changes in study subject and the evolving gender wage gap ... · 2. gross/net wage gap for germany...

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Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap Stephen Machin* Patrick A. Puhani** *University College London (UCL); CEP, London School of Economics (LSE); IZA, Bonn ** Darmstadt University of Technology; SIAW, University of St. Gallen; IZA, Bonn; WDI, Ann Arbor – 1 – Background and Motivation – 2 – In lots of countries, many more women go to university now than in the past; what women study at university has also changed and specialisation into ‘men’s and women’s degrees’ has fallen. At the same time women’s relative position in the labour market has been improving over time as gender wage gaps have tended to fall. In this paper we ask: how important is changing subject of study in accounting for changes in gender wage differentials amongst graduates?

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Page 1: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender

Wage Gap

Stephen Machin*

Patrick A. Puhani**

*University College London (UCL); CEP, London School of Economics (LSE); IZA, Bonn

** Darmstadt University of Technology; SIAW, University of St. Gallen;

IZA, Bonn; WDI, Ann Arbor

– 1 –

Background and Motivation

– 2 –

In lots of countries, many more women go to university now than inthe past; what women study at university has also changed andspecialisation into ‘men’s and women’s degrees’ has fallen.

At the same time women’s relative position in the labour market hasbeen improving over time as gender wage gaps have tended to fall.

In this paper we ask: how important is changing subject of study inaccounting for changes in gender wage differentials amongstgraduates?

Page 2: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

Background and Motivation

This paper focuses on human capital investment prior to labourmarket entry amongst graduates in several countries.

We investigate the relationships between

– Changes in subject of degree (field of major)

– Shifts in the graduate gender wage gap

– Cross-country differences in institutions of higher education(universities vs. polytechnics, grande écoles versus universities)

Background and Motivation

Why is this of interest?

Despite there being a large body of work on gender wage differentials,not much of it looks at the role of subject of degree and this issue hashardly been explored in the literature on changes over time(exceptions: Daymont and Andrisani, 1984 JHR; Gerhart, 1990 ILRR;Brown and Corcoran, 1997 JOLE on gap; Loury, 1997 ILLR onchanges 1978-1986)

There are potentially important policy implications, both at HE leveland earlier in the education sequence. If sorting into different degreesubjects acts to equalise gender related differences in wages thenearlier decisions on what to study may act as important determinantsof success or failure in the labour market

Page 3: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

Structure of Talk

1. Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation AmongstMale and Female Graduates

2. Changes in Gender Wage Differentials

3. Subject of Degree and Wages

4. The Role of Changing Degree Subject in Accounting forChanges in Wage Differentials

5. Possible Interpretations: Differences in Institutions

6. Conclusions

– 5 –

1. Data

– 6 –

• GLFS: German Labour Force Survey (Volkszählung 1970 and Mikrozensus)‘subject of degree’: 1970, 1985, 1989, 1991, 1993, 1995, 1996, 2000;net (after tax and social security) hourly income (intervals) of workers

• FLFS: French Labour Force Survey (Enquête Emploi): 2000net (after social security) hourly wages

• FQP: Formation et Qualification Professionnelle; 1970, 1977, 1985, 1993;net (after social security) annual earnings

• BLFS: UK Labour Force Survey: 2000gross hourly wages

• GHS: General Household Survey:‘subject of degree’ 1980-1996; gross weekly earnings of full-time workers

• Graduate Cohort Survey (1985 and 1990 cohorts observed in 1991 and 1996)

• Administrative data on the number of graduates by subject of degree, gender, institutionand year for all three countries

• Issue: harmonisation of codes (across years in the survey and across countries).

Page 4: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

1. Shares of Subject of Degree by Gender and Country

Year: 2000

– 7 –

GLFS

men [%]

GLFS

women [%]

FLFS

men [%]

FLFS

women [%]

BLFS

men [%]

BLFS

women [%]

1 Medical & Related 7.3 10.1 5.0 6.1 5.7 11.3

2 Agricultural & Related 2.8 3.1 6.8 2.4 0.9 0.5

3 Natural Sciencies 6.9 4.7 12.6 11.5 14.5 9.1

4 Mathematical & Computing 5.7 3.2 8.5 4.7 10.2 4.9

5 Engineering & Technology 32.6 7.3 18.0 2.9 17.6 1.6

6 Architecture & Related 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.7 3.9 1.4

7 Social Sciences 13.1 15.1 14.4 20.6 11.6 17.1

8 Business & Financial 11.3 9.8 16.1 13.7 16.3 12.0

9 Librarianship & Information 0.4 1.2 3.1 3.5 0.5 1.4

10 Languages 1.6 5.3 4.7 20.2 3.9 10.7

11 Humanities 2.3 2.1 4.0 6.0 4.9 6.1

12 Arts 2.1 3.3 1.7 2.7 3.5 6.7

13 Education 10.7 32.8 4.1 5.0 6.6 17.3

# observations 17,125 9,244 3,034 3,483 4,573 3,795

1. Difference in Female-Male Subject of Degree

Shares by Cohort (Britain, BLFS 2000)

– 8 –

Page 5: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

1. Difference in Female-Male Subject of Degree

Shares by Cohort (France, FLFS 2000)

– 9 –

1. Difference in Female-Male Subject of Degree

Shares by Cohort (Western Germany, MZ 2000)

– 10 –

Page 6: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

1. Difference in Female-Male Subject of Degree

Shares by Cohort (Germany, Admin Data)

– 11 –

1. Dissimilarity Indices

– 12 –

1970 1980 1985 1993 2000

Britain 32 29 22 23

France 30 33 29 22 21

Germany 31 33 31 34

Page 7: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

Structure of Talk

1. Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation AmongstMale and Female Graduates

2. Changes in Gender Wage Differentials

3. Subject of Degree and Wages

4. The Role of Changing Degree Subject in Accounting forChanges in Wage Differentials

5. Possible Interpretations: Differences in Institutions

6. Conclusions

– 13 –

2. Gender Wage/Earnings/Income Gap

– 14 –

Page 8: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP -

IABR)

– 15 –

Structure of Talk

1. Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation AmongstMale and Female Graduates

2. Changes in Gender Wage Differentials

3. Subject of Degree and Wages

4. The Role of Changing Degree Subject in Accounting forChanges in Wage Differentials

5. Possible Interpretations: Differences in Institutions

6. Conclusions

– 16 –

Page 9: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

3. Male Wage Coefficients for Selected Degree

Subjects (Western Germany, VZ/MZ)

– 17 –

Structure of Talk

1. Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation AmongstMale and Female Graduates

2. Changes in Gender Wage Differentials

3. Subject of Degree and Wages

4. The Role of Changing Degree Subject in Accounting forChanges in Wage Differentials

5. Possible Interpretations: Differences in Institutions

6. Conclusions

– 18 –

Page 10: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

4. Methodology

– 19 –

• Blinder (1973, JHR)-Oaxaca (1973, IER) decomposition of the genderwage gap (cf. Non-parametric approaches by Black, Haviland,Sanders and Taylor, 2001; Frölich, 2003):

• The question is which X variables to control for:

– Human capital model: education, experience (age), subject of degree

– ‘Full model’ with additional variables:industry, region, part-time, public sector, (occupation)

! " ln wm# ln w

f

total gap

! "## $##= x

m# x

f( )$m

explained gap

! "# $#+ $

m# $

f( )xf

unexplained gap

! "# $#

4. Extended Wage Regressions and Subject of Degree

without Occupation (Year 2000)

– 20 –

GLFS gap=0.25 FLFS gap=0.17 BLFS gap=0.24

Without

Subject

of Degree

With

Less

Detailed

SoD

With

Detailed

SoD

Without

SoD

With

Less

Detailed

SoD

With

Detailed

SoD

Without

SoD

With

Less

Detailed

SoD

With

Detailed

SoD

Specification 2 (Age, Age2, Industry, Region, Part Time, Public Sector)

(bm - bf)Xf 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.11 0.10 0.09

(s.e.) (0.01) (0.01) (0.07) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)

(Xm – Xf)bm 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15

(s.e.) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)

Percentage of

Gap Expl.

9 11 14 45 60 70 54 59 62

Abs. Incr. in

GE by SoD

0.000 0.007 0.015 0.000 0.026 0.042 0.000 0.011 0.018

(s.e.) (0.000) (0.004) (0.006) (0.000) (0.007) (0.007) (0.000) (0.009) (0.011)

Page 11: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

4. Methodology

– 21 –

• Decomposition of the change in the gap (Wellington, 1993 JHR; Leeand Miller, 2004 Austr. EP):

• The first two terms on the right-hand side correspond to thedecomposition used by Blau and Kahn (1997 JOLE) and Juhn,Murphy and Pierce (1991 CV)

!1 " !o

total gap change

!"# $#= #m1 !x1 " !xo[ ]

characteristics effect

! "## $##+ #m1 " #m0[ ]

returns effect

! "# $#!x0

+ !#1 " !#0[ ]x f 0 + !#1 x f 1 " x f 0$% &'residual terms

! "###### $######

4. Decomposition of the Change in the Gender

Wage Gap Across Time (Specification 2)

– 22 –

Britain (GHS) France (FQP/FLFS ) Germany (GL F S )

Change in Gap

1981-1995: -4 percent

Change in Gap

1970-2000: -17 percent

Change in Gap

1970-2000: 3 percent

Without

SoD

With

SoD Difference

Without

SoD

With

SoD Difference

Without

SoD

With

SoD Difference

!m1 "x1# "xo[ ] 2 1 -1 - 6 - 9 - 3 -1 0 1

!m1 # !m0[ ]"x0 -2 -2 0 - 4 - 4 0 6 9 3

"!1# "!

0[ ]x f 0 -5 -6 0 - 1 0 - 9 1 -6 -10 -4

"!1xf 1# x

f 0$% &' 1 3 2 4 6 2 3 3 0

Page 12: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

4. Decomposition of the Change in the Gender

Wage Gap Across Cohorts (Specification 2)

– 23 –

Britain (BLFS) France (FLFS) Germany (GLFS)

Change in Gap

1960/74-1980/94:

-16 percent

Change in Gap

1960/74-1980/94:

0 percent

Change in Gap

1960/74-1980/94:

4 percent

Without

SoD

With

SoD Difference

Without

SoD

With

SoD Difference

Without

SoD

With

SoD Difference

!m1 "x1# "xo[ ] 4 2 -2 3 2 -1 7 8 1

!m1 # !m0[ ]"x0 -1 0 1 -3 1 4 6 6 0

"!1# "!

0[ ]x f 0 32 29 -3 14 9 -6 -28 -32 -4

"!1xf 1# x

f 0$% &' -50 -46 4 -14 -12 2 19 22 3

Structure of Talk

1. Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation AmongstMale and Female Graduates

2. Changes in Gender Wage Differentials

3. Subject of Degree and Wages

4. The Role of Changing Degree Subject in Accounting forChanges in Wage Differentials

5. Possible Interpretations: Differences in Institutions(oral summary)

6. Conclusions

– 24 –

Page 13: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

Structure of Talk

1. Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation AmongstMale and Female Graduates

2. Changes in Gender Wage Differentials

3. Subject of Degree and Wages

4. The Role of Changing Degree Subject in Accounting forChanges in Wage Differentials

5. Possible Interpretations: Differences in Institutions

6. Conclusions

– 25 –

– 26 –

• There are differences between countries in how women catch up withmen in terms of the distributions of subject of degree

• British and French women made more progress in terms of studyingdegrees with a higher pay-off than women in Germany.

• This can explain part of the differences across countries in changes inthe graduate wage gap over time

6. Conclusions

Page 14: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

– 27 –

• Women moved up the institutional ladder in Britain and France, butnot in Germany

• Within institutions, women tended to move to more lucrative subjectsof degree in Britain and France; this is not true in Germany

• Plausible reasons can be found in the long periods of study, in thechild-care and school systems (part-time schools and choices madeearlier in children’s education sequences) and possibly societalattitudes towards the role of the woman.

6. Conclusions

– 28 –

Selection Issue: Participation and Higher Education

Pr F P,H( ) =Pr P F,H( ) ! Pr F H( )

Pr P H( )

Page 15: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

– 29 –

Participation and Higher Education in Germany

– 30 –

Participation and Higher Education in France

Page 16: Changes in Study Subject and the Evolving Gender Wage Gap ... · 2. Gross/Net Wage Gap for Germany (GSOEP - IABR) Ð 15 Ð Structure of Talk 1.Patterns of Change in Subject Specialisation

– 31 –

Participation and Higher Education in Britain