikimedia
There’ll be blue birds over, the White Cliffs of Dovertomorrow, just you wait and see.
There’ll be love and laughter, and peace ever after, tomorrow, when the world is free.
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Wikimedia
The forests will grow so deepThe planet will bloom again,
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
The farmers will heal the earthOn their own precious land again.
Wikimedia
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
There’ll be solar rooftops,
Solar Electric Light Fund www.self.org
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
and lush organic gardens, tomorrow, just you wait and see,
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
There’ll be bike bells ringing, and Nature singing,
CopenhagenCycleChic.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Tomorrow,When the world is Green.