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ECONOMIES–LANDSCAPEFigure 5-1
e) ECONOMIES–SCENARIOS
PUBLIC / COMMUNITY
VALUES
PRIVATE/ ENTERPRISE
VALUES
GLOBAL / MACRO DYNAMIC
REGIONAL / LOCAL DYNAMIC
Global economic systems, rapid
innovation, stable finance & social
solidarity
Global finance & supply chains, robots versus
workers, digital surveillance
Community-based social economies, local
finance, slow tech
Local free-market grey-black economies,
wealthy enclaves & social exclusion
Overview mappings: the deeper economic mind, economic nexus, metabolisms and alternative futures
Com
LabHH
STIFinRes
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
Supply chain: products &
services
Demand chain: social & public
use-value & investment
Civic value chain:
knowledge, skills, infra-
structure
External inputs:
imports, finance,
resources etc
External outputs: exports,
pollution etc
c) ECONOMIC METABOLISM
Simple concept model of ‘circular flow of money’
a) ‘DEEPER ECONOMIC MIND’
Material economic
intelligencefor value
chains
Economic-political
intelligence for governance
Financial intelligence for
investment
Social-economy
intelligence for livelihood
Underlying systems: energy, resources, capitals
Cultural economy
Industrial economy
Social economy
Com
HH
Lab
STI
FinRes
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServPrim
Public economy
Ecological economy
d) ECONOMIES–III METABOLISM
Tech-knowledge economy
Concept model of ‘circular flow of value multiplicity’
FINANCIAL: Extraction &
instability
TECHNO: Digital
disruption
ECOLOGICAL: ‘apocalypse soon’
SOCIAL: Hyper-consumption, inequality, exclusion
ECONOMIC CYCLE: precarious work,
boom & bust:
b) ECONOMIES–NEXUS
LOCAL & REGIONAL:
Dependency & race to bottom
SUPPLY CHAIN
DEMAND CHAIN
CIVIC VALUE CHAIN
Contradictions & challenges in economic systemsConnexus of multiple layers / domains of value & logic
POLITICAL: austerity,
privatization
LOCAL-ONOMICS–III
Blue-green economy, eco-tourism, bio-tech
Social enterprise & foundational economy
Cultural heritage is community resource
a) INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION–I
Creative cultural
exchange
Multi-versity learning for business hubs & clusters
Mutual finance with local collateral for social investment
Cruise ships & super-yachts
b) POST-INDUSTRIAL EVOLUTION–II CBD expands &
pushes out workers
Waterfront regeneration
Heritage is a tourist commodity
Fragmented & precarious jobs
Communities shattered &
scattered
Obsolete industries
Investors / entrepre-
neurs leave
Shipping goes to super ports
Redundant labour & skills
Figure 5-2 Local / urban / regional economies in
evolution & co-evolution
Com
HH
Lab
STI
FinRes
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
Labour vulnerable to technology change
d) LINEAR ECONOMY–I
FINANCE
Dynamics of decline:a) Disinvestment
b) Brain drainc) Infrastructure
SOCIETY
(a) (b)
(c)
ECONOMY
e) SMART ECONOMY–II
Labour vulnerable to global markets
Global wealth
extraction
Social capital fragmented
GLOBAL FINANCE
f) ‘WISER’ ECONOMY–III
Social capital via co-production
LOCAL FINANCE
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HH
Lab
STI
Fin
Res
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
(A)
(B)
(C)
Social capital forms around
industry
Dynamics of renewal: 3 value chain pathways
Dumpingimpacts on periphery
Extraction of wealth towards centre
Global capital enables local
collateral
Dynamics of restructuring:
1) Privatization2) Financialization3) Mechanization
GLOBAL FINANCE
Depend-ency of branch-plants
Com
HH
Lab
STI
Fin
Res
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
(1)
(2)
(3)
Local capitalis diverse,
resocializing, recirculating
Labour resilience by
diversity
c) INDUSTRIAL CO-EVOLUTION–III
CIRCUL-ONOMICS–III Co-evolution from linear to circular resource flows: with finance, social & public value
Figure 5-3
Circular livelihood (demand chain): mutual ownership for collective re-use of assets
Circular co-production (supply chain): markets & enterprises on service model
Circular investment (civic-chain): eco-social finance for whole chain innovation
Socio-political gaps: culture of material consumption & obsolescence:
Techno-economic gaps: low ambition & myopic supply chains
Eco-financial gaps: short horizons promotes materialism & waste:
Product Service
Use
Re-useRecover
Recycle Re-eng Refurb
Materials
Buy
Stocks Linear
material input
Linear waste & pollution Product Service
Use
Re-use Recover
Recycle Re-eng Refurb
Materials
Buy
Stocks Low / zero material
inputs
Low /zero wasteoutput
Mass production with bulk material inputs
Extractive capital
expropriates value added
Circular supply chain enterprise
models
Re-circulatory & re-socialized
capital
RESOURCE SYSTEM
FINANCE SYSTEM
Com
HH
Lab
STI
Fin
Res
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
ECONOMIC SYSTEM
Profit from extractive
‘take-make-dump’ models Com
HH
Lab
STI
Fin
Res
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
(1)
(2)
(3)
Material flows enable economic flows Waste has
zero / negative
value
Civic value chain for
resources & know-how
Circular demand chain for resource
livelihood
Low-cost imports
c) CIRCULAR ECONOMIES–III b) LINEAR ECONOMIES–I&II
d) PATHWAYS
a) RE-CIRCULARIZATION
FINANCE: mutual finance for
integrated value chains
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMY: design for material loops & cascades
ECOSYSTEMS & RESOURCES: local / regional / global recirculation
on ‘socio-eco-services’ principle
TECHNOLOGY:circul-onomic
design principles
SOCIAL: livelihoods of
socio-circular value
URBAN SYSTEMS: regenerative cycles of
assets & resources
GOVERNANCE:recircularization policy principles
RE-FINANCE SYSTEM
RE-SOURCE SYSTEM
(Redrawn from Osterwalder et al 2010)
Key activities
Value proposition
Customer relations
Customers Key
partners
Costs Key
resources
Channels
Revenue
ENTERPRISE–III Co-evolution from supply-chain business model, to value-constellation ‘eco-social-enterprise’ model
Figure 5-4
a) ‘PRODUCT’ VALUE CHAIN b) ‘SERVICES’ VALUE CONSTELLATION
Raw materials
Manu-facturing
Logistics
Retail sales
Purchase by household
for washing activity
Product lifetime
End fate Material recovery
Recirculation loops
Energy & water value
loops
Life-cycle & service loop
Material re-engineering & disassembly
Ancillaries & component value loops
Textiles loop
Ownership & sharing
loops
Technology loops
c) BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS–I&II d) SOCIO-ECO-ENTERPRISE CANVAS–III
e) BUSINESS MODEL MAPPING–I&II f) SOCIO-ECO-ENTERPRISE MAPPING–III
Resour-ces are
sweated
Profits short term
Workers are com-modities
Customers out of loop
Social impacts dumped
Capital is predatory ‘race
to the bottom’
Revenue from mis-
selling
Labormodel
Custo-mers
Products
Society Comm-unity
Stake-holders
Lifecycle
Cost model
Revenue Impacts Infra
structure Capital
Supplies Resource Value +
Partner relations
Re-invest surplus
Clients in the loop
Inclusive society
Recircul-ation of
profit
Capital is open & mutual
Whole value cost
model
Revenue from
synergy
Impacts internal-
ized
Social Value +
Custo-mers
Products
SocietyComm-unity
Stake-holders
Life cycle
Econ Value +
Revenue Impacts Infrastruct Capital
Supplies Res-
ourcesFunct
Value +
The Canvas re-arranged: ‘worst practice’ example The Canvas extended: with best practice example
ENTREPRENEURS DOWNSTREAM: Customers, products, impacts
UPSTREAM: Suppliers, materials,
finance
Learning curve
Co-learn-ing curves
Adapted & extended with the synergistic framework
Com
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STI
Fin
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Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
Credit / currency
Securities / derivatives
Equities / corporate
Assets / commodities
Public / fiscal
Finance for basic money creation & inter-mediation
Economic production is enabled by credit via high
street banking
MATERIAL ECONOMY
Risk / insurance
Com
HH
Lab
STI
FinRes
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
Ponzi pyramid of
security-ization
Spiral of capital accum-ulation
c) ‘SMART’ FINANCE–II
System dynamics:
financialization, datafication, de-mutual-
ization
Production is a commodity for
speculation
SERVICE ECONOMY
Social & eco impacts dumped
d) ‘WISER’ FINANCE–III
Cultural economy
Social economy
Socio-eco finance recirculates a multiplicity of value
Com
HH
Lab
STI
Fin
Res
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServPrim
Public economy
ECON-OMIES-III
Ecological economy Production
economy
Techno-economic finance
Socio-cultural finance
Eco-political finance
Financial functions:
Overview of collective financial intelligence: with example of climate / carbon / eco-finance
FINANCE–III
b) ‘CLEVER’ FINANCE–I
Figure 5-5
FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
MARKETS BONDS
CREDIT / DEBT
INSU-RANCE
Eco-adaptation insurance
a) ‘WISER’ CLIMATE FINANCE
Impact finance
Sunk asset conversion
finance
Climate-proof real
estate
CLIMATE SYSTEMS
Inter-generational ethical-chain
Cleaner production supply chain
Food-energy-water eco-civic chain
Sustainable consump-tion demand chain
Circular supply chain
finance
Energy services finance
Sharing economy finance
Inter-generation eco-bonds
Securitized eco-assets
Nat.cap. markets
SECURITIES/ DERIVATIVES
EQUITIES COMMODITIES
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
Inter-generational investment
a) CAPITALISM–I&II b) ‘CO-OPOLISM’–III
Debt-fuelled hyper-
consumption
Many fall through
the cracks
Surplus value is recirculated & re-
socialized
Finance-tech for ‘Collective-
Human-Artificial-Intelligence’
Service-relational
networkers
Industrial circul-
onomics
Eco-social stewardship
Foundational local-onomics
in mutual public services
Societal goals for self-realization
Social welfare is a drag on ‘real
economy’
Hyper-elites & unlimited wealth
Corporates run global chains
Service workers feed the machines
Industrial robots produce the goods
Resource hyper-extraction
‘Resistance is useless!!’
All are included &
empowered
PROSPERITY–IIITransformation from evolutionary capitalism, towards a ‘co-evolutionary co-opolism’
Banks stabilized with QE, asset values inflate,
profits extracted
Govt transfers debt to firms &
households
Govt shrinks & privatizes public
services
House price bubble
drives GDP growth
Import consumption
grows with credit
Industry is globalized & securitized
Social impacts dumped on vulnerable
Comm
HH
Infra
Tech
Finance
Resource
Govt PublicCivil
Indust Service Primary
c) SYNDROMES of AUSTERITY–I&II d) SYNERGIES of PROSPERITY–III
(1) Prosperity-livelihood (demand chain): mutual ownership for social enterprise
(2) Prosperity-co-production (supply chain): circular value chains with open innovation
(3) Prosperity-democracy (civic chain): open tech, finance / land justice & eco-stewardship
e) PATHWAYSFinancial-social gaps: extractive
finance for myopic materialism
Techno-economic gaps low skills / investment / trust & race to bottom
Civic-political gaps: cognitive assets bypassed, finance is for elite
Com
HH
Lab
STI
Fin
Res
Gov PubCiv
Ind ServInf
(1)
(2)
(3)
Circular money flow & political economy of austerity (UK)
Social economy
Ecological economy
Industrial economy
Public economy
Tech-finance
Cultural economy
Govt co-finances public service co-
productionSocial impact investment as
standard
Products re-framed as service
Ecosystems re-investment
Mutual finance for social value
Institutions for knowledge investment
Recirculation of multiple values with synergistic pathways
Profits recirculated
Social impacts re-integrated
Figure 5-6
d) ECONOMIES–III PATHWAYS
a) MATERIAL GROWTH–I&II b) HUMAN LIVELIHOOD–III
ECONOMIES–IIIPutting it together: the Economies-III ‘connexus’ & the synergistic pathways for transformation
c) ECONOMIES–III CONNEXUS
Finance: Speculative profiteering
casino
Growth: materialist & exploitative
Business model: narrow
& myopic
Resources:‘take-make-sell-dump’
Finance: Recirculatory
collateral
Prosperity:Multi-versity of constel-lations
Enterprise model:
relational & inter-connected
‘Circul-onomics’:‘borrow-share-
recirculate’
Figure 5-7
TECHNOLOGY
CULTURE POLITICALS
SOCIETIES
CITIES ECOLOGIES
ECONOMIES
Political-cultural: Public-civic enterprise for renewal &
empowerment of local economy
Socio-political:Social livelihoods in public service
procurement & investment
Local-social: Community development enterprise & micro-finance for inclusion & prosperity
Culture-tech: Sensory-experiential systems for
creative action & prosperity
Techno-public:Smart-wise network-platform
public service innovation
Eco-urban: Local eco-social-enterprise for
health education & stewardship
Pathways on the interconnections between domains
ECO-URBAN-III: CLIMATE-III:
ORGANIZATION-IIIEDUCATION-III
MULTI-LEVEL-IIIPUBLIC-SERVICE-III
SMART-WISE-IIIE/VALUATION-III EQUALITIES-III