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Charleston Marriott | 170 Lockwood Blvd

Tuesday, June 11

7:30 AM Registration & Room Open

8:30 – 8:45 Workshop Welcome

Opening Remarks

Mona Behl, University of Georgia, Georgia Sea Grant

Fiona Horsfall, Climate Services Branch, NOAA National Weather Service

Kirstin Dow, Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments

8:45 – 9:15 Welcome

NOAA leadership

9:15 – 10:00 Keynote Address

“Title” TBD

Name TBD

10:00 – 10:30 Break

10:30 – 11:45 Session 1: Supporting Natural Resources Management Moderator: TBD

A Coastal Resilience Assessment for the United States Greg Dobson, UNC Asheville’s NEMAC

Linking Land Use, Climate, and Coastal Ecosystems: a watershed perspective for a changing South Carolina coast Lloyd Hill, College of Charleston

NOAA and Water: Connecting End User Needs with Decision Support Tools Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

Building Resilience to Extreme Events and Water Hazard Planning in Rural Communities Sarah Trainor, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy (presented by Richard Thoman, ACCAP)

ENSO and Seasonal Sea level Variability in the face of Changing Climate: Experience from the US-Affiliated Pacific Islands Md Rashed Chowdhury, Pacific ENSO Applications Climate Center

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11:45 – 1:15 PM Lunch (on your own)

1:15 – 2:45 Session 2: Informing Sector-Based Decisions

Moderator: Hunter Jones, NOAA Climate Program Office

Delivering Broader Impacts through Climate Change Communication Paula Jasinski, Chesapeake Environmental Communications

Overview of the New Drought.gov Website Steve Ansari, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Inform ation

Week-2 Probabilistic Forecasts of Wind Hazards and Extremes Melissa Ou, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Improvement of Two-week Temperature Forecast of JMA Shochiro Miyawaki, Japan Meteorological Agency

Supporting Decision Makers in Anchorage, Alaska, with Accurate Seasonal Snowfall Predictions Joseph Wegman, NOAA National Weather Service Anchorage

Challenges and Recommendations for Climate-ready Management of U.S. Marine Fisheries Melissa Karp, NOAA Fisheries / ECS Federal LLC

2:45 – 3:00 Discussion

3:00 – 3:30 Break

3:30 – 4:45 Session 3: Informing Sector-Based Decisions

Moderator: Adrienne Antoine, NOAA Climate Program Office

The Value of Climate Data from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information Tamara Houston, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information

Understanding Sector-Based Decisions for Heat-Health Risk Reduction Hunter Jones, NOAA Climate Program Office

Delivering Climate Services to Rural Alaska: Challenges and Opportunities Richard Thoman, Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy

Applications of Satellite Altimetry Mission Assets for Understanding and Assessing Coastal Risk Margaret Srinivasan, Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology

Development and Applications of Climate Projections in India Jenny Dissen, NOAA Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites

4:45 – 5:00 Discussion

5:00 – 5:15 Poster Lightning Talks

5:30 – 7:30 PM Reception & Poster Viewing

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Tuesday Keynote Address Speaker: Name, Affiliation

Bio.

Organization

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Charleston Marriott | 170 Lockwood Blvd Wednesday, June 12

7:30 AM Registration & Room Open

8:30 – 9:00 Kick-off Keynote

“Title” TBD

Susanne Moser, Director, Susanne Moser Research & Consulting

9:00 – 9:30 Session 4 Panel: Addressing Emotional Well-Being and Empathy Drain In Climate and Weather Work Panel Facilitator: Susanne Moser

Becky DePodwin, AccuWeather

Daniel Gilford, Rutgers

Rebecca Moulton, FEMA Region 5

Sarah Watson, S.C. Sea Grant Consortium and Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments

9:30 – 10:00 Panel Discussion

10:00 – 10:30 Break

10:30 – 11:45 Session 5: Guiding Public Health Preparedness

Moderator: Amanda Farris, CISA

Susceptibility of Public Health Impacts from Flooded Water, Wastewater and Public Health Infrastructure Susan Lovelace, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium

The Impact of Chronic High-heat on Reduced Gestational Age in Pregnant Women in North Carolina, 2011-2015 Ashley Ward, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill; Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments

Development of a Web-Based Tool to Forecast Wet Bulb Globe Temperature for Populations Who Engage in Exertional Outdoor Activities Charles Konrad, CISA, Southeast Regional Climate Center

Heath Impact Oriented Excessive Heat Forecasting at Sub-seasonal Lead Times: Evaluation of Performance of the Real-time Global Sub-seasonal Excessive Heat Outlook System Augustin Vintzileos, University of Maryland / ESSIC

Subseasonal Forecasting of Heatwaves at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Evan Oswald, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

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11:45 – 1:15 PM Lunch (on your own)

1:15 – 2:00 Session 6 Panel: Approaches to Engaging Decision Makers in Design and Evaluation

Moderator: Kirstin Dow, CISA

Susan Lovelace, South Carolina Sea Grant Consortium

Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

Hunter Jones, NOAA Climate Program Office

Matt Rosencrans, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Blair Holloway, NOAA National Weather Service Charleston

Paulina Cwik, The University of Oklahoma

2:00 – 2:30 Panel Discussion

2:30 – 3:00 Break

3:00 – 5:00 Field Trips

Educational Tour of South Carolina Department of Natural Resources Marine Resources Research Institute: Co-located near the NOAA Hollings Lab, MRRI provided scientific expertise to assess the condition of South Carolina’s coastal resources. During the 90-minute tour, attendees will hear about the history of MRRI and have a chance to engage with research staff about the various projects currently being conducted to monitor fisheries, habitats, and environmental impacts.

Walking tour City of Charleston Adaptation and Mitigation Efforts: The City of Charleston is often plagued with flooding concerns, whether it be from nuisance "sunny day" flooding or from higher impact weather events. The City of Charleston's Chief Resilience Officer, Mark Wilbert, will provide a walking tour of parts of the peninsula that are frequent trouble spots and will discuss mitigation measures that have been put in place to combat these issues.

South Carolina Aquarium Coastal Resilience Program: Explore the South Carolina Aquarium and meet their conservation team to learn about their efforts on coastal resilience and conservation for the City of Charleston and the South Carolina coasts.

6:00 – 8:00 Banquet Dinner

Title Name, affiliation

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Wednesday Kick-off Keynote Speaker: Susanne Moser, Director, Susanne Moser Research & Consulting

Bio

Wednesday Banquet Speaker: Name, Affiliation

Bio

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Charleston Marriott | 170 Lockwood Blvd

Thursday, June 13

7:30 AM Room Open

8:30 – 9:00 Kick-off Keynote

“Title” TBD

Mark Wilbert, Chief Resilience Officer, City of Charleston

9:00 – 10:30 Session 7: Disaster Risk Management (Flooding Hazards)

Moderator: Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

To Adapt or not to Adapt: Decision-making by residents of urban coastal areas Malgosia Madajewicz, Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University

End to End of Coastal Inundation Early Warning System in Indonesia for Disaster Risk Reduction Nelly Riama, The Agency for Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical, Indonesia

Forecasting Seasonal Sea Levels for the U.S. East Coast: opportunities and challenges Matthew Widlansky, Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, University of Hawaii

A Climatology of Coastal Flooding in New York City, and how NWS New York, NY is evolving its Coastal Hazard and Impact Forecasting Products and Services to Address Current and Future Risks John Murray, NOAA National Weather Service New York

Examining Coastal Flood Thresholds for the Southeast South Carolina and Southeast Georgia Coast Blair Holloway, NOAA National Weather Service Charleston

Developing High-Resolution Data and Neighborhood-Scale Flood Modeling in Charleston County, SC Norman Levine, College of Charleston & Landon Knapp, South Carolina Sea Grant

10:30 – 11:00 Break

11:00 – 11:30 Invited Talk

Record-Breaking Rainfall and Flooding Associated with Hurricane Florence: Is This the New Normal?

Charles Konrad, CISA, Southeast Regional Climate Center

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11:30 – 12:30 PM

Session 8: Disaster Risk Management (Tropical Hazards)

Moderator: TBD

Hurricane Preparedness and Recovery in Agriculture and Forestry: perspectives from extension, NRCS, and state forestry agencies Sarah Wiener, USDA Forest Service Southeast Climate Hub

Increasing Risk Perception and Understanding of Hurricane Storm Tides in Charleston SC Using an Interactive, Web-Based Visualization Approach Frank Alsheimer, NOAA NWS Columbia / B. Lee Lindner, College of Charleston

Climatology and Variability of Tropical Cyclones Affecting Charleston, South Carolina B. Lee Lindner, College of Charleston

Tropical Convection Interaction With Alaska Weather William Ludwig, NOAA National Weather Service Anchorage

12:30 – 2:00 PM Lunch (on your own)

2:00 – 3:15 Session 9: Disaster Risk Management (Hazards & Extremes)

Moderator: TBD

The CPC Global Tropics Hazards Outlook: Product Overview, Goals and Plans Jon Gottschalck, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

The Use of Three to Nine-Month NOAA Forecasts for Predicting Southern Pine Beetle Outbreaks Across the Southeastern United States Steven McNulty, USDA Forest Service Southeast Climate Hub

Users Perspectives on S2S Forecast Products for Extreme Precipitation Events Elinor Martin, University of Oklahoma (presented by Paulina Cwik, University of Oklahoma)

Understanding and Communicating Precipitation Average Return Intervals within South Carolina Melissa Griffin, South Carolina State Climatology Office

Modeling and Mapping the Advance of Monthly Tidal Flooding, a Threshold of Inhabitability Philip Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology

3:15 – 3:45 Break

3:45 – 4:45 Session 10: Disaster Risk Management (Coastal Hazards) Moderator: TBD

Building Resilience through Risk Management of Climate-Related Coastal Hazards James Fox, NEMAC + FernLeaf

Decision Support Tools in Delaware Tina Callahan, University of Delaware CEMA

Developing Coastal Capabilities in the NOAA Local Climate Analysis Tool Michael Churma, NOAA National Weather Service

A Climatology-based Forecast Tool for Coastal Flooding in the Lowcountry Joey Coz, College of Charleston

4:45 – 5:00 Meeting Wrap-up

5:00 PM Adjourn

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Thursday Kick-off Keynote Speaker: Mark Wilbert, City of Charleston

Bio

Thursday Invited Talk Speaker: Dr. Charles Konrad, CISA, Southeast Regional Climate Center

Bio

Poster List

1 The Carolinas Precipitation Patterns and Probabilities Atlas Melissa Griffin, South Carolina State Climatology Office

2 Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) Precipitation Analysis Web Pages Daniel Roman, NOAA/NWS Water Resources Branch

3 Assessing the Usefulness of Citizen Science Information in Drought-Related Decision Making Amanda Farris, CISA

4 The Watershed Game: An Engagement Tool to Build Awareness about the Connections Between Land Use and Water Quality Brenna Sweetman, NOAA Office for Coastal Management

5 Title Paulina Cwik, The University of Oklahoma

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17th Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop

June 11-13, 2019 Charleston, South Carolina