chapter 1 investments: background and issues. 1.1 real versus financial assets real assets used to...
TRANSCRIPT
Chapter 1
Investments: Background and
Issues
1.1 Real Versus Financial Assets
• Real Assets• Used to produce goods and services: Property,
plant & equipment, human capital, etc.• the net wealth of an economy is the sum of its
real assets.
• Financial Assets• Claims on real assets or claims on asset income
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Table 1.1. Balance Sheet – U.S. Households
Table 1.2 Domestic Net Worth
Most Current
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/current/
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Major Classes of Financial Assets or Securities
• Debto Money market instruments
• Bank certificates of deposit, T-bills, commercial paper, etc.
o Bondso Preferred stock
• Common stocko Ownership stake in the entity, residual cash flow
• Derivative securitieso A contract whose value is derived from some
underlying market condition.
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1.3 Financial Markets and the Economy
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Financial Markets
• Informational Role of Financial Marketso Do market prices equal the fair value estimate of a
security’s expected future risky cash flows?o Or any thing? – Intrade.com
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Separation of Ownership and Management; Ethics
o Agency costs: Owners’ interests may not align with managers’ interests
o Mitigating factors:• Performance based compensation• Boards of Directors may fire managers• Threat of takeovers – M&A FINC 350
• Governance and ethics failures have cost our economy trillions of dollars.o Eroding public support and confidence in market
based systems
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Example 1.1• In February 2008, Microsoft offered to buy Yahoo at $31
per share when Yahoo was trading at $19.18.
• Yahoo rejected the offer, holding out for $37 a share.
• Billionaire Carl Icahn led a proxy fight to seize control of Yahoo’s board and force the firm to accept Microsoft’s offer.
• He lost, and Yahoo stock fell from $29 to $21.• Did Yahoo managers act in the best interests of their
shareholders?
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Other examples
• Accounting Scandalso Enron, WorldCom, Rite-Aid, HealthSouth, Global
Crossing, Qwest, • Misleading Research Reports
o Citicorp, Merrill Lynch, others• Auditors: Watchdogs or Consultants?
o Arthur Andersen and Enron
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Corporate Governance and Corporate Ethics
• Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX)o Increases the number of independent directors on
company boardso Requires the CFO to personally verify the
financial statementso Created a new oversight board for the
accounting/audit industryo Charged the board with maintaining a culture of
high ethical standards
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1.4 The Investment Process
Choosing the percentage of funds in asset classes
Choosing specific securities w/in an asset class
Stocks
Bonds
Alternative Assets
Money market securities
60%
30%
6%
4%
o Asset allocation
o The asset allocation decision is the primary The asset allocation decision is the primary determinant of a portfolio’s returndeterminant of a portfolio’s return
o Security selection & analysis
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o How do we measure risk?
o How does diversification affect risk?
o Discussed in Part 2 of the texto Investors can choose a desired risk level
Bonds versus stock of a given company
Bank CD versus company bond
Tradeoff between risk and return?
Risk-Return Trade- Off
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Efficient Markets
o Market efficiency: o Securities should be neither underpriced nor
overpriced on average
o Security prices should reflect all information available to investors
o Whether we believe markets are efficient affects our choice of appropriate investment management style.
o 3 forms – strong, semi-strong, weak
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Active vs. Passive Management
Active Management (inefficient markets)Finding undervalued securitiesTiming the market
Passive Management (efficient markets)No attempt to find undervalued securitiesNo attempt to timeHolding a diversified portfolio:
Security Selection
Asset Allocation
• Indexing• Constructing an
“efficient” portfolio
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The Players• Business Firms – net borrowers• Households – net savers• Governments – can be both borrowers and
savers• Financial Intermediaries “Connectors of
borrowers and lenders”o Commercial Banks
• Traditional line of business: Make loans funded by deposits
o Investment companieso Insurance companieso Pension fundso Hedge funds
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The Players Cont.
• Investment Bankers aka Wall Streeto Firms that specialize in primary market
transactionso Primary market vs Secondaryo After 2008, no more pure investment bankers,
annulling 1933 Acto As a result, they face much stricter banking
regulations, e.g. deleveraging
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1.7 Recent Trends• Globalization
o Managing foreign exchangeo International diversification reduces risko Instruments and vehicles continue to develop
(ADRs and WEBs)
• Securitization• Financial Engineering• Information and Computer Networks
• Nasdaq as of Feb 2011 has the fastest network: 98ms/trade, Soon Singapore 90ms/trade
• Deleveraging
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