chapter 3
DESCRIPTION
Chapter 3. Labor Force Participation. Are people poor because they don’t work?. 81.3% of male headed households participate in the labor force More than 50% of females headed households participate in the labor force What does it mean to be in the labor force?? - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Chapter 3
Labor Force Participation
Are people poor because they don’t work?
• 81.3% of male headed households participate in the labor force
• More than 50% of females headed households participate in the labor force
• What does it mean to be in the labor force??– Employed or actively seeking work– May not be collecting a wage
Sub-employed• Discouraged worker
– Stop looking because frustrated– No longer counted as unemployed– Can be contagious
• Underemployed– Accept any job– Usually in secondary labor market
• Unemployed– Not working but attached to labor force
Why are people sub-employed??
• Conservatives– Poor are unwilling to take any job– Have unrealistic job expectations
• Liberals– Poor lack the opportunity or education to get
jobs that will assure a decent standard of living
Official Definition of Unemployed
• A person 16 years or older is unemployed if he/she– Is not currently working– Has actively looked for work during the
previous four weeks– Is currently available for work
Types of Unemployment
• Frictional– Arises from normal operations of the labor
market– Labor markets are dynamic and information is
not perfect– In between jobs
• Seasonal– Can’t work due to seasonal patterns
• Structural
– Imbalance between skills have and those demanded by labor market
– Lack of proper training– Monetary and Non-monetary costs
• Cyclical– Demand deficient unemployment– Associated with the business cycle– Aggregate Demand: total amount of goods and services
demanded by all people– Aggregate Supply: Total amount of good and services
supplied by all people
GDP (in trillions)
Price
2 5
AD’AD
AS
Unemployment because need 3 trillion less units of the good
Natural Rate of Unemployment
• Frictional + Seasonal + Structural + Cyclical
• Estimated at 5%
• Can this figure ever be zero?– No…why??– Cyclical is the only type of unemployment that
could even in theory be zero
Costs of Unemployment• Economic
– Inefficient because not using all our resources– Okun’s Law
• For every 1% increase in unemployment there is a 2.5% decrease in GDP
– If we are inefficient where are we on the PPC??• Inside the curve
• Social– Loss of self respect, erosion of stable family,
more crime, homelessness, discrimination
Roger and me
Pick out as many costs of unemployment as you can…the
person with the most will get extra credit!!!
Relative Importance of Income Sources
• Differ for poor and non-poor– Average incomes differ by $27,396– Part of this gap is closed by in-kind transfers– Gap can be closed by labor market earnings– Poor either not work enough or are paid too
little
Non-Poor: Average Income = $35,038
82%
2%
16%
Earnings
Cash Welfare
Other Sources
Poor: Average Income = $7,642
56%25%
19%
Earnings
Cash Welfare
Other Sources
Nonparticipants
• If you don’t work you run the risk of poverty…but not a simple relationship– ½ of nonparticipants are children under age 16– 20 million are retired– 8 million are over 16 but full time students– 10 million are institutionalized, sick or disabled– 23 million are women who consider themselves
homemakers– 6 million are others who just don’t work
Remember duration is important
½ of those who experience unemployment stay unemployed
for greater than 5 weeks
Review
• Poor families receive most of their income from work– Labor force participation is key
• Many are sub-employed– Discouraged worker, underemployed, unemployed
Is reducing poverty a societal goal?
• Public Policy affects Aggregate Demand– If increase AD more jobs– No need for more products = surplus– Expensive for the firm– Must layoff workers to compensate
• Is there an opportunity cost of unemployment???– Yes….inflation
Phillips Curve
• Statistical Relationship between unemployment and inflation– Not a series of equilibrium points
• Shows the Short Run tradeoff between unemployment and inflation
• Can relate to Aggregate Supply Curve
Aggregate Supply
AS
Quantity
Price
What are the relationships??
• Between Prices and Inflation?– Positive– Inflation is the rate of change of prices
• Between Quantity produced and Unemployment?– Negative– Produce more??? You need more people
(unemployment decreases)
Phillips Curve
Unemployment
Inflation
Natural RateOf Unemployment
ExpectedRate ofInflation
More Phillips Curve…
• Negative relationship between inflation and unemployment
• What would happen on the Phillips Curve if Aggregate Demand would increase?– Move up the curve– Because unemployment would decrease
• What would happen on the Phillips Curve if Aggregate Demand would decrease?– Move down the curve– Because unemployment would increase
Long Run Phillips Curve
• Represents equilibrium
• Vertical at the natural rate of unemploymentInflation
UnemploymentNatural Rate
In-class exercise 9
The Phillips Curve
Phillips Curve worked until the early 1970s
• Due to Stagflation – High rates of unemployment and inflation
from supply shocks
ASAS’
AD
Quantity
Price
P2
P1
Q1Q2
Summary• Price increased
– Inflation did what??• Increased
• Quantity decreased– Unemployment did what??
• Increased
• Phillips Curve says they should move in the opposite direction!!
So…
• Phillips Curve still used by economists but less faith is put in it
• Politicians disagree about it also…– Conservatives
• Slope is steep
– Liberals• Slope is flat
• Important in decision whether or not to fight inflation
Inflation Inflation
Unemployment UnemploymentConservatives (Republicans)Fight Inflation
Liberals (Democrats)Don’t Fight Inflation
Big decrease in inflation with only Small increases in unemployment
Small decrease in inflation butBig increases in unemployment
Chapter 4
The Working Poor
Is it possible to eliminate poverty by providing everyone a
job?• Statistics say no!!
• Most of the poor population work– Don’t work enough– Work part time or part year
• New problem– Low wages
Where do wages come from?
• Interaction of the Supply and Demand for Labor
• Where does demand for labor come from?– Firms
• What are the important variables?– Wages and number of workers
• What relationship do these variables have?– Negative
What happens when wages increase?
• Higher costs for the firm– What happens to prices?– increase– What happens to output?– decrease– What happens to the number of workers needed?– decreases
• Change from using labor to capital
What factors affect the demand for labor?
• Demand for the product– Increase???
• More output needed so more workers needed
• Price of inputs– Increase???
• Costs increases so less output produced and less workers needed
• Available technology???– Increase???
• More capital used so less workers needed
What determines the Supply of Labor?
• Workers• What is the slope?
– Positive or Zero depending on whether it is the market or firm
• Market Labor Supply– Positive Slope– If wages of secretaries increase (ceteris
paribus) more people want to be secretaries
• Firm Labor Supply– Horizontal– If all firms were offering similar wages and
everyone had enough workers….• How many workers will want to work at a lower
wage?– NONE
• What if firms want to offer a higher wage? How many workers will they get?
– Infinitely many…but the firm already had enough» Higher wages will only increase the costs to the firm
• Everyone offers the same wage…which is???– MARKET EQUILIBRIUM WAGE
# workers # workers
Wage Wage
Ld Ld
Ls
Ls
Market Firm
What about between occupations??
• A decrease in the Ls of one occupation could increase the Ls in another occupation
• Remember– A decrease in Ls is a shift to the left– An increase in Ls is a shift to the right
In-class exercise 10
What happens as workers change occupations?
# workers # workers
Wage Wage
Ld Ld
Ls Ls
Sales Computer
Ls’
Ls’
W1
W2
W1
W2
N2 N2N1 N1
Equilibrium Wages Can Change Overtime!!
Since Ld is downward sloping,
if wage gets too high will the firm stop hiring workers?
NO…workers add to output and revenue
Marginal Product of Labor (MPL)
• Additional output that can be produced by a firm when they hire one additional worker
• What is the goal of the firm??– Maximize profits– Profits = Revenue – Costs
So…
• Employ up to the point where the additional revenue (Marginal Revenue) just equals the additional cost (Marginal Cost) of that worker
• If MR > MC what should the firm do– Hire another worker
• If MC > MR what should the firm do– Don’t hire
Does does MPL look like either of these?
MP MP
Number of WorkersNumber of Workers
Number of Workers
MP
Hire Don’t Hire
Stop HiringMR=MC
MR>MC
MR<MC
Marginal Revenue Product of Labor (MRPL)
• Value of the additional output produced
• MRPL = MPL * P
What about the cost side?• What is the MC or additional cost per
worker?– Wage
• Want to hire until revenue made by the last worker = cost of the last worker– Hire until MR = MC
• What is the MR??– MPL * P
• Hire until MPL * P = wage
In-class exercise 11
Hire or Not???
Why is the wage rate too low??MPL * P = wage
• MPL is too low– MPL poor < MPL non-poor– Too little education– Not enough skills or experience
• Price too low– Farmers during a good harvest because
everyone is probably having a good harvest
Where does income come from?
• Wages
• Capital/assets
• Government transfers
• If first two do not equal some “required minimum” then the third entered
Summary: The poor have lower wages because…
• Low Marginal Revenue Product of Labor– Low levels of training/education– Low price of the output– Work in markets with restricted demand– Work in markets with high labor supply– Work in non-unionized markets
• Discrimination
What can we do??• Increase productivity
– Subsidize education– Job placement
• Guaranteed minimum income
• Government intervention in the labor market
• But…give people something for free and it decreases the incentive to get it on your own.
Chapter 11
Welfare Programs
Movie: Ending Welfare as We Know It
Homework: Detail the changes that the Clinton Administration tried and the
impacts of these changes on the families depicted
Chapter 11
Welfare Programs
What is the history of helping the poor?
• Great Depression brought high unemployment– Enacted income security programs as part of the New
Deal
• Late 1950s and Early 1960s Kennedy set fighting poverty as a major goal– Highlighted by the Civil Rights March in August 1963
• 1964 Johnson declared poverty as part of his Great Society plan– Goal: reducing poverty, eliminate discrimination, and
begin training programs
• Late 1960s – Early 1970s Nixon supported
a cash and food stamp program for the poor
• Republicans pushed harder for the cash transfers
Income transfer payments
• Money income transferred from the government to the poor
• Two types:– Social insurance programs
• Benefits given on a basis of previous service or contribution (social security or unemployment)
– Means-tested program• Benefits given on the basis of need
Basic Idea
• Give money to the poor and it will eliminate poverty
• Monetary transfers are referred to as welfare or public assistance
• In 1987 48 billion dollars would have been necessary to put everyone in poverty above the poverty standard
Problems
• Exclusive reliance – People will never escape poverty if the
government gives freely– Lead to perpetual poverty
• No work incentive
Cash Assistance Programs
• Supplementary Security Insurance– For the elderly, blind or disabled
• Temporary Aid To Needy Families (TNAF)– Provide families whose father is absent or disabled– 1961 Congress permitted but didn’t require aid to be
extended to two parent families– 1968 Supreme eliminated the no man in the house
requirement– Was called Aid to Families with Dependent Children
(AFDC)• Changed July 1, 1997
• General Assistance– Given by each state– Assistance for the needy
How much does each give??
Program Number of recipients
Average monthly payment
SSI 5.3 million 364
TANF 14.1 million 137
GA 1.2 million 150
Is this amount adequate???• A mother with two children receives about
$10,200 in benefits.
• This is about ½ of the poverty standard
• Is this fair?– SSI gives more than 2.6 times more than TANF
• Other Problems– With TANF most male headed households
don’t qualify– Deserving vs. non-deserving
Family Disincentive Issue
• Targeting female heads of households may create more female headed families– Females may leave home to create a separate
household– May increase likelihood of separation or divorce– May increase likelihood of having more children
• New programs designed to help reduce this problem
– Fathers may leave to increase eligibility
Work Disincentive Issue
• Until 1967 there was no incentive to work– Every $1 earned in the labor market, welfare benefits
decreased by $1
• Marginal Tax Rate was 100%• What is the Marginal Tax Rate?
– Tax on the last (additional) dollar earned
• Program was changed in 1967 to try to fix the problem.– Marginal tax rate decreased to 67%
Before 1967• A mother with 3 children could receive $400 per month
($4800 a year) and was able to find a part time job paying $5 per hour for 10 hours a week for 48 weeks. How much would her benefits decrease if she took the job?
• How much does she earn at her job?– 5*10*48 = 2400
• Original benefits – amount earned from job = new benefit amount– 4800 – 2400 = 2400
• How much is she actual earning per hour from her job?– $0.00 per hour
Changes in 1967
• Marginal Tax Rate was decreased to 67%
• Disregarded the first $1080 of income earned in the labor market– $720 per year for work release expenses– $360 per year for other general expenses
Did it make a difference?
• Basic structure:
hourperEarnedDollarActualworkedHoursincometoAddition
workingfromincomeinchangebenefitsoriginalincomeTotal
incomeTotalIncomeBenefitsNew
benefitsnewincomebenefitsoriginal
/.)4
.)3
.)2
67.*)1080(.)1
In-class exerciseDid it make a difference?
A mother with 3 children could receive $400 per month ($4800 a year) and was able to find a part time job paying $5 per hour for 10 hours a week for 48 weeks.
How much would her benefits decrease if she took the job?
Solution
• Earnings: 2400
• New benefits: 4800 – (2400-1080)*.67 = 3915.60
• Total Earnings: 2400 + 3915.60 = 6315.60
• Additional Income: 6315.60 – 4800 = 1515.60
• Dollar Per hour earned: 1515.60/480 = $3.15
Does this really give the incentive to work??
• Earn $3.15 per hour of $5 per hour job
• Include in child care, transportation, and other necessities and you now earn under $2 per hour
• But…income increased from $4800 to $6315.60– 30% increase in income
In-class exercise 11
Is there an incentive to work??
Now Graphically
Hours of work
Total Income
Gross Income
income
Basic support level
Benefits
A B
D
E
CW
What were those points?
• A: individual doesn’t work at all• B: hit income equal to 1080 benefits will begin to
decrease• C: decrease in benefits due rising income• D: income increasing at a slower rate due to
Marginal Tax Rate of 67%• E: income before 1967 when Marginal Tax Rate was
100%• W: increase in income as more hours are worked
Conflicting Welfare Goals
• Maybe we should decrease the Marginal Tax Rate to 33% or even zero.– What happens to the dollar per hour earned
as we decrease the Marginal Tax Rate?• Increases
• Redo in-class exercise 11 with a Marginal Tax Rate of 33%– Why don’t we do this??
• What will pay for the program?
Welfare has three distinct goals
• Provide income
• Provide work incentives
• Achieve cost minimization
Breakeven income
• Point at which the individual loses all cash benefits
• From exercise 11 what would be the breakeven income level?– (7500/.67)+1080 = 12,274.03
• If the marginal tax rate would decrease what would happen to the breakeven income?– increase
incomeddisregardeRateTax
floorincomeincomebreakeven
Where did this come from?
• What are the new benefits at the breakeven income level?– Zero
• Old benefits – (income-1080)*.67 = 0
• Solve for income– (old benefits/.67) = income - 1080– (old benefits/.67) + 1080 = income
Now adding in the in-kind programs
• Food Stamps– Coupons which people use to purchase food– Average benefit in 1999 was $272 per month
for a family of four– $9.07 per day for the family to eat three meals– $3.02 per meal for the family– $0.76 per meal per family member– Small amount per meal but increases the
standard of living for the family
• Medicaid– Medical insurance program for the poor– Annual benefit averages about $2,000 per
family of four
• Housing Assistance– Averages $2,000 per family per year– Subsidizes rent (based on income)
• If a family of four were eligible for all three…– Gain $7,264 in addition to any cash transfers
that they were eligible for
But…
• Not all in-kind benefits increase a family’s standard of living
• Not everyone is eligible for all three in-kind programs
• Now…adding these to our graph
Hours of work
Total Income
Gross Income
wage
Basic support level
Benefits
A B
D
EC
W
A*
B* E*D*
What were those points?
• A*: start at higher level to reflect in-kind and cash transfers
• B*: Cash benefits, food stamps, and housing assistance beings to decrease after disregarded income is earned
• D*: lose all food stamps and housing assistance
• E*: lose all benefits (cash and in-kind)
When do we lose benefits?
• Medicaid– Must earn < 133% of the poverty line– How much can you earn if the poverty line is
$12,000?• $15,960
• Cash transfers– Marginal Tax Rate is 67%
• In-kind transfers– Marginal tax rate is 33%
New work incentive problem
• Between B* and D* – Marginal tax rate of cash transfers??
• 67%
– Marginal tax rate of in-kind transfers??• 33%
– If gain both, what is the marginal tax rate??• 100%
– No incentive to work again
What has been tried?
• Negative income tax– Guaranteed income– Simple program because give on basis of
need– Monetary and non-monetary costs (time)
Impacts
• Family structure– No incentive to split up family, but incentive to
form household early to become eligible for aid– + and – impacts
• Work incentives– Labor force participation decreased– 5% by males, and 22% by females– Negative impact
• When do you file??
Guaranteed Jobs(Carter administration)
• Everyone willing and able to work will be found a job
• Positive impacts– Decreases need for welfare, provides a work
incentive, and promotes family stability
• Negative impacts– Very expensive– Who is able to work?– People move in and out of poverty…who do you help
first?
Workfare(Regan administration)
• Force the poor to work to keep their benefits
• Point…give back to the community that is providing for you– Community service
• What about non-participants??– Didn’t really make a difference
Edfare
• Force the poor to do “something” that will help them move off of welfare– Teach people hot to search for a job– States control
• Too much difference between states
– California• Start with a 3 week job search• If no job…enroll in training program• If still no job…perform community service
Family Support Act of 1988
• 20% of states nonexempt TANF recipients must be in edfare programs by 1995
• States required to put workfare programs in place– One parent must provide 16 hours of community
service a month
• Recipients can continue receiving Medicaid and subsidized housing for one year after leaving the poverty roles
What are the objectives of an income transfer program?
• Adequacy– People who can and can’t work have access
to adequate income levels
• Target Efficiency– Target those who are most in need
• Administrative Efficiency– Achieve goals at minimum cost
• Horizontal Equity– People in similar circumstances should be
treated equally– Problem: State run programs
• Vertical Equity– Give before judge– Those with greater needs should receive more
• Work Incentives– Should be in the interest of those to work to do
so
• Family Stability Incentive– Should promote initial family structure
• Independence– Progress should be to move people off the
program
• Coherency– Should be understandable and able to be
controlled
Anti Poverty Effects
• Goal: alleviate economic distress by those with no or low incomes
• How find??– Compare pre- and post-transfer poverty rates– Estimate degree to which transfers decreased
the poverty gap
• Findings: people remain poor after transfers BUT poverty gap is decreased
• Programs are effective!!
Chapter 5
Age and Health
Does not working = poverty?
• NO!!!– ½ of those who are poor are retired or disabled
• 3.5 million people over 65 are considered poor
• 11% of the poor are not expected to work
• What are they called?– Nonparticipants
Elderly are less likely to be poor than the non-elderly
Poverty Rate
Elderly 12.5%
Age 18-64 13%
Under age 18 18.7%
70% of the poor elderly are women
• Why??– Men of that generation worked– Men’s life expectancy is shorter
• Women – 80.1• Men – 74.8
– Women gain benefits from their husband’s job but they are cut
Poverty rate for elderly has been decreasing
• ½ of the rate in 1970
• Still considered a serious problem– Less able to get a full time job– Why?
• Firm’s don’t want to train• Less productive• Less flexible frame of mind• Won’t be able to work 40 hour weeks
Thus…working is really not an option
Life
exp
ecta
ncy
has
been
incr
easi
ng
Year Total Male Female
2004 77.6 74.8 80.1
2000 76.3 73.5 79.1
1995 75.7 72.4 79.0
1990 75.4 71.8 78.8
1985 74.7 71.1 78.2
1980 73.7 70.0 77.4
1975 72.6 68.8 76.6
1970 70.8 67.1 74.7
1960 69.7 66.6 73.1
1950 68.2 65.6 71.1
1940 62.9 60.8 65.2
What are the leading causes of death?
Total Deaths from All CausesWA State Death Certificates, 2000
1.1
1.7
2.3
3.0
4.1
4.7
6.0
8.4
24.3
25.8
18.5
0 10 20 30
All Other
Liver Disease
Suicide
Flu & Pneumonia
Diabetes
Alzheimer's
Unint. Injury
COPD
Stroke
Cancer
Heart Disease
Percent of All Deaths
Total Deaths from All CausesAge and Gender
WA State Death Certificates, 1998-2000
0 5000 10000 15000 20000
<11-4
5-1415-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465-7475-84
85+
Rate per 100,000
Female Male
Sources of Income• 10% of the elderly participate in the labor
force
• 90% are voluntarily removed from the labor market– Some of the “voluntarily” is forced early
retirement– If lose job it is harder to find a new job
Are there alternatives to working?
• Savings
• What would you guess the median net worth of an individual 60-65 would be??– 120,000
• What composes most of this??– Ownership of homes
Remember…
• This is a group of Nonparticipants
• Important to look at why???– Makes the relationship of not working =
poverty not as direct
Chapter 6
Family Size and Structure
“The Feminization of Poverty”
Female headed households have been increasing over the
last 20 years• Why?
– Increase in the number of single mothers• Out of wedlock births• Adoptions
– Increase in the number of divorces• Divorce rate in the U.S. is 52%
Changing Family Structure• Two parent families is not the norm anymore• Why?
– Increase in Divorce/Separation– Out of Wedlock Births– Death of a Spouse
• On average White FHH due to divorce• On average Black FHH due to out of wedlock
births
Questions to address
• Why has there been a rapid increase in FHH?– Not necessarily a conscious choice
• Why do FHH have high poverty rates?
Causes of Growth in FHH• Increased labor force participation by females
– 1950 – 30%– 1990 – 57.7%– Working outside the home decreased the
dependence on men’s wages – Women are less likely to stay in an unhappy
marriage
Gary Becker’s Theory of Marriage
• Decision to marry is influenced by the expected gains of the union
• Historically– Females worked at home– Males worked in the labor market– Why???
Comparative Advantage
• When you can perform the act at a lower opportunity cost than the others involved
• THE FOLLOWING SEVERAL SLIDES ARE NOT IN THE SLIDE PACKET…..
It is a matter of trade• Do we trade things of equal value?
– NO!!– Trade to gain more of what we value
• Would you trade me a dollar for a dollar?
• In order to make a trade you have to come out ahead
• Trade should create wealth – Productivity
Productivity??• Trade doesn’t always produce something• Example
– Jack has a basketball, and Jim has a baseball glove
– Jack wants a glove, and Jim wants a basketball
– Trade takes place– Wealth has been created– New arrangement makes each happier
What happened here??• Basketball and Baseball Glove are scarce resources• Each traded for a more valuable good• Each incurred a cost
– Opportunity cost– Next best alternative foregone– What you gave up to do what you are doing
• What is the opportunity cost of Jim’s trade?– Baseball glove
• What is the opportunity cost of Jack’s trade?– basketball
When will trade happen?
• When the value of exchange is greater than ONE
• So…trade when the benefits > costs
1JackFor ballofvalue
gloveofvalue
1JimFor gloveofvalue
ballofvalue
Example
Gus Harry
Lawn 40 minutes 120 minutes
Garden 80 minutes 120 minutes
Gus and Harry’s garden and lawn look EXACTLY the same upon completion
Harry offers to do ¾ of Gus’s garden if Gus mows Harry’s entire lawn
Should Gus agree to the trade??
YES!!!• For Gus
– Mow his own lawn (40 minutes)
– Mow Gus’s lawn (40 minutes)
– Do ¼ of his garden (80*.25 = 20 minutes)
– Total (100 minutes) saved 20 minutes
• For Harry– Own garden (120 minutes)
– ¾ of Harry’s garden (120*.75 = 90 minutes)
– Total (210 minutes) saved 30 minutes
• Both get everything done and have more leisure time
Law of comparative advantage
The principle that, given the freedom to respond to
market forces, people will tend to export goods for
which they have comparative advantage and import goods for which they
have comparative disadvantage, and that they will experience gains from
trade by doing so.
Producing and trading
• Two people: Elizabeth and Brian
• Each produce two goods: Bread and Apples
• Elizabeth 10 loaves of bread and 10 apples
• Brian 5 loaves of bread and 15 apples
Elizabeth Apples
Elizabeth Bread
20 0
10 10
0 20
Brian Apples Brian Bread
0 10
15 5
30 0
Comparative Advantage• Should both produce apples and bread or
should they specialize?
• What does specialize mean?– Produce the good that you do best– Produce at a lower costs than other person(s) can– Called comparative advantage– Looks at opportunity cost
• What was that?• What you have to give up• Give up less?? Have the comparative advantage
What are the opportunity costs?
• Elizabeth– If only produce bread how
many apples does she give up?
• 10 apples
– If only produces apples how much bread does she give up?
• 10 loaves of bread
• Opportunity Costs– 10 Bread = 10 Apples– 1 Bread = 1 Apple
Elizabeth Apples
Elizabeth Bread
20 0
10 10
0 20
What are the opportunity costs?
• Brian– If only produce bread
how many apples does she give up?
• 15 apples – If only produces apples
how much bread does she give up?
• 5 loaves of bread
• Opportunity Costs– 5 Bread = 15 Apples– 1 Bread = 3 Apples– 1/3 Bread = 1 Apple
Brian
Apples
Brian
Bread
0 10
15 5
30 0
Should we specialize?• Elizabeth
1 Bread = 1 Apple • Brian
1 Bread = 3 Apples 1/3 Bread = 1 Apple
• Who produces apples cheaper?• What does cheaper mean?
• Lower opportunity cost (give up less)• Brian!!! Give up only 1/3 loaves of bread
• Who produces bread cheaper?• Elizabeth!!! Give up only 1 apple
Here is the deal• Elizabeth produces only bread (20 loaves)
• Brian produces only apples (30 apples)
• Trade 8 loaves of bread for 12 apples
• Breakdown of end result– Elizabeth Bread?
• 12 loaves (20 - 8 traded)
– Elizabeth Apples?• 12 apples (0 + 12 traded)
• Brian Bread– 8 loaves (0 + 8 traded)
• Brian Apples– 18 apples (30 -12 traded)
• Are they better off??
Are they better off??
No Specialization
or Trade
Specialization and Trade
Gains from trade
Elizabeth Bread
Elizabeth Apples
Brian Bread
Brian Apples
Are they better off??No
Specialization or Trade
Specialization and Trade
Gains from trade
Elizabeth Bread
10
Elizabeth Apples
10
Brian Bread
5
Brian Apples
15
Are they better off??No
Specialization or Trade
Specialization and Trade
Gains from trade
Elizabeth Bread
10 12
Elizabeth Apples
10 12
Brian Bread
5 8
Brian Apples
15 18
Are they better off??No
Specialization or Trade
Specialization and Trade
Gains from trade
Elizabeth Bread
10 12 +2
Elizabeth Apples
10 12 +2
Brian Bread
5 8 +3
Brian Apples
15 18 +3
Both are Better off!!
Can you do it??United States United Kingdom
Clothing Food Clothing Food
40 0 60 0
20 20 30 10
0 40 0 20
1. Draw the production possibility curves for both countries. (Clothing on y-axis)
2. Which country has the comparative advantage in clothing? Food?
3. The United States and United Kingdom are negotiating a trade of food and clothing between the countries. If the terms of trade is 25 units of clothing for 15 units of food, should both counties agree?
Homework 4
Comparative Advantage
Homework
• Two countries produce two products – digital cameras and vacuum cleaners. With the same factor resources evenly allocated by each country to the production of both goods.
• Who has the comparative advantage in each?
• If the trade is 420 vacuum cleaners for 840 digital cameras, do the countries agree to the trade?
UK
Cameras
UK vacuum
US Cameras
US vacuums
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Back to Becker’s Theory of Marriage
• Men had a comparative advantage in the labor market• Why??
– More human capital, skill, and experience– Higher wages– Opportunity cost of not working is higher
• Women had a comparative advantage in home production• Why?
– Wages in the labor market would be lower– Less experience, less human capital– Less costly for them to stay out of the labor market– Opportunity cost is lower
• Because of comparative advantage marriages stayed together
Why are marriages breaking up now?
• Increase in labor force participation of females caused– Increases in human capital, skill level, and
experience– What happened to the wage?
• Increased
– What happened to the opportunity cost of not working?
• Increased
– Women not receiving as much benefit from the union as in the past
Female LFP also has increased divorces…
• Working wife may lead the man to feel inadequate as a provider
• Alters the power of the relationship
• Conflict of home duty allocation
Declining Wages and increased unemployment of men
• Median earnings for a full time male worker has declines since 1973
• Why???– Labor pool has increased
Ls’Ls
Ld
# workers
Wage
W2W1
1 2
Welfare Benefits• Some blame for contributing to marital
instability and out-of-wedlock births• Transfer payment reduce the cost of bearing
another child• Problem
– People are poor because they have no money– Tensions due to money are #1 reason for divorce– Is it the benefits that you can gain or the fighting
because you have no money that causes divorce?
• Issue has not been resolved
The Supply of Marriageable Men• William Darity Jr. and Samuel L. Myers wrote
“Changes in the Black Family Structure”
• FHH among African American Families is due to the unfavorable marriage market
• Why?– Unemployed– Jailed– Drug addicts– killed
• Females are left with only a few “good” men to choose from
• Probability of marriage is low
Changes in Social Norms & Attitudes
• Out-of-wedlock birth stigma has disappeared
• Past– Get pregnant…total embarrassment
• Now– Get pregnant…join a support group– Single parent is now an acceptable alternative
to duel parent households
Why do FHH experience poverty more??
• Low earnings capacity– Women earn less than men (wage gap is about 40%)– Less OJT, HC, less experience– Enter labor force later in life (less seniority)– More part time workers
• Inadequate or non-existent child support– 61.5% of families eligible for child support receive it– Most receive ½ of the awarded amount
• Low welfare benefits
– Poverty rates would be lower if transfers were bigger
– Widows receive two times the amount of FHH– Deserving versus non-deserving
Consequences of Poverty in FHH
• Children can grow up with– Limited resources– Poor nutrition levels– Inadequate medical services– Low investments in human capital
• Intergenerational transmission of poverty