chaos in the solar system

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Chaos in the Solar System Edward Gomez Las Cumbres Observatory - Cardiff University

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This is a talk I've give to various astronomical societies about chaos theory and how it affects the Universe

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Page 1: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar SystemEdward Gomez

Las Cumbres Observatory - Cardiff University

Page 2: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar SystemJohannes Kepler

Solar System runs like clockwork

Page 3: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar SystemJohannes Kepler

Solar System runs like clockwork

Page 4: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar System

Sir Isaac Newton

Theory of gravity instantly has implications against a clockwork solar system

Page 5: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar System

Sir William Herschel

Discovers Uranus - 1781

Arguably starts the descent into ‘Chaos’

Page 6: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar System

Edward Lorentz

Meteorologist

Realised that there was a sensitivity to initial conditions in weather simulations

Page 7: Chaos in the Solar System

To save paper he recorded his calculations to 3 dec. places

0.567234 0.567

Butterfly effect

Periodic motion

Developed ‘Strange Attractor’ model based on 3 variables (+ time)

Page 8: Chaos in the Solar System

Periodic motion

Page 9: Chaos in the Solar System

Periodic motion

Page 10: Chaos in the Solar System
Page 11: Chaos in the Solar System
Page 12: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Solar System

Benoit Mandelbrot

1979 working at IBM invented term ‘fractal’

Page 13: Chaos in the Solar System

Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices

Divided up graph, always had structure

Order matched Cantor set

Found in many areas of nature

Infinite area in finite space

Page 14: Chaos in the Solar System

Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices

Divided up graph, always had structure

Order matched Cantor set

Found in many areas of nature

Infinite area in finite space

Page 15: Chaos in the Solar System

Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices

Divided up graph, always had structure

Order matched Cantor set

Found in many areas of nature

Infinite area in finite space

Page 16: Chaos in the Solar System

Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices

Divided up graph, always had structure

Order matched Cantor set

Found in many areas of nature

Infinite area in finite space

Page 17: Chaos in the Solar System

Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices

Divided up graph, always had structure

Order matched Cantor set

Found in many areas of nature

Infinite area in finite space

Page 18: Chaos in the Solar System

Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices

Divided up graph, always had structure

Order matched Cantor set

Found in many areas of nature

Infinite area in finite space

Page 19: Chaos in the Solar System

Mandelbrot setZoom: 0

Page 20: Chaos in the Solar System

Zoom: 10

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Zoom: 100

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Zoom: 1000

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Zoom: 10,000

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Zoom: 100,000

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Zoom: 1,000,000

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Zoom: 10,000,000,000

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Page 28: Chaos in the Solar System

Solar System Chaos

Asteroid orbit

Asteroid rotation

Great Red spot

Pluto is chaotic

Fractal nature of 2df

Page 29: Chaos in the Solar System

Kirkwood gaps in distribution of semi-axis

only where period is a rational fraction of Jupiter’s period

Implies resonance

Resonance = Stable orbits (Trojan asteroids 1:1, 3:2)

Unstable 3:1, 2:1

2-body Resonance

Page 30: Chaos in the Solar System
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Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides

Hyperion tumbles chaotically

First seen to tumble by Voyager

4:3 Resonance Titan

Irregular shape

Asteroid rotation

Page 32: Chaos in the Solar System

Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides

Hyperion tumbles chaotically

First seen to tumble by Voyager

4:3 Resonance Titan

Irregular shape

Asteroid rotation

Page 33: Chaos in the Solar System

Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides

Hyperion tumbles chaotically

First seen to tumble by Voyager

4:3 Resonance Titan

Irregular shape

Asteroid rotation

Page 34: Chaos in the Solar System

Great Red spot

Page 35: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaotic motion in Pluto’s orbit

3:2 Resonance with Neptune

Digital Orrery prediction

Stable over Myr’s

3-body Resonance

© 1993 Nature Publishing Group

Page 36: Chaos in the Solar System

Chaos in the Universe