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Chapter 3 Labor Force Participation

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Chapter 3. Labor Force Participation. Are people poor because they don’t work?. 81.3% of male headed households participate in the labor force More than 50% of females headed households participate in the labor force What does it mean to be in the labor force?? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Chapter 3

Chapter 3

Labor Force Participation

Page 2: Chapter 3

Are people poor because they don’t work?

• 81.3% of male headed households participate in the labor force

• More than 50% of females headed households participate in the labor force

• What does it mean to be in the labor force??– Employed or actively seeking work– May not be collecting a wage

Page 3: Chapter 3

Sub-employed• Discouraged worker

– Stop looking because frustrated– No longer counted as unemployed– Can be contagious

• Underemployed– Accept any job– Usually in secondary labor market

• Unemployed– Not working but attached to labor force

Page 4: Chapter 3

Why are people sub-employed??

• Conservatives– Poor are unwilling to take any job– Have unrealistic job expectations

• Liberals– Poor lack the opportunity or education to get

jobs that will assure a decent standard of living

Page 5: Chapter 3

Official Definition of Unemployed

• A person 16 years or older is unemployed if he/she– Is not currently working– Has actively looked for work during the

previous four weeks– Is currently available for work

Page 6: Chapter 3

Types of Unemployment

• Frictional– Arises from normal operations of the labor

market– Labor markets are dynamic and information is

not perfect– In between jobs

• Seasonal– Can’t work due to seasonal patterns

Page 7: Chapter 3

• Structural

– Imbalance between skills have and those demanded by labor market

– Lack of proper training– Monetary and Non-monetary costs

• Cyclical– Demand deficient unemployment– Associated with the business cycle– Aggregate Demand: total amount of goods and services

demanded by all people– Aggregate Supply: Total amount of good and services

supplied by all people

Page 8: Chapter 3

GDP (in trillions)

Price

2 5

AD’AD

AS

Unemployment because need 3 trillion less units of the good

Page 9: Chapter 3

Natural Rate of Unemployment

• Frictional + Seasonal + Structural + Cyclical

• Estimated at 5%

• Can this figure ever be zero?– No…why??– Cyclical is the only type of unemployment that

could even in theory be zero

Page 10: Chapter 3

Costs of Unemployment• Economic

– Inefficient because not using all our resources– Okun’s Law

• For every 1% increase in unemployment there is a 2.5% decrease in GDP

– If we are inefficient where are we on the PPC??• Inside the curve

• Social– Loss of self respect, erosion of stable family,

more crime, homelessness, discrimination

Page 11: Chapter 3

Roger and me

Pick out as many costs of unemployment as you can…the

person with the most will get extra credit!!!

Page 12: Chapter 3

Relative Importance of Income Sources

• Differ for poor and non-poor– Average incomes differ by $27,396– Part of this gap is closed by in-kind transfers– Gap can be closed by labor market earnings– Poor either not work enough or are paid too

little

Page 13: Chapter 3

Non-Poor: Average Income = $35,038

82%

2%

16%

Earnings

Cash Welfare

Other Sources

Poor: Average Income = $7,642

56%25%

19%

Earnings

Cash Welfare

Other Sources

Page 14: Chapter 3

Nonparticipants

• If you don’t work you run the risk of poverty…but not a simple relationship– ½ of nonparticipants are children under age 16– 20 million are retired– 8 million are over 16 but full time students– 10 million are institutionalized, sick or disabled– 23 million are women who consider themselves

homemakers– 6 million are others who just don’t work

Page 15: Chapter 3

Remember duration is important

½ of those who experience unemployment stay unemployed

for greater than 5 weeks

Page 16: Chapter 3

Review

• Poor families receive most of their income from work– Labor force participation is key

• Many are sub-employed– Discouraged worker, underemployed, unemployed

Page 17: Chapter 3

Is reducing poverty a societal goal?

• Public Policy affects Aggregate Demand– If increase AD more jobs– No need for more products = surplus– Expensive for the firm– Must layoff workers to compensate

• Is there an opportunity cost of unemployment???– Yes….inflation

Page 18: Chapter 3

Phillips Curve

• Statistical Relationship between unemployment and inflation– Not a series of equilibrium points

• Shows the Short Run tradeoff between unemployment and inflation

• Can relate to Aggregate Supply Curve

Page 19: Chapter 3

Aggregate Supply

AS

Quantity

Price

Page 20: Chapter 3

What are the relationships??

• Between Prices and Inflation?– Positive– Inflation is the rate of change of prices

• Between Quantity produced and Unemployment?– Negative– Produce more??? You need more people

(unemployment decreases)

Page 21: Chapter 3

Phillips Curve

Unemployment

Inflation

Natural RateOf Unemployment

ExpectedRate ofInflation

Page 22: Chapter 3

More Phillips Curve…

• Negative relationship between inflation and unemployment

• What would happen on the Phillips Curve if Aggregate Demand would increase?– Move up the curve– Because unemployment would decrease

• What would happen on the Phillips Curve if Aggregate Demand would decrease?– Move down the curve– Because unemployment would increase

Page 23: Chapter 3

Long Run Phillips Curve

• Represents equilibrium

• Vertical at the natural rate of unemploymentInflation

UnemploymentNatural Rate

Page 24: Chapter 3

In-class exercise 9

The Phillips Curve

Page 25: Chapter 3

Phillips Curve worked until the early 1970s

• Due to Stagflation – High rates of unemployment and inflation

from supply shocks

ASAS’

AD

Quantity

Price

P2

P1

Q1Q2

Page 26: Chapter 3

Summary• Price increased

– Inflation did what??• Increased

• Quantity decreased– Unemployment did what??

• Increased

• Phillips Curve says they should move in the opposite direction!!

Page 27: Chapter 3

So…

• Phillips Curve still used by economists but less faith is put in it

• Politicians disagree about it also…– Conservatives

• Slope is steep

– Liberals• Slope is flat

• Important in decision whether or not to fight inflation

Page 28: Chapter 3

Inflation Inflation

Unemployment UnemploymentConservatives (Republicans)Fight Inflation

Liberals (Democrats)Don’t Fight Inflation

Big decrease in inflation with only Small increases in unemployment

Small decrease in inflation butBig increases in unemployment

Page 29: Chapter 3

Chapter 4

The Working Poor

Page 30: Chapter 3

Is it possible to eliminate poverty by providing everyone a

job?• Statistics say no!!

• Most of the poor population work– Don’t work enough– Work part time or part year

• New problem– Low wages

Page 31: Chapter 3

Where do wages come from?

• Interaction of the Supply and Demand for Labor

• Where does demand for labor come from?– Firms

• What are the important variables?– Wages and number of workers

• What relationship do these variables have?– Negative

Page 32: Chapter 3

What happens when wages increase?

• Higher costs for the firm– What happens to prices?– increase– What happens to output?– decrease– What happens to the number of workers needed?– decreases

• Change from using labor to capital

Page 33: Chapter 3

What factors affect the demand for labor?

• Demand for the product– Increase???

• More output needed so more workers needed

• Price of inputs– Increase???

• Costs increases so less output produced and less workers needed

• Available technology???– Increase???

• More capital used so less workers needed

Page 34: Chapter 3

What determines the Supply of Labor?

• Workers• What is the slope?

– Positive or Zero depending on whether it is the market or firm

• Market Labor Supply– Positive Slope– If wages of secretaries increase (ceteris

paribus) more people want to be secretaries

Page 35: Chapter 3

• Firm Labor Supply– Horizontal– If all firms were offering similar wages and

everyone had enough workers….• How many workers will want to work at a lower

wage?– NONE

• What if firms want to offer a higher wage? How many workers will they get?

– Infinitely many…but the firm already had enough» Higher wages will only increase the costs to the firm

• Everyone offers the same wage…which is???– MARKET EQUILIBRIUM WAGE

Page 36: Chapter 3

# workers # workers

Wage Wage

Ld Ld

Ls

Ls

Market Firm

Page 37: Chapter 3

What about between occupations??

• A decrease in the Ls of one occupation could increase the Ls in another occupation

• Remember– A decrease in Ls is a shift to the left– An increase in Ls is a shift to the right

Page 38: Chapter 3

In-class exercise 10

What happens as workers change occupations?

Page 39: Chapter 3

# workers # workers

Wage Wage

Ld Ld

Ls Ls

Sales Computer

Ls’

Ls’

W1

W2

W1

W2

N2 N2N1 N1

Equilibrium Wages Can Change Overtime!!

Page 40: Chapter 3

Since Ld is downward sloping,

if wage gets too high will the firm stop hiring workers?

NO…workers add to output and revenue

Page 41: Chapter 3

Marginal Product of Labor (MPL)

• Additional output that can be produced by a firm when they hire one additional worker

• What is the goal of the firm??– Maximize profits– Profits = Revenue – Costs

Page 42: Chapter 3

So…

• Employ up to the point where the additional revenue (Marginal Revenue) just equals the additional cost (Marginal Cost) of that worker

• If MR > MC what should the firm do– Hire another worker

• If MC > MR what should the firm do– Don’t hire

Page 43: Chapter 3

Does does MPL look like either of these?

MP MP

Number of WorkersNumber of Workers

Page 44: Chapter 3

Number of Workers

MP

Hire Don’t Hire

Stop HiringMR=MC

MR>MC

MR<MC

Page 45: Chapter 3

Marginal Revenue Product of Labor (MRPL)

• Value of the additional output produced

• MRPL = MPL * P

Page 46: Chapter 3

What about the cost side?• What is the MC or additional cost per

worker?– Wage

• Want to hire until revenue made by the last worker = cost of the last worker– Hire until MR = MC

• What is the MR??– MPL * P

• Hire until MPL * P = wage

Page 47: Chapter 3

In-class exercise 11

Hire or Not???

Page 48: Chapter 3

Why is the wage rate too low??MPL * P = wage

• MPL is too low– MPL poor < MPL non-poor– Too little education– Not enough skills or experience

• Price too low– Farmers during a good harvest because

everyone is probably having a good harvest

Page 49: Chapter 3

Where does income come from?

• Wages

• Capital/assets

• Government transfers

• If first two do not equal some “required minimum” then the third entered

Page 50: Chapter 3

Summary: The poor have lower wages because…

• Low Marginal Revenue Product of Labor– Low levels of training/education– Low price of the output– Work in markets with restricted demand– Work in markets with high labor supply– Work in non-unionized markets

• Discrimination

Page 51: Chapter 3

What can we do??• Increase productivity

– Subsidize education– Job placement

• Guaranteed minimum income

• Government intervention in the labor market

• But…give people something for free and it decreases the incentive to get it on your own.

Page 52: Chapter 3

Chapter 11

Welfare Programs

Page 53: Chapter 3

Movie: Ending Welfare as We Know It

Homework: Detail the changes that the Clinton Administration tried and the

impacts of these changes on the families depicted

Page 54: Chapter 3

Chapter 11

Welfare Programs

Page 55: Chapter 3

What is the history of helping the poor?

• Great Depression brought high unemployment– Enacted income security programs as part of the New

Deal

• Late 1950s and Early 1960s Kennedy set fighting poverty as a major goal– Highlighted by the Civil Rights March in August 1963

• 1964 Johnson declared poverty as part of his Great Society plan– Goal: reducing poverty, eliminate discrimination, and

begin training programs

Page 56: Chapter 3

• Late 1960s – Early 1970s Nixon supported

a cash and food stamp program for the poor

• Republicans pushed harder for the cash transfers

Page 57: Chapter 3

Income transfer payments

• Money income transferred from the government to the poor

• Two types:– Social insurance programs

• Benefits given on a basis of previous service or contribution (social security or unemployment)

– Means-tested program• Benefits given on the basis of need

Page 58: Chapter 3

Basic Idea

• Give money to the poor and it will eliminate poverty

• Monetary transfers are referred to as welfare or public assistance

• In 1987 48 billion dollars would have been necessary to put everyone in poverty above the poverty standard

Page 59: Chapter 3

Problems

• Exclusive reliance – People will never escape poverty if the

government gives freely– Lead to perpetual poverty

• No work incentive

Page 60: Chapter 3

Cash Assistance Programs

• Supplementary Security Insurance– For the elderly, blind or disabled

• Temporary Aid To Needy Families (TNAF)– Provide families whose father is absent or disabled– 1961 Congress permitted but didn’t require aid to be

extended to two parent families– 1968 Supreme eliminated the no man in the house

requirement– Was called Aid to Families with Dependent Children

(AFDC)• Changed July 1, 1997

Page 61: Chapter 3

• General Assistance– Given by each state– Assistance for the needy

Page 62: Chapter 3

How much does each give??

Program Number of recipients

Average monthly payment

SSI 5.3 million 364

TANF 14.1 million 137

GA 1.2 million 150

Page 63: Chapter 3

Is this amount adequate???• A mother with two children receives about

$10,200 in benefits.

• This is about ½ of the poverty standard

• Is this fair?– SSI gives more than 2.6 times more than TANF

• Other Problems– With TANF most male headed households

don’t qualify– Deserving vs. non-deserving

Page 64: Chapter 3

Family Disincentive Issue

• Targeting female heads of households may create more female headed families– Females may leave home to create a separate

household– May increase likelihood of separation or divorce– May increase likelihood of having more children

• New programs designed to help reduce this problem

– Fathers may leave to increase eligibility

Page 65: Chapter 3

Work Disincentive Issue

• Until 1967 there was no incentive to work– Every $1 earned in the labor market, welfare benefits

decreased by $1

• Marginal Tax Rate was 100%• What is the Marginal Tax Rate?

– Tax on the last (additional) dollar earned

• Program was changed in 1967 to try to fix the problem.– Marginal tax rate decreased to 67%

Page 66: Chapter 3

Before 1967• A mother with 3 children could receive $400 per month

($4800 a year) and was able to find a part time job paying $5 per hour for 10 hours a week for 48 weeks. How much would her benefits decrease if she took the job?

• How much does she earn at her job?– 5*10*48 = 2400

• Original benefits – amount earned from job = new benefit amount– 4800 – 2400 = 2400

• How much is she actual earning per hour from her job?– $0.00 per hour

Page 67: Chapter 3

Changes in 1967

• Marginal Tax Rate was decreased to 67%

• Disregarded the first $1080 of income earned in the labor market– $720 per year for work release expenses– $360 per year for other general expenses

Page 68: Chapter 3

Did it make a difference?

• Basic structure:

hourperEarnedDollarActualworkedHoursincometoAddition

workingfromincomeinchangebenefitsoriginalincomeTotal

incomeTotalIncomeBenefitsNew

benefitsnewincomebenefitsoriginal

/.)4

.)3

.)2

67.*)1080(.)1

Page 69: Chapter 3

In-class exerciseDid it make a difference?

A mother with 3 children could receive $400 per month ($4800 a year) and was able to find a part time job paying $5 per hour for 10 hours a week for 48 weeks.

How much would her benefits decrease if she took the job?

Page 70: Chapter 3

Solution

• Earnings: 2400

• New benefits: 4800 – (2400-1080)*.67 = 3915.60

• Total Earnings: 2400 + 3915.60 = 6315.60

• Additional Income: 6315.60 – 4800 = 1515.60

• Dollar Per hour earned: 1515.60/480 = $3.15

Page 71: Chapter 3

Does this really give the incentive to work??

• Earn $3.15 per hour of $5 per hour job

• Include in child care, transportation, and other necessities and you now earn under $2 per hour

• But…income increased from $4800 to $6315.60– 30% increase in income

Page 72: Chapter 3

In-class exercise 11

Is there an incentive to work??

Page 73: Chapter 3

Now Graphically

Hours of work

Total Income

Gross Income

income

Basic support level

Benefits

A B

D

E

CW

Page 74: Chapter 3

What were those points?

• A: individual doesn’t work at all• B: hit income equal to 1080 benefits will begin to

decrease• C: decrease in benefits due rising income• D: income increasing at a slower rate due to

Marginal Tax Rate of 67%• E: income before 1967 when Marginal Tax Rate was

100%• W: increase in income as more hours are worked

Page 75: Chapter 3

Conflicting Welfare Goals

• Maybe we should decrease the Marginal Tax Rate to 33% or even zero.– What happens to the dollar per hour earned

as we decrease the Marginal Tax Rate?• Increases

• Redo in-class exercise 11 with a Marginal Tax Rate of 33%– Why don’t we do this??

• What will pay for the program?

Page 76: Chapter 3

Welfare has three distinct goals

• Provide income

• Provide work incentives

• Achieve cost minimization

Page 77: Chapter 3

Breakeven income

• Point at which the individual loses all cash benefits

• From exercise 11 what would be the breakeven income level?– (7500/.67)+1080 = 12,274.03

• If the marginal tax rate would decrease what would happen to the breakeven income?– increase

incomeddisregardeRateTax

floorincomeincomebreakeven

Page 78: Chapter 3

Where did this come from?

• What are the new benefits at the breakeven income level?– Zero

• Old benefits – (income-1080)*.67 = 0

• Solve for income– (old benefits/.67) = income - 1080– (old benefits/.67) + 1080 = income

Page 79: Chapter 3

Now adding in the in-kind programs

• Food Stamps– Coupons which people use to purchase food– Average benefit in 1999 was $272 per month

for a family of four– $9.07 per day for the family to eat three meals– $3.02 per meal for the family– $0.76 per meal per family member– Small amount per meal but increases the

standard of living for the family

Page 80: Chapter 3

• Medicaid– Medical insurance program for the poor– Annual benefit averages about $2,000 per

family of four

• Housing Assistance– Averages $2,000 per family per year– Subsidizes rent (based on income)

• If a family of four were eligible for all three…– Gain $7,264 in addition to any cash transfers

that they were eligible for

Page 81: Chapter 3

But…

• Not all in-kind benefits increase a family’s standard of living

• Not everyone is eligible for all three in-kind programs

• Now…adding these to our graph

Page 82: Chapter 3

Hours of work

Total Income

Gross Income

wage

Basic support level

Benefits

A B

D

EC

W

A*

B* E*D*

Page 83: Chapter 3

What were those points?

• A*: start at higher level to reflect in-kind and cash transfers

• B*: Cash benefits, food stamps, and housing assistance beings to decrease after disregarded income is earned

• D*: lose all food stamps and housing assistance

• E*: lose all benefits (cash and in-kind)

Page 84: Chapter 3

When do we lose benefits?

• Medicaid– Must earn < 133% of the poverty line– How much can you earn if the poverty line is

$12,000?• $15,960

• Cash transfers– Marginal Tax Rate is 67%

• In-kind transfers– Marginal tax rate is 33%

Page 85: Chapter 3

New work incentive problem

• Between B* and D* – Marginal tax rate of cash transfers??

• 67%

– Marginal tax rate of in-kind transfers??• 33%

– If gain both, what is the marginal tax rate??• 100%

– No incentive to work again

Page 86: Chapter 3

What has been tried?

• Negative income tax– Guaranteed income– Simple program because give on basis of

need– Monetary and non-monetary costs (time)

Page 87: Chapter 3

Impacts

• Family structure– No incentive to split up family, but incentive to

form household early to become eligible for aid– + and – impacts

• Work incentives– Labor force participation decreased– 5% by males, and 22% by females– Negative impact

• When do you file??

Page 88: Chapter 3

Guaranteed Jobs(Carter administration)

• Everyone willing and able to work will be found a job

• Positive impacts– Decreases need for welfare, provides a work

incentive, and promotes family stability

• Negative impacts– Very expensive– Who is able to work?– People move in and out of poverty…who do you help

first?

Page 89: Chapter 3

Workfare(Regan administration)

• Force the poor to work to keep their benefits

• Point…give back to the community that is providing for you– Community service

• What about non-participants??– Didn’t really make a difference

Page 90: Chapter 3

Edfare

• Force the poor to do “something” that will help them move off of welfare– Teach people hot to search for a job– States control

• Too much difference between states

– California• Start with a 3 week job search• If no job…enroll in training program• If still no job…perform community service

Page 91: Chapter 3

Family Support Act of 1988

• 20% of states nonexempt TANF recipients must be in edfare programs by 1995

• States required to put workfare programs in place– One parent must provide 16 hours of community

service a month

• Recipients can continue receiving Medicaid and subsidized housing for one year after leaving the poverty roles

Page 92: Chapter 3

What are the objectives of an income transfer program?

• Adequacy– People who can and can’t work have access

to adequate income levels

• Target Efficiency– Target those who are most in need

• Administrative Efficiency– Achieve goals at minimum cost

Page 93: Chapter 3

• Horizontal Equity– People in similar circumstances should be

treated equally– Problem: State run programs

• Vertical Equity– Give before judge– Those with greater needs should receive more

• Work Incentives– Should be in the interest of those to work to do

so

Page 94: Chapter 3

• Family Stability Incentive– Should promote initial family structure

• Independence– Progress should be to move people off the

program

• Coherency– Should be understandable and able to be

controlled

Page 95: Chapter 3

Anti Poverty Effects

• Goal: alleviate economic distress by those with no or low incomes

• How find??– Compare pre- and post-transfer poverty rates– Estimate degree to which transfers decreased

the poverty gap

• Findings: people remain poor after transfers BUT poverty gap is decreased

• Programs are effective!!

Page 96: Chapter 3

Chapter 5

Age and Health

Page 97: Chapter 3

Does not working = poverty?

• NO!!!– ½ of those who are poor are retired or disabled

• 3.5 million people over 65 are considered poor

• 11% of the poor are not expected to work

• What are they called?– Nonparticipants

Page 98: Chapter 3

Elderly are less likely to be poor than the non-elderly

Poverty Rate

Elderly 12.5%

Age 18-64 13%

Under age 18 18.7%

Page 99: Chapter 3

70% of the poor elderly are women

• Why??– Men of that generation worked– Men’s life expectancy is shorter

• Women – 80.1• Men – 74.8

– Women gain benefits from their husband’s job but they are cut

Page 100: Chapter 3

Poverty rate for elderly has been decreasing

• ½ of the rate in 1970

• Still considered a serious problem– Less able to get a full time job– Why?

• Firm’s don’t want to train• Less productive• Less flexible frame of mind• Won’t be able to work 40 hour weeks

Page 101: Chapter 3

Thus…working is really not an option

Page 102: Chapter 3

Life

exp

ecta

ncy

has

been

incr

easi

ng

Year Total Male Female

2004 77.6 74.8 80.1

2000 76.3 73.5 79.1

1995 75.7 72.4 79.0

1990 75.4 71.8 78.8

1985 74.7 71.1 78.2

1980 73.7 70.0 77.4

1975 72.6 68.8 76.6

1970 70.8 67.1 74.7

1960 69.7 66.6 73.1

1950 68.2 65.6 71.1

1940 62.9 60.8 65.2

Page 103: Chapter 3

What are the leading causes of death?

Total Deaths from All CausesWA State Death Certificates, 2000

1.1

1.7

2.3

3.0

4.1

4.7

6.0

8.4

24.3

25.8

18.5

0 10 20 30

All Other

Liver Disease

Suicide

Flu & Pneumonia

Diabetes

Alzheimer's

Unint. Injury

COPD

Stroke

Cancer

Heart Disease

Percent of All Deaths

Page 104: Chapter 3

Total Deaths from All CausesAge and Gender

WA State Death Certificates, 1998-2000

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

<11-4

5-1415-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465-7475-84

85+

Rate per 100,000

Female Male

Page 105: Chapter 3

Sources of Income• 10% of the elderly participate in the labor

force

• 90% are voluntarily removed from the labor market– Some of the “voluntarily” is forced early

retirement– If lose job it is harder to find a new job

Page 106: Chapter 3

Are there alternatives to working?

• Savings

• What would you guess the median net worth of an individual 60-65 would be??– 120,000

• What composes most of this??– Ownership of homes

Page 107: Chapter 3

Remember…

• This is a group of Nonparticipants

• Important to look at why???– Makes the relationship of not working =

poverty not as direct

Page 108: Chapter 3

Chapter 6

Family Size and Structure

“The Feminization of Poverty”

Page 109: Chapter 3

Female headed households have been increasing over the

last 20 years• Why?

– Increase in the number of single mothers• Out of wedlock births• Adoptions

– Increase in the number of divorces• Divorce rate in the U.S. is 52%

Page 110: Chapter 3

Changing Family Structure• Two parent families is not the norm anymore• Why?

– Increase in Divorce/Separation– Out of Wedlock Births– Death of a Spouse

• On average White FHH due to divorce• On average Black FHH due to out of wedlock

births

Page 111: Chapter 3

Questions to address

• Why has there been a rapid increase in FHH?– Not necessarily a conscious choice

• Why do FHH have high poverty rates?

Page 112: Chapter 3

Causes of Growth in FHH• Increased labor force participation by females

– 1950 – 30%– 1990 – 57.7%– Working outside the home decreased the

dependence on men’s wages – Women are less likely to stay in an unhappy

marriage

Page 113: Chapter 3

Gary Becker’s Theory of Marriage

• Decision to marry is influenced by the expected gains of the union

• Historically– Females worked at home– Males worked in the labor market– Why???

Page 114: Chapter 3

Comparative Advantage

• When you can perform the act at a lower opportunity cost than the others involved

• THE FOLLOWING SEVERAL SLIDES ARE NOT IN THE SLIDE PACKET…..

Page 115: Chapter 3

It is a matter of trade• Do we trade things of equal value?

– NO!!– Trade to gain more of what we value

• Would you trade me a dollar for a dollar?

• In order to make a trade you have to come out ahead

• Trade should create wealth – Productivity

Page 116: Chapter 3

Productivity??• Trade doesn’t always produce something• Example

– Jack has a basketball, and Jim has a baseball glove

– Jack wants a glove, and Jim wants a basketball

– Trade takes place– Wealth has been created– New arrangement makes each happier

Page 117: Chapter 3

What happened here??• Basketball and Baseball Glove are scarce resources• Each traded for a more valuable good• Each incurred a cost

– Opportunity cost– Next best alternative foregone– What you gave up to do what you are doing

• What is the opportunity cost of Jim’s trade?– Baseball glove

• What is the opportunity cost of Jack’s trade?– basketball

Page 118: Chapter 3

When will trade happen?

• When the value of exchange is greater than ONE

• So…trade when the benefits > costs

1JackFor ballofvalue

gloveofvalue

1JimFor gloveofvalue

ballofvalue

Page 119: Chapter 3

Example

Gus Harry

Lawn 40 minutes 120 minutes

Garden 80 minutes 120 minutes

Gus and Harry’s garden and lawn look EXACTLY the same upon completion

Harry offers to do ¾ of Gus’s garden if Gus mows Harry’s entire lawn

Should Gus agree to the trade??

Page 120: Chapter 3

YES!!!• For Gus

– Mow his own lawn (40 minutes)

– Mow Gus’s lawn (40 minutes)

– Do ¼ of his garden (80*.25 = 20 minutes)

– Total (100 minutes) saved 20 minutes

• For Harry– Own garden (120 minutes)

– ¾ of Harry’s garden (120*.75 = 90 minutes)

– Total (210 minutes) saved 30 minutes

• Both get everything done and have more leisure time

Page 121: Chapter 3

Law of comparative advantage

The principle that, given the freedom to respond to

market forces, people will tend to export goods for

which they have comparative advantage and import goods for which they

have comparative disadvantage, and that they will experience gains from

trade by doing so.

Page 122: Chapter 3

Producing and trading

• Two people: Elizabeth and Brian

• Each produce two goods: Bread and Apples

• Elizabeth 10 loaves of bread and 10 apples

• Brian 5 loaves of bread and 15 apples

Elizabeth Apples

Elizabeth Bread

20 0

10 10

0 20

Brian Apples Brian Bread

0 10

15 5

30 0

Page 123: Chapter 3

Comparative Advantage• Should both produce apples and bread or

should they specialize?

• What does specialize mean?– Produce the good that you do best– Produce at a lower costs than other person(s) can– Called comparative advantage– Looks at opportunity cost

• What was that?• What you have to give up• Give up less?? Have the comparative advantage

Page 124: Chapter 3

What are the opportunity costs?

• Elizabeth– If only produce bread how

many apples does she give up?

• 10 apples

– If only produces apples how much bread does she give up?

• 10 loaves of bread

• Opportunity Costs– 10 Bread = 10 Apples– 1 Bread = 1 Apple

Elizabeth Apples

Elizabeth Bread

20 0

10 10

0 20

Page 125: Chapter 3

What are the opportunity costs?

• Brian– If only produce bread

how many apples does she give up?

• 15 apples – If only produces apples

how much bread does she give up?

• 5 loaves of bread

• Opportunity Costs– 5 Bread = 15 Apples– 1 Bread = 3 Apples– 1/3 Bread = 1 Apple

Brian

Apples

Brian

Bread

0 10

15 5

30 0

Page 126: Chapter 3

Should we specialize?• Elizabeth

1 Bread = 1 Apple • Brian

1 Bread = 3 Apples 1/3 Bread = 1 Apple

• Who produces apples cheaper?• What does cheaper mean?

• Lower opportunity cost (give up less)• Brian!!! Give up only 1/3 loaves of bread

• Who produces bread cheaper?• Elizabeth!!! Give up only 1 apple

Page 127: Chapter 3

Here is the deal• Elizabeth produces only bread (20 loaves)

• Brian produces only apples (30 apples)

• Trade 8 loaves of bread for 12 apples

• Breakdown of end result– Elizabeth Bread?

• 12 loaves (20 - 8 traded)

– Elizabeth Apples?• 12 apples (0 + 12 traded)

Page 128: Chapter 3

• Brian Bread– 8 loaves (0 + 8 traded)

• Brian Apples– 18 apples (30 -12 traded)

• Are they better off??

Page 129: Chapter 3

Are they better off??

No Specialization

or Trade

Specialization and Trade

Gains from trade

Elizabeth Bread

Elizabeth Apples

Brian Bread

Brian Apples

Page 130: Chapter 3

Are they better off??No

Specialization or Trade

Specialization and Trade

Gains from trade

Elizabeth Bread

10

Elizabeth Apples

10

Brian Bread

5

Brian Apples

15

Page 131: Chapter 3

Are they better off??No

Specialization or Trade

Specialization and Trade

Gains from trade

Elizabeth Bread

10 12

Elizabeth Apples

10 12

Brian Bread

5 8

Brian Apples

15 18

Page 132: Chapter 3

Are they better off??No

Specialization or Trade

Specialization and Trade

Gains from trade

Elizabeth Bread

10 12 +2

Elizabeth Apples

10 12 +2

Brian Bread

5 8 +3

Brian Apples

15 18 +3

Page 133: Chapter 3

Both are Better off!!

Page 134: Chapter 3

Can you do it??United States United Kingdom

Clothing Food Clothing Food

40 0 60 0

20 20 30 10

0 40 0 20

1. Draw the production possibility curves for both countries. (Clothing on y-axis)

2. Which country has the comparative advantage in clothing? Food?

3. The United States and United Kingdom are negotiating a trade of food and clothing between the countries. If the terms of trade is 25 units of clothing for 15 units of food, should both counties agree?

Page 135: Chapter 3

Homework 4

Comparative Advantage

Page 136: Chapter 3

Homework

• Two countries produce two products – digital cameras and vacuum cleaners. With the same factor resources evenly allocated by each country to the production of both goods.

• Who has the comparative advantage in each?

• If the trade is 420 vacuum cleaners for 840 digital cameras, do the countries agree to the trade?

UK

Cameras

UK vacuum

US Cameras

US vacuums

0 1200 0 2200

600 600 2400 1000

800 0 3360 0

Page 137: Chapter 3

Back to Becker’s Theory of Marriage

• Men had a comparative advantage in the labor market• Why??

– More human capital, skill, and experience– Higher wages– Opportunity cost of not working is higher

• Women had a comparative advantage in home production• Why?

– Wages in the labor market would be lower– Less experience, less human capital– Less costly for them to stay out of the labor market– Opportunity cost is lower

• Because of comparative advantage marriages stayed together

Page 138: Chapter 3

Why are marriages breaking up now?

• Increase in labor force participation of females caused– Increases in human capital, skill level, and

experience– What happened to the wage?

• Increased

– What happened to the opportunity cost of not working?

• Increased

– Women not receiving as much benefit from the union as in the past

Page 139: Chapter 3

Female LFP also has increased divorces…

• Working wife may lead the man to feel inadequate as a provider

• Alters the power of the relationship

• Conflict of home duty allocation

Page 140: Chapter 3

Declining Wages and increased unemployment of men

• Median earnings for a full time male worker has declines since 1973

• Why???– Labor pool has increased

Ls’Ls

Ld

# workers

Wage

W2W1

1 2

Page 141: Chapter 3

Welfare Benefits• Some blame for contributing to marital

instability and out-of-wedlock births• Transfer payment reduce the cost of bearing

another child• Problem

– People are poor because they have no money– Tensions due to money are #1 reason for divorce– Is it the benefits that you can gain or the fighting

because you have no money that causes divorce?

• Issue has not been resolved

Page 142: Chapter 3

The Supply of Marriageable Men• William Darity Jr. and Samuel L. Myers wrote

“Changes in the Black Family Structure”

• FHH among African American Families is due to the unfavorable marriage market

• Why?– Unemployed– Jailed– Drug addicts– killed

Page 143: Chapter 3

• Females are left with only a few “good” men to choose from

• Probability of marriage is low

Page 144: Chapter 3

Changes in Social Norms & Attitudes

• Out-of-wedlock birth stigma has disappeared

• Past– Get pregnant…total embarrassment

• Now– Get pregnant…join a support group– Single parent is now an acceptable alternative

to duel parent households

Page 145: Chapter 3

Why do FHH experience poverty more??

• Low earnings capacity– Women earn less than men (wage gap is about 40%)– Less OJT, HC, less experience– Enter labor force later in life (less seniority)– More part time workers

• Inadequate or non-existent child support– 61.5% of families eligible for child support receive it– Most receive ½ of the awarded amount

Page 146: Chapter 3

• Low welfare benefits

– Poverty rates would be lower if transfers were bigger

– Widows receive two times the amount of FHH– Deserving versus non-deserving

Page 147: Chapter 3

Consequences of Poverty in FHH

• Children can grow up with– Limited resources– Poor nutrition levels– Inadequate medical services– Low investments in human capital

• Intergenerational transmission of poverty