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Page 1: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Managerial Economics & Business Strategy

Chapter 9Basic Oligopoly Models

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 2: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

OverviewI. Conditions for Oligopoly?II. Role of Strategic InterdependenceIII. Profit Maximization in Four Oligopoly

SettingsSweezy (Kinked-Demand) ModelCournot ModelStackelberg Model Bertrand Model

IV. Contestable Markets

Page 3: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Oligopoly Environment

• Relatively few firms, usually less than 10.Duopoly - two firmsTriopoly - three firms

• The products firms offer can be either differentiated or homogeneous.

Page 4: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Role of Strategic Interaction

• Your actions affect the profits of your rivals.

• Your rivals’ actions affect your profits.

Page 5: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

An Example

• You and another firm sell differentiated products.

• How does the quantity demanded for your product change when you change your price?

Page 6: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

P

Q

D1 (Rival holds itsprice constant)

P0

PL

D2 (Rival matches your price change)

PH

Q0 QL2 QL1QH1 QH2

Page 7: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

P

Q

D1

P0

Q0

D2 (Rival matches your price change)

(Rival holds itsprice constant)

D

Demand if Rivals Match Price Reductions but not Price Increases

Page 8: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Key Insight• The effect of a price reduction on the quantity

demanded of your product depends upon whether your rivals respond by cutting their prices too!

• The effect of a price increase on the quantity demanded of your product depends upon whether your rivals respond by raising their prices too!

• Strategic interdependence: You aren’t in complete control of your own destiny!

Page 9: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Sweezy (Kinked-Demand) Model

• Few firms in the market serving many consumers.• Firms produce differentiated products.• Barriers to entry.• Each firm believes rivals will match (or follow)

price reductions, but won’t match (or follow) price increases.

• Key feature of Sweezy ModelPrice-Rigidity.

Page 10: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Sweezy Demand and Marginal Revenue

P

Q

P0

Q0

D1(Rival holds itsprice constant)

MR1

D2 (Rival matches your price change)

MR2

DS: Sweezy Demand

MRS: Sweezy MR

Page 11: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Sweezy Profit-Maximizing Decision

P

Q

P0

Q0

DS: Sweezy DemandMRS

MC1MC2

MC3

D2 (Rival matches your price change)

D1 (Rival holds price constant)

Page 12: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Sweezy Oligopoly Summary

• Firms believe rivals match price cuts, but not price increases.

• Firms operating in a Sweezy oligopoly maximize profit by producing where

MRS = MC.The kinked-shaped marginal revenue curve implies that there exists a range over which changes in MC will not impact the profit-maximizing level of output.Therefore, the firm may have no incentive to change price provided that marginal cost remains in a given range.

Page 13: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Cournot Model• A few firms produce goods that are either

perfect substitutes (homogeneous) or imperfect substitutes (differentiated).

• Firms set output, as opposed to price.• Each firm believes their rivals will hold output

constant if it changes its own output (The output of rivals is viewed as given or “fixed”).

• Barriers to entry exist.

Page 14: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Inverse Demand in a Cournot Duopoly

• Market demand in a homogeneous-product Cournot duopoly is

• Thus, each firm’s marginal revenue depends on the output produced by the other firm. More formally,

212 2bQbQaMR −−=

121 2bQbQaMR −−=

( )21 QQbaP +−=

Page 15: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Best-Response Function

• Since a firm’s marginal revenue in a homogeneous Cournot oligopoly depends on both its output and its rivals, each firm needs a way to “respond” to rival’s output decisions.

• Firm 1’s best-response (or reaction) function is a schedule summarizing the amount of Q1 firm 1 should produce in order to maximize its profits for each quantity of Q2 produced by firm 2.

• Since the products are substitutes, an increase in firm 2’s output leads to a decrease in the profit-maximizing amount of firm 1’s product.

Page 16: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Best-Response Function for a Cournot Duopoly

• To find a firm’s best-response function, equate its marginal revenue to marginal cost and solve for its output as a function of its rival’s output.

• Firm 1’s best-response function is (c1 is firm 1’s MC)

• Firm 2’s best-response function is (c2 is firm 2’s MC)

( ) 21

211 21

2Q

bcaQrQ −

−==

( ) 12

122 21

2Q

bcaQrQ −

−==

Page 17: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Graph of Firm 1’s Best-Response Function

Q2

Q1

(Firm 1’s Reaction Function)

Q1M

Q2

Q1

r1

(a-c1)/b Q1 = r1(Q2) = (a-c1)/2b - 0.5Q2

Page 18: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Cournot Equilibrium

• Situation where each firm produces the output that maximizes its profits, given the the output of rival firms.

• No firm can gain by unilaterally changing its own output to improve its profit.

A point where the two firm’s best-response functions intersect.

Page 19: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Graph of Cournot Equilibrium

Q2*

Q1*

Q2

Q1

Q1M

r1

r2

Q2M

Cournot Equilibrium

(a-c1)/b

(a-c2)/b

Page 20: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Summary of Cournot Equilibrium

• The output Q1* maximizes firm 1’s profits,

given that firm 2 produces Q2*.

• The output Q2* maximizes firm 2’s profits,

given that firm 1 produces Q1*.

• Neither firm has an incentive to change its output, given the output of the rival.

• Beliefs are consistent: In equilibrium, each firm “thinks” rivals will stick to their current output – and they do!

Page 21: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Firm 1’s Isoprofit Curve

• The combinations of outputs of the two firms that yield firm 1 the same level of profit

Q1Q1

M

r1

π1 = $100

π1 = $200

Increasing Profits for

Firm 1D

Q2

A

BC

Page 22: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Another Look at Cournot Decisions

Q2

Q1Q1

M

r1

Q2*

Q1*

Firm 1’s best response to Q2*

π 1 = $100

π 1 = $200

Page 23: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Another Look at Cournot Equilibrium

Q2

Q1Q1

M

r1

Q2*

Q1*

Firm 1’s Profits

Firm 2’s Profits

r2

Q2M Cournot Equilibrium

Page 24: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Impact of Rising Costs on the Cournot Equilibrium

Q2

Q1

r1**

r2

r1*

Q1*

Q2*

Q2**

Q1**

Cournot equilibrium prior to firm 1’s marginal cost increase

Cournot equilibrium afterfirm 1’s marginal cost increase

Page 25: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Collusion Incentives in Cournot Oligopoly

Q2

Q1

r1

Q2M

Q1M

r2

Cournot2π

Cournot1π

Page 26: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Stackelberg Model• Firms produce differentiated or homogeneous

products.• Barriers to entry.• Firm one is the leader.

The leader commits to an output before all other firms.

• Remaining firms are followers.They choose their outputs so as to maximize profits, given the leader’s output.

Page 27: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Stackelberg Equilibrium

Q1Q1

M

r1

Q2C

Q1C

r2

Q2

Q1S

Q2S

Follower’s Profits Decline

Stackelberg Equilibrium

πLS

π1C

πFS

π2C

Page 28: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Stackelberg Summary• Stackelberg model illustrates how

commitment can enhance profits in strategic environments.

• Leader produces more than the Cournot equilibrium output.

Larger market share, higher profits.First-mover advantage.

• Follower produces less than the Cournot equilibrium output.

Smaller market share, lower profits.

Page 29: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Bertrand Model• Few firms that sell to many consumers.• Firms produce identical products at constant marginal

cost.• Each firm independently sets its price in order to

maximize profits.• Barriers to entry.• Consumers enjoy

Perfect information. Zero transaction costs.

Page 30: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Bertrand Equilibrium• Firms set P1 = P2 = MC! Why?• Suppose MC < P1 < P2.• Firm 1 earns (P1 - MC) on each unit sold, while

firm 2 earns nothing.• Firm 2 has an incentive to slightly undercut firm

1’s price to capture the entire market.• Firm 1 then has an incentive to undercut firm 2’s

price. This undercutting continues...• Equilibrium: Each firm charges P1 = P2 = MC.

Page 31: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Contestable Markets• Key Assumptions

Producers have access to same technology.Consumers respond quickly to price changes.Existing firms cannot respond quickly to entry by lowering price.Absence of sunk costs.

• Key ImplicationsThreat of entry disciplines firms already in the market.Incumbents have no market power, even if there is only a single incumbent (a monopolist).

Page 32: Chapter 9 9.pdf · Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 9 Basic Oligopoly Models ... Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e

Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 5e. Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Conclusion• Different oligopoly scenarios give rise to

different optimal strategies and different outcomes.

• Your optimal price and output depends on …Beliefs about the reactions of rivals.Your choice variable (P or Q) and the nature of the product market (differentiated or homogeneous products).Your ability to credibly commit prior to your rivals.