chapter 2: the normal distributions. distribution of data can be approximated by a smooth density...
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Chapter 2:The Normal Distributions
Distribution of data can be approximated by a smooth density curve
Red shaded region represents an approximation of the fraction of scores between 6 and 8
6>scores>8 same as
6<scores>8
Area A, represents the proportion observations falling between values a and b
Median
Area0.25
Area0.25
Area0.25
Area0.25
Q1 Q2
Symmetric density curve.
Density curve for uniform distribution
If d = 7 and c =2, what would be the height of the curve?
1/5 or 0.2 because total area must equal 1
Area = l x w = (7-2) x 1/5 = 1
Normal Distributions
All Normal distributions have this general shape.
indicates the mean of a density curve.
indicates the standard deviation of a density curve.
Three normal distributions
Differing results in center of graph at different location on the x axis
Differing results in varying spread
Mean-1 +1
Inflection points
Normal distributions are abbreviated as ; N(
The Normal distribution with mean of 0 and standard deviation of 1 is called the standard Normal curve; N(0,1)
(aka – The Empirical rule)
Example
N(6.84,1.55)
What is the z score for Iowa test score of 3.74?z = (x-
z = (3.74 – 6.84)/1.55
z = -2
This says that a score of 3.74 is 2 standard deviation below the mean
Using the 68 – 95 – 99.7 rule to solve problems
Example
What percentage of scores are greater than 5.29?
Finding Normal Percentiles by• Table A is the standard Normal table. We have to
convert our data to z-scores before using the table.• The figure shows us how to find the area to the left
when we have a z-score of 1.80:
Using Table A to find the area under the standard normal curve that lies (a) to the left of a specified z-score, (b) to the right of a specified z-score, and (c) between two specified z-scores
0228.9772.1
)00.2(1
)00.2(1)00.2(
50
30003100)3100(
zP
zPzP
zPxP
• Say a toy car goes an average of 3,000 yards between recharges, with a standard deviation of 50 yards (i.e., µ = 3,000 and = 50)
• What is the probability that the car will go more than 3,100 yards without recharging?
Determine the percentage of people having IQs between 115 and 140
P[115< x < 140]
P[(115-100)/16 < z < (140-100)/16]
P[0.94< z < 2.50]
= 0.9938 – 0.8264
= 0.1674 = 16.74%
From Percentiles to Scores: z in Reverse
• Sometimes we start with areas and need to find the corresponding z-score or even the original data value.
• Example: What z-score represents the first quartile in a Normal model?
From Percentiles to Scores: z in Reverse
• Look in Table A for an area of 0.2500.• The exact area is not there, but 0.2514 is pretty close.
• This figure is associated with z = –0.67, so the first quartile is 0.67 standard deviations below the mean.
• To unstandardize; solve x = + z
Example
What score is the 90th percentile for N(504,22)?
z
X = z +
= 1.28(22) + 504
= 532.16
Methods for Assessing Normality
• If the data are normal– A histogram or stem-and-leaf display will look like the normal
curve– The mean ± s, 2s and 3s will approximate the empirical rule
percentages. (68%,95%,99.7%)– The ratio of the interquartile range to the standard deviation
will be about 1.3– A normal probability plot , a scatterplot with the ranked data on
one axis and the expected z-scores from a standard normal distribution on the other axis, will produce close to a straight line
Errors per MLB team in 2003– Mean: 106
– Standard Deviation: 17
– IQR: 22
29.117
22
s
IQR
15755
511063
14072
341062
12389
17106
sx
sx
sx
22 out of 30: 73%
28 out of 30: 93%
30 out of 30: 100%
A normal probability plot is a scatterplot with the ranked data on one axis and the expected z-scores from a standard normal distribution on the other axis
• A skewed distribution might have a histogram and Normal probability plot like this:
Khan Academy Videos
http://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics/v/introduction-to-the-normal-distribution http://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics/v/ck12-org-normal-distribution-problems--qualitative-sense-of-normal-distributions
http://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics/v/ck12-org-normal-distribution-problems--z-score
http://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics/v/ck12-org-normal-distribution-problems--empirical-rule
http://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics/v/ck12-org-exercise--standard-normal-distribution-and-the-empirical-rule
http://www.khanacademy.org/math/statistics/v/ck12-org--more-empirical-rule-and-z-score-practice