changing supply and its effect on future transco …21 northeast supply link 2013 250 $385 total...

© 2014 The Williams Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Changing Supply and its Effect on

Future Transco OperationsFebruary 19, 2015

© 2014 The Williams Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.2

Agenda

> Simplified Map

> Peak Day

> System Dynamics

– Current System Flows

> What’s Changing & Expansion Project Impacts

– Receipt Changes

– Mainline Utilization Trends to Date

– Expansion Projects

> Null Points – What are they and what’s the big deal?

– Defined

– Discussion

> Questions?


Simplified Transco System Map

Zone 4

Zone 5

Zone 6


Transco Peak Day Deliveries* And System Capacity

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

Qu

an

tity

(M

MD

thd

)

Peak Day

3 Day Peak

Contractual Capacity

8.64

8.24

10 - 1109 - 1007 - 08

9.25

08 - 09

9.529.25

8. 91

8.23

*Market area deliveries, which includes Zones 4 through 6.

11 - 12 12 - 13

10.49

9.90

13 - 14

9.00

9.96

8.99

11.88

11.12

Future Incremental

Expansion Projects

12.6

11.9

14 - 15


System Dynamics

> Shale Drilling, especially, within the Mid-Continent and Marcellus regions has

dramatically altered the traditional flows on Transco’s System.

> Marcellus supplies on the Leidy Line continue to increase

– Interconnect capacity / flowing volumes continue to increase

– Multiple expansions from this relatively new supply region continue at a rapid rate

> Marcellus supplies showing up other places as well…

– Pipeline Interconnects throughout Zone 5 and Zone 6

> Mobile Bay volumes flow southward on a regular basis

> Steady volumes from Mid-Continent shales provide supply reliability at Station

85

> Supply from Transco’s traditional Production Area has declined in recent years;

however, signs are pointing to a change

> All of this relatively inexpensive supply has caused a rebirth in pipeline

transmission construction and will continue to fundamentally change the way

Gas Flows throughout the United States and North American, in general


Leidy Receipts


Transco Delivery Growth

1.96

2.21

2.44

2.77

2.98

3.32

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

TC

F


Simplified Map

Northern Market Area

Southern Market Area

STA 165

Centerville

STA 150

STA 130

STA 090

STA 195


System Load – Northern Market Area Growth in Northern Market Area 5-10%


System Throughput – Into North Market AreaRolling 30-Day Average


System Load - Southern Market Area STA130-195Rolling 30-Day Average


System Throughput - MainlineRolling 30-Day Average


Over $2 Billion In Transco Expansions (2001-2013)> Strong track record of successfully building system expansions to meet the

customers’ needs…when they need it.

# Project In-Service MDth/d

Capex

($MM)

1 MarketLink Phase 1 2001 166 $123

2 MarketLink Phase 2 2002 130 $120

3 Leidy East 2002 130 $98

4 Trenton Woodbury 2003 51 $20

5 Central New Jersey 2005 105 $16

6 Leidy to Long Island 2007 100 $172

7 Sentinel Phase 1 2008 40 $42

8 Sentinel Phase 2 2009 102 $187

21 Northeast Supply Link 2013 250 $385

Total Northern Market 1,074 $1,163

9 Sundance 2002 236 $135

10 Momentum Phase 1 2003 269 $164

11 Momentum Phase 2 2004 54 $25

12 Potomac 2007 165 $76

13 Eminence Enhancement 2009 46 $13

14 Mobile Bay South 2010 253 $37

15 Mobile Bay South 2 2011 380 $33

16 85 North 2010/2011 309 $222

17 Pascagoula 2011 467 $30

18 Mid-South Phase 1 2012 95 $138

19 Mid-Atlantic Connector 2013 142 $60

20 Mid-South Phase 2 2013 130 $64

Total Southern Market 2,546 $997

Total Transco 3,620 $2,160

20

19

18

17

16

15

1413

12

11

109

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

121Zone 6

Zone 5

Zone 4

Zone 1 and 2


Northern Market Area Projects

195

210

New York City

PAOH

WV

VA

MD DE

NJ

NY

Leidy HubLeidy Southeast• 27-42 mi. of 42-inch loop

• Compression

Zone 6

NE Connector• Compression

Rockaway Lateral• 3.3 mi. 26-inch lateral

Zone 5

Project Name ISD MDth/d

Northeast Connector 2014/15 100

Rockaway Delivery Lateral* 2015 647

Leidy Southeast 2015 525

CPV Woodbridge* 2015 264

Rock Springs 2016 192

Garden State 2016/17 180

Atlantic Sunrise 2017 1,700

Total 3,608

CPV Woodbridge• 2.3 mi. of 20-inch lateral

Rock Springs• 10.7 mi. of 20-inch

• Compression

Atlantic Sunrise• Greenfield pipeline

& looping

• Compression

Garden State• Compression

Capacity MDth/d

Mainline 2,697

Laterals* 911

Total 3,608

* These projects are FDLS and do not add mainline capacity.


Southern Market Area Projects

210Zone 6

Zone 5

Zone 4

85

160Dalton Expansion• 106 mi. of greenfield

pipeline• Compression

Mobile Bay South III• Compression


Mobile Bay South III 2015 325

Virginia Southside 2014/15 270

Hillabee Expansion 2017 1,025

Dalton Expansion 2017 448

Virginia Southside II 2017 250

Total 2,318

Hillabee Expansion• Loop & Compression

New York City

Holmesville

Interconnect

Virginia Southside II• Lateral

Virginia Southside• 99 mi. of 24-inch pipe

(including lateral)• Compression



South Louisiana Market 2016 190

Gulf Trace 2017 1,200

Total 1,390

Production Area Projects

85

65

45

Zone 1 and 2

Zone 3

Zone 4

Gulf Trace• 7 mi. of 36-inch lateral• Compression

South Louisiana Market• 0.6 mi. of 20-inch lateral• Facility Modifications

30


Zone 4

Zone 5

Zone 3

Zone 2

Zone 1

Shale Gas to TranscoProjected Flows on TranscoShale PlayTransco Shale Receipts

85

6545

Mid-Atlantic Markets

Southeast Markets

Northeast Markets

Florida Markets

Gulf Coast Markets

Marcellus Shale

Mid-Continent Shale

Eagle Ford Shale

Zone 6

Future


Null Points

> A Null Point can basically be defined as a location where there is

neither forward flow nor back flow, i.e., net throughput equals zero.

> From a physical standpoint, Null Points form at either a point of highest

pressure or lowest pressure.

– Receipt points can create high pressure Null Points.

– Delivery points can create low pressure Null Points.

> From a scheduling standpoint, the picture can look significantly different

– VADs

– Bundled Storage

– Imbalances

– Fuel


Receipt

Delivery

> Receipt / Delivery Based Null Point


Null Points> Null Points are not a new concept. Pipelines have been working with them for

many years. However, what is new is that Null Points are now forming in non-

traditional areas causing a certain level of trepidation.

– Gas Quality

• Since Transco has traditionally used Area Chromatographs, Null Points within an Area

Chromatograph’s zone can be problematic.

– How do we about assigning the right gas quality to a meter station or set of meter stations?

– How do we determine where the Null Point is at any given time?

• There are solutions to these issues and Transco is working very diligently to ensure the correct

assumptions are applied throughout its system

– Odorization

• As Null Points move around, how do we ensure that Odorization stays consistent and within

acceptable limits

• Working with individual customers to ensure we are all on the same page and working towards a

solution that works best for everyone. Each situation can be somewhat unique.

– Historical Pressures

• As the system morphs from uni-directional to multi-directional, historical operating pressures may

change as well.

– Locations that were once just downstream of compressor stations may now be just upstream of a compressor

station.

– Maximum Allowable Operating Pressure (MAOP)

changing supply and its effect on future transco …21 northeast supply link 2013 250 $385 total...

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