changing the army to win in a complex world · changing the army to win in a complex world ......
TRANSCRIPT
021300OCT17 1
Changing the Army to Win in a Complex World
18 OCTOBER 2017
Rickey E. SmithDeputy Chief of Staff, G-9
US Army Training and Doctrine Command
http://www.tradoc.army.milhttp://www.arcic.army.mil
Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at “AdaptingTheArmy”
UNCLASSIFIED
021300OCT17 2
Harbingers of Future Conflict
… Competent adversaries with “good enough” capabilities … complex terrain
… Near peers who can execute joint, combined arms, fire and maneuver
… Integrated Air Defense and MANPADS that deny air superiority
… Targeting by UAVs, suppression by Artillery/MLRS, overrun by Armor
… Employment of regular forces, proxies and criminal groups
… Focus on electronic warfare, cyber to counter precision and the “network”
UNCLASSIFIED
021300OCT17 3
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
The Future Character of War
An Era of Accelerated Human Progress (through 2035)…..Where our adversaries can take advantage of new technologies, doctrine, and revised
strategic concepts to effectively challenge US Military Forces across all domains.
…An Era of Contested Equality (Beyond 2035-2050)…where the very nature of warfare has changed. Prevailing in this era will depend
on an ability to synchronize multi-domain capabilities against an artificial enhanced
adversary…who will adopt sophisticated information operations and narrative
strategies to change the context of the conflict and thus defeat US political will.
connecting and intertwining both eras through convergence of…
BioengineeringNeurologic Enhancement
NanotechnologyAdvanced Material Sciences
Quantum ComputingArtificial Intelligence
RoboticsAdditive Manufacturing
where virtually every new technology is connected and intersecting to other technologies and advances us into…
http://www.tradoc.army.mil/watch/OperationalEnvironment_ChangingCharacter_FutureWarfare.pdf
021300OCT17 4
Multi-Domain Battle – Main Problems
4UNCLASSIFIED
“Assessment of the emerging OE, a new understanding of the battlespace, and adversary systems and methods in competition
and armed conflict results in five main problems for U.S. forces."
Multi-Domain Battle: Evolution of Combined Arms for the 21st Century 2025-2040 draft
How do U.S. forces best consolidate gains and produce sustainable
outcomes, set conditions for long-term deterrence, and adapt to the
new security environment?
How do U.S. forces allow ground forces to defeat the enemy
in the close area?
How do U.S. forces conduct deep maneuver by air, naval, and/or
ground forces to suppress and destroy enemy indirect fire and air
defense systems and reserve forces?
How do U.S. forces maneuver from contested strategic and
operational depth and with sufficient combat power in time to
defeat enemy forces?
How do U.S. forces deter the escalation of violence; defeat threat
operations to destabilize the region; and turn denied spaces into
contested spaces should violence escalate?
021300OCT17 55
Geographic Space Continuum
Arm
ed
Co
nfl
ict
Retu
rn t
o
Co
mp
eti
tio
nC
om
pe
titi
on
Point of physical manifestation of capabilities/effects Pathways capabilities must traverse to create effect Key
Tactical (Space, Cyberspace, EW, Information)
Operational (Space, Cyberspace, EW, Information)
Strategic (Space, Cyberspace, EW, Information)
Physical Manifestation of Capabilities & Effects Across Levels of War
Future Operational FrameworkMulti-Domain Battle Concept
UNCLASSIFIED
Strategic
Support Area
Tactical
Support Area
Close Area Deep
Maneuver
Area
Operational
Support Area
Operational
Deep Fires
Area
Strategic
Deep Fires
Area
021300OCT17 6
QUESTIONS
It’s tough to make predictions,
especially about the future.
If you don’t know where you are
going, you might wind up
someplace else.
021300OCT17 8
Army Warfighting Challenges are first order questions; the answers will
improve the combat effectiveness of the current and future force
Army Warfighting ChallengesAOC Appendix B (Revised 27 Sep 2017)
Focus concept and capability development
Allow the Army to integrate near-term, mid-term and long-term efforts
Enable sustained collaboration across the community of practice (DA Staff, TRADOC, AMC, and FORSCOM)
1. Develop Situational Understanding
2. Shape the Security Environment
3. Adapt the Institutional Army and Innovate
4. Counter WMD
5. Conduct Homeland Operations
6. Conduct Space, Cyberspace, Electronic
Warfare, and Communications
Operations
7. Enhance Realistic Training
8. Improve Soldier, Leader and Team
Performance
9. Develop Agile and Adaptive Leaders
11. Conduct Air-Ground Reconnaissance and
Security Operations
12. Conduct Joint Expeditionary Maneuver
and Entry Operations
13. Conduct Wide Area Security
14. Ensure Interoperability and Operate in JIM
Environment
15. Conduct Cross-Domain Maneuver
16. Set the Theater, Sustain Operations, and
Maintain Freedom of Movement
17. Employ Cross-Domain Fires
Exercise Mission Command
Develop Capable Formations
(milWiki site) https://www.milsuite.mil/book/groups/army-warfighting-challenge-awfc-group
18.
19.
20.
3.
UNCLASSIFIED
021300OCT17 9
Cross-Domain Operations: Historical Perspective
1973: ¼ of Israeli Air
Force downed by
Egyptian air defense
belt. Israeli air
freedom of maneuver
restored by ground
counterattack.
332 BC: Alexander
the Great’s land
campaign to Tyre
culminates with
surrender of
Persian fleet.
1944: Allied land
offensive
eliminates
German U-Boat
threat after
years of Allied
bombing.
2015: Russia
establishes air
supremacy from
the ground.