chapter 7 climate change
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Earth Systems Chapter 7 Lecture SlidesTRANSCRIPT
Water, Weather And Climate Water, Weather And Climate SystemsSystems
Climate Systems and Climate Change
The Water, Weather, and Climate Systems
ClimateClimate
Climate is weather over time
Climatic regions are areas with similar weather statistics
Climatology is the study of climate
Earth’s Climate System
Figure 10.1
Internal Processes Are Energized By Insolation
Figure 10.1
External Processes Affect Climatic Balance And Force Climatic Change
Figure 10.1
Climatic Relationships
Figure 10.3
World Climate Classification
Figure 10.4
Fig. 7.2
Tropical ClimatesTropical ClimatesRain forest:– Climate is constantly moist and warm– Rainy all year– Convectional thunderstorms triggered by local heating and
trade wind convergenceMonsoon:– Principally along coastal areas– Rainfall from 6-12 months of the year brought by the ITCZ– Dry season lasts one or more months
Savanna:– ITCZ dominates during summers with wetter conditions– Dry conditions when ITCZ shifts away and high pressure
dominates
Fig. 7.3
Tropical Rain Forest
Tropical Monsoon
Fig. 7.4
Tropical Savanna Climate
Intense dry periods; plants adapted to seasonally dry water budgets
Fig. 7.5MesothermalMesothermal ClimatesClimates
Humid subtropical:– Hot summers, mild winters– Maritime tropical air masses produce
convectional showers over land during summer– Frontal activity with polar air masses in winter
Marine west coast:– Warm to cool summers, mild winters– Affected throughout the year by weather
systems formed along polar frontMediterranean:– Dry summers, mild winters– Large-scale agriculture requires irrigation
Humid subtropical hot-summer climate, rainy all year
Fig. 7.6
Humid subtropical winter-dry climate
Fig. 7.7
Marine west coast climate
Affected by cyclonic storms all year
Fig. 7.9
Mediterranean climatesDry summers dominated by subtropical high;Wetter winters affected by cyclonic storm tracts Fig. 7.10
MicrothermalMicrothermal ClimatesClimatesHumid continental:– Hot to warm summers, cold winters– Maritime tropical air masses influence both
humid continental moist-all-year and winter-dry climates
– In North America, conflict between maritime tropical and continental polar in winter
Subarctic:– Cool summers to very cold winters– Boreal forests (fir, spruce, etc.) thin out to the
north to the more open woodlands and tundra– Soils thin in areas once scoured by glaciers
Humid-continental hot-summer climates
Fig. 7.11
Humid-continental hot-summer climates
Fig. 7.11Humid-continental mild-summer climate
Fig. 7.12
Subarctic cool summer, cold winter climate
High pressure dominates Churchill during cold winter
Fig. 7.13
Extreme subarctic cold winter climate
Fig. 7.14
Polar ClimatesTundra:– High latitude or high elevation– Land under continuous snow cover 8-10 months– Never warms above 10 oC– Small plants appear in spring
Ice caps and ice sheets:– Perpetually frozen– All months below freezing
Polar marine:– More moderate than polar continental– No month averages below -7 oC
Polar Tundra
Earth’s Ice Sheets
Antarctic Sound West Greenland
Fig. 7.16
Polar Marine Climate, South Georgia Island, Antarctica
Fig. 7.17
Desert Climates
Arid deserts:– Tropical, subtropical hot– Midlatitude cold
Semiarid steppes (flat grassland) – Tropical, subtropical hot– Midlatitude cold occurs poleward of 30o
latitude
Fig. 7.18
Fig. 7.19Tropical, Subtropical Hot Desert Climates Midlatitude Cold Desert Climate
Fig. 7.20
Tropical, Subtropical Hot Steppe Climate
Fig. 7.21
Midlatitude Cold Steppe Climate
Fig. 7.22
Climate ChangeClimate Change
Global warmingPaleoclimatologyClimate models Future temperatures
Global WarmingGlobal Warming
Causes of recent global warming?– Release of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere due to burning of fossils fuels?– Recent temperature rise is just part of the
natural cycle?Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was created in 1988 to coordinate global climate-change research, climate forecasts, and formulation of policies
Greenhouse GasesGreenhouse Gases
Carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and water vapor are essential warmers of the planet:– Without them the Earth would be an ice
ball, 35o C colderBut can our burning of fossil fuels upset the balance and cause the Earth to warm too much?
The Greenhouse EffectThe Greenhouse Effect
Sun’s energy enters the Earth’s atmosphere at relatively short wavelengths (mostly within visible range)Some of this energy heats Earth’s surfaceSurface heat is then reradiated outward at longer wavelengths (infrared)Greenhouse gases absorb and re-emit some of this long wavelength energy back to the surface, warming the atmosphere
The Recent Past (60 years)The Recent Past (60 years)
The concentration of carbon dioxide has increased steadily since 1958 with smaller, annual variationsThe smaller variations can be explained by seasonal changes in the biosphereThe longer trend shows increasing carbon dioxide concentrations:– Increasing CO2 from burning of fossil
fuels
Increase in Atmospheric Carbon-Dioxide since 1955
Fig. 2.18
Recent Past (Continued)Recent Past (Continued)
Temperatures have also increased over the last 50 years!– BUT is the temperature increase related
to the increase in CO2?Large temperature changes have also occurred in the geologic past, so it is not clear!– Global temperatures during the Middle
Cretaceous and Early Cenozoic were higher than today
Figure 10.30Fig. 7.25
1951-1980 global average
Temperature Anomalies For 2010 Compared To The Base Period Of 1951-1980
Figure 10.30
Fig. 7.25
PaleoclimatologyPaleoclimatology
Temperature changes over the last few thousand years must be obtained indirectly in what are known as proxy recorders:– Trapped atmospheric gases in ice cores– Oxygen isotope changes in ice cores– Oxygen isotope and other changes in
fossils in oceans and lakes
1000 YearsOf CO2 And
Temperatures
Figure 10.29
Earth today is close to equaling the highest average temperature of the past 125,000 years
Fig. 7.23
10,000 Years Of Greenhouse
Gases From Ice-Core And Modern Data
Figure 10.32
Fig. 7.27
Climatic Models And Future Climatic Models And Future TemperaturesTemperatures
Predicting The Extent And Consequences Of Global
Warming
Computer Model Comparison of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing (red) vs. Only Natural Forcing (blue)
Figure 10.31Fig. 7.26
General Circulation ModelsGeneral Circulation Models
Scientists developed a complex computer climate model known as a General Circulation Model (GCM)A GCM contains several sub-model programs for the following:– Atmosphere– Ocean– Land surface– Cryosphere– Biosphere
General Circulation ModelsGeneral Circulation Models
Variables in GCMs include the following:– Temperature– Precipitation– Air Pressure– Relative Humidity– Wind– Sunlight intensity
GCMs calculate scenarios of future climate change based on input parameters and variables
Figure 10.33
Input parameters for an atmospheric layer
Atmospheric layers
A General Circulation Model consists of a grid of boxes, each representing a different location on Earth; Each box consists of multiple layers and interacts with adjoining boxes
Fig. 7.28
Different scenarios take into account economics, population, global cooperation and greenhouse gas emissions
Holding emissions at 2000 concentrations
Fig. 7.29
Reasons For Concern
Overall Effects Of Climate Change
Figure 10.34
Fig. 7.24
Loss of glaciers (global warming), coral reefs (ocean acidification), barrier islands and small islands (rising sea level): ecosystems migrate and species become extinct
Melt-water from melting glaciers flow into the oceans, causing sea level to rise
Figure 10.34
Fig. 7.24
Dynamic equilibrium is disrupted, tipping point is reached and the system spasms to a new equilibrium state: disruptions include melting of mountain and continental glaciers, sea-level rise, and ocean acidification
Oceans acidify due to absorption of increasing amounts of atmospheric CO2
Figure 10.34
Fig. 7.24
Climate change results in monetary damage due to crop failures and diminishing water supplies: lives are changed or lost; poorer countries might not adapt successfully
Figure 10.34
Fig. 7.24
Magnitude and frequency of extreme weather events increase: precipitation and floods intensify: hurricane and tornado intensities increase: more heat waves, droughts, and wildfires
Figure 10.34
Fig. 7.24
Impacts are greatest in low-latitude and less-developed countries due to shifts in crop patterns and spread of diseases. At high latitudes, indigenous people of the circumpolar Arctic will be affected by rapid melting of ice sheets/permafrost.