children's parties and other ways to cope with the future

A children’s party, and other ways to cope with the future

tonzijlstra.euknowledge work, learning, complexity

Bad Soden, 29 October 2013

ARAS Community Event Europe

#ACEEU @ton_zylstradinsdag 29 oktober 13

A children’s party and other ways to cope with the future

29-10-2013ACE Europe

http://www.flickr.com/photos/christchurchcitylibraries/2883645994/

dinsdag 29 oktober 13


http://www.flickr.com/photos/fredarmitage/1057613629/

“the future is already here”

“it’s just not very evenly distributed”dinsdag 29 oktober 13

internet is to blame

http://www.flickr.com/photos/kirklau/1638526962/




as is mobile communications

http://www.flickr.com/photos/menteblu61/6158389744/




unintended consequences

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dhdesign/1096464615/




more connections

http://internetcensus2012.github.io/InternetCensus2012/images/geovideo.gif




more real connections


death of the middlemen

http://www.flickr.com/photos/triterion/4063862492/




increased complexity, network metaphors


more information


opening existing data, access, knowledge, everything


existing data accessible (long tail)new data (qs)

internet of things

adding new data


higher speed

http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/dinsdag 29 oktober 13

http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/


non-linear change, cascading failures

http://www.flickr.com/photos/newtown_grafitti/7209476640/




exponential tech development


orders faster, cheaper, bigger

http://www.flickr.com/photos/trevorandmarjee/8627043583/




Networked life, networked work, networked learningDigital Disruption Wave

disruption waves

http://www.flickr.com/photos/73416633@N00/




impact of more connections





increase in complexity


party planning

http://www.flickr.com/photos/foreignoffice/2132852569/dinsdag 29 oktober 13

http://www.flickr.com/photos/foreignoffice/2132852569/

http://www.flickr.com/photos/foreignoffice/2132852569/

“Berlin is a pulsing, exciting city with so many varied and distinctive neighborhoods, iconic history all around, great food at all levels and from every corner of the world ... an excellent place to set up camp and make a great record.” (R.E.M. in Rolling Stone, July 2010)

we are sensitive to complexity


and recognize its traces


• through connectedness more things are now complex

• if treat complex like ‘normal’ we fail: better lists, AGI example on KM tools

when better lists are useless


seeing layers


seeing layers

chaos: get out of the car, get off the road, where’s my phone!


seeing layers


simple: you probably drove too fast, here’s a ticket.


seeing layers



complicated: 28 incidents already, let’s place a warning sign.


seeing layers



complicated: 28 incidents already, let’s place a warning sign.

complex: weather, speed, roads, car(s), light, animals, me, let’s consider all


EVENT

simple

complicated

complex


• matrix, swallow the pill

take the red pill

http://www.flickr.com/photos/9731367@N02/8593252248/




• droogzwemmen bestaat niet

no dry runs, cheap ‘live’ experimentation





This group did not exist

according to public policy

Shop theft

(source: Cognitive Edge)

narrative as measurement


7,2





understanding our networks





(Paul Baran, 1964)

network metaphor leading


68dinsdag 29 oktober 13

• social media is social because it networks around info-objects (social objects)


mostly useless metrics

70B items / month (fb)190M / day (t)3k / min (fl)17M items (wpedia)100hrs / min (yt)

http://www.flickr.com/photos/jasonahowie/8583949219

‘if FB were a country’1,1B




http://www.flickr.com/photos/marc_smith/6785112263

interesting metrics are about interaction




functional communities (Wenger)

rhythm

perspectives

spaces

value

evolution

excitement

engagement

http://www.flickr.com/photos/neoluk/6185522717/




Michel Bauwens, p2pfoundation.net


impact of more information


the need to share


more data = different

http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/4671578001/


http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/4671578001/

big data pitfalls: lack of context and hoarding

http://visual.ly/big-data




open data


releasing data as intervention


data is a social object


existing data accessible (long tail)new data (qs)

internet of things

QS as new social objects


IoT, sharing and acting

http://www.botanicalls.com/graphics/kit/sparkfun/800/IMG_8581_800.jpg




impact of higher speed

http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/dinsdag 29 oktober 13



non-linear change, cascading failures


non-linear change, ‘sudden emergence’


exponential tech development


http://www.hive76.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/LowerMag_WithFingerAndScaleBar_162pixelsPerMillimeter.jpg




Organic printing

Solutions to foodproblems? health?

(Siert Wijnia)dinsdag 29 oktober 13

http://www.flickr.com/photos/wellcomeimages/5814146087/

10^14, 2:47




http://www.flickr.com/photos/streamishmc/3836771157/




http://www.flickr.com/photos/herselfsphotos/1205396238/

wrap up




just getting started





roll with it, resistance is futile

http://www.flickr.com/photos/toohotty/2675099789/




complexity, networks, social (data) objects

http://www.flickr.com/photos/ringroadproductions/144808172/





enjoy the party!



CreditsAll photos: Ton Zijlstra, by nc saExcept where URL mentioned on the photo, there (c) original source at URL.

Slides: Ton Zijlstra, by

Slides: http://slideshare.net/tonzijlstraBlog: http://zylstra.org/blogContact: [email protected]: ton_zylstra

tonzijlstra.euknowledge work, learning, complexity


http://slideshare.net/tonzijlstra

http://slideshare.net/tonzijlstra

http://zylstra.org/blog

http://zylstra.org/blog

children's parties and other ways to cope with the future

Business

existing data

eu knowledge

higher speed

long tail

linear change

ton zijlstra

warning sign

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