chapter 31introduction to statistical quality control, 7th edition by douglas c. montgomery....

62
Chapter 3 1 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Upload: amelia-clare-hood

Post on 18-Jan-2018

244 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

Chapter 33Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Easy to find percentiles of the data; see page 69 Stem-and-Leaf Display 3.1 Describing Variation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 1Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 2: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Learning Objectives

Chapter 3 2Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 3: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 3Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Easy to find percentiles of the data; see page 69

Stem-and-Leaf Display3.1 Describing Variation

Page 4: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 4Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Also called a run chart

Plot of Data in Time OrderMarginal plot produced by MINITAB

Page 5: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 5Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Group values of the variable into bins, then count the number of observations that fall into each bin

Plot frequency (or relative frequency) versus the values of the variable

Histograms – Useful for large data sets

Page 6: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 6Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 7: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Additional Minitab Graphs

Chapter 3 7Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 8: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 8Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 9: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 9Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Numerical Summary of DataSample average:

Page 10: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 10Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 11: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

The Standard Deviation

Chapter 3 11Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 12: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 12Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Box Plot(or Box-and-Whisker Plot)

Page 13: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 13Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Comparative Box Plots

Page 14: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 14Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Probability Distributions

Page 15: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 15Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 16: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 16Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Will see many examples in the text

Sometimes called a probability mass function

Sometimes called a probability density function

Page 17: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 17Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 18: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 18Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 19: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 19Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The mean is the point at which the distribution exactly “balances”.

Page 20: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 20Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The mean is not necessarily the 50th percentile of the distribution (that’s the median)

The mean is not necessarily the most likely value of the random variable (that’s the mode)

Page 21: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 21Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 22: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 22Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Hypergeometric Distribution

3.2 Important Discrete Distributions

Page 23: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 23Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Discrete distributions are used frequently in designing acceptance sampling plans – see Chapter 15

Page 24: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 24Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 25: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 25Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Basis is in Bernoulli trials

The random variable x is the number of successes out of n Bernoulli trials with constant probability of success p on each trial

The Binomial Distribution

Page 26: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 26Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 27: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Binomial Distributions

Chapter 3 27Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 28: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 28Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 29: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 29Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Frequently used as a model for count data

The Poisson Distribution

Page 30: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 30Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 31: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 32: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 32Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The random variable x is the number of Bernoulli trials upon which the rth success occurs

The Negative Binomial Distribution

Page 33: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 33Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

•The negative binomial distribution is also sometimes called the Pascal distribution

•When r = 1 the negative binomial distribution is known as the geometric distribution

• The geometric distribution has many useful applications in SQC

Page 34: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Geometric Distribution

Chapter 3 34Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 35: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 35Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Normal Distribution3.3 Important Continuous Distributions

Page 36: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 36Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 37: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 37Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 38: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 38Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 39: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 39Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 40: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 40Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 41: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

The Central Limit Theorem

Chapter 3 41Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Practical interpretation – the sum of independent random variables is approximately normally distributed regardless of the distribution of each individual random variable in the sum

Page 42: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 42Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Lognormal Distribution

Page 43: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 43Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 44: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 44Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 45: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 45Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Exponential Distribution

Page 46: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 46Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Relationship between the Poisson and exponential distributions

Page 47: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Lack-of-memory property

Chapter 3 47Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 48: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 48Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Gamma Distribution

Page 49: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 49Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 50: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 50Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

When r is an integer, the gamma distribution is the result of summing r independently and identically exponential random variables each with parameter λ.

The gamma distribution has many applications in reliability engineering.

Page 51: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 51Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

The Weibull Distribution

Page 52: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 52Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

When β = 1, the Weibull reduces to

the exponential

Page 53: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

An Application of the Weibull Distribution

Chapter 3 53Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 54: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 54Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

• Determining if a sample of data might reasonably be assumed to come from a specific distribution

• Probability plots are available for various distributions

• Easy to construct with computer software (MINITAB)

• Subjective interpretation

3.4 Probability Plots

Page 55: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Normal Probability Plot

Chapter 3 55Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 56: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 56Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 57: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

The Normal Probability Plot on Standard Graph Paper

Chapter 3 57Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 58: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 58Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Other Probability Plots

• What is a reasonable choice as a probability model for these data?

Page 59: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 59Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 60: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 60Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

3.5 Some Useful Approximations

Page 61: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 61Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Page 62: Chapter 31Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc

Chapter 3 62Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2012  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Learning Objectives